2021 01 12 7DAYS EuroCup



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Nanterre vs Monaco at 13 January 2021
Andorra vs UNICS Kazan at 13 January 2021
Partizan vs Aquila Basket Trento at 13 January 2021
Unicaja Malaga vs Joventut Badalona at 13 January 2021
Virtus Bologna vs Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana at 13 January 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Nanterre vs Monaco at 13 January 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Nanterre and Monaco for EuroCup, which will take place on 13 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Nanterre

2.35

1.64

Monaco

1.6

2.56

Nanterre HC

+2.5

-3.50

Monaco HC

-2.5

3.50

Point Line

150.5

158.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Nanterre are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 23

A

Bursaspor

L

92

102

3

5

L 2

80

92

Dec 22

H

Bursaspor

L

90

91

3

4

L 1

78

82

Dec 8

H

Promitheas

W

91

70

3

3

W 2

84

75

Nov 18

A

Dolomiti Energia Trento

W

104

102

2

3

W 1

111

102

Nov 4

A

Cedevita Olimpija

L

63

75

1

3

L 3

70

72

Oct 21

A

Promitheas

L

72

88

1

2

L 2

67

95

Oct 13

H

Dolomiti Energia Trento

L

65

71

1

1

L 1

70

71

Sep 30

H

Cedevita Olimpija

W

80

76

1

0

W 0

89

73

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Monaco are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 29

H

MoraBanc Andorra

W

66

64

6

4

W 2

69

69

Dec 18

A

Lietkabelis

W

88

64

5

4

W 1

86

71

Dec 16

A

Lokomotiv Kuban

L

72

76

4

4

L 2

72

67

Dec 9

H

Virtus Bologna

L

68

74

4

3

L 1

74

69

Nov 17

A

Antwerp Giants

W

75

67

4

2

W 1

69

73

Oct 28

H

Lokomotiv Kuban

L

72

88

3

2

L 2

72

77

Oct 21

A

Virtus Bologna

L

85

94

3

1

L 1

92

88

Oct 14

H

Antwerp Giants

W

96

64

3

0

W 2

89

70

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Nanterre and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Monaco.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Monaco and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Nanterre.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Nanterre (in the first graph) and by Monaco in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Nanterre will expected to score 77 points and the Monaco 80 points. The total points line estimated to be at 157.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Nanterre

Monaco

FG%

0.54

0.51

ASS

17.10

15.10

DRB

25.30

21.80

AST-TO

1.31

1.25

TRB

33.60

33.00

FTM

12.60

13.40

BL

3.00

2.10

FTA

18.30

19.60

PF-Fewer

17.60

20.60

ST

5.80

7.70

TO-Fewer

13.10

12.10

Ftper

0.69

0.68

ORBper

0.33

0.51

ORB

8.40

11.20


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Andorra vs UNICS Kazan at 13 January 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Andorra and UNICS Kazan for EuroCup, which will take place on 13 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Andorra

2.35

1.62

UNICS Kazan

1.6

2.60

Andorra HC

+2.5

-4.00

UNICS Kazan HC

-2.5

4.00

Point Line

159.5

155.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Andorra are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 29

A

Monaco

L

64

66

3

7

L 4

71

68

Dec 22

A

Virtus Bologna

L

81

92

3

6

L 3

88

86

Dec 16

A

Lietkabelis

L

69

77

3

5

L 2

67

86

Dec 9

H

Lokomotiv Kuban

L

100

106

3

4

L 1

100

93

Nov 19

H

Antwerp Giants

W

82

69

3

3

W 2

76

76

Oct 27

H

Lietkabelis

W

76

66

2

3

W 1

74

73

Oct 21

A

Lokomotiv Kuban

L

61

76

1

3

L 2

61

67

Oct 13

H

Virtus Bologna

L

66

82

1

2

L 1

71

77

The latest results and the adjusted scores of UNICS Kazan are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 15

A

Joventut

L

77

84

4

4

L 2

79

79

Nov 17

A

Partizan NIS

L

86

89

4

3

L 1

89

88

Nov 10

A

Bahcesehir

W

70

67

4

2

W 2

69

66

Nov 4

H

Umana Reyer Venezia

W

90

87

3

2

W 1

81

91

Oct 28

H

Joventut

L

91

93

2

2

L 1

93

88

Oct 14

H

Partizan NIS

W

93

70

2

1

W 2

97

69

Oct 6

H

Bahcesehir

W

89

88

1

1

W 1

88

87

Sep 30

A

Umana Reyer Venezia

L

78

85

0

1

L 0

70

89

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Andorra and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by UNICS Kazan.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by UNICS Kazan and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Andorra.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Andorra (in the first graph) and by UNICS Kazan in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Andorra will expected to score 79 points and the UNICS Kazan 81 points. The total points line estimated to be at 160.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Andorra

UNICS Kazan

FG%

0.46

0.54

ASS

15.80

18.40

DRB

21.70

21.00

AST-TO

1.19

1.61

TRB

33.00

30.90

FTM

13.60

13.50

BL

3.00

1.60

FTA

17.70

16.60

PF-Fewer

20.50

22.60

ST

8.20

7.30

TO-Fewer

13.30

11.40

Ftper

0.77

0.81

ORBper

0.52

0.47

ORB

11.30

9.90


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Partizan vs Aquila Basket Trento at 13 January 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Partizan and Aquila Basket Trento for EuroCup, which will take place on 13 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Partizan

