Casual bets for 10 Dec 2020



 

 

Baskonia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv at 10 December 2020

We use two different methods to estimate the game’s dynamics.
The first method predicts that Baskonia will score 80 points and Maccabi Tel Aviv will score 73 points. The estimated point line is 153.5 points.
The second method, based on each team’s performance on 14 critical aspects of the game estimates that the Baskonia’s handicap should be -6.5 points and the Maccabi Tel Aviv’s handicap should be 6.5 points.
The fair value for Baskonia to win is 1.4 and for Maccabi Tel Aviv is 3.51.
I will bet on 1 @ 1.77.
You can find a detailed analysis for this game here https://www.mathtowin.com/2020/12/10/2020-12-10-Turkish-Airlines-EuroLeague/#Baskonia

 

Alba Berlin vs Fenerbahce at 10 December 2020

We use two different methods to estimate the game’s dynamics.
The first method predicts that Alba Berlin will score 80 points and Fenerbahce will score 75 points. The estimated point line is 155.5 points.
The second method, based on each team’s performance on 14 critical aspects of the game estimates that the Alba Berlin’s handicap should be -4 points and the Fenerbahce’s handicap should be 4 points.
The fair value for Alba Berlin to win is 1.59 and for Fenerbahce is 2.69.
I will bet on 1 + 6.5 @ 1.97.
You can find a detailed analysis for this game here https://www.mathtowin.com/2020/12/10/2020-12-10-Turkish-Airlines-EuroLeague/#Alba Berlin

 

Valencia vs Anadolu Efes at 10 December 2020

We use two different methods to estimate the game’s dynamics.
The first method predicts that Valencia will score 83 points and Anadolu Efes will score 76 points. The estimated point line is 159.5 points.
The second method, based on each team’s performance on 14 critical aspects of the game estimates that the Valencia’s handicap should be -6.5 points and the Anadolu Efes’s handicap should be 6.5 points.
The fair value for Valencia to win is 1.37 and for Anadolu Efes is 3.68.
I will bet on 1 + 2.5 @ 1.87.
You can find a detailed analysis for this game here https://www.mathtowin.com/2020/12/10/2020-12-10-Turkish-Airlines-EuroLeague/#Valencia

 

Crvena Zvezda vs Olympiacos at 10 December 2020

We use two different methods to estimate the game’s dynamics.
The first method predicts that Crvena Zvezda will score 74 points and Olympiacos will score 76 points. The estimated point line is 150.5 points.
The second method, based on each team’s performance on 14 critical aspects of the game estimates that the Crvena Zvezda’s handicap should be 2 points and the Olympiacos’s handicap should be -2 points.
The fair value for Crvena Zvezda to win is 2.18 and for Olympiacos is 1.85.
I will bet on 2 @ 2.17.
You can find a detailed analysis for this game here https://www.mathtowin.com/2020/12/10/2020-12-10-Turkish-Airlines-EuroLeague/#Crvena Zvezda

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