2020 12 19 France’s LNB Pro A



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Metropolitans 92 vs Boulazac Dordogne Pro at 19 December 2020
Le Portel vs Orleans at 19 December 2020
Strasbourg vs Pau-Lacq-Orthez at 19 December 2020
Limoges vs Bourg at 19 December 2020
Nanterre vs Cholet at 19 December 2020
Gravelines vs Chalons-Reims at 19 December 2020

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Metropolitans 92 vs Boulazac Dordogne Pro at 19 December 2020

In this section we will analyze the game between Metropolitans 92 and Boulazac Dordogne Pro for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 19 December 2020.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Metropolitans 92

1.09

1.51

Boulazac Dordogne Pro

7.5

2.97

Metropolitans 92 HC

-13.5

-5.00

Boulazac Dordogne Pro HC

+13.5

5.00

Point Line

155.5

148.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Metropolitans 92 are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Nov 22

H

Nanterre

W

73

67

6

1

W 1

76

65

Nov 14

H

JL Bourg

L

76

79

5

1

L 1

75

70

Nov 7

H

Elan Bearnais

W

84

77

5

0

W 4

83

75

Oct 26

H

Limoges

W

82

76

4

0

W 3

86

79

Oct 2

H

Cholet

W

72

68

3

0

W 2

68

69

Sep 26

H

BCM Gravelines

W

89

57

2

0

W 1

97

66

Sep 23

A

Monaco

W

72

62

1

0

W 0

84

58

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Boulazac Dordogne Pro are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Oct 24

A

Elan Bearnais

L

60

89

0

3

L 2

59

87

Oct 19

A

Strasbourg

L

84

100

0

2

L 1

79

95

Oct 17

H

Le Portel

L

70

71

0

1

L 0

67

76

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Metropolitans 92 and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Boulazac Dordogne Pro.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Boulazac Dordogne Pro and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Metropolitans 92.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Metropolitans 92 (in the first graph) and by Boulazac Dordogne Pro in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Metropolitans 92 will expected to score 82 points and the Boulazac Dordogne Pro 69 points. The total points line estimated to be at 151.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Metropolitans 92

Boulazac Dordogne Pro

FG%

0.54

0.52

ASS

19.20

13.30

DRB

21.00

22.30

AST-TO

2.26

0.69

TRB

30.00

30.00

FTM

12.50

13.70

BL

3.00

3.00

FTA

15.30

18.30

PF-Fewer

19.20

20.70

ST

5.70

6.70

TO-Fewer

8.50

19.30

Ftper

0.81

0.74

ORBper

0.43

0.35

ORB

9.00

7.70


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Le Portel vs Orleans at 19 December 2020

In this section we will analyze the game between Le Portel and Orleans for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 19 December 2020.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Le Portel

2.4

15.11

Orleans

1.57

1.07

Le Portel HC

+3.5

11.50

Orleans HC

-3.5

-11.50

Point Line

163.5

161.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Le Portel are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 14

A

ASVEL

L

66

101

3

3

L 1

65

87

Oct 24

A

Strasbourg

W

94

83

3

2

W 3

89

79

Oct 21

H

Chalons-Reims

W

78

76

2

2

W 2

72

78

Oct 17

A

Boulazac

W

71

70

1

2

W 1

64

77

Oct 9

H

Dijon

L

65

73

0

2

L 1

71

74

Oct 3

A

Limoges

L

68

91

0

1

L 0

71

95

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Orleans are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 12

H

Elan Bearnais

W

85

75

3

3

W 1

84

73

Nov 8

A

ASVEL

L

83

93

2

3

L 1

82

80

Oct 17

H

Chalons-Reims

W

99

79

2

2

W 1

91

81

Oct 10

A

Elan Chalon

L

80

83

1

2

L 2

76

90

Oct 7

A

Strasbourg

L

91

97

1

1

L 1

86

92

Sep 26

H

Cholet

W

101

63

1

0

W 0

96

64

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Le Portel and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Orleans.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Orleans and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Le Portel.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Le Portel (in the first graph) and by Orleans in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Le Portel will expected to score 76 points and the Orleans 84 points. The total points line estimated to be at 160.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Le Portel

Orleans

FG%

0.52

0.57

ASS

17.70

19.30

DRB

22.70

24.50

AST-TO

1.38

1.41

TRB

30.50

33.70

FTM

12.50

17.00

BL

2.00

2.30

FTA

17.50

22.20

PF-Fewer

20.00

19.80

ST

6.70

8.80

TO-Fewer

12.80

13.70

Ftper

0.71

0.77

ORBper

0.34

0.38

ORB

7.80

9.20


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Strasbourg vs Pau-Lacq-Orthez at 19 December 2020

In this section we will analyze the game between Strasbourg and Pau-Lacq-Orthez for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 19 December 2020.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Strasbourg

1.4

1.45

Pau-Lacq-Orthez

2.95

3.23

Strasbourg HC

-5.5

-5.50

Pau-Lacq-Orthez HC

+5.5

5.50

Point Line

163.5

162.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Strasbourg are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Oct 24

H

Le Portel

L

83

94

3

4

L 1

79

100

Oct 19

H

Boulazac

W

100

84

3

3

W 1

90

93

Oct 17

A

Nanterre

L

80

89

2

3

L 2

83

86

Oct 12

H

Limoges

L

66

74

2

2

L 1

69

77

Oct 7

H

Orleans Loiret

W

97

91

2

1

W 2

93

78

Oct 3

A

Elan Chalon

W

76

54

1

1

W 1

72

58

Sep 26

A

Le Mans

L

79

97

0

1

L 0

78

92

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Pau-Lacq-Orthez are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 12

