2021 01 15 France’s LNB Pro A

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Le Mans vs Limoges at 15 January 2021
Gravelines vs Cholet at 16 January 2021
Roanne vs Strasbourg at 16 January 2021
Boulazac Dordogne Pro vs Dijon at 16 January 2021
Le Portel vs Nanterre at 16 January 2021
Pau-Lacq-Orthez vs Bourg at 16 January 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.

Le Mans vs Limoges at 15 January 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Le Mans and Limoges for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 15 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome	Books	Ours
Le Mans	1.63	1.80
Limoges	2.3	2.25
Le Mans HC	-2.5	-2.50
Limoges HC	+2.5	2.50
Point Line	158.5	159.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Le Mans are:

gDate	At	Opponent	WL	Tm	Opp	W	L	Str	aOff	aDef
Dec 26	H	Paris Levallois	W	95	88	3	3	W 1	101	84
Dec 22	A	JL Bourg	L	78	98	2	3	L 3	79	92
Oct 28	A	Elan Bearnais	L	81	90	2	2	L 2	79	90
Oct 24	H	Chalons-Reims	L	84	87	2	1	L 1	78	89
Oct 3	H	BCM Gravelines	W	69	64	2	0	W 1	72	72
Sep 26	H	Strasbourg	W	97	79	1	0	W 0	94	74

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Limoges are:

gDate	At	Opponent	WL	Tm	Opp	W	L	Str	aOff	aDef
Dec 19	H	JL Bourg	W	74	72	4	3	W 1	75	68
Nov 21	A	Monaco	L	59	86	3	3	L 2	69	82
Oct 26	A	Paris Levallois	L	76	82	3	2	L 1	81	78
Oct 12	A	Strasbourg	W	74	66	3	1	W 3	72	62
Oct 3	H	Le Portel	W	91	68	2	1	W 2	88	72
Sep 29	A	BCM Gravelines	W	77	65	1	1	W 1	80	74
Sep 26	H	Nanterre	L	76	85	0	1	L 0	79	84

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Le Mans and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Limoges.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Limoges and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Le Mans.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Le Mans (in the first graph) and by Limoges in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Le Mans will expected to score 78 points and the Limoges 80 points. The total points line estimated to be at 158.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var	Le Mans	Limoges
FG%	0.54	0.54
ASS	19.00	18.40
DRB	21.80	18.70
AST-TO	1.21	1.48
TRB	31.20	25.60
FTM	16.80	16.90
BL	2.80	1.40
FTA	21.70	22.10
PF-Fewer	22.80	18.30
ST	6.50	4.70
TO-Fewer	15.70	12.40
Ftper	0.78	0.76
ORBper	0.43	0.37
ORB	9.30	6.90

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Gravelines vs Cholet at 16 January 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Gravelines and Cholet for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 16 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome	Books	Ours
Gravelines	1.7	3.70
Cholet	2.17	1.37
Gravelines HC	-2.5	6.50
Cholet HC	+2.5	-6.50
Point Line	153.5	148.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Gravelines are:

gDate	At	Opponent	WL	Tm	Opp	W	L	Str	aOff	aDef
Dec 26	A	ASVEL	L	68	96	2	5	L 1	69	83
Dec 19	H	Chalons-Reims	W	84	80	2	4	W 1	78	82
Oct 24	H	Dijon	L	67	81	1	4	L 1	73	81
Oct 9	H	Roanne	W	77	43	1	3	W 1	73	47
Oct 3	A	Le Mans	L	64	69	0	3	L 2	60	65
Sep 29	H	Limoges	L	65	77	0	2	L 1	69	81
Sep 26	A	Paris Levallois	L	57	89	0	1	L 0	60	85

