BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis
In this article we will analyse the following games:
Iraklis vs Larissa BC at 02 January 2021
AEK Athens vs Kolossos Rhodes at 02 January 2021
Peristeri vs PAOK at 03 January 2021
GS Lavrio vs Panathinaikos at 03 January 2021
Ionikos Nikaias vs Aris at 03 January 2021
Mesologgi BC vs Promitheas at 03 January 2021
Before continue, please read the disclaimer.
Iraklis vs Larissa BC at 02 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Iraklis and Larissa BC for Greek Basket League, which will take place on 02 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
Iraklis |
1.29 |
1.38 |
Larissa BC |
3.65 |
3.63 |
Iraklis HC |
-7.5 |
-6.50 |
Larissa BC HC |
+7.5 |
6.50 |
Point Line |
158.5 |
148.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Iraklis are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Dec 27 |
A |
Panathinaikos |
L |
74 |
106 |
4 |
5 |
L 3 |
86 |
95 |
Dec 19 |
H |
Lavrio B.C. |
L |
60 |
77 |
4 |
4 |
L 2 |
62 |
76 |
Dec 12 |
H |
AEK Athens |
L |
72 |
79 |
4 |
3 |
L 1 |
77 |
75 |
Dec 5 |
A |
Messolonghi |
W |
71 |
68 |
4 |
2 |
W 1 |
70 |
74 |
Nov 22 |
H |
Peristeri |
L |
71 |
75 |
3 |
2 |
L 1 |
72 |
79 |
Nov 18 |
H |
Kolossos Rodou |
W |
66 |
65 |
3 |
1 |
W 2 |
67 |
66 |
Nov 14 |
A |
Ionikos Nikaias |
W |
77 |
67 |
2 |
1 |
W 1 |
73 |
67 |
Nov 10 |
A |
Aris |
L |
75 |
81 |
1 |
1 |
L 1 |
70 |
81 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Larissa BC are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Dec 27 |
H |
Messolonghi |
W |
84 |
58 |
2 |
6 |
W 1 |
83 |
63 |
Dec 19 |
A |
Peristeri |
L |
78 |
82 |
1 |
6 |
L 3 |
79 |
86 |
Dec 16 |
H |
Aris |
L |
84 |
88 |
1 |
5 |
L 2 |
78 |
88 |
Dec 12 |
H |
Ionikos Nikaias |
L |
76 |
97 |
1 |
4 |
L 1 |
72 |
97 |
Dec 9 |
A |
P.A.O.K. |
W |
93 |
91 |
1 |
3 |
W 1 |
87 |
88 |
Dec 5 |
A |
Kolossos Rodou |
L |
64 |
90 |
0 |
3 |
L 2 |
65 |
91 |
Oct 31 |
A |
AEK Athens |
L |
68 |
87 |
0 |
2 |
L 1 |
73 |
83 |
Oct 25 |
A |
Panathinaikos |
L |
60 |
69 |
0 |
1 |
L 0 |
70 |
62 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Iraklis and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Larissa BC.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Larissa BC and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Iraklis.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Iraklis (in the first graph) and by Larissa BC in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Iraklis will expected to score 77 points and the Larissa BC 76 points. The total points line estimated to be at 153.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var |
Iraklis |
Larissa BC |
FG% |
0.52 |
0.54 |
ASS |
14.70 |
14.00 |
DRB |
24.90 |
21.50 |
AST-TO |
1.03 |
0.84 |
TRB |
32.00 |
31.30 |
FTM |
14.00 |
13.00 |
BL |
2.20 |
1.40 |
FTA |
19.10 |
17.90 |
PF-Fewer |
21.70 |
21.80 |
ST |
5.40 |
7.60 |
TO-Fewer |
14.30 |
16.60 |
Ftper |
0.73 |
0.73 |
ORBper |
0.29 |
0.46 |
ORB |
7.10 |
9.80 |
Go to Top
AEK Athens vs Kolossos Rhodes at 02 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between AEK Athens and Kolossos Rhodes for Greek Basket League, which will take place on 02 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
AEK Athens |
1.15 |
1.5 |
Kolossos Rhodes |
5.4 |
3.0 |
AEK Athens HC |
-10.5 |
-5.0 |
Kolossos Rhodes HC |
+10.5 |
5.0 |
Point Line |
154.5 |
148.0 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of AEK Athens are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Dec 27 |
A |
Lavrio B.C. |
L |
70 |
78 |
7 |
1 |
L 1 |
72 |
77 |
Dec 20 |
H |
Aris |
W |
84 |
67 |
7 |
0 |
W 6 |
78 |
67 |
Dec 12 |
A |
Iraklis B.C. |
W |
79 |
72 |
6 |
0 |
W 5 |
80 |
77 |
Dec 5 |
H |
P.A.O.K. |
W |
85 |
84 |
5 |
0 |
W 4 |
79 |
81 |
Nov 21 |
A |
Messolonghi |
W |
87 |
66 |
4 |
0 |
W 3 |
86 |
72 |
Nov 7 |
A |
Peristeri |
W |
66 |
62 |
