BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis
In this article we will analyse the following games:
Promitheas vs GS Lavrio at 23 January 2021
Kolossos Rhodes vs Peristeri at 23 January 2021
AEK Athens vs Ionikos Nikaias at 23 January 2021
Aris vs Mesologgi BC at 23 January 2021
PAOK vs Iraklis at 23 January 2021
Larissa BC vs Panathinaikos at 24 January 2021
Before continue, please read the disclaimer.
Promitheas vs GS Lavrio at 23 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Promitheas and GS Lavrio for Greek Basket League, which will take place on 23 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
Promitheas |
1.37 |
2.58 |
GS Lavrio |
3.15 |
1.63 |
Promitheas HC |
-5.5 |
4.00 |
GS Lavrio HC |
+5.5 |
-4.00 |
Point Line |
155.5 |
148.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Promitheas are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Jan 20 |
A |
Lavrio B.C. |
L |
72 |
75 |
6 |
4 |
L 1 |
76 |
74 |
Jan 16 |
A |
AEK Athens |
W |
82 |
75 |
6 |
3 |
W 2 |
87 |
71 |
Jan 10 |
H |
Iraklis B.C. |
W |
85 |
61 |
5 |
3 |
W 1 |
87 |
65 |
Jan 6 |
A |
Larisa |
L |
81 |
85 |
4 |
3 |
L 1 |
77 |
87 |
Jan 3 |
A |
Messolonghi |
W |
88 |
82 |
4 |
2 |
W 2 |
86 |
86 |
Dec 26 |
H |
Peristeri |
W |
75 |
58 |
3 |
2 |
W 1 |
77 |
60 |
Dec 19 |
A |
Ionikos Nikaias |
L |
77 |
86 |
2 |
2 |
L 1 |
73 |
87 |
Dec 13 |
H |
Kolossos Rodou |
W |
69 |
67 |
2 |
1 |
W 1 |
69 |
66 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of GS Lavrio are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Jan 20 |
H |
Promitheas Patras |
W |
75 |
72 |
8 |
3 |
W 8 |
75 |
75 |
Jan 11 |
A |
Larisa |
W |
66 |
58 |
7 |
3 |
W 7 |
63 |
59 |
Jan 3 |
H |
Panathinaikos |
W |
92 |
82 |
6 |
3 |
W 6 |
101 |
73 |
Dec 27 |
H |
AEK Athens |
W |
78 |
70 |
5 |
3 |
W 5 |
83 |
66 |
Dec 19 |
A |
Iraklis B.C. |
W |
77 |
60 |
4 |
3 |
W 4 |
79 |
64 |
Dec 12 |
H |
Messolonghi |
W |
87 |
70 |
3 |
3 |
W 3 |
85 |
73 |
Dec 9 |
H |
Aris |
W |
92 |
71 |
2 |
3 |
W 2 |
85 |
72 |
Dec 5 |
A |
Peristeri |
W |
78 |
70 |
1 |
3 |
W 1 |
80 |
72 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Promitheas and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by GS Lavrio.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by GS Lavrio and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Promitheas.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Promitheas (in the first graph) and by GS Lavrio in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Promitheas will expected to score 76 points and the GS Lavrio 78 points. The total points line estimated to be at 154.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var |
Promitheas |
GS Lavrio |
FG% |
0.53 |
0.53 |
ASS |
16.20 |
16.30 |
DRB |
23.30 |
21.30 |
AST-TO |
1.21 |
1.28 |
TRB |
29.20 |
29.20 |
FTM |
14.10 |
12.50 |
BL |
4.10 |
2.50 |
FTA |
20.50 |
18.10 |
PF-Fewer |
18.60 |
22.10 |
ST |
6.60 |
8.30 |
TO-Fewer |
13.40 |
12.70 |
Ftper |
0.69 |
0.69 |
ORBper |
0.25 |
0.37 |
ORB |
5.90 |
7.90 |
Go to Top
Kolossos Rhodes vs Peristeri at 23 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Kolossos Rhodes and Peristeri for Greek Basket League, which will take place on 23 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
Kolossos Rhodes |
1.97 |
3.11 |
Peristeri |
1.85 |
1.47 |
Kolossos Rhodes HC |
+1.5 |
5.50 |
Peristeri HC |
-1.5 |
-5.50 |
Point Line |
152.5 |
148.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Kolossos Rhodes are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Jan 9 |
H |
Ionikos Nikaias |
W |
94 |
74 |
4 |
7 |
W 1 |
90 |
75 |
Jan 2 |
A |
AEK Athens |
L |
72 |
89 |
3 |
7 |
L 1 |
76 |
85 |
Dec 26 |
A |
Aris |
W |
84 |
74 |
3 |
6 |
W 1 |
78 |
76 |
Dec 19 |
H |
P.A.O.K. |
L |
84 |
85 |
2 |
6 |
L 2 |
78 |
81 |
Dec 13 |
A |
Promitheas Patras |
L |
67 |
69 |
2 |
5 |
L 1 |
67 |
72 |
Dec 5 |