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Cholet are:

gDate	At	Opponent	WL	Tm	Opp	W	L	Str	aOff	aDef
Dec 19	A	Nanterre	W	80	76	3	4	W 2	83	75
Dec 12	H	Dijon	W	83	73	2	4	W 1	90	73
Oct 16	A	Roanne	L	88	96	1	4	L 3	83	106
Oct 11	H	ASVEL	L	73	82	1	3	L 2	74	70
Oct 2	A	Paris Levallois	L	68	72	1	2	L 1	72	69
Sep 29	H	Elan Chalon	W	91	73	1	1	W 1	88	79
Sep 26	A	Orleans Loiret	L	63	101	0	1	L 0	61	89

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Gravelines and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Cholet.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Cholet and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Gravelines.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Gravelines (in the first graph) and by Cholet in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Gravelines will expected to score 74 points and the Cholet 77 points. The total points line estimated to be at 151.5 points.

Var	Gravelines	Cholet
FG%	0.50	0.53
ASS	16.10	17.70
DRB	20.30	22.60
AST-TO	0.93	1.20
TRB	28.10	32.70
FTM	12.30	12.60
BL	2.00	1.40
FTA	17.30	18.60
PF-Fewer	19.30	19.40
ST	8.30	6.70
TO-Fewer	17.40	14.70
Ftper	0.71	0.68
ORBper	0.39	0.45
ORB	7.90	10.10

Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.

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Roanne vs Strasbourg at 16 January 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Roanne and Strasbourg for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 16 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome	Books	Ours
Roanne	2.35	3.64
Strasbourg	1.6	1.38
Roanne HC	+3.5	6.50
Strasbourg HC	-3.5	-6.50
Point Line	164.5	157.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Roanne are:

gDate	At	Opponent	WL	Tm	Opp	W	L	Str	aOff	aDef
Dec 20	H	Dijon	L	81	91	2	4	L 1	88	91
Dec 15	A	Elan Chalon	W	85	80	2	3	W 2	82	87
Oct 16	H	Cholet	W	96	88	1	3	W 1	93	90
Oct 9	A	BCM Gravelines	L	43	77	0	3	L 2	45	87
Oct 3	A	Monaco	L	61	86	0	2	L 1	71	82
Sep 27	A	JL Bourg	L	63	80	0	1	L 0	64	75

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Strasbourg are:

gDate	At	Opponent	WL	Tm	Opp	W	L	Str	aOff	aDef
Dec 19	H	Elan Bearnais	W	94	71	4	4	W 1	91	71
Oct 24	H	Le Portel	L	83	94	3	4	L 1	80	99
Oct 19	H	Boulazac	W	100	84	3	3	W 1	91	91
Oct 17	A	Nanterre	L	80	89	2	3	L 2	83	88
Oct 12	H	Limoges	L	66	74	2	2	L 1	70	78
Oct 7	H	Orleans Loiret	W	97	91	2	1	W 2	94	80
Oct 3	A	Elan Chalon	W	76	54	1	1	W 1	73	59
Sep 26	A	Le Mans	L	79	97	0	1	L 0	74	91

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Roanne and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Strasbourg.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Strasbourg and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Roanne.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Roanne (in the first graph) and by Strasbourg in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Roanne will expected to score 79 points and the Strasbourg 85 points. The total points line estimated to be at 164.5 points.

Var	Roanne	Strasbourg
FG%	0.51	0.52
ASS	13.30	18.10
DRB	18.20	20.50
AST-TO	0.80	1.38
TRB	26.70	32.40
FTM	13.80	16.00
BL	3.30	2.90
FTA	20.20	20.10
PF-Fewer	19.00	23.00
ST	8.50	8.10
TO-Fewer	16.70	13.10
Ftper	0.69	0.80
ORBper	0.47	0.58
ORB	8.50	11.90

Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.

