BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis
In this article we will analyse the following games:
Niners Chemnitz vs Bonn at 15 January 2021
Riesen Ludwigsburg vs Brose Bamberg at 16 January 2021
Rasta Vechta vs Giessen 46ers at 16 January 2021
Crailsheim Merlins vs Bayreuth at 16 January 2021
Before continue, please read the disclaimer.
Niners Chemnitz vs Bonn at 15 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Niners Chemnitz and Bonn for German BBL, which will take place on 15 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
|
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
|
Niners Chemnitz |
2.1 |
1.96 |
|
Bonn |
1.75 |
2.05 |
|
Niners Chemnitz HC |
+1.5 |
-1.50 |
|
Bonn HC |
-1.5 |
1.50 |
|
Point Line |
168.5 |
168.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Niners Chemnitz are:
|
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
|
Jan 10 |
A |
Bayern Munich |
L |
76 |
77 |
3 |
8 |
|
83 |
74 |
|
Dec 30 |
H |
Mitteldeutscher BC |
W |
96 |
79 |
3 |
7 |
|
92 |
79 |
|
Dec 27 |
A |
Hamburg Towers |
W |
95 |
75 |
2 |
7 |
|
102 |
74 |
|
Dec 22 |
H |
MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg |
L |
91 |
114 |
1 |
7 |
|
96 |
106 |
|
Dec 18 |
A |
Giessen 46ers |
W |
95 |
83 |
1 |
6 |
|
83 |
82 |
|
Dec 12 |
H |
s.Oliver Baskets |
L |
67 |
76 |
0 |
6 |
|
67 |
81 |
|
Dec 9 |
A |
HARKO Merlins Crailsheim |
L |
76 |
88 |
0 |
5 |
|
79 |
82 |
|
Dec 6 |
H |
Fraport Skyliners |
L |
70 |
83 |
0 |
4 |
|
72 |
88 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bonn are:
|
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
|
Jan 9 |
H |
s.Oliver Baskets |
L |
77 |
89 |
3 |
8 |
|
77 |
95 |
|
Jan 2 |
A |
Ratiopharm Ulm |
L |
72 |
73 |
3 |
7 |
|
75 |
72 |
|
Dec 27 |
H |
BG Goettingen |
W |
102 |
87 |
3 |
6 |
|
93 |
89 |
|
Dec 23 |
H |
Giessen 46ers |
W |
81 |
68 |
2 |
6 |
|
70 |
67 |
|
Dec 19 |
A |
Brose Baskets Bamberg |
L |
66 |
80 |
1 |
6 |
|
69 |
84 |
|
Dec 11 |
A |
SC Rasta Vechta |
W |
80 |
69 |
1 |
5 |
|
77 |
75 |
|
Dec 6 |
H |
EWE Baskets Oldenburg |
L |
92 |
97 |
0 |
5 |
|
94 |
87 |
|
Dec 3 |
H |
Hamburg Towers |
L |
63 |
93 |
0 |
4 |
|
68 |
92 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Niners Chemnitz and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bonn.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bonn and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Niners Chemnitz.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Niners Chemnitz (in the first graph) and by Bonn in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Niners Chemnitz will expected to score 84 points and the Bonn 84 points. The total points line estimated to be at 168.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
|
Var |
Niners Chemnitz |
Bonn |
|
FG% |
0.57 |
0.53 |
|
ASS |
18.00 |
16.50 |
|
DRB |
20.40 |
22.10 |
|
AST-TO |
1.15 |
1.25 |
|
TRB |
27.70 |
29.70 |
|
FTM |
16.20 |
13.00 |
|
BL |
2.80 |
1.70 |
|
FTA |
19.90 |
17.50 |
|
PF-Fewer |
23.80 |
21.20 |
|
ST |
5.50 |
6.10 |
|
TO-Fewer |
15.70 |
13.20 |
|
Ftper |
0.81 |
0.74 |
|
ORBper |
0.36 |
0.34 |
|
ORB |
7.30 |
7.60 |
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Riesen Ludwigsburg vs Brose Bamberg at 16 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Riesen Ludwigsburg and Brose Bamberg for German BBL, which will take place on 16 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
|
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
|
Riesen Ludwigsburg |
1.34 |
2.13 |
|
Brose Bamberg |
3.3 |
1.89 |
|
Riesen Ludwigsburg HC |
-6.5 |
2.00 |
|
Brose Bamberg HC |
+6.5 |
-2.00 |
|
Point Line |
163.5 |
163.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Riesen Ludwigsburg are:
|
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
|
Jan 9 |
H |
Ratiopharm Ulm |
W |
89 |
87 |
11 |
1 |
|
93 |
86 |
|
Jan 2 |
A |
Medi Bayreuth |
W |
89 |
70 |
10 |
1 |
|
85 |
71 |
|
Dec 29 |