3 |
0 |
W 2 |
67 |
65 |
Oct 31 |
H |
Larisa |
W |
87 |
68 |
2 |
0 |
W 1 |
79 |
68 |
Oct 24 |
A |
Ionikos Nikaias |
W |
81 |
68 |
1 |
0 |
W 0 |
77 |
68 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Kolossos Rhodes are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Dec 26 |
A |
Aris |
W |
84 |
74 |
3 |
6 |
W 1 |
78 |
74 |
Dec 19 |
H |
P.A.O.K. |
L |
84 |
85 |
2 |
6 |
L 2 |
78 |
82 |
Dec 13 |
A |
Promitheas Patras |
L |
67 |
69 |
2 |
5 |
L 1 |
66 |
68 |
Dec 5 |
H |
Larisa |
W |
90 |
64 |
2 |
4 |
W 1 |
82 |
64 |
Nov 22 |
A |
Panathinaikos |
L |
67 |
90 |
1 |
4 |
L 2 |
78 |
81 |
Nov 18 |
A |
Iraklis B.C. |
L |
65 |
66 |
1 |
3 |
L 1 |
66 |
70 |
Nov 14 |
H |
Lavrio B.C. |
W |
77 |
62 |
1 |
2 |
W 1 |
79 |
61 |
Oct 31 |
H |
Messolonghi |
L |
66 |
77 |
0 |
2 |
L 1 |
66 |
83 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by AEK Athens and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Kolossos Rhodes.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Kolossos Rhodes and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by AEK Athens.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by AEK Athens (in the first graph) and by Kolossos Rhodes in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, AEK Athens will expected to score 75 points and the Kolossos Rhodes 73 points. The total points line estimated to be at 148.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var |
AEK Athens |
Kolossos Rhodes |
FG% |
0.53 |
0.53 |
ASS |
16.80 |
16.00 |
DRB |
23.00 |
24.80 |
AST-TO |
1.40 |
1.17 |
TRB |
31.60 |
31.60 |
FTM |
16.90 |
14.60 |
BL |
3.00 |
1.30 |
FTA |
23.30 |
20.70 |
PF-Fewer |
24.50 |
22.70 |
ST |
4.90 |
5.80 |
TO-Fewer |
12.00 |
13.70 |
Ftper |
0.73 |
0.70 |
ORBper |
0.37 |
0.27 |
ORB |
8.60 |
6.80 |
Go to Top
Peristeri vs PAOK at 03 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Peristeri and PAOK for Greek Basket League, which will take place on 03 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
Peristeri |
1.24 |
1.63 |
PAOK |
4.15 |
2.60 |
Peristeri HC |
-8.5 |
-4.00 |
PAOK HC |
+8.5 |
4.00 |
Point Line |
150.5 |
150.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Peristeri are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Dec 26 |
A |
Promitheas Patras |
L |
58 |
75 |
5 |
4 |
L 1 |
57 |
74 |
Dec 19 |
H |
Larisa |
W |
82 |
78 |
5 |
3 |
W 1 |
74 |
78 |
Dec 13 |
A |
Panathinaikos |
L |
57 |
76 |
4 |
3 |
L 2 |
66 |
68 |
Dec 5 |
H |
Lavrio B.C. |
L |
70 |
78 |
4 |
2 |
L 1 |
72 |
77 |
Nov 22 |
A |
Iraklis B.C. |
W |
75 |
71 |
4 |
1 |
W 2 |
76 |
76 |
Nov 15 |
H |
Messolonghi |
W |
84 |
72 |
3 |
1 |
W 1 |
83 |
78 |
Nov 7 |
H |
AEK Athens |
L |
62 |
66 |
2 |
1 |
L 1 |
66 |
63 |
Oct 31 |
A |
Ionikos Nikaias |
W |
80 |
75 |
2 |
0 |
W 1 |
76 |
75 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of PAOK are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Dec 27 |
H |
Ionikos Nikaias |
W |
86 |
84 |
4 |
5 |
W 3 |
82 |
84 |
Dec 19 |
A |
Kolossos Rodou |
W |
85 |
84 |
3 |
5 |
W 2 |
86 |
85 |
Dec 13 |
H |
Aris |
W |
75 |
64 |
2 |
5 |
W 1 |
70 |
64 |
Dec 9 |
H |
Larisa |
L |
91 |
93 |
1 |
5 |
L 3 |
83 |
94 |
Dec 5 |
A |
AEK Athens |
L |
84 |
85 |
1 |
4 |
L 2 |
90 |
81 |
Nov 21 |
A |
Promitheas Patras |
L |
80 |
83 |
1 |
3 |
L 1 |
79 |
82 |
Nov 18 |
H |
Lavrio B.C. |
W |
83 |
65 |
1 |
2 |
W 1 |
85 |
64 |
Nov 8 |
A |
Panathinaikos |
L |
67 |
96 |
0 |
2 |
L 1 |
78 |
86 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Peristeri and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by PAOK.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by PAOK and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Peristeri.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Peristeri (in the first graph) and by PAOK in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Peristeri will expected to score 76 points and the PAOK 77 points. The total points line estimated to be at 153.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var |
