BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis
In this article we will analyse the following games:
Nymburk vs Tofas at 19 January 2021
Zaragoza vs Start Lublin at 19 January 2021
Nizhny Novgorod vs Szombathely at 19 January 2021
Keravnos Strovolou vs Dijon at 19 January 2021
Cholet vs Hapoel Holon at 20 January 2021
Bakken Bears vs Tenerife at 20 January 2021
Tsmoki Minsk vs AEK Athens at 20 January 2021
Galatasaray vs Sassari at 20 January 2021
Before continue, please read the disclaimer.
Nymburk vs Tofas at 19 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Nymburk and Tofas for BCL, which will take place on 19 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Nymburk 
2.12 
1.53 
Tofas 
1.72 
2.87 
Nymburk HC 
+2.5 
4.50 
Tofas HC 
2.5 
4.50 
Point Line 
166.5 
160.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Nymburk are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 6 
H 
JDA Dijon Basket 
W 
94 
54 
4 
1 

94 
57 
Dec 15 
A 
Keravnos Strovolou 
W 
102 
69 
3 
1 

90 
77 
Nov 18 
H 
Keravnos Strovolou 
W 
96 
69 
2 
1 

85 
77 
Nov 10 
A 
Tofas SC 
W 
96 
93 
1 
1 

100 
88 
Nov 3 
A 
JDA Dijon Basket 
L 
61 
85 
0 
1 

61 
90 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Tofas are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 12 
A 
JDA Dijon Basket 
W 
90 
61 
3 
2 

90 
65 
Jan 6 
H 
Keravnos Strovolou 
W 
78 
67 
2 
2 

69 
74 
Nov 18 
H 
JDA Dijon Basket 
L 
81 
87 
1 
2 

81 
92 
Nov 10 
H 
CEZ Nymburk 
L 
93 
96 
1 
1 

101 
85 
Nov 3 
A 
Keravnos Strovolou 
W 
84 
74 
1 
0 

74 
82 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Nymburk and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Tofas.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Tofas and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Nymburk.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Nymburk (in the first graph) and by Tofas in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Nymburk will expected to score 83 points and the Tofas 80 points. The total points line estimated to be at 163.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Nymburk 
Tofas 
FG% 
0.53 
0.53 
ASS 
23.20 
23.60 
DRB 
29.40 
25.20 
ASTTO 
1.97 
1.74 
TRB 
42.00 
36.40 
FTM 
15.00 
11.80 
BL 
3.20 
3.40 
FTA 
21.00 
14.80 
PFFewer 
15.40 
18.00 
ST 
7.60 
9.60 
TOFewer 
11.80 
13.60 
Ftper 
0.71 
0.80 
ORBper 
0.43 
0.44 
ORB 
12.60 
11.20 
Go to Top
Zaragoza vs Start Lublin at 19 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Zaragoza and Start Lublin for BCL, which will take place on 19 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Zaragoza 
1.06 
1.50 
Start Lublin 
9 
2.99 
Zaragoza HC 
17.5 
5.00 
Start Lublin HC 
+17.5 
5.00 
Point Line 
165.5 
160.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Zaragoza are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 5 
A 
Nizhny Novgorod 
W 
98 
92 
4 
1 

100 
88 
Dec 22 
A 
FalcoVulcano Energia KC Szombathely 
L 
86 
94 
3 
1 

87 
89 
Dec 16 
H 
FalcoVulcano Energia KC Szombathely 
W 
85 
76 
3 
0 

86 
72 
Nov 11 
H 
Nizhny Novgorod 
W 
78 
75 
2 
0 

80 
71 
Oct 21 
A 
Wikana Start S.A. Lublin 
W 
86 
85 
1 
0 

83 
96 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Start Lublin are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 6 
H 
FalcoVulcano Energia KC Szombathely 
L 
59 
83 
0 
5 

