Casual bets for Dec 11

Good evening, excellent results lately, let’s see some casual bets for today!

Chievo vs Reggina at 11 Dec 2020

We have calculated team’s ratings regarding three factors, an overall performance, the offensive and defensive ability.
The numbers for Chievo at home show that its performance was slightly worse than expected.
The Chievo’s offense didn’t perform at all and its defense was preyty much as expected, nothing fancy.
In these matches the total goals production was at the expected level.
The data for Reggina as a guest show that its performance was slightly better than expected.
The Reggina’s scoring ability met expectations, nothing impressive and its defense was reliable and trustworthy.
In these matches the total goals production was far smaller than our expectations.
I will bet on 1 @ 2.02.
You can find the whole analysis for this game at https://www.mathtowin.com/2020/12/11/2020-12-11-Serie-B-Italy/#Chievo

Venezia vs Monza at 11 Dec 2020

We have calculated team’s ratings regarding three factors, an overall performance, the offensive and defensive ability.
The numbers for Venezia at home show that its performance was pretty much as expected.
The Venezia’s offence performed very well and its defense was rock solid! Very good job!
In these matches the total goals production was a bit smaller than expected.
The data for Monza as a guest show that its performance was pretty much as expected.
The Monza’s scoring numbers wasn’t as strong as expected and its defense was solid but nothing impressive.
In these matches the total goals production was far smaller than our expectations.
I will bet on 1 + Ov 1.5 @ 3.1.
You can find the whole analysis for this game at https://www.mathtowin.com/2020/12/11/2020-12-11-Serie-B-Italy/#Venezia

Bayern Munich vs Villeurbanne at 11 December 2020

We use two different methods to estimate the game’s dynamics.
The first method predicts that Bayern Munich will score 78 points and Villeurbanne will score 75 points. The estimated point line is 153.5 points.
The second method, based on each team’s performance on 14 critical aspects of the game estimates that the Bayern Munich’s handicap should be -2.5 points and the Villeurbanne’s handicap should be 2.5 points.
The fair value for Bayern Munich to win is 1.77 and for Villeurbanne is 2.3.
I will bet on OV 146.5 @ 1.47.
You can find a detailed analysis for this game here https://www.mathtowin.com/2020/12/11/2020-12-11-Turkish-Airlines-EuroLeague/#Bayern Munich

Panathinaikos vs Zalgiris at 11 December 2020

We use two different methods to estimate the game’s dynamics.
The first method predicts that Panathinaikos will score 78 points and Zalgiris will score 81 points. The estimated point line is 159.5 points.
The second method, based on each team’s performance on 14 critical aspects of the game estimates that the Panathinaikos’s handicap should be 3 points and the Zalgiris’s handicap should be -3 points.
The fair value for Panathinaikos to win is 2.45 and for Zalgiris is 1.69.
I will bet on 2 + 7.5 @ 1.5.
You can find a detailed analysis for this game here https://www.mathtowin.com/2020/12/11/2020-12-11-Turkish-Airlines-EuroLeague/#Panathinaikos

Barcelona vs Olimpia Milano at 11 December 2020

We use two different methods to estimate the game’s dynamics.
The first method predicts that Barcelona will score 76 points and Olimpia Milano will score 81 points. The estimated point line is 157.5 points.
The second method, based on each team’s performance on 14 critical aspects of the game estimates that the Barcelona’s handicap should be 5 points and the Olimpia Milano’s handicap should be -5 points.
The fair value for Barcelona to win is 3.01 and for Olimpia Milano is 1.5.
I will bet on 2 + 11.5 @ 1.5.
You can find detailed analysis for this game here https://www.mathtowin.com/2020/12/11/2020-12-11-Turkish-Airlines-EuroLeague/#Barcelona

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