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Boulazac Dordogne Pro vs Dijon at 16 January 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Boulazac Dordogne Pro and Dijon for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 16 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome	Books	Ours
Boulazac Dordogne Pro	2.7	2.11
Dijon	1.47	1.90
Boulazac Dordogne Pro HC	+4.5	1.50
Dijon HC	-4.5	-1.50
Point Line	155.5	157.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Boulazac Dordogne Pro are:

gDate	At	Opponent	WL	Tm	Opp	W	L	Str	aOff	aDef
Dec 26	H	Monaco	L	71	77	0	5	L 4	83	74
Dec 19	A	Paris Levallois	L	79	98	0	4	L 3	84	94
Oct 24	A	Elan Bearnais	L	60	89	0	3	L 2	58	89
Oct 19	A	Strasbourg	L	84	100	0	2	L 1	82	94
Oct 17	H	Le Portel	L	70	71	0	1	L 0	67	75

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Dijon are:

gDate	At	Opponent	WL	Tm	Opp	W	L	Str	aOff	aDef
Dec 26	H	JL Bourg	W	80	71	7	2	W 2	81	67
Dec 20	A	Roanne	W	91	81	6	2	W 1	86	89
Dec 12	A	Cholet	L	73	83	5	2	L 2	71	84
Nov 14	A	Monaco	L	62	70	5	1	L 1	72	67
Oct 27	H	Chalons-Reims	W	87	72	5	0	W 4	81	74
Oct 24	A	BCM Gravelines	W	81	67	4	0	W 3	84	76
Oct 17	H	Elan Bearnais	W	87	71	3	0	W 2	84	71
Oct 9	A	Le Portel	W	73	65	2	0	W 1	70	68

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Boulazac Dordogne Pro and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Dijon.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Dijon and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Boulazac Dordogne Pro.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Boulazac Dordogne Pro (in the first graph) and by Dijon in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Boulazac Dordogne Pro will expected to score 76 points and the Dijon 82 points. The total points line estimated to be at 158.5 points.

Var	Boulazac Dordogne Pro	Dijon
FG%	0.52	0.59
ASS	14.60	19.40
DRB	20.40	19.80
AST-TO	0.81	1.38
TRB	28.60	26.40
FTM	14.80	9.20
BL	2.00	2.20
FTA	20.00	13.10
PF-Fewer	22.40	19.00
ST	7.40	8.80
TO-Fewer	18.00	14.10
Ftper	0.74	0.70
ORBper	0.40	0.34
ORB	8.20	6.70

Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.

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Le Portel vs Nanterre at 16 January 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Le Portel and Nanterre for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 16 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome	Books	Ours
Le Portel	2.25	3.11
Nanterre	1.65	1.47
Le Portel HC	+2.5	5.50
Nanterre HC	-2.5	-5.50
Point Line	160.5	157.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Le Portel are:

gDate	At	Opponent	WL	Tm	Opp	W	L	Str	aOff	aDef
Dec 19	H	Orleans Loiret	W	85	84	4	3	W 1	82	74
Dec 14	A	ASVEL	L	66	101	3	3	L 1	67	87
Oct 24	A	Strasbourg	W	94	83	3	2	W 3	91	78
Oct 21	H	Chalons-Reims	W	78	76	2	2	W 2	73	78
Oct 17	A	Boulazac	W	71	70	1	2	W 1	64	76
Oct 9	H	Dijon	L	65	73	0	2	L 1	71	73
Oct 3	A	Limoges	L	68	91	0	1	L 0	72	96

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Nanterre are:

gDate	At	Opponent	WL	Tm	Opp	W	L	Str	aOff	aDef
Dec 19	H	Cholet	L	76	80	3	3	L 2	74	81
Nov 22	A	Paris Levallois	L	67	73	3	2	L 1	71	70
Oct 17	H	Strasbourg	W	89	80	3	1	W 3	86	75
Oct 10	A	Chalons-Reims	W	83	74	2	1	W 2	77	76
Sep 26	A	Limoges	W	85	76	1	1	W 1	90	80
Sep 23	H	JL Bourg	L	82	95	0	1	L 0	83	89

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Le Portel and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Nanterre.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Nanterre and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Le Portel.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Le Portel (in the first graph) and by Nanterre in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.