H |
Larisa |
W |
90 |
64 |
2 |
4 |
W 1 |
86 |
65 |
Nov 22 |
A |
Panathinaikos |
L |
67 |
90 |
1 |
4 |
L 2 |
73 |
80 |
Nov 18 |
A |
Iraklis B.C. |
L |
65 |
66 |
1 |
3 |
L 1 |
66 |
71 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Peristeri are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Jan 9 |
A |
Aris |
W |
84 |
71 |
7 |
4 |
W 2 |
78 |
72 |
Jan 3 |
H |
P.A.O.K. |
W |
76 |
67 |
6 |
4 |
W 1 |
71 |
64 |
Dec 26 |
A |
Promitheas Patras |
L |
58 |
75 |
5 |
4 |
L 1 |
58 |
78 |
Dec 19 |
H |
Larisa |
W |
82 |
78 |
5 |
3 |
W 1 |
78 |
80 |
Dec 13 |
A |
Panathinaikos |
L |
57 |
76 |
4 |
3 |
L 2 |
62 |
68 |
Dec 5 |
H |
Lavrio B.C. |
L |
70 |
78 |
4 |
2 |
L 1 |
74 |
76 |
Nov 22 |
A |
Iraklis B.C. |
W |
75 |
71 |
4 |
1 |
W 2 |
77 |
76 |
Nov 15 |
H |
Messolonghi |
W |
84 |
72 |
3 |
1 |
W 1 |
82 |
75 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Kolossos Rhodes and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Peristeri.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Peristeri and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Kolossos Rhodes.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Kolossos Rhodes (in the first graph) and by Peristeri in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Kolossos Rhodes will expected to score 75 points and the Peristeri 74 points. The total points line estimated to be at 149.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var |
Kolossos Rhodes |
Peristeri |
FG% |
0.54 |
0.49 |
ASS |
17.00 |
15.50 |
DRB |
24.40 |
25.40 |
AST-TO |
1.21 |
1.16 |
TRB |
30.80 |
33.40 |
FTM |
14.30 |
16.30 |
BL |
1.40 |
2.50 |
FTA |
19.80 |
21.30 |
PF-Fewer |
22.70 |
20.40 |
ST |
6.20 |
5.30 |
TO-Fewer |
14.00 |
13.40 |
Ftper |
0.72 |
0.76 |
ORBper |
0.27 |
0.31 |
ORB |
6.50 |
8.00 |
Go to Top
AEK Athens vs Ionikos Nikaias at 23 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between AEK Athens and Ionikos Nikaias for Greek Basket League, which will take place on 23 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
AEK Athens |
1.06 |
1.55 |
Ionikos Nikaias |
9 |
2.82 |
AEK Athens HC |
-16.5 |
-4.50 |
Ionikos Nikaias HC |
+16.5 |
4.50 |
Point Line |
159.5 |
150.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of AEK Athens are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Jan 16 |
H |
Promitheas Patras |
L |
75 |
82 |
8 |
3 |
L 2 |
75 |
85 |
Jan 10 |
A |
Panathinaikos |
L |
75 |
80 |
8 |
2 |
L 1 |
82 |
71 |
Jan 2 |
H |
Kolossos Rodou |
W |
89 |
72 |
8 |
1 |
W 1 |
89 |
71 |
Dec 27 |
A |
Lavrio B.C. |
L |
70 |
78 |
7 |
1 |
L 1 |
74 |
76 |
Dec 20 |
H |
Aris |
W |
84 |
67 |
7 |
0 |
W 6 |
78 |
68 |
Dec 12 |
A |
Iraklis B.C. |
W |
79 |
72 |
6 |
0 |
W 5 |
81 |
77 |
Dec 5 |
H |
P.A.O.K. |
W |
85 |
84 |
5 |
0 |
W 4 |
79 |
80 |
Nov 21 |
A |
Messolonghi |
W |
87 |
66 |
4 |
0 |
W 3 |
85 |
69 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ionikos Nikaias are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Jan 9 |
A |
Kolossos Rodou |
L |
74 |
94 |
4 |
7 |
L 1 |
74 |
93 |
Jan 3 |
H |
Aris |
W |
68 |
64 |
4 |
6 |
W 1 |
63 |
65 |
Dec 27 |
A |
P.A.O.K. |
L |
84 |
86 |
3 |
6 |
L 1 |
78 |
82 |
Dec 19 |
H |
Promitheas Patras |
W |
86 |
77 |
3 |
5 |
W 2 |
86 |
80 |
Dec 12 |
A |
Larisa |
W |
97 |
76 |
2 |
5 |
W 1 |
92 |
78 |
Dec 6 |
H |
Panathinaikos |
L |
53 |
79 |
1 |
5 |
L 1 |
58 |
70 |
Nov 22 |
A |
Lavrio B.C. |
W |
91 |
81 |
1 |
4 |
W 1 |
96 |
79 |
Nov 14 |
H |
Iraklis B.C. |
L |
67 |
77 |
0 |
4 |
L 3 |
68 |
82 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by AEK Athens and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Ionikos Nikaias.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Ionikos Nikaias and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by AEK Athens.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by AEK Athens (in the first graph) and by Ionikos Nikaias in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, AEK Athens will expected to score 79 points and the Ionikos Nikaias 74 points. The total points line estimated to be at 153.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var |
