2021 02 02 7DAYS EuroCup



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Monaco vs Joventut Badalona at 02 February 2021
Unics vs Mornar Bar at 03 February 2021
Nanterre vs Unicaja Malaga at 03 February 2021
Buducnost vs Virtus Bologna at 03 February 2021
Partizan vs Lokomotiv Kuban at 03 February 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Monaco vs Joventut Badalona at 02 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Monaco and Joventut Badalona for EuroCup, which will take place on 02 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Monaco

1.44

2.55

Joventut Badalona

2.8

1.65

Monaco HC

-5.5

3.50

Joventut Badalona HC

+5.5

-3.50

Point Line

159.5

154.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Monaco are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 26

A

Joventut

L

72

79

8

5

L 1

73

72

Jan 19

H

Unicaja

W

90

71

8

4

W 4

87

66

Jan 13

A

Nanterre 92

W

93

65

7

4

W 3

88

63

Dec 29

H

MoraBanc Andorra

W

66

64

6

4

W 2

71

70

Dec 18

A

Lietkabelis

W

88

64

5

4

W 1

86

70

Dec 16

A

Lokomotiv Kuban

L

72

76

4

4

L 2

72

68

Dec 9

H

Virtus Bologna

L

68

74

4

3

L 1

73

67

Nov 17

A

Antwerp Giants

W

75

67

4

2

W 1

70

73

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Joventut Badalona are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 26

H

Monaco

W

79

72

11

2

W 6

88

72

Jan 20

H

Nanterre 92

W

95

90

10

2

W 5

90

87

Jan 13

A

Unicaja

W

95

86

9

2

W 4

92

80

Dec 30

H

JL Bourg

W

90

75

8

2

W 3

90

75

Dec 15

H

UNICS

W

84

77

7

2

W 2

88

75

Dec 8

A

Umana Reyer Venezia

W

89

75

6

2

W 1

81

79

Nov 19

A

Partizan NIS

L

75

78

5

2

L 2

80

81

Nov 17

H

Bahcesehir

L

77

87

5

1

L 1

75

86

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Monaco and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Joventut Badalona.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Joventut Badalona and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Monaco.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Monaco (in the first graph) and by Joventut Badalona in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Monaco will expected to score 80 points and the Joventut Badalona 79 points. The total points line estimated to be at 159.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Monaco

Joventut Badalona

FG%

0.51

0.58

ASS

14.80

20.50

DRB

21.40

22.90

AST-TO

1.37

1.60

TRB

32.80

32.20

FTM

14.00

16.20

BL

2.30

2.00

FTA

19.90

20.50

PF-Fewer

20.80

20.00

ST

7.50

5.00

TO-Fewer

10.80

12.80

Ftper

0.70

0.79

ORBper

0.53

0.41

ORB

11.40

9.30


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Unics vs Mornar Bar at 03 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Unics and Mornar Bar for EuroCup, which will take place on 03 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Unics

1.27

1.65

Mornar Bar

3.75

2.53

Unics HC

-8.5

-3.50

Mornar Bar HC

+8.5

3.50

Point Line

160.5

158.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Unics are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 27

A

Mornar

W

87

70

9

4

W 3

85

70

Jan 20

H

Herbalife Gran Canaria

W

73

62

8

4

W 2

73

62

Jan 13

A

MoraBanc Andorra

W

73

66

7

4

W 1

78

72

Dec 15

A

Joventut

L

77

84

6

4

L 1

78

77

Dec 9

H

JL Bourg

W

76

71

6

3

W 2

76

71

Nov 19

A

JL Bourg

W

86

74

5

3

W 1

86

74

Nov 17

A

Partizan NIS

L

86

89

4

3

L 1

92

92

Nov 10

A

Bahcesehir

W

70

67

4

2

W 2

68

66

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Mornar Bar are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 27

H

UNICS

L

70

87

6

7

L 2

73

85

Jan 20

H

MoraBanc Andorra

L

71

74

6

6

L 1

76

80

Jan 13

A

Herbalife Gran Canaria

W

102

100

6

5

W 3

102

100

Dec 16

A

Buducnost VOLI

W

84

78

5

5

W 2

86

78

Dec 9

H

Metropolitans 92

W

89

78

4

5

W 1

89

78

Nov 18

A

Germani Brescia

L

75

77

3

5

L 3

72

81

Nov 11

A

Unicaja

L

72

98

3

4

L 2

70

91

Nov 3

H

ratiopharm Ulm

L

66

82

3

3

L 1

68

83

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Unics and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Mornar Bar.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Mornar Bar and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Unics.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Unics (in the first graph) and by Mornar Bar in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Unics will expected to score 82 points and the Mornar Bar 79 points. The total points line estimated to be at 161.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Unics

