2020 12 04 Turkey Super League



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Karsiyaka vs Bahcesehir Koleji at 04 December 2020
Galatasaray vs Buyukcekmece at 05 December 2020
Gaziantep vs Tofas at 05 December 2020
Besiktas vs Turk Telekom at 05 December 2020
Fethiye Belediye vs Darussafaka at 05 December 2020
Petkim Spor vs Anadolu Efes at 06 December 2020
Fenerbahce vs Afyon Belediye at 06 December 2020
Bursaspor vs Karsiyaka at 06 December 2020

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Karsiyaka vs Bahcesehir Koleji at 06 December 2020

In this section we will analyze the game between Karsiyaka and Bahcesehir Koleji for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 06 December 2020.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Karsiyaka

1.2

1.41

Bahcesehir Koleji

4.35

3.41

Karsiyaka HC

-9.5

-6.00

Bahcesehir Koleji HC

+9.5

6.00

Point Line

160.5

155.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Karsiyaka are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 1

A

Anadolu Efes

L

61

74

5

3

L 1

70

68

Nov 21

H

Afyon

W

96

82

5

2

W 1

96

87

Nov 1

A

Turk Telekom

L

61

81

4

2

L 1

61

75

Oct 24

H

Darussafaka

W

89

78

4

1

W 3

89

77

Oct 17

A

Tofas

W

88

78

3

1

W 2

85

71

Oct 10

H

Socar Spor

W

97

80

2

1

W 1

100

79

Oct 3

A

Gaziantep

L

55

59

1

1

L 1

60

65

Sep 27

H

Fethiye

W

92

55

1

0

W 0

83

59

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bahcesehir Koleji are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 2

H

Galatasaray

L

78

95

4

5

L 2

74

95

Nov 22

A

Fenerbahce

L

56

70

4

4

L 1

60

64

Nov 14

H

Bursaspor

W

101

71

4

3

W 1

96

71

Oct 31

H

Afyon

L

70

76

3

3

L 1

70

81

Oct 24

A

Buyukcekmece

W

92

66

3

2

W 1

84

66

Oct 18

A

Anadolu Efes

L

66

89

2

2

L 2

75

82

Oct 11

H

Turk Telekom

L

88

97

2

1

L 1

88

90

Oct 3

A

Darussafaka

W

95

91

2

0

W 1

95

90

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Karsiyaka and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bahcesehir Koleji.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bahcesehir Koleji and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Karsiyaka.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Karsiyaka (in the first graph) and by Bahcesehir Koleji in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Karsiyaka will expected to score 80 points and the Bahcesehir Koleji 76 points. The total points line estimated to be at 156.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Karsiyaka

Bahcesehir Koleji

FG%

0.53

0.55

ASS

19.10

18.70

DRB

24.90

24.10

AST-TO

1.52

1.46

TRB

33.10

31.80

FTM

16.50

13.20

BL

1.80

2.00

FTA

23.40

17.80

PF-Fewer

18.80

20.60

ST

6.40

7.20

TO-Fewer

12.60

12.80

Ftper

0.71

0.74

ORBper

0.33

0.32

ORB

8.30

7.70


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Galatasaray vs Buyukcekmece at 06 December 2020

In this section we will analyze the game between Galatasaray and Buyukcekmece for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 06 December 2020.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Galatasaray

1.16

1.88

Buyukcekmece

5

2.14

Galatasaray HC

-10.5

-2.00

Buyukcekmece HC

+10.5

2.00

Point Line

168.5

168.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Galatasaray are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 2

A

Bahcesehir

W

95

78

4

6

W 2

97

79

Nov 21

H

Turk Telekom

W

94

89

3

6

W 1

95

83

Nov 14

A

Darussafaka

L

82

91

2

6

L 5

82

90

Nov 8

H

Tofas

L

79

91

2

5

L 4

76

83

Oct 31

A

Socar Spor

L

64

83

2

4

L 3

66

82

Oct 25

H

Gaziantep

L

86

90

2

3

L 2

94

99

Oct 17

A

Fethiye

L

82

91

2

2

L 1

74

98

Oct 10

H

Besiktas

W

97

89

2

1

W 2

93

90

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Buyukcekmece are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 1

H

Fenerbahce

W

93

91

3

5

W 1

100

83

Nov 8

A

Afyon

L

74

79

2

5

L 4

74

84

Nov 1

A

Anadolu Efes

L

79

98

2

4

L 3

90

91

Oct 24

H

Bahcesehir

L

66

92

2

3

L 2

67

93

Oct 18

A

Turk Telekom

L

89

95

2

2

L 1

90

88

Oct 10

H

Darussafaka

W

88

85

2

1

W 1

88

84

Oct 3

A

Tofas

L

85

94

1

1

L 1

82

86

Sep 27

H

Socar Spor

W

86

83

1

0

W 0

88

82

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Galatasaray and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Buyukcekmece.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Buyukcekmece and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Galatasaray.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Galatasaray (in the first graph) and by Buyukcekmece in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Galatasaray will expected to score 86 points and the Buyukcekmece 86 points. The total points line estimated to be at 172.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Galatasaray

Buyukcekmece

FG%

0.57

0.51

ASS

18.50

16.50

DRB

22.70

22.30

AST-TO

1.54

1.63

TRB

28.70

30.40

FTM

14.40

13.90

BL

3.00

2.00

FTA

19.80

18.80

PF-Fewer

18.30

20.90

ST

5.20

6.10

TO-Fewer

12.00

10.10

Ftper

0.73

0.74

ORBper

0.26

0.36

ORB

6.00

8.10


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Gaziantep vs Tofas at 06 December 2020