60 
78 
Dec 23 
A 
Nizhny Novgorod 
L 
65 
78 
0 
4 

66 
74 
Dec 16 
H 
Nizhny Novgorod 
L 
66 
85 
0 
3 

67 
81 
Nov 3 
A 
FalcoVulcano Energia KC Szombathely 
L 
75 
84 
0 
2 

76 
80 
Oct 21 
H 
Casademont Zaragoza 
L 
85 
86 
0 
1 

81 
80 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Zaragoza and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Start Lublin.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Start Lublin and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Zaragoza.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Zaragoza (in the first graph) and by Start Lublin in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Zaragoza will expected to score 83 points and the Start Lublin 77 points. The total points line estimated to be at 160.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Zaragoza 
Start Lublin 
FG% 
0.56 
0.49 
ASS 
21.40 
17.20 
DRB 
21.60 
23.60 
ASTTO 
1.84 
1.04 
TRB 
27.60 
31.00 
FTM 
13.00 
10.40 
BL 
3.80 
2.40 
FTA 
19.40 
15.00 
PFFewer 
18.60 
19.20 
ST 
7.60 
7.00 
TOFewer 
11.60 
16.60 
Ftper 
0.67 
0.69 
ORBper 
0.28 
0.31 
ORB 
6.00 
7.40 
Go to Top
Nizhny Novgorod vs Szombathely at 19 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Nizhny Novgorod and Szombathely for BCL, which will take place on 19 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Nizhny Novgorod 
1.35 
2.20 
Szombathely 
3.25 
1.83 
Nizhny Novgorod HC 
6.5 
2.00 
Szombathely HC 
+6.5 
2.00 
Point Line 
158.5 
163.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Nizhny Novgorod are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 5 
H 
Casademont Zaragoza 
L 
92 
98 
3 
2 

88 
91 
Dec 23 
H 
Wikana Start S.A. Lublin 
W 
78 
65 
3 
1 

76 
74 
Dec 16 
A 
Wikana Start S.A. Lublin 
W 
85 
66 
2 
1 

82 
75 
Dec 9 
H 
FalcoVulcano Energia KC Szombathely 
W 
93 
88 
1 
1 

94 
83 
Nov 11 
A 
Casademont Zaragoza 
L 
75 
78 
0 
1 

72 
72 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Szombathely are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 6 
A 
Wikana Start S.A. Lublin 
W 
83 
59 
3 
2 

80 
67 
Dec 22 
H 
Casademont Zaragoza 
W 
94 
86 
2 
2 

90 
80 
Dec 16 
A 
Casademont Zaragoza 
L 
76 
85 
1 
2 

72 
79 
Dec 9 
A 
Nizhny Novgorod 
L 
88 
93 
1 
1 

90 
88 
Nov 3 
H 
Wikana Start S.A. Lublin 
W 
84 
75 
1 
0 

81 
85 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Nizhny Novgorod and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Szombathely.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Szombathely and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Nizhny Novgorod.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Nizhny Novgorod (in the first graph) and by Szombathely in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Nizhny Novgorod will expected to score 81 points and the Szombathely 81 points. The total points line estimated to be at 162.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Nizhny Novgorod 
Szombathely 
FG% 
0.58 
0.57 
ASS 
20.60 
18.40 
DRB 
21.40 
25.60 
ASTTO 
1.41 
1.30 
TRB 
29.00 
33.80 
FTM 
7.00 
14.00 
BL 
2.60 
2.00 
FTA 
10.80 
17.00 
PFFewer 
20.80 
17.40 
ST 
9.20 
5.40 
TOFewer 
14.60 
14.20 
Ftper 
0.65 
0.82 
ORBper 
0.36 
0.32 
ORB 
7.60 
8.20 
Go to Top
Keravnos Strovolou vs Dijon at 19 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Keravnos Strovolou and Dijon for BCL, which will take place on 19 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Keravnos Strovolou 
7.5 
2.65 
Dijon 
1.09 
1.61 
Keravnos Strovolou HC 
+13.5 
4.00 
Dijon HC 
13.5 
4.00 
Point Line 
152.5 
160.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Keravnos Strovolou are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 6 
A 
Tofas SC 
L 
67 
78 
0 
5 

70 
74 
Dec 15 
H 
CEZ Nymburk 
L 
69 
102 
0 
4 

75 
90 
Nov 18 
A 
CEZ Nymburk 
L 
69 
96 
0 
3 

75 
85 
Nov 3 
H 
Tofas SC 
L 
74 
84 
0 
2 

77 
79 
Oct 20 
A 
JDA Dijon Basket 
L 
79 
91 
0 
1 

79 
97 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Dijon are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 12 
H 
Tofas SC 
L 
61 
90 
3 
2 