Peristeri |
PAOK |
FG% |
0.47 |
0.54 |
ASS |
14.60 |
15.40 |
DRB |
25.00 |
21.60 |
AST-TO |
1.09 |
1.11 |
TRB |
33.10 |
29.20 |
FTM |
17.40 |
14.30 |
BL |
2.60 |
2.00 |
FTA |
22.70 |
19.30 |
PF-Fewer |
20.30 |
23.80 |
ST |
5.40 |
9.10 |
TO-Fewer |
13.40 |
13.90 |
Ftper |
0.77 |
0.74 |
ORBper |
0.32 |
0.36 |
ORB |
8.10 |
7.70 |
Go to Top
GS Lavrio vs Panathinaikos at 03 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between GS Lavrio and Panathinaikos for Greek Basket League, which will take place on 03 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
GS Lavrio |
9 |
7.16 |
Panathinaikos |
1.06 |
1.16 |
GS Lavrio HC |
+16.5 |
10.00 |
Panathinaikos HC |
-16.5 |
-10.00 |
Point Line |
157.5 |
150.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of GS Lavrio are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Dec 27 |
H |
AEK Athens |
W |
78 |
70 |
5 |
3 |
W 5 |
83 |
67 |
Dec 19 |
A |
Iraklis B.C. |
W |
77 |
60 |
4 |
3 |
W 4 |
78 |
64 |
Dec 12 |
H |
Messolonghi |
W |
87 |
70 |
3 |
3 |
W 3 |
86 |
76 |
Dec 9 |
H |
Aris |
W |
92 |
71 |
2 |
3 |
W 2 |
85 |
71 |
Dec 5 |
A |
Peristeri |
W |
78 |
70 |
1 |
3 |
W 1 |
79 |
74 |
Nov 22 |
H |
Ionikos Nikaias |
L |
81 |
91 |
0 |
3 |
L 2 |
77 |
91 |
Nov 18 |
A |
P.A.O.K. |
L |
65 |
83 |
0 |
2 |
L 1 |
61 |
80 |
Nov 14 |
A |
Kolossos Rodou |
L |
62 |
77 |
0 |
1 |
L 0 |
63 |
78 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Panathinaikos are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Dec 27 |
H |
Iraklis B.C. |
W |
106 |
74 |
7 |
0 |
W 6 |
107 |
79 |
Dec 20 |
A |
Messolonghi |
W |
73 |
66 |
6 |
0 |
W 5 |
72 |
72 |
Dec 13 |
H |
Peristeri |
W |
76 |
57 |
5 |
0 |
W 4 |
77 |
60 |
Dec 6 |
A |
Ionikos Nikaias |
W |
79 |
53 |
4 |
0 |
W 3 |
75 |
53 |
Nov 22 |
H |
Kolossos Rodou |
W |
90 |
67 |
3 |
0 |
W 2 |
92 |
68 |
Nov 8 |
H |
P.A.O.K. |
W |
96 |
67 |
2 |
0 |
W 1 |
90 |
65 |
Oct 25 |
H |
Larisa |
W |
69 |
60 |
1 |
0 |
W 0 |
63 |
60 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by GS Lavrio and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Panathinaikos.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Panathinaikos and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by GS Lavrio.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by GS Lavrio (in the first graph) and by Panathinaikos in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, GS Lavrio will expected to score 72 points and the Panathinaikos 78 points. The total points line estimated to be at 150.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var |
GS Lavrio |
Panathinaikos |
FG% |
0.54 |
0.57 |
ASS |
15.40 |
19.40 |
DRB |
21.30 |
26.30 |
AST-TO |
1.22 |
1.28 |
TRB |
29.50 |
34.90 |
FTM |
13.50 |
16.10 |
BL |
2.90 |
2.90 |
FTA |
19.80 |
20.00 |
PF-Fewer |
22.90 |
20.00 |
ST |
7.10 |
8.90 |
TO-Fewer |
12.60 |
15.10 |
Ftper |
0.68 |
0.81 |
ORBper |
0.39 |
0.33 |
ORB |
8.30 |
8.60 |
Go to Top
Ionikos Nikaias vs Aris at 03 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Ionikos Nikaias and Aris for Greek Basket League, which will take place on 03 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
Ionikos Nikaias |
1.28 |
2.01 |
Aris |
3.7 |
1.99 |
Ionikos Nikaias HC |
-7.5 |
1.00 |
Aris HC |
+7.5 |
-1.00 |
Point Line |
151.5 |
154.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ionikos Nikaias are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Dec 27 |
A |
P.A.O.K. |
L |
84 |
86 |
3 |
6 |
L 1 |
78 |
83 |
Dec 19 |
H |
Promitheas Patras |
W |
86 |
77 |
3 |
5 |
W 2 |
85 |
76 |
Dec 12 |
A |
Larisa |
W |
97 |
76 |
2 |
5 |
W 1 |
88 |
76 |
Dec 6 |
H |
Panathinaikos |
L |
53 |
79 |
1 |
5 |
L 1 |
62 |
71 |
Nov 22 |
A |
Lavrio B.C. |
W |
91 |
81 |
1 |
4 |
W 1 |
93 |