2020 12 19 Israeli Super League



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Eilat at 19 December 2020

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Eilat at 19 December 2020

In this section we will analyze the game between Hapoel Jerusalem and Hapoel Eilat for Israeli Super League, which will take place on 19 December 2020.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Hapoel Jerusalem

1.3

2.06

Hapoel Eilat

3.3

1.95

Hapoel Jerusalem HC

-7.5

1.50

Hapoel Eilat HC

+7.5

-1.50

Point Line

171.5

169.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Hapoel Jerusalem are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 15

A

Hapoel Be’er Sheva

W

83

81

7

0

W 6

88

76

Dec 12

H

Bnei Herzliya

W

96

86

6

0

W 5

88

88

Dec 5

A

Hapoel Eilat

W

100

79

5

0

W 4

100

74

Nov 22

H

Hapoel Holon

W

82

73

4

0

W 3

83

72

Nov 19

H

Maccabi Haifa

W

111

77

3

0

W 2

95

81

Nov 16

A

Hapoel Tel Aviv

W

88

76

2

0

W 1

89

80

Nov 8

H

Ironi Nahariya

W

91

82

1

0

W 0

83

85

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Hapoel Eilat are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 14

A

Maccabi Haifa

W

85

81

6

2

W 1

73

86

Dec 5

H

Hapoel Jerusalem

L

79

100

5

2

L 1

84

94

Nov 22

A

Hapoel Gilboa Galil

W

100

77

5

1

W 4

107

78

Nov 19

A

Hapoel Haifa

W

97

84

4

1

W 3

95

82

Nov 15

H

Maccabi Rishon LeZion

W

86

84

3

1

W 2

84

81

Nov 12

A

Bnei Herzliya

W

103

78

2

1

W 1

95

80

Nov 7

A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

L

74

86

1

1

L 1

82

88

Nov 1

H

Ironi Nes Ziona

W

95

85

1

0

W 0

96

92

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Hapoel Jerusalem and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Hapoel Eilat.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Hapoel Eilat and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Hapoel Jerusalem.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Hapoel Jerusalem (in the first graph) and by Hapoel Eilat in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Hapoel Jerusalem will expected to score 87 points and the Hapoel Eilat 84 points. The total points line estimated to be at 171.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Hapoel Jerusalem

Hapoel Eilat

FG%

0.57

0.56

ASS

21.70

17.30

DRB

23.70

24.30

AST-TO

2.05

1.34

TRB

32.00

34.80

FTM

13.10

16.60

BL

2.60

2.60

FTA

17.10

23.00

PF-Fewer

20.10

20.90

ST

7.90

8.80

TO-Fewer

10.60

12.90

Ftper

0.77

0.72

ORBper

0.35

0.43

ORB

8.30

10.50


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top



Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *