In the “Casual Bet” category I’m going to write some thoughts about the games I don’t bet on or I’ll propose some bets not base in mathematical analysis, casual bets. So, I’m not keeping score for these bets.
Have fun and good luck!
Fulham – West Brom
From my point of view, the weak favorite for this game is West Brom, not Fulham. It is a very complicated game; I think we will have 2+ goals in this one. If I was to follow the “traditional” logic I would say that Fulham must win … bla… bla .. bla. I don’t like this logic so if I don’t bet on such games. If someone wants to bet maybe GG+Over 2.5 goals or Goal/Goal is the answer.
Leeds – Leicester
Mathematically value is on the guest team, the problem is that Leeds has unpredictable behavior (maybe like couch Bielsa?). If you think it will be 3 or fewer goals in the game, you can bet on the guest team or 2 DNB, perhaps. For me is a classic NO BET.
Malaga – Espanol
I can see the odds dropping for Espanol. Maybe the books know better. For me is an even game, when I have an even game I never bet but for someone who wants to bet double chance, 1X is an excellent choice.
Logrones – Alcorcon
I had chosen that game in my predictions when the odds for the home team were 2.65, now is at 2.50, still has value if someone wants to bet. Here is my analysis for that game.