Casual bets for Dec 19

Iraklis vs GS Lavrio at 19 December 2020

We use two different methods to estimate the game’s dynamics.
The first method predicts that Iraklis will score 70 points and GS Lavrio will score 76 points. The estimated point line is 146.5 points.
The second method, based on each team’s performance on 14 critical aspects of the game estimates that the Iraklis’s handicap should be 6 points and the GS Lavrio’s handicap should be -6 points.
The fair value for Iraklis to win is 3.32 and for GS Lavrio is 1.43.
I will bet on 2 HC +8.5.
You can find a detailed analysis for this game here https://www.mathtowin.com/2020/12/19/2020-12-19-Greek-Basket-League/#Iraklis

Ionikos Nikaias vs Promitheas at 19 December 2020

We use two different methods to estimate the game’s dynamics.
The first method predicts that Ionikos Nikaias will score 74 points and Promitheas will score 80 points. The estimated point line is 154.5 points.
The second method, based on each team’s performance on 14 critical aspects of the game estimates that the Ionikos Nikaias’s handicap should be 7 points and the Promitheas’s handicap should be -7 points.
The fair value for Ionikos Nikaias to win is 4.05 and for Promitheas is 1.33.
I will bet on 2.
You can find a detailed analysis for this game here https://www.mathtowin.com/2020/12/19/2020-12-19-Greek-Basket-League/#Ionikos Nikaias

San Pablo Burgos vs Manresa at 19 December 2020

We use two different methods to estimate the game’s dynamics.
The first method predicts that San Pablo Burgos will score 81 points and Manresa will score 83 points. The estimated point line is 164.5 points.
The second method, based on each team’s performance on 14 critical aspects of the game estimates that the San Pablo Burgos’s handicap should be 2.5 points and the Manresa’s handicap should be -2.5 points.
The fair value for San Pablo Burgos to win is 2.27 and for Manresa is 1.78.
I will bet on 2 HC +7.5.
You can find a detailed analysis for this game here https://www.mathtowin.com/2020/12/19/2020-12-19-Spains-Liga-ACB/#San Pablo Burgos

Limoges vs Bourg at 19 December 2020

We use two different methods to estimate the game’s dynamics.
The first method predicts that Limoges will score 76 points and Bourg will score 79 points. The estimated point line is 155.5 points.
The second method, based on each team’s performance on 14 critical aspects of the game estimates that the Limoges’s handicap should be 3 points and the Bourg’s handicap should be -3 points.
The fair value for Limoges to win is 2.39 and for Bourg is 1.72.
I will bet on 2 HC +3.5.
You can find a detailed analysis for this game here https://www.mathtowin.com/2020/12/19/2020-12-19-Frances-LNB-Pro-A/#Limoges

Gravelines vs Chalons-Reims at 19 December 2020

We use two different methods to estimate the game’s dynamics.
The first method predicts that Gravelines will score 68 points and Chalons-Reims will score 76 points. The estimated point line is 144.5 points.
The second method, based on each team’s performance on 14 critical aspects of the game estimates that the Gravelines’s handicap should be 8.5 points and the Chalons-Reims’s handicap should be -8.5 points.
The fair value for Gravelines to win is 5.43 and for Chalons-Reims is 1.23.
I will bet on 2 HC +6.5.
You can find a detailed analysis for this game here https://www.mathtowin.com/2020/12/19/2020-12-19-Frances-LNB-Pro-A/#Gravelines

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