BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis
In this article we will analyse the following games:
Before continue, please read the disclaimer.
Vanoli Cremona vs Virtus Bologna at 30 January 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Vanoli Cremona and Virtus Bologna for Serie A, which will take place on 30 January 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Vanoli Cremona are:
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Virtus Bologna are:
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Vanoli Cremona and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Virtus Bologna.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Virtus Bologna and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Vanoli Cremona.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Vanoli Cremona (in the first graph) and by Virtus Bologna in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Vanoli Cremona will expected to score 81 points and the Virtus Bologna 85 points. The total points line estimated to be at 166.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.