BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis
In this article we will analyse the following games:
Rytas Vilnius vs Strasbourg at 26 January 2021
Limoges vs Hapoel Jerusalem at 26 January 2021
Turk Telekom vs Igokea at 26 January 2021
VEF Riga vs Peristeri at 26 January 2021
Oostende vs Darussafaka at 27 January 2021
Karsiyaka vs Bilbao at 27 January 2021
Brindisi vs San Pablo Burgos at 27 January 2021
Brose Bamberg vs Fortitudo Bologna at 27 January 2021
Before continue, please read the disclaimer.
Rytas Vilnius vs Strasbourg at 26 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Rytas Vilnius and Strasbourg for BCL, which will take place on 26 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Rytas Vilnius 
3.15 
1.82 
Strasbourg 
1.37 
2.22 
Rytas Vilnius HC 
+6.5 
2.00 
Strasbourg HC 
6.5 
2.00 
Point Line 
167.5 
162.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Rytas Vilnius are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 12 
A 
Peristeri BC 
L 
74 
81 
1 
4 

74 
82 
Dec 23 
A 
BC VEF Riga 
L 
60 
84 
1 
3 

60 
80 
Dec 8 
H 
BC VEF Riga 
L 
81 
85 
1 
2 

82 
81 
Nov 10 
A 
Strasbourg IG 
W 
83 
81 
1 
1 

87 
79 
Oct 27 
H 
Peristeri BC 
L 
88 
106 
0 
1 

88 
107 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Strasbourg are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 13 
H 
BC VEF Riga 
W 
101 
94 
4 
1 

102 
90 
Dec 22 
A 
Peristeri BC 
W 
79 
76 
3 
1 

79 
76 
Dec 8 
H 
Peristeri BC 
W 
77 
57 
2 
1 

77 
57 
Nov 10 
H 
Lietuvos Rytas 
L 
81 
83 
1 
1 

74 
87 
Oct 28 
A 
BC VEF Riga 
W 
77 
75 
1 
0 

78 
72 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Rytas Vilnius and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Strasbourg.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Strasbourg and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Rytas Vilnius.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Rytas Vilnius (in the first graph) and by Strasbourg in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Rytas Vilnius will expected to score 77 points and the Strasbourg 84 points. The total points line estimated to be at 161.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Rytas Vilnius 
Strasbourg 
FG% 
0.50 
0.56 
ASS 
17.40 
16.20 
DRB 
19.20 
21.60 
ASTTO 
1.19 
0.86 
TRB 
29.40 
28.40 
FTM 
15.00 
17.40 
BL 
1.40 
3.20 
FTA 
20.40 
24.00 
PFFewer 
19.20 
18.20 
ST 
6.00 
5.40 
TOFewer 
14.60 
18.80 
Ftper 
0.74 
0.72 
ORBper 
0.53 
0.31 
ORB 
10.20 
6.80 
Go to Top
Limoges vs Hapoel Jerusalem at 26 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Limoges and Hapoel Jerusalem for BCL, which will take place on 26 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Limoges 
2.85 
2.32 
Hapoel Jerusalem 
1.42 
1.76 
Limoges HC 
+5.5 
2.50 
Hapoel Jerusalem HC 
5.5 
2.50 
Point Line 
158.5 
153.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Limoges are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 12 
A 
BC Igokea 
L 
73 
76 
1 
4 

78 
82 
Dec 23 
H 
Turk Telekom 
L 
70 
75 
1 
3 

72 
77 
Dec 9 
A 
Turk Telekom 
L 
73 
76 
1 
2 

75 
78 
Nov 11 
H 
Hapoel Bank Yahav Jerusalem 
L 
75 
81 
1 
1 

77 
80 
Oct 28 
H 
BC Igokea 
W 
80 
75 
1 
0 

86 
81 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Hapoel Jerusalem are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 13 
H 
Turk Telekom 
L 
77 
78 
2 
3 