H |
Hamburg Towers |
W |
86 |
65 |
9 |
1 |
|
92 |
64 |
|
Dec 27 |
H |
s.Oliver Baskets |
W |
87 |
72 |
8 |
1 |
|
87 |
77 |
|
Dec 22 |
A |
BV Chemnitz 99 |
W |
114 |
91 |
7 |
1 |
|
106 |
91 |
|
Dec 19 |
H |
SC Rasta Vechta |
W |
85 |
73 |
6 |
1 |
|
82 |
79 |
|
Dec 12 |
A |
Fraport Skyliners |
W |
94 |
80 |
5 |
1 |
|
97 |
84 |
|
Dec 8 |
H |
ALBA Berlin |
W |
78 |
71 |
4 |
1 |
|
86 |
70 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Brose Bamberg are:
|
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
|
Jan 6 |
A |
Ratiopharm Ulm |
W |
74 |
67 |
5 |
6 |
|
77 |
66 |
|
Jan 3 |
H |
EWE Baskets Oldenburg |
L |
78 |
85 |
4 |
6 |
|
80 |
77 |
|
Dec 30 |
H |
Medi Bayreuth |
L |
67 |
73 |
4 |
5 |
|
64 |
74 |
|
Dec 27 |
A |
Bayern Munich |
L |
70 |
84 |
4 |
4 |
|
77 |
81 |
|
Dec 19 |
H |
Telekom Baskets Bonn |
W |
80 |
66 |
4 |
3 |
|
80 |
70 |
|
Dec 16 |
H |
s.Oliver Baskets |
W |
81 |
66 |
3 |
3 |
|
81 |
70 |
|
Dec 13 |
A |
ALBA Berlin |
L |
70 |
82 |
2 |
3 |
|
77 |
81 |
|
Dec 6 |
A |
Giessen 46ers |
W |
106 |
99 |
2 |
2 |
|
92 |
98 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Riesen Ludwigsburg and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Brose Bamberg.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Brose Bamberg and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Riesen Ludwigsburg.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Riesen Ludwigsburg (in the first graph) and by Brose Bamberg in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Riesen Ludwigsburg will expected to score 85 points and the Brose Bamberg 81 points. The total points line estimated to be at 166.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
|
Var |
Riesen Ludwigsburg |
Brose Bamberg |
|
FG% |
0.55 |
0.56 |
|
ASS |
16.00 |
19.00 |
|
DRB |
20.80 |
21.30 |
|
AST-TO |
1.48 |
1.28 |
|
TRB |
30.20 |
30.40 |
|
FTM |
16.30 |
12.80 |
|
BL |
2.20 |
3.10 |
|
FTA |
22.30 |
16.20 |
|
PF-Fewer |
20.10 |
18.50 |
|
ST |
7.00 |
6.50 |
|
TO-Fewer |
10.80 |
14.80 |
|
Ftper |
0.73 |
0.79 |
|
ORBper |
0.45 |
0.43 |
|
ORB |
9.40 |
9.10 |
Go to Top
Rasta Vechta vs Giessen 46ers at 16 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Rasta Vechta and Giessen 46ers for German BBL, which will take place on 16 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
|
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
|
Rasta Vechta |
1.6 |
2.29 |
|
Giessen 46ers |
2.35 |
1.78 |
|
Rasta Vechta HC |
-3.5 |
2.50 |
|
Giessen 46ers HC |
+3.5 |
-2.50 |
|
Point Line |
174.5 |
167.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Rasta Vechta are:
|
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
|
Jan 2 |
A |
Hamburg Towers |
L |
74 |
92 |
0 |
11 |
|
80 |
91 |
|
Dec 30 |
H |
EWE Baskets Oldenburg |
L |
80 |
82 |
0 |
10 |
|
82 |
74 |
|
Dec 27 |
H |
HARKO Merlins Crailsheim |
L |
81 |
98 |
0 |
9 |
|
84 |
92 |
|
Dec 23 |
A |
Mitteldeutscher BC |
L |
72 |
82 |
0 |
8 |
|
69 |
82 |
|
Dec 19 |
A |
MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg |
L |
73 |
85 |
0 |
7 |
|
77 |
79 |
|
Dec 11 |
H |
Telekom Baskets Bonn |
L |
69 |
80 |
0 |
6 |
|
69 |
85 |
|
Dec 9 |
H |
Medi Bayreuth |
L |
89 |
92 |
0 |
5 |
|
85 |
94 |
|
Dec 6 |
A |
Ratiopharm Ulm |
L |
73 |
74 |
0 |
4 |
|
76 |
74 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Giessen 46ers are:
|
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
|
Jan 10 |
A |
ALBA Berlin |
L |
82 |
92 |
2 |
10 |
|
90 |
91 |
|
Jan 2 |
H |
BG Goettingen |
L |
90 |
92 |
2 |
9 |
|
82 |
94 |
|
Dec 30 |
H |
Fraport Skyliners |
W |
75 |
74 |
2 |
8 |
|
78 |
78 |
|
Dec 26 |
A |
Medi Bayreuth |
W |
110 |
99 |
1 |
7 |
|
105 |
101 |
|
Dec 23 |
A |
Telekom Baskets Bonn |
L |
68 |
81 |
0 |
8 |
|
68 |
86 |
|
Dec 18 |
H |
BV Chemnitz 99 |
L |
83 |
95 |
0 |
7 |
|
77 |
95 |
|
Dec 15 |
H |
Mitteldeutscher BC |
L |
93 |
105 |
0 |
6 |
|
89 |
105 |
|
Dec 13 |
A |
Bayern Munich |
L |
71 |