A

Orleans Loiret

L

75

85

3

4

L 3

72

73

Dec 6

H

Monaco

L

86

90

3

3

L 2

100

84

Nov 7

A

Paris Levallois

L

77

84

3

2

L 1

85

84

Oct 28

H

Le Mans

W

90

81

3

1

W 2

89

77

Oct 24

H

Boulazac

W

89

60

2

1

W 1

80

66

Oct 17

A

Dijon

L

71

87

1

1

L 1

77

88

Sep 26

A

Elan Chalon

W

78

76

1

0

W 0

74

82

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Strasbourg and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Pau-Lacq-Orthez.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Pau-Lacq-Orthez and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Strasbourg.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Strasbourg (in the first graph) and by Pau-Lacq-Orthez in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Strasbourg will expected to score 80 points and the Pau-Lacq-Orthez 83 points. The total points line estimated to be at 163.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Strasbourg

Pau-Lacq-Orthez

FG%

0.52

0.56

ASS

18.00

16.00

DRB

20.70

21.00

AST-TO

1.38

0.94

TRB

31.40

28.70

FTM

14.40

12.90

BL

3.00

1.10

FTA

18.00

17.40

PF-Fewer

22.70

20.30

ST

7.60

8.60

TO-Fewer

13.00

17.00

Ftper

0.80

0.74

ORBper

0.52

0.37

ORB

10.70

7.70


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Limoges vs Bourg at 19 December 2020

In this section we will analyze the game between Limoges and Bourg for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 19 December 2020.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Limoges

1.67

2.39

Bourg

2.2

1.72

Limoges HC

-2.5

3.00

Bourg HC

+2.5

-3.00

Point Line

158.5

155.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Limoges are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Nov 21

A

Monaco

L

59

86

3

3

L 2

69

80

Oct 26

A

Paris Levallois

L

76

82

3

2

L 1

84

82

Oct 12

A

Strasbourg

W

74

66

3

1

W 3

70

62

Oct 3

H

Le Portel

W

91

68

2

1

W 2

87

72

Sep 29

A

BCM Gravelines

W

77

65

1

1

W 1

84

76

Sep 26

H

Nanterre

L

76

85

0

1

L 0

79

83

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bourg are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Nov 14

A

Paris Levallois

W

79

76

4

0

W 3

87

76

Oct 4

A

ASVEL

W

104

102

3

0

W 2

102

88

Sep 27

H

Roanne

W

80

63

2

0

W 1

77

70

Sep 23

A

Nanterre

W

95

82

1

0

W 0

99

80

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Limoges and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bourg.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bourg and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Limoges.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Limoges (in the first graph) and by Bourg in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Limoges will expected to score 78 points and the Bourg 83 points. The total points line estimated to be at 161.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Limoges

Bourg

FG%

0.53

0.59

ASS

17.50

17.00

DRB

17.70

22.70

AST-TO

1.42

1.55

TRB

25.20

32.00

FTM

19.00

13.30

BL

1.00

3.00

FTA

24.30

17.70

PF-Fewer

19.00

21.00

ST

4.80

7.30

TO-Fewer

12.30

11.00

Ftper

0.78

0.76

ORBper

0.42

0.41

ORB

7.50

9.30


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Nanterre vs Cholet at 19 December 2020

In this section we will analyze the game between Nanterre and Cholet for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 19 December 2020.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Nanterre

1.38

1.79

Cholet

3.1

2.26

Nanterre HC

-6.5

-2.50

Cholet HC

+6.5

2.50

Point Line

160.5

154.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Nanterre are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Nov 22

A

Paris Levallois

L

67

73

3

2

L 1

74

73

Oct 17

H

Strasbourg

W

89

80

3

1

W 3

84

76

Oct 10

A

Chalons-Reims

W

83

74

2

1

W 2

76

76

Sep 26

A

Limoges

W

85

76

1

1

W 1

89

79

Sep 23

H

JL Bourg

L

82

95

0

1

L 0

80

84

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Cholet are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 12

H

Dijon

W

83

73

2

4

W 1

90

74

Oct 16

A

Roanne

L

88

96

1

4

L 3

84

107

Oct 11

H

ASVEL

L

73

82

1

3

L 2

72

71

Oct 2

A

Paris Levallois

L

68

72

1

2

L 1

75

72

Sep 29

H

Elan Chalon

W

91

73

1

1

W 1

86

79

Sep 26

A

Orleans Loiret

L

63

101

0

1

L 0

61

87

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Nanterre and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Cholet.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Cholet and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Nanterre.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Nanterre (in the first graph) and by Cholet in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Nanterre will expected to score 81 points and the Cholet 80 points. The total points line estimated to be at 161.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Nanterre

Cholet

FG%

0.53

0.53

ASS

11.50

17.50

DRB

24.00

22.00

AST-TO

1.21

1.18

TRB

34.50

32.20

FTM

14.30

12.80

BL

2.50

1.50

FTA

18.50

18.70

PF-Fewer

20.80

19.80

ST

3.30

6.70

TO-Fewer

9.50

14.80

Ftper

0.77

0.69

ORBper

0.44

0.46

ORB

10.50

10.20


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Gravelines vs Chalons-Reims at 19 December 2020

In this section we will analyze the game between Gravelines and Chalons-Reims for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 19 December 2020.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Gravelines

1.35

5.43

Chalons-Reims

3.25

1.23

Gravelines HC

-6.5

8.50

Chalons-Reims HC

+6.5

-8.50

Point Line

154.5

144.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Gravelines are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Oct 24

H

Dijon

L

67

81

1

4

L 1

73

82

Oct 9

H

Roanne

W

77

43

1

3

W 1

74

48

Oct 3

A

Le Mans

L

64

69

0

3

L 2

63