1.6

3.62

Aquila Basket Trento

2.35

1.38

Partizan HC

-2.5

6.50

Aquila Basket Trento HC

+2.5

-6.50

Point Line

157.5

157.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Partizan are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 29

A

Umana Reyer Venezia

W

79

59

6

2

W 5

71

62

Dec 9

H

Bahcesehir

W

88

75

5

2

W 4

87

74

Nov 19

H

Joventut

W

78

75

4

2

W 3

80

71

Nov 17

H

UNICS

W

89

86

3

2

W 2

87

83

Oct 20

A

Bahcesehir

W

82

76

2

2

W 1

81

75

Oct 14

A

UNICS

L

70

93

1

2

L 1

68

89

Oct 6

H

Umana Reyer Venezia

W

95

73

1

1

W 1

86

76

Sep 30

A

Joventut

L

82

85

0

1

L 0

84

80

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Aquila Basket Trento are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 8

A

Cedevita Olimpija

L

65

87

6

2

L 2

72

84

Nov 18

H

Nanterre 92

L

102

104

6

1

L 1

98

103

Nov 11

A

Promitheas

W

89

80

6

0

W 5

82

86

Nov 4

H

Bursaspor

W

89

80

5

0

W 4

77

72

Oct 20

H

Cedevita Olimpija

W

61

51

4

0

W 3

68

49

Oct 13

A

Nanterre 92

W

71

65

3

0

W 2

68

64

Oct 6

H

Promitheas

W

78

51

2

0

W 1

72

55

Sep 29

A

Bursaspor

W

93

86

1

0

W 0

81

78

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Partizan and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Aquila Basket Trento.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Aquila Basket Trento and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Partizan.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Partizan (in the first graph) and by Aquila Basket Trento in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Partizan will expected to score 77 points and the Aquila Basket Trento 77 points. The total points line estimated to be at 154.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Partizan

Aquila Basket Trento

FG%

0.57

0.51

ASS

14.30

16.50

DRB

19.80

23.90

AST-TO

1.12

1.51

TRB

30.00

33.10

FTM

12.00

12.40

BL

2.00

2.10

FTA

17.50

15.90

PF-Fewer

20.40

19.80

ST

7.00

8.00

TO-Fewer

12.80

10.90

Ftper

0.69

0.78

ORBper

0.52

0.39

ORB

10.30

9.30


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Unicaja Malaga vs Joventut Badalona at 13 January 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Unicaja Malaga and Joventut Badalona for EuroCup, which will take place on 13 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Unicaja Malaga

1.63

2.67

Joventut Badalona

2.3

1.60

Unicaja Malaga HC

-2.5

4.00

Joventut Badalona HC

+2.5

-4.00

Point Line

164.5

164.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Unicaja Malaga are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 16

H

ratiopharm Ulm

L

90

94

6

2

L 1

93

94

Dec 9

A

Germani Brescia

W

83

79

6

1

W 6

79

84

Nov 18

A

Buducnost VOLI

W

90

66

5

1

W 5

91

68

Nov 11

H

Mornar

W

98

72

4

1

W 4

97

73

Oct 28

A

ratiopharm Ulm

W

81

76

3

1

W 3

84

76

Oct 21

H

Germani Brescia

W

86

69

2

1

W 2

82

73

Oct 14

H

Buducnost VOLI

W

91

87

1

1

W 1

92

89

Oct 6

A

Mornar

L

80

90

0

1

L 0

79

91

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Joventut Badalona are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 15

H

UNICS

W

84

77

6

2

W 2

82

74

Dec 8

A

Umana Reyer Venezia

W

89

75

5

2

W 1

80

78

Nov 19

A

Partizan NIS

L

75

78

4

2

L 2

78

77

Nov 17

H

Bahcesehir

L

77

87

4

1

L 1

76

86

Oct 28

A

UNICS

W

93

91

4

0

W 3

91

87

Oct 20

H

Umana Reyer Venezia

W

92

78

3

0

W 2

83

82

Oct 14

A

Bahcesehir

W

91

72

2

0

W 1

90

71

Sep 30

H

Partizan NIS

W

85

82

1

0

W 0

88

81

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Unicaja Malaga and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Joventut Badalona.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Joventut Badalona and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Unicaja Malaga.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Unicaja Malaga (in the first graph) and by Joventut Badalona in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Unicaja Malaga will expected to score 83 points and the Joventut Badalona 82 points. The total points line estimated to be at 165.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Unicaja Malaga

Joventut Badalona

FG%

0.58

0.56

ASS

18.40

19.80

DRB

22.90

23.10

AST-TO

1.60

1.46

TRB

31.10

31.60

FTM

10.50

17.60

BL

2.10

1.80

FTA

14.40

22.10

PF-Fewer

21.10

19.00

ST

6.40

5.30

TO-Fewer

11.50

13.60

Ftper

0.73

0.80

ORBper

0.36

0.37

ORB

8.30

8.50


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Virtus Bologna vs Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana at 13 January 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Virtus Bologna and Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana for EuroCup, which will take place on 13 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Virtus Bologna

1.1

1.94

Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana

7

2.06

Virtus Bologna HC

-10.5

-1.50

Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana HC

+10.5

1.50

Point Line

162.5

156.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Virtus Bologna are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Dec 22

H

MoraBanc Andorra

W

92

81

10

0

W 9

96

88

Dec 16

H

Antwerp Giants

W

92

73

9

0

W 8

85

80

Dec 9

A

Monaco

W

74

68

8

0

W 7

82

70

Nov 20

H

Lietkabelis

W

82

73

7

0