2020 12 14 Israeli Super League



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Eilat at 14 December 2020
Maccabi Rishon vs Ironi Ness Ziona at 14 December 2020

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Eilat at 14 December 2020

In this section we will analyze the game between Maccabi Haifa and Hapoel Eilat for Israeli Super League, which will take place on 14 December 2020.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Maccabi Haifa

2.75

1.80

Hapoel Eilat

1.44

2.26

Maccabi Haifa HC

+5.5

-2.50

Hapoel Eilat HC

-5.5

2.50

Point Line

171.5

178.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Maccabi Haifa are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 9

A

Hapoel Holon

L

69

105

1

5

L 2

70

103

Dec 5

A

Ironi Nahariya

L

102

110

1

4

L 1

94

112

Nov 22

A

Hapoel Tel Aviv

W

92

83

1

3

W 1

92

90

Nov 19

A

Hapoel Jerusalem

L

77

111

0

3

L 2

83

104

Nov 11

H

Hapoel Gilboa Galil

L

77

82

0

2

L 1

83

83

Nov 8

H

Hapoel Be’er Sheva

L

61

102

0

1

L 0

65

94

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Hapoel Eilat are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 5

H

Hapoel Jerusalem

L

79

100

5

2

L 1

85

93

Nov 22

A

Hapoel Gilboa Galil

W

100

77

5

1

W 4

108

78

Nov 19

A

Hapoel Haifa

W

97

84

4

1

W 3

96

82

Nov 15

H

Maccabi Rishon LeZion

W

86

84

3

1

W 2

83

80

Nov 12

A

Bnei Herzliya

W

103

78

2

1

W 1

96

80

Nov 7

A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

L

74

86

1

1

L 1

82

88

Nov 1

H

Ironi Nes Ziona

W

95

85

1

0

W 0

96

91

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Maccabi Haifa and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Hapoel Eilat.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Hapoel Eilat and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Maccabi Haifa.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Maccabi Haifa (in the first graph) and by Hapoel Eilat in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Maccabi Haifa will expected to score 82 points and the Hapoel Eilat 95 points. The total points line estimated to be at 177.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Maccabi Haifa

Hapoel Eilat

FG%

0.46

0.57

ASS

18.70

17.00

DRB

24.70

24.30

AST-TO

1.34

1.30

TRB

34.00

34.00

FTM

19.30

17.60

BL

1.80

2.90

FTA

25.50

24.10

PF-Fewer

17.00

21.00

ST

6.30

7.90

TO-Fewer

14.00

13.10

Ftper

0.76

0.73

ORBper

0.38

0.40

ORB

9.30

9.70


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Maccabi Rishon vs Ironi Ness Ziona at 14 December 2020

In this section we will analyze the game between Maccabi Rishon and Ironi Ness Ziona for Israeli Super League, which will take place on 14 December 2020.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Maccabi Rishon

1.28

1.92

Ironi Ness Ziona

3.6

2.08

Maccabi Rishon HC

-7.5

-1.50

Ironi Ness Ziona HC

+7.5

1.50

Point Line

169.5

169.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Maccabi Rishon are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 10

A

Hapoel Tel Aviv

W

91

85

3

3

W 1

91

92

Dec 6

A

Hapoel Haifa

L

84

85

2

3

L 1

83

83

Nov 21

H

Bnei Herzliya

W

93

85

2

2

W 1

86

88

Nov 15

A

Hapoel Eilat

L

84

86

1

2

L 2

84

80

Nov 11

A

Hapoel Be’er Sheva

L

84

98

1

1

L 1

90

90

Nov 7

H

Hapoel Holon

W

100

91

1

0

W 0

102

90

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ironi Ness Ziona are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 7

H

Maccabi Tel Aviv

L

58

65

1

4

L 3

65

67

Nov 16

A

Hapoel Haifa

L

91

106

1

3

L 2

90

104

Nov 12

A

Hapoel Tel Aviv

L

80

82

1

2

L 1

80

89

Nov 9

H

Bnei Herzliya

W

80

74

1

1

W 1

74

76

Nov 1

A

Hapoel Eilat

L

85

95

0

1

L 0

85

89

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Maccabi Rishon and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Ironi Ness Ziona.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Ironi Ness Ziona and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Maccabi Rishon.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Maccabi Rishon (in the first graph) and by Ironi Ness Ziona in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Maccabi Rishon will expected to score 86 points and the Ironi Ness Ziona 83 points. The total points line estimated to be at 169.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Maccabi Rishon

Ironi Ness Ziona

FG%

0.56

0.45

ASS

17.50

16.40

DRB

22.80

24.00

AST-TO

1.56

1.14

TRB

29.70

37.00

FTM

16.30

16.40

BL

1.70

1.80

FTA

20.80

23.40

PF-Fewer

19.20

20.80

ST

7.50

6.00

TO-Fewer

11.20

14.40

Ftper

0.78

0.70

ORBper

0.30

0.54

ORB

6.80

13.00


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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