In this section we will analyze the game between Gaziantep and Tofas for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 06 December 2020.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Gaziantep

2.9

4.62

Tofas

1.4

1.28

Gaziantep HC

+5.5

8.00

Tofas HC

-5.5

-8.00

Point Line

161.5

157.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Gaziantep are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 1

A

Socar Spor

L

66

67

3

5

L 3

68

66

Nov 8

A

Besiktas

L

81

84

3

4

L 2

78

85

Nov 1

H

Ormanspor

L

76

87

3

3

L 1

68

93

Oct 25

A

Galatasaray

W

90

86

3

2

W 1

86

86

Oct 18

H

Fenerbahce

L

59

65

2

2

L 1

64

59

Oct 11

A

Bursaspor

W

90

78

2

1

W 2

85

78

Oct 3

H

Pinar Karsiyaka

W

59

55

1

1

W 1

65

56

Sep 27

A

Afyon

L

70

78

0

1

L 0

70

83

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Tofas are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 2

H

Fethiye

W

110

81

5

5

W 1

100

87

Nov 22

A

Besiktas

L

85

94

4

5

L 1

82

95

Nov 14

H

Ormanspor

W

99

82

4

4

W 2

89

88

Nov 8

A

Galatasaray

W

91

79

3

4

W 1

87

79

Oct 31

H

Fenerbahce

L

103

104

2

4

L 3

111

95

Oct 24

A

Bursaspor

L

70

83

2

3

L 2

66

83

Oct 17

H

Pinar Karsiyaka

L

78

88

2

2

L 1

86

90

Oct 11

A

Afyon

W

89

75

2

1

W 2

89

80

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Gaziantep and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Tofas.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Tofas and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Gaziantep.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Gaziantep (in the first graph) and by Tofas in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Gaziantep will expected to score 80 points and the Tofas 82 points. The total points line estimated to be at 162.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Gaziantep

Tofas

FG%

0.52

0.57

ASS

19.60

21.80

DRB

22.00

21.20

AST-TO

1.72

1.83

TRB

30.30

30.50

FTM

11.30

12.30

BL

2.50

3.10

FTA

17.00

16.40

PF-Fewer

21.80

21.20

ST

8.00

8.30

TO-Fewer

11.40

11.90

Ftper

0.66

0.75

ORBper

0.38

0.44

ORB

8.30

9.30


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Besiktas vs Turk Telekom at 06 December 2020

In this section we will analyze the game between Besiktas and Turk Telekom for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 06 December 2020.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Besiktas

3.4

2.18

Turk Telekom

1.3

1.84

Besiktas HC

+7.5

2.00

Turk Telekom HC

-7.5

-2.00

Point Line

166.5

167.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Besiktas are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 2

A

Darussafaka

W

86

82

3

7

W 2

86

81

Nov 22

H

Tofas

W

94

85

2

7

W 1

90

78

Nov 15

A

Socar Spor

L

72

82

1

7

L 1

74

81

Nov 8

H

Gaziantep

W

84

81

1

6

W 1

91

89

Nov 1

A

Fethiye

L

83

87

0

6

L 5

75

93

Oct 26

H

Anadolu Efes

L

74

81

0

5

L 4

84

75

Oct 18

H

Ormanspor

L

85

91

0

4

L 3

76

97

Oct 10

A

Galatasaray

L

89

97

0

3

L 2

85

97

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Turk Telekom are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 2

H

Ormanspor

W

83

64

7

3

W 1

75

68

Nov 21

A

Galatasaray

L

89

94

6

3

L 2

85

94

Nov 14

H

Fenerbahce

L

81

82

6

2

L 1

88

75

Nov 7

A

Bursaspor

W

108

107

6

1

W 6

102

107

Nov 1

H

Pinar Karsiyaka

W

81

61

5

1

W 5

90

63

Oct 24

A

Afyon

W

89

84

4

1

W 4

89

89

Oct 18

H

Buyukcekmece

W

95

89

3

1

W 3

86

89

Oct 11

A

Bahcesehir

W

97

88

2

1

W 2

99

89

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Besiktas and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Turk Telekom.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Turk Telekom and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Besiktas.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Besiktas (in the first graph) and by Turk Telekom in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Besiktas will expected to score 81 points and the Turk Telekom 87 points. The total points line estimated to be at 168.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Besiktas

Turk Telekom

FG%

0.50

0.57

ASS

19.00

19.50

DRB

21.80

26.40

AST-TO

1.41

1.73

TRB

33.50

35.00

FTM

15.50

14.70

BL

3.10

2.40

FTA

20.80

20.30

PF-Fewer

23.00

19.80

ST

6.20

4.80

TO-Fewer

13.50

11.30

Ftper

0.74

0.72

ORBper

0.54

0.33

ORB

11.70

8.60


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Fethiye Belediye vs Darussafaka at 06 December 2020

In this section we will analyze the game between Fethiye Belediye and Darussafaka for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 06 December 2020.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Fethiye Belediye

2.6

3.20

Darussafaka

1.47

1.45

Fethiye Belediye HC

+5.5

5.50

Darussafaka HC

-5.5

-5.50

Point Line

163.5

166.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Fethiye Belediye are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 2

A

Tofas

L

81

110

3

6

L 1

78

101

Nov 21

H

Socar Spor

W

75

74

3

5

W 1

77

73

Nov 7

H

Anadolu Efes

L

84

90

2

5

L 1

96

83

Nov 1

H

Besiktas

W

87

83

2

4

W 1