BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis
In this article we will analyse the following games:
Before continue, please read the disclaimer.
Virtus Bologna vs Victoria Libertas Pesaro at 30 December 2020
In this section we will analyze the game between Virtus Bologna and Victoria Libertas Pesaro for Serie A, which will take place on 30 December 2020.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Virtus Bologna are:
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Victoria Libertas Pesaro are:
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Virtus Bologna and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Victoria Libertas Pesaro.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Victoria Libertas Pesaro and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Virtus Bologna.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Virtus Bologna (in the first graph) and by Victoria Libertas Pesaro in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Virtus Bologna will expected to score 80 points and the Victoria Libertas Pesaro 78 points. The total points line estimated to be at 158.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.