2020 12 02 Turkey Super League



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Turk Telekom vs Ormanspor at 02 December 2020
Afyon Belediye vs Bursaspor at 02 December 2020
Darussafaka vs Besiktas at 02 December 2020
Tofas vs Fethiye Belediye at 02 December 2020

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Turk Telekom vs Ormanspor at 02 December 2020

In this section we will analyze the game between Turk Telekom and Ormanspor for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 02 December 2020.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Turk Telekom

1.16

1.26

Ormanspor

5

4.88

Turk Telekom HC

-10.5

-8.00

Ormanspor HC

+10.5

8.00

Point Line

170.5

168.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Turk Telekom are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Nov 21

A

Galatasaray

L

89

94

6

3

L 2

84

95

Nov 14

H

Fenerbahce

L

81

82

6

2

L 1

88

75

Nov 7

A

Bursaspor

W

108

107

6

1

W 6

101

105

Nov 1

H

Pinar Karsiyaka

W

81

61

5

1

W 5

90

63

Oct 24

A

Afyon

W

89

84

4

1

W 4

88

89

Oct 18

H

Buyukcekmece

W

95

89

3

1

W 3

87

89

Oct 11

A

Bahcesehir

W

97

88

2

1

W 2

101

89

Oct 7

H

Darussafaka

W

79

69

1

1

W 1

79

68

Oct 4

A

Anadolu Efes

L

78

83

0

1

L 0

89

77

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ormanspor are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Nov 21

H

Darussafaka

L

64

80

3

6

L 3

64

79

Nov 14

A

Tofas

L

82

99

3

5

L 2

79

93

Nov 7

H

Socar Spor

L

90

106

3

4

L 1

93

105

Nov 1

A

Gaziantep

W

87

76

3

3

W 3

95

84

Oct 25

H

Fethiye

W

77

66

2

3

W 2

72

71

Oct 18

A

Besiktas

W

91

85

1

3

W 1

87

86

Oct 10

H

Anadolu Efes

L

76

115

0

3

L 2

87

106

Oct 4

H

Galatasaray

L

82

90

0

2

L 1

77

91

Sep 26

A

Fenerbahce

L

72

105

0

1

L 0

78

96

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Turk Telekom and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Ormanspor.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Ormanspor and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Turk Telekom.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Turk Telekom (in the first graph) and by Ormanspor in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Turk Telekom

Ormanspor

FG%

0.57

0.55

ASS

19.70

19.00

DRB

25.90

21.30

AST-TO

1.67

1.54

TRB

34.80

27.80

FTM

15.60

15.30

BL

2.70

2.20

FTA

21.00

21.40

PF-Fewer

19.60

17.70

ST

4.30

4.70

TO-Fewer

11.80

12.30

Ftper

0.74

0.72

ORBper

0.34

0.30

ORB

8.90

6.40


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Afyon Belediye vs Bursaspor at 02 December 2020

In this section we will analyze the game between Afyon Belediye and Bursaspor for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 02 December 2020.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Afyon Belediye

2.2

1.52

Bursaspor

1.65

2.92

Afyon Belediye HC

+2.5

-5.00

Bursaspor HC

-2.5

5.00

Point Line

165.5

163.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Afyon Belediye are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Nov 21

A

Pinar Karsiyaka

L

82

96

4

5

L 2

91

99

Nov 15

A

Anadolu Efes

L

67

86

4

4

L 1

76

80

Nov 8

H

Buyukcekmece

W

79

74

4

3

W 2

72

74

Oct 31

A

Bahcesehir

W

76

70

3

3

W 1

79

71

Oct 24

H

Turk Telekom

L

84

89

2

3

L 3

82

82

Oct 17

A

Darussafaka

L

77

102

2

2

L 2

77

100

Oct 11

H

Tofas

L

75

89

2

1

L 1

72

84

Oct 4

A

Socar Spor

W

81

78

2

0

W 1

83

77

Sep 27

H

Gaziantep

W

78

70

1

0

W 0

85

77

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bursaspor are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Nov 14

A

Bahcesehir

L

71

101

3

5

L 3

74

102

Nov 7

H

Turk Telekom

L

107

108

3

4

L 2

105

100

Oct 31

A

Darussafaka

L

75

78

3

3

L 1

75

77

Oct 24

H

Tofas

W

83

70

3

2

W 1

80

66

Oct 17

A

Socar Spor

L

80

108

2

2

L 2

82

107

Oct 11

H

Gaziantep

L

78

90

2

1

L 1

85

99

Oct 3

A

Fethiye

W

89

75

2

0

W 1

84

81

Sep 26

H

Besiktas

W

89

73

1

0

W 0

85

74

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Afyon Belediye and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bursaspor.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bursaspor and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Afyon Belediye.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Afyon Belediye (in the first graph) and by Bursaspor in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Afyon Belediye

Bursaspor

FG%

0.52

0.58

ASS

18.20

20.10

DRB

22.80

21.80

AST-TO

1.22

1.68

TRB

32.60

28.00

FTM

12.60

11.40

BL

3.00

2.40

FTA

15.60

15.60

PF-Fewer

18.70

20.80

ST

6.10

5.50

TO-Fewer

14.90

12.00

Ftper

0.81

0.73

ORBper

0.43

0.29

ORB

9.80

6.30


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Darussafaka vs Besiktas at 02 December 2020

