2021 01 02 Turkey Super League



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Besiktas vs Karsiyaka at 02 January 2021
Tofas vs Turk Telekom at 02 January 2021
Gaziantep vs Buyukcekmece at 02 January 2021
Darussafaka vs Anadolu Efes at 02 January 2021
Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce at 02 January 2021
Ormanspor vs Bursaspor at 03 January 2021
Petkim Spor vs Bahcesehir Koleji at 03 January 2021
Fethiye Belediye vs Afyon Belediye at 03 January 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Besiktas vs Karsiyaka at 02 January 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Besiktas and Karsiyaka for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 02 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Besiktas

3.2

3.10

Karsiyaka

1.33

1.48

Besiktas HC

+6.5

5.50

Karsiyaka HC

-6.5

-5.50

Point Line

159.5

161.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Besiktas are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 27

A

Afyon

W

96

73

7

7

W 6

92

75

Dec 20

H

Buyukcekmece

W

84

77

6

7

W 5

79

77

Dec 12

A

Bahcesehir

W

86

76

5

7

W 4

87

76

Dec 5

H

Turk Telekom

W

94

60

4

7

W 3

95

58

Dec 2

A

Darussafaka

W

86

82

3

7

W 2

88

81

Nov 22

H

Tofas

W

94

85

2

7

W 1

92

80

Nov 15

A

Socar Spor

L

72

82

1

7

L 1

73

82

Nov 8

H

Gaziantep

W

84

81

1

6

W 1

92

88

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Karsiyaka are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 27

H

Ormanspor

W

86

57

11

3

W 6

78

61

Dec 19

A

Galatasaray

W

86

74

10

3

W 5

81

73

Dec 16

A

Buyukcekmece

W

90

77

9

3

W 4

85

77

Dec 12

H

Fenerbahce

W

83

79

8

3

W 3

89

72

Dec 6

A

Bursaspor

W

94

81

7

3

W 2

86

83

Dec 4

H

Bahcesehir

W

82

79

6

3

W 1

83

80

Dec 1

A

Anadolu Efes

L

61

74

5

3

L 1

68

69

Nov 21

H

Afyon

W

96

82

5

2

W 1

92

84

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Besiktas and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Karsiyaka.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Karsiyaka and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Besiktas.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Besiktas (in the first graph) and by Karsiyaka in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Besiktas will expected to score 78 points and the Karsiyaka 82 points. The total points line estimated to be at 160.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Besiktas

Karsiyaka

FG%

0.52

0.54

ASS

19.10

19.40

DRB

23.10

24.90

AST-TO

1.40

1.52

TRB

35.00

34.30

FTM

15.10

17.40

BL

3.10

1.80

FTA

19.90

23.90

PF-Fewer

22.50

18.90

ST

6.50

6.80

TO-Fewer

13.60

12.80

Ftper

0.76

0.73

ORBper

0.52

0.38

ORB

11.90

9.40


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Tofas vs Turk Telekom at 02 January 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Tofas and Turk Telekom for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 02 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Tofas

2

1.80

Turk Telekom

1.8

2.25

Tofas HC

+1.5

-2.50

Turk Telekom HC

-1.5

2.50

Point Line

165.5

167.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Tofas are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 27

A

Darussafaka

W

85

72

6

7

W 1

86

71

Dec 19

H

Anadolu Efes

L

78

92

5

7

L 2

87

85

Dec 5

A

Gaziantep

L

67

68

5

6

L 1

74

74

Dec 2

H

Fethiye

W

110

81

5

5

W 1

101

90

Nov 22

A

Besiktas

L

85

94

4

5

L 1

85

91

Nov 14

H

Ormanspor

W

99

82

4

4

W 2

90

88

Nov 8

A

Galatasaray

W

91

79

3

4

W 1

85

78

Oct 31

H

Fenerbahce

L

103

104

2

4

L 3

111

96

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Turk Telekom are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 27

H

Socar Spor

W

89

71

9

5

W 1

90

71

Dec 19

A

Gaziantep

L

66

70

8

5

L 1

72

76

Dec 13

H

Fethiye

W

87

75

8

4

W 1

80

83

Dec 5

A

Besiktas

L

60

94

7

4

L 1

60

91

Dec 2

H

Ormanspor

W

83

64

7

3

W 1

75

68

Nov 21

A

Galatasaray

L

89

94

6

3

L 2

84

93

Nov 14

H

Fenerbahce

L

81

82

6

2

L 1

87

75

Nov 7

A

Bursaspor

W

108

107

6

1

W 6

99

110

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Tofas and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Turk Telekom.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Turk Telekom and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Tofas.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Tofas (in the first graph) and by Turk Telekom in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Tofas will expected to score 84 points and the Turk Telekom 84 points. The total points line estimated to be at 168.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Tofas

Turk Telekom

FG%

0.56

0.55

ASS

21.10

18.50

DRB

21.90

25.60

AST-TO

1.77

1.55

TRB

30.30

34.40

FTM

12.50

13.90

BL

2.80

2.30

FTA

16.70

19.10

PF-Fewer

20.80

19.50

ST

7.40

4.60

TO-Fewer

11.90

11.90

Ftper

0.75

0.73

ORBper

0.38

0.35

ORB

8.40

8.90


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Gaziantep vs Buyukcekmece at 02 January 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Gaziantep and Buyukcekmece for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 02 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Gaziantep