80 
80 
Dec 24 
H 
BC Igokea 
W 
84 
68 
2 
2 

90 
74 
Dec 22 
A 
BC Igokea 
L 
73 
75 
1 
2 

78 
81 
Nov 11 
A 
CSP Limoges 
W 
81 
75 
1 
1 

85 
81 
Oct 27 
A 
Turk Telekom 
L 
94 
98 
0 
1 

97 
101 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Limoges and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Hapoel Jerusalem.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Hapoel Jerusalem and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Limoges.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Limoges (in the first graph) and by Hapoel Jerusalem in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Limoges will expected to score 80 points and the Hapoel Jerusalem 83 points. The total points line estimated to be at 163.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Limoges 
Hapoel Jerusalem 
FG% 
0.53 
0.53 
ASS 
18.00 
22.60 
DRB 
22.80 
21.00 
ASTTO 
1.27 
2.40 
TRB 
32.40 
30.20 
FTM 
9.00 
9.40 
BL 
1.60 
2.60 
FTA 
13.00 
13.80 
PFFewer 
20.40 
21.80 
ST 
5.80 
6.40 
TOFewer 
14.20 
9.40 
Ftper 
0.69 
0.68 
ORBper 
0.42 
0.44 
ORB 
9.60 
9.20 
Go to Top
Turk Telekom vs Igokea at 26 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Turk Telekom and Igokea for BCL, which will take place on 26 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Turk Telekom 
1.63 
1.57 
Igokea 
2.3 
2.76 
Turk Telekom HC 
3.5 
4.50 
Igokea HC 
+3.5 
4.50 
Point Line 
155.5 
152.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Turk Telekom are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 13 
A 
Hapoel Bank Yahav Jerusalem 
W 
78 
77 
4 
1 

80 
76 
Dec 23 
A 
CSP Limoges 
W 
75 
70 
3 
1 

79 
76 
Dec 9 
H 
CSP Limoges 
W 
76 
73 
2 
1 

80 
79 
Nov 11 
A 
BC Igokea 
L 
66 
77 
1 
1 

71 
83 
Oct 27 
H 
Hapoel Bank Yahav Jerusalem 
W 
98 
94 
1 
0 

100 
93 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Igokea are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 12 
H 
CSP Limoges 
W 
76 
73 
3 
2 

80 
79 
Dec 24 
A 
Hapoel Bank Yahav Jerusalem 
L 
68 
84 
2 
2 

70 
83 
Dec 22 
H 
Hapoel Bank Yahav Jerusalem 
W 
75 
73 
2 
1 

77 
72 
Nov 11 
H 
Turk Telekom 
W 
77 
66 
1 
1 

80 
68 
Oct 28 
A 
CSP Limoges 
L 
75 
80 
0 
1 

79 
86 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Turk Telekom and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Igokea.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Igokea and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Turk Telekom.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Turk Telekom (in the first graph) and by Igokea in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Turk Telekom will expected to score 80 points and the Igokea 79 points. The total points line estimated to be at 159.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Turk Telekom 
Igokea 
FG% 
0.53 
0.52 
ASS 
20.00 
16.20 
DRB 
20.80 
23.20 
ASTTO 
1.69 
1.09 
TRB 
31.20 
32.40 
FTM 
9.20 
15.60 
BL 
2.20 
1.40 
FTA 
11.80 
22.00 
PFFewer 
20.80 
22.00 
ST 
5.40 
7.00 
TOFewer 
11.80 
14.80 
Ftper 
0.78 
0.71 
ORBper 
0.50 
0.40 
ORB 
10.40 
9.20 
Go to Top
VEF Riga vs Peristeri at 26 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between VEF Riga and Peristeri for BCL, which will take place on 26 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
VEF Riga 
2.6 
2.05 
Peristeri 
1.5 
1.95 
VEF Riga HC 
+4.5 
1.50 
Peristeri HC 
4.5 
1.50 
Point Line 
154.5 
162.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of VEF Riga are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 13 
A 
Strasbourg IG 
L 
94 
101 
3 
2 

98 
98 
Dec 23 
H 
Lietuvos Rytas 
W 
84 
60 
3 
1 

77 
63 
Dec 8 
A 
Lietuvos Rytas 
W 
85 
81 
2 
1 

78 
85 
Nov 10 
A 
Peristeri BC 
W 
84 
81 
1 
1 

84 
82 
Oct 28 
H 
Strasbourg IG 
L 
75 
77 
0 
1 

78 
75 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Peristeri are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 12 
H 
Lietuvos Rytas 
W 
81 
74 
2 
3 