In this section we will analyze the game between Darussafaka and Besiktas for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 02 December 2020.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Darussafaka

1.16

1.43

Besiktas

5

3.31

Darussafaka HC

-10.5

-6.00

Besiktas HC

+10.5

6.00

Point Line

165.5

162.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Darussafaka are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Nov 21

A

Ormanspor

W

80

64

4

5

W 2

71

67

Nov 14

H

Galatasaray

W

91

82

3

5

W 1

86

83

Nov 8

A

Fenerbahce

L

79

90

2

5

L 1

86

82

Oct 31

H

Bursaspor

W

78

75

2

4

W 1

73

73

Oct 24

A

Pinar Karsiyaka

L

78

89

1

4

L 1

87

92

Oct 17

H

Afyon

W

102

77

1

3

W 1

100

82

Oct 10

A

Buyukcekmece

L

85

88

0

3

L 2

78

88

Oct 7

A

Turk Telekom

L

69

79

0

2

L 1

68

73

Oct 3

H

Bahcesehir

L

91

95

0

1

L 0

95

96

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Besiktas are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Nov 22

H

Tofas

W

94

85

2

7

W 1

90

80

Nov 15

A

Socar Spor

L

72

82

1

7

L 1

74

81

Nov 8

H

Gaziantep

W

84

81

1

6

W 1

92

89

Nov 1

A

Fethiye

L

83

87

0

6

L 5

78

94

Oct 26

H

Anadolu Efes

L

74

81

0

5

L 4

84

75

Oct 18

H

Ormanspor

L

85

91

0

4

L 3

76

95

Oct 10

A

Galatasaray

L

89

97

0

3

L 2

84

98

Oct 4

H

Fenerbahce

L

74

83

0

2

L 1

80

76

Sep 26

A

Bursaspor

L

73

89

0

1

L 0

68

87

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Darussafaka and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Besiktas.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Besiktas and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Darussafaka.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Darussafaka (in the first graph) and by Besiktas in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Darussafaka

Besiktas

FG%

0.50

0.50

ASS

17.60

18.80

DRB

21.10

21.70

AST-TO

1.45

1.44

TRB

34.00

33.20

FTM

16.60

13.70

BL

2.30

2.90

FTA

20.40

18.40

PF-Fewer

22.80

22.30

ST

7.70

6.00

TO-Fewer

12.10

13.10

Ftper

0.81

0.74

ORBper

0.61

0.53

ORB

12.90

11.60


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Tofas vs Fethiye Belediye at 02 December 2020

In this section we will analyze the game between Tofas and Fethiye Belediye for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 02 December 2020.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Tofas

1.18

1.57

Fethiye Belediye

4.6

2.76

Tofas HC

-10.5

-4.50

Fethiye Belediye HC

+10.5

4.50

Point Line

166.5

165.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Tofas are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Nov 22

A

Besiktas

L

85

94

4

5

L 1

81

96

Nov 14

H

Ormanspor

W

99

82

4

4

W 2

88

86

Nov 8

A

Galatasaray

W

91

79

3

4

W 1

86

80

Oct 31

H

Fenerbahce

L

103

104

2

4

L 3

111

95

Oct 24

A

Bursaspor

L

70

83

2

3

L 2

65

81

Oct 17

H

Pinar Karsiyaka

L

78

88

2

2

L 1

87

90

Oct 11

A

Afyon

W

89

75

2

1

W 2

88

79

Oct 3

H

Buyukcekmece

W

94

85

1

1

W 1

86

85

Sep 27

A

Bahcesehir

L

73

84

0

1

L 0

76

85

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Fethiye Belediye are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Nov 21

H

Socar Spor

W

75

74

3

5

W 1

77

73

Nov 7

H

Anadolu Efes

L

84

90

2

5

L 1

96

83

Nov 1

H

Besiktas

W

87

83

2

4

W 1

83

84

Oct 25

A

Ormanspor

L

66

77

1

4

L 1

59

81

Oct 17

H

Galatasaray

W

91

82

1

3

W 1

86

83

Oct 11

A

Fenerbahce

L

74

113

0

3

L 2

80

103

Oct 3

H

Bursaspor

L

75

89

0

2

L 1

70

87

Sep 27

A

Pinar Karsiyaka

L

55

92

0

1

L 0

61

95

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Tofas and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Fethiye Belediye.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Fethiye Belediye and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Tofas.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Tofas (in the first graph) and by Fethiye Belediye in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Tofas

Fethiye Belediye

FG%

0.56

0.50

ASS

21.40

19.00

DRB

20.60

23.40

AST-TO

1.70

1.46

TRB

29.30

32.00

FTM

12.20

13.00

BL

3.20

2.10

FTA

16.40

17.90

PF-Fewer

20.40

19.80

ST

8.60

6.90

TO-Fewer

12.60

13.00

Ftper

0.74

0.73

ORBper

0.43

0.37

ORB

8.80

8.60


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.



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