64 
85 
Jan 6 
A 
CEZ Nymburk 
L 
54 
94 
3 
1 

58 
83 
Nov 18 
A 
Tofas SC 
W 
87 
81 
3 
0 

91 
76 
Nov 3 
H 
CEZ Nymburk 
W 
85 
61 
2 
0 

92 
54 
Oct 20 
H 
Keravnos Strovolou 
W 
91 
79 
1 
0 

80 
88 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Keravnos Strovolou and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Dijon.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Dijon and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Keravnos Strovolou.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Keravnos Strovolou (in the first graph) and by Dijon in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Keravnos Strovolou will expected to score 76 points and the Dijon 81 points. The total points line estimated to be at 157.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Keravnos Strovolou 
Dijon 
FG% 
0.50 
0.49 
ASS 
15.80 
17.60 
DRB 
23.40 
21.20 
ASTTO 
1.01 
1.40 
TRB 
29.80 
31.40 
FTM 
9.80 
9.20 
BL 
1.40 
3.80 
FTA 
12.20 
13.00 
PFFewer 
18.00 
18.80 
ST 
5.60 
8.80 
TOFewer 
15.60 
12.60 
Ftper 
0.80 
0.71 
ORBper 
0.27 
0.48 
ORB 
6.40 
10.20 
Go to Top
Cholet vs Hapoel Holon at 20 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Cholet and Hapoel Holon for BCL, which will take place on 20 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Cholet 
1.42 
1.81 
Hapoel Holon 
2.85 
2.23 
Cholet HC 
5.5 
2.50 
Hapoel Holon HC 
+5.5 
2.50 
Point Line 
163.5 
151.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Cholet are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 5 
H 
TsmokiMinsk 
W 
89 
71 
2 
3 

89 
76 
Dec 15 
A 
AEK Athens 
W 
79 
70 
1 
3 

79 
67 
Nov 17 
A 
AEK Athens 
L 
81 
83 
0 
3 

81 
80 
Nov 10 
H 
Hapoel Unet Holon 
L 
63 
73 
0 
2 

66 
75 
Nov 4 
A 
TsmokiMinsk 
L 
75 
82 
0 
1 

75 
88 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Hapoel Holon are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 5 
H 
AEK Athens 
W 
77 
71 
3 
2 

77 
68 
Dec 15 
A 
TsmokiMinsk 
W 
75 
71 
2 
2 

75 
76 
Nov 17 
H 
TsmokiMinsk 
L 
69 
79 
1 
2 

69 
85 
Nov 10 
A 
Cholet Basket 
W 
73 
63 
1 
1 

77 
66 
Nov 4 
A 
AEK Athens 
L 
96 
100 
0 
1 

96 
96 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Cholet and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Hapoel Holon.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Hapoel Holon and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Cholet.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Cholet (in the first graph) and by Hapoel Holon in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Cholet will expected to score 78 points and the Hapoel Holon 78 points. The total points line estimated to be at 156.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Cholet 
Hapoel Holon 
FG% 
0.52 
0.53 
ASS 
18.00 
18.40 
DRB 
21.60 
19.60 
ASTTO 
1.36 
1.35 
TRB 
31.80 
26.20 
FTM 
13.60 
17.40 
BL 
1.80 
2.80 
FTA 
18.20 
21.60 
PFFewer 
16.40 
22.40 
ST 
8.20 
6.00 
TOFewer 
13.20 
13.60 
Ftper 
0.75 
0.81 
ORBper 
0.47 
0.34 
ORB 
10.20 
6.60 
Go to Top
Bakken Bears vs Tenerife at 20 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Bakken Bears and Tenerife for BCL, which will take place on 20 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Bakken Bears 
2.6 
2.42 
Tenerife 
1.5 
1.70 
Bakken Bears HC 
+4.5 
3.00 
Tenerife HC 
4.5 
3.00 
Point Line 
168.5 
172.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bakken Bears are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 5 
H 
Galatasaray 
W 
96 
78 
2 
3 

83 
76 
Dec 16 
A 
Banco di Sardegna Sassari 
W 
93 
71 
1 
3 

83 
66 
Nov 18 
H 
Banco di Sardegna Sassari 
L 
84 
91 
0 
3 

75 
84 
Nov 11 
A 
Galatasaray 
L 
81 
91 
0 
2 

70 
88 
Oct 20 
A 
Iberostar Tenerife 
L 
73 
98 
0 
1 

72 
81 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Tenerife are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 6 
H 
Banco di Sardegna Sassari 
W 
115 
85 
4 
1 

102 
79 
Dec 15 
A 
Galatasaray 
W 
104 
89 
3 
1 

90 
87 
Nov 17 
H 
Galatasaray 
W 
85 
72 
2 