74 
77 
Dec 22 
H 
Strasbourg IG 
L 
76 
79 
1 
3 

80 
77 
Dec 8 
A 
Strasbourg IG 
L 
57 
77 
1 
2 

60 
75 
Nov 10 
H 
BC VEF Riga 
L 
81 
84 
1 
1 

82 
80 
Oct 27 
A 
Lietuvos Rytas 
W 
106 
88 
1 
0 

97 
92 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by VEF Riga and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Peristeri.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Peristeri and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by VEF Riga.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by VEF Riga (in the first graph) and by Peristeri in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, VEF Riga will expected to score 82 points and the Peristeri 80 points. The total points line estimated to be at 162.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
VEF Riga 
Peristeri 
FG% 
0.49 
0.56 
ASS 
18.00 
19.00 
DRB 
18.60 
20.20 
ASTTO 
1.76 
1.22 
TRB 
28.80 
32.00 
FTM 
10.80 
9.00 
BL 
2.00 
1.80 
FTA 
15.20 
12.80 
PFFewer 
20.40 
18.00 
ST 
9.80 
7.40 
TOFewer 
10.20 
15.60 
Ftper 
0.71 
0.70 
ORBper 
0.55 
0.58 
ORB 
10.20 
11.80 
Go to Top
Oostende vs Darussafaka at 27 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Oostende and Darussafaka for BCL, which will take place on 27 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Oostende 
2.6 
1.95 
Darussafaka 
1.5 
2.05 
Oostende HC 
+4.5 
1.50 
Darussafaka HC 
4.5 
1.50 
Point Line 
160.5 
165.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Oostende are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 12 
A 
Hereda San Pablo Burgos 
L 
73 
88 
1 
4 

77 
77 
Dec 22 
A 
Enel Brindisi 
L 
81 
93 
1 
3 

78 
86 
Dec 9 
H 
Enel Brindisi 
L 
80 
92 
1 
2 

77 
85 
Nov 10 
H 
Hereda San Pablo Burgos 
W 
99 
98 
1 
1 

104 
86 
Oct 28 
A 
Darussafaka Basketbol Istanbul 
L 
74 
79 
0 
1 

70 
83 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Darussafaka are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 13 
H 
Enel Brindisi 
L 
83 
87 
1 
4 

80 
80 
Dec 22 
H 
Hereda San Pablo Burgos 
L 
71 
74 
1 
3 

74 
65 
Dec 9 
A 
Hereda San Pablo Burgos 
L 
70 
100 
1 
2 

73 
88 
Nov 11 
A 
Enel Brindisi 
L 
81 
92 
1 
1 

78 
85 
Oct 28 
H 
Telenet BC Oostende 
W 
79 
74 
1 
0 

70 
73 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Oostende and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Darussafaka.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Darussafaka and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Oostende.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Oostende (in the first graph) and by Darussafaka in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Oostende will expected to score 80 points and the Darussafaka 79 points. The total points line estimated to be at 159.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Oostende 
Darussafaka 
FG% 
0.56 
0.53 
ASS 
18.20 
16.60 
DRB 
22.20 
20.60 
ASTTO 
1.15 
1.22 
TRB 
31.00 
27.00 
FTM 
13.20 
15.20 
BL 
2.00 
2.40 
FTA 
19.20 
20.60 
PFFewer 
20.20 
23.80 
ST 
6.60 
7.40 
TOFewer 
15.80 
13.60 
Ftper 
0.69 
0.74 
ORBper 
0.40 
0.31 
ORB 
8.80 
6.40 
Go to Top
Karsiyaka vs Bilbao at 27 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Karsiyaka and Bilbao for BCL, which will take place on 27 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Karsiyaka 
1.57 
1.38 
Bilbao 
2.4 
3.64 
Karsiyaka HC 
3.5 
6.50 
Bilbao HC 
+3.5 
6.50 
Point Line 
159.5 
148.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Karsiyaka are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 12 
A 
Fortituto Kontatto Bologna 
W 
78 
65 
3 
2 

77 
79 
Jan 5 
H 
Fortituto Kontatto Bologna 
W 
80 
69 
2 
2 

79 
84 
Dec 23 
H 
Brose Baskets Bamberg 
L 
70 
76 
1 
2 

77 
72 
Dec 8 
A 
Brose Baskets Bamberg 
L 
82 
83 
1 
1 

91 
78 
Oct 27 
A 
RETAbet Bilbao Basket 
W 
81 
72 
1 
0 

89 
78 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bilbao are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Jan 12 
A 
Brose Baskets Bamberg 
L 
75 
90 
2 
3 

83 
85 
Dec 23 
H 
Fortituto Kontatto Bologna 
W 
82 
54 
2 
2 

81 
66 
Dec 8 
A 
Fortituto Kontatto Bologna 
W 
69 
64 
1 
2 