AEK Athens |
Ionikos Nikaias |
FG% |
0.52 |
0.50 |
ASS |
16.80 |
14.30 |
DRB |
21.80 |
22.40 |
AST-TO |
1.35 |
1.06 |
TRB |
31.10 |
31.50 |
FTM |
16.50 |
11.60 |
BL |
2.60 |
1.50 |
FTA |
22.80 |
15.70 |
PF-Fewer |
23.50 |
21.00 |
ST |
5.90 |
7.10 |
TO-Fewer |
12.40 |
13.50 |
Ftper |
0.72 |
0.74 |
ORBper |
0.43 |
0.41 |
ORB |
9.30 |
9.20 |
Go to Top
Aris vs Mesologgi BC at 23 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Aris and Mesologgi BC for Greek Basket League, which will take place on 23 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
Aris |
1.5 |
1.91 |
Mesologgi BC |
2.6 |
2.10 |
Aris HC |
-4.5 |
-1.50 |
Mesologgi BC HC |
+4.5 |
1.50 |
Point Line |
152.5 |
152.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Aris are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Jan 17 |
H |
Panathinaikos |
L |
75 |
93 |
3 |
8 |
L 5 |
82 |
83 |
Jan 9 |
H |
Peristeri |
L |
71 |
84 |
3 |
7 |
L 4 |
73 |
86 |
Jan 3 |
A |
Ionikos Nikaias |
L |
64 |
68 |
3 |
6 |
L 3 |
61 |
68 |
Dec 26 |
H |
Kolossos Rodou |
L |
74 |
84 |
3 |
5 |
L 2 |
74 |
83 |
Dec 20 |
A |
AEK Athens |
L |
67 |
84 |
3 |
4 |
L 1 |
71 |
80 |
Dec 16 |
A |
Larisa |
W |
88 |
84 |
3 |
3 |
W 1 |
84 |
86 |
Dec 13 |
A |
P.A.O.K. |
L |
64 |
75 |
2 |
3 |
L 2 |
60 |
72 |
Dec 9 |
A |
Lavrio B.C. |
L |
71 |
92 |
2 |
2 |
L 1 |
75 |
90 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Mesologgi BC are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Jan 9 |
A |
P.A.O.K. |
L |
87 |
96 |
3 |
8 |
L 8 |
81 |
92 |
Jan 3 |
H |
Promitheas Patras |
L |
82 |
88 |
3 |
7 |
L 7 |
82 |
92 |
Dec 27 |
A |
Larisa |
L |
58 |
84 |
3 |
6 |
L 6 |
55 |
86 |
Dec 20 |
H |
Panathinaikos |
L |
66 |
73 |
3 |
5 |
L 5 |
72 |
65 |
Dec 12 |
A |
Lavrio B.C. |
L |
70 |
87 |
3 |
4 |
L 4 |
74 |
85 |
Dec 5 |
H |
Iraklis B.C. |
L |
68 |
71 |
3 |
3 |
L 3 |
69 |
76 |
Nov 21 |
H |
AEK Athens |
L |
66 |
87 |
3 |
2 |
L 2 |
70 |
83 |
Nov 15 |
A |
Peristeri |
L |
72 |
84 |
3 |
1 |
L 1 |
74 |
86 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Aris and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Mesologgi BC.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Mesologgi BC and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Aris.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Aris (in the first graph) and by Mesologgi BC in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Aris will expected to score 77 points and the Mesologgi BC 77 points. The total points line estimated to be at 154.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var |
Aris |
Mesologgi BC |
FG% |
0.52 |
0.53 |
ASS |
12.40 |
14.50 |
DRB |
20.60 |
22.90 |
AST-TO |
0.91 |
0.94 |
TRB |
29.30 |
29.70 |
FTM |
17.30 |
14.20 |
BL |
2.10 |
1.60 |
FTA |
23.10 |
19.20 |
PF-Fewer |
21.30 |
19.40 |
ST |
8.40 |
5.50 |
TO-Fewer |
13.60 |
15.50 |
Ftper |
0.75 |
0.74 |
ORBper |
0.42 |
0.30 |
ORB |
8.60 |
6.80 |
Go to Top
PAOK vs Iraklis at 23 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between PAOK and Iraklis for Greek Basket League, which will take place on 23 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
PAOK |
1.51 |
1.70 |
Iraklis |
2.92 |
2.43 |
PAOK HC |
-4.5 |
-3.00 |
Iraklis HC |
+4.5 |
3.00 |
Point Line |
153.5 |
152.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of PAOK are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Jan 9 |
H |
Messolonghi |
W |
96 |
87 |
5 |
6 |
W 1 |
93 |
91 |
Jan 3 |
A |
Peristeri |
L |
67 |
76 |
4 |
6 |
L 1 |
69 |
78 |
Dec 27 |
H |
Ionikos Nikaias |
W |
86 |
84 |
4 |
5 |
W 3 |
82 |
85 |
Dec 19 |
A |
Kolossos Rodou |
W |
85 |
84 |