1.28

1.90

Buyukcekmece

3.6

2.11

Gaziantep HC

-7.5

-1.50

Buyukcekmece HC

+7.5

1.50

Point Line

154.5

152.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Gaziantep are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 26

A

Bahcesehir

W

83

76

7

6

W 3

84

76

Dec 19

H

Turk Telekom

W

70

66

6

6

W 2

71

64

Dec 16

H

Fethiye

W

84

64

5

6

W 1

77

71

Dec 13

A

Darussafaka

L

75

82

4

6

L 1

76

81

Dec 5

H

Tofas

W

68

67

4

5

W 1

66

63

Dec 1

A

Socar Spor

L

66

67

3

5

L 3

67

67

Nov 8

A

Besiktas

L

81

84

3

4

L 2

81

82

Nov 1

H

Ormanspor

L

76

87

3

3

L 1

69

93

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Buyukcekmece are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 26

H

Fethiye

W

66

59

6

7

W 1

61

65

Dec 20

A

Besiktas

L

77

84

5

7

L 2

77

82

Dec 16

H

Pinar Karsiyaka

L

77

90

5

6

L 1

84

88

Dec 13

H

Ormanspor

W

89

82

5

5

W 3

80

88

Dec 5

A

Galatasaray

W

91

87

4

5

W 2

85

86

Dec 1

H

Fenerbahce

W

93

91

3

5

W 1

100

84

Nov 8

A

Afyon

L

74

79

2

5

L 4

71

81

Nov 1

A

Anadolu Efes

L

79

98

2

4

L 3

89

91

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Gaziantep and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Buyukcekmece.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Buyukcekmece and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Gaziantep.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Gaziantep (in the first graph) and by Buyukcekmece in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Gaziantep will expected to score 79 points and the Buyukcekmece 78 points. The total points line estimated to be at 157.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Gaziantep

Buyukcekmece

FG%

0.52

0.49

ASS

20.00

17.20

DRB

22.90

23.80

AST-TO

1.92

1.64

TRB

31.50

33.30

FTM

11.80

13.20

BL

2.40

2.30

FTA

17.60

17.20

PF-Fewer

21.70

20.40

ST

6.90

6.10

TO-Fewer

10.40

10.50

Ftper

0.67

0.76

ORBper

0.38

0.40

ORB

8.60

9.50


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Darussafaka vs Anadolu Efes at 02 January 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Darussafaka and Anadolu Efes for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 02 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Darussafaka

4.15

2.91

Anadolu Efes

1.22

1.52

Darussafaka HC

+8.5

5.00

Anadolu Efes HC

-8.5

-5.00

Point Line

160.5

160.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Darussafaka are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 27

H

Tofas

L

72

85

6

7

L 1

70

80

Dec 13

H

Gaziantep

W

82

75

6

6

W 2

90

81

Dec 5

A

Fethiye

W

78

54

5

6

W 1

72

60

Dec 2

H

Besiktas

L

82

86

4

6

L 1

82

83

Nov 21

A

Ormanspor

W

80

64

4

5

W 2

72

68

Nov 14

H

Galatasaray

W

91

82

3

5

W 1

85

81

Nov 8

A

Fenerbahce

L

79

90

2

5

L 1

85

83

Oct 31

H

Bursaspor

W

78

75

2

4

W 1

72

77

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Anadolu Efes are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 26

H

Fenerbahce

W

85

72

12

0

W 11

92

66

Dec 19

A

Tofas

W

92

78

11

0

W 10

90

73

Dec 6

A

Socar Spor

W

75

71

10

0

W 9

76

71

Dec 1

H

Pinar Karsiyaka

W

74

61

9

0

W 8

81

60

Nov 15

H

Afyon

W

86

67

8

0

W 7

83

68

Nov 7

A

Fethiye

W

90

84

7

0

W 6

83

93

Nov 1

H

Buyukcekmece

W

98

79

6

0

W 5

93

79

Oct 26

A

Besiktas

W

81

74

5

0

W 4

81

72

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Darussafaka and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Anadolu Efes.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Anadolu Efes and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Darussafaka.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Darussafaka (in the first graph) and by Anadolu Efes in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Darussafaka will expected to score 76 points and the Anadolu Efes 82 points. The total points line estimated to be at 158.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Darussafaka

Anadolu Efes

FG%

0.51

0.56

ASS

18.20

21.50

DRB

20.90

24.10

AST-TO

1.54

2.39

TRB

32.20

33.80

FTM

16.80

11.80

BL

2.80

3.20

FTA

21.10

14.90

PF-Fewer

23.00

16.10

ST

7.80

7.80

TO-Fewer

11.80

9.00

Ftper

0.80

0.79

ORBper

0.54

0.41

ORB

11.30

9.80


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce at 02 January 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Galatasaray and Fenerbahce for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 02 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Galatasaray

3.2

4.90

Fenerbahce

1.33

1.26

Galatasaray HC

+6.5

8.00

Fenerbahce HC

-6.5

-8.00

Point Line

164.5

166.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Galatasaray are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 27

A

Bursaspor

W

92

73

5

9

W 1

85

75

Dec 19

H

Pinar Karsiyaka

L

74

86

4

9

L 3

81

84

Dec 12

A

Afyon

L

80

97

4

8

L 2

77

99

Dec 5

H

Buyukcekmece

L

87

91

4

7

L 1

82