93 |
0 |
5 |
|
78 |
90 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Rasta Vechta and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Giessen 46ers.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Giessen 46ers and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Rasta Vechta.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Rasta Vechta (in the first graph) and by Giessen 46ers in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Rasta Vechta will expected to score 86 points and the Giessen 46ers 85 points. The total points line estimated to be at 171.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
|
Var |
Rasta Vechta |
Giessen 46ers |
|
FG% |
0.50 |
0.53 |
|
ASS |
16.50 |
16.20 |
|
DRB |
21.50 |
20.20 |
|
AST-TO |
1.06 |
1.14 |
|
TRB |
30.20 |
29.80 |
|
FTM |
17.60 |
11.60 |
|
BL |
2.20 |
2.20 |
|
FTA |
23.10 |
13.80 |
|
PF-Fewer |
22.10 |
22.10 |
|
ST |
4.50 |
5.90 |
|
TO-Fewer |
15.60 |
14.20 |
|
Ftper |
0.76 |
0.84 |
|
ORBper |
0.40 |
0.48 |
|
ORB |
8.70 |
9.60 |
Go to Top
Crailsheim Merlins vs Bayreuth at 16 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Crailsheim Merlins and Bayreuth for German BBL, which will take place on 16 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
|
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
|
Crailsheim Merlins |
1.24 |
1.57 |
|
Bayreuth |
4.15 |
2.77 |
|
Crailsheim Merlins HC |
-8.5 |
-4.50 |
|
Bayreuth HC |
+8.5 |
4.50 |
|
Point Line |
174.5 |
165.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Crailsheim Merlins are:
|
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
|
Jan 10 |
A |
Hamburg Towers |
L |
72 |
89 |
10 |
2 |
|
77 |
88 |
|
Jan 3 |
A |
s.Oliver Baskets |
W |
86 |
80 |
10 |
1 |
|
86 |
85 |
|
Dec 29 |
H |
Ratiopharm Ulm |
W |
86 |
84 |
9 |
1 |
|
90 |
83 |
|
Dec 27 |
A |
SC Rasta Vechta |
W |
98 |
81 |
8 |
1 |
|
94 |
88 |
|
Dec 22 |
H |
Fraport Skyliners |
W |
76 |
64 |
7 |
1 |
|
78 |
68 |
|
Dec 20 |
A |
Basketball Lowen Braunschweig |
W |
108 |
75 |
6 |
1 |
|
98 |
71 |
|
Dec 12 |
H |
EWE Baskets Oldenburg |
W |
94 |
80 |
5 |
1 |
|
96 |
72 |
|
Dec 9 |
H |
BV Chemnitz 99 |
W |
88 |
76 |
4 |
1 |
|
82 |
76 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bayreuth are:
|
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
|
Jan 9 |
A |
EWE Baskets Oldenburg |
L |
73 |
80 |
4 |
8 |
|
74 |
72 |
|
Jan 2 |
H |
MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg |
L |
70 |
89 |
4 |
7 |
|
74 |
83 |
|
Dec 30 |
A |
Brose Baskets Bamberg |
W |
73 |
67 |
4 |
6 |
|
76 |
70 |
|
Dec 26 |
H |
Giessen 46ers |
L |
99 |
110 |
3 |
6 |
|
86 |
109 |
|
Dec 22 |
H |
s.Oliver Baskets |
L |
87 |
93 |
3 |
5 |
|
87 |
99 |
|
Dec 19 |
A |
Fraport Skyliners |
L |
86 |
104 |
3 |
4 |
|
89 |
110 |
|
Dec 13 |
A |
Basketball Lowen Braunschweig |
L |
79 |
90 |
3 |
3 |
|
72 |
85 |
|
Dec 9 |
A |
SC Rasta Vechta |
W |
92 |
89 |
3 |
2 |
|
88 |
96 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Crailsheim Merlins and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bayreuth.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bayreuth and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Crailsheim Merlins.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Crailsheim Merlins (in the first graph) and by Bayreuth in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Crailsheim Merlins will expected to score 88 points and the Bayreuth 81 points. The total points line estimated to be at 169.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
|
Var |
Crailsheim Merlins |
Bayreuth |
|
FG% |
0.57 |
0.55 |
|
ASS |
17.30 |
18.80 |
|
DRB |
22.20 |
21.20 |
|
AST-TO |
1.25 |
1.37 |
|
TRB |
31.00 |
28.90 |
|
FTM |
19.80 |
17.20 |
|
BL |
2.20 |
1.70 |
|
FTA |
25.20 |
21.20 |
|
PF-Fewer |
23.10 |
17.30 |
|
ST |
7.10 |
6.70 |
|
TO-Fewer |
13.80 |
13.70 |
|
Ftper |
0.78 |
0.81 |
|
ORBper |
0.40 |
0.37 |
|
ORB |
8.80 |
7.80 |
Go to Top