2020 12 04 Israeli Super League



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Ironi Nahariya vs Maccabi Haifa at 05 December 2020

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Ironi Nahariya vs Maccabi Haifa at 05 December 2020

In this section we will analyze the game between Ironi Nahariya and Maccabi Haifa for Israeli Super League, which will take place on 05 December 2020.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Ironi Nahariya

1.66

6.42

Maccabi Haifa

2.15

1.18

Ironi Nahariya HC

-3.5

9.50

Maccabi Haifa HC

+3.5

-9.50

Point Line

167.5

167.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ironi Nahariya are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Nov 29

H

Maccabi Tel Aviv

L

81

98

0

5

L 4

87

93

Nov 21

A

Hapoel Be’er Sheva

L

80

104

0

4

L 3

87

92

Nov 12

H

Hapoel Haifa

L

84

92

0

3

L 2

83

89

Nov 8

A

Hapoel Jerusalem

L

82

91

0

2

L 1

90

88

Nov 2

H

Hapoel Gilboa Galil

L

63

73

0

1

L 0

69

75

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Maccabi Haifa are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Nov 22

A

Hapoel Tel Aviv

W

92

83

1

3

W 1

94

90

Nov 19

A

Hapoel Jerusalem

L

77

111

0

3

L 2

84

108

Nov 11

H

Hapoel Gilboa Galil

L

77

82

0

2

L 1

84

84

Nov 8

H

Hapoel Be’er Sheva

L

61

102

0

1

L 0

66

90

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Ironi Nahariya and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Maccabi Haifa.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Maccabi Haifa and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Ironi Nahariya.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Ironi Nahariya (in the first graph) and by Maccabi Haifa in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Ironi Nahariya will expected to score 90 points and the Maccabi Haifa 86 points. The total points line estimated to be at 176.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Ironi Nahariya

Maccabi Haifa

FG%

0.51

0.44

ASS

15.60

18.30

DRB

23.00

25.50

AST-TO

1.13

1.38

TRB

28.40

35.00

FTM

19.20

20.80

BL

1.40

2.00

FTA

24.00

27.00

PF-Fewer

18.00

15.80

ST

3.80

7.30

TO-Fewer

13.80

13.30

Ftper

0.80

0.77

ORBper

0.23

0.37

ORB

5.40

9.50


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