Mornar Bar

FG%

0.54

0.54

ASS

17.50

15.60

DRB

22.20

23.00

AST-TO

1.62

1.17

TRB

32.10

28.60

FTM

11.80

14.40

BL

1.50

3.40

FTA

14.60

19.30

PF-Fewer

20.90

19.10

ST

6.80

5.50

TO-Fewer

10.80

13.30

Ftper

0.80

0.74

ORBper

0.44

0.24

ORB

9.80

5.60


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Nanterre vs Unicaja Malaga at 03 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Nanterre and Unicaja Malaga for EuroCup, which will take place on 03 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Nanterre

2.6

2.02

Unicaja Malaga

1.5

1.98

Nanterre HC

+4.5

1.00

Unicaja Malaga HC

-4.5

-1.00

Point Line

165.5

166.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Nanterre are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 27

A

Unicaja

W

92

83

5

8

W 1

89

77

Jan 20

A

Joventut

L

90

95

4

8

L 4

92

87

Jan 13

H

Monaco

L

65

93

4

7

L 3

72

93

Dec 23

A

Bursaspor

L

92

102

4

6

L 2

80

94

Dec 22

H

Bursaspor

L

90

91

4

5

L 1

78

84

Dec 8

H

Promitheas

W

91

70

4

4

W 3

83

74

Nov 18

A

Dolomiti Energia Trento

W

104

102

3

4

W 2

110

107

Nov 11

H

Herbalife Gran Canaria

W

90

74

2

4

W 1

90

74

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Unicaja Malaga are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 27

H

Nanterre 92

L

83

92

7

6

L 4

78

89

Jan 19

A

Monaco

L

71

90

7

5

L 3

79

90

Jan 13

H

Joventut

L

86

95

7

4

L 2

88

87

Dec 16

H

ratiopharm Ulm

L

90

94

7

3

L 1

93

95

Dec 9

A

Germani Brescia

W

83

79

7

2

W 3

80

83

Nov 18

A

Buducnost VOLI

W

90

66

6

2

W 2

92

66

Nov 11

H

Mornar

W

98

72

5

2

W 1

96

72

Nov 3

A

Metropolitans 92

L

80

90

4

2

L 1

80

90

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Nanterre and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Unicaja Malaga.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Unicaja Malaga and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Nanterre.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Nanterre (in the first graph) and by Unicaja Malaga in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Nanterre will expected to score 83 points and the Unicaja Malaga 85 points. The total points line estimated to be at 168.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Nanterre

Unicaja Malaga

FG%

0.54

0.58

ASS

15.90

18.20

DRB

22.20

20.80

AST-TO

1.39

1.48

TRB

30.60

29.40

FTM

12.30

13.30

BL

2.30

2.00

FTA

18.20

16.90

PF-Fewer

19.20

21.30

ST

6.70

5.60

TO-Fewer

11.40

12.30

Ftper

0.68

0.79

ORBper

0.38

0.41

ORB

8.40

8.60


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Buducnost vs Virtus Bologna at 03 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Buducnost and Virtus Bologna for EuroCup, which will take place on 03 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Buducnost

4.75

2.20

Virtus Bologna

1.19

1.84

Buducnost HC

+9.5

2.00

Virtus Bologna HC

-9.5

-2.00

Point Line

158.5

159.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Buducnost are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 26

A

Virtus Bologna

L

65

87

6

7

L 2

70

79

Jan 19

A

Cedevita Olimpija

L

71

74

6

6

L 1

75

71

Jan 12

H

JL Bourg

W

108

80

6

5

W 1

108

80

Dec 16

H

Mornar

L

78

84

5

5

L 2

77

84

Dec 11

H

Metropolitans 92

L

71

73

5

4

L 1

71

73

Dec 8

A

ratiopharm Ulm

W

77

73

5

3

W 2

80

74

Nov 20

A

Germani Brescia

W

75

66

4

3

W 1

72

69

Nov 18

H

Unicaja

L

66

90

3

3

L 2

64

84

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Virtus Bologna are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 26

H

Buducnost VOLI

W

87

65

13

0

W 12

89

66

Jan 20

A

JL Bourg

W

99

87

12

0

W 11

99

87

Jan 13

H

Cedevita Olimpija

W

90

76

11

0

W 10

96

73

Dec 22

H

MoraBanc Andorra

W

92

81

10

0

W 9

98

88

Dec 16

H

Antwerp Giants

W

92

73

9

0

W 8

85

79

Dec 9

A

Monaco

W

74

68

8

0

W 7

82

68

Nov 20

H

Lietkabelis

W

82

73

7

0

W 6

80

80

Nov 11

A

Lokomotiv Kuban

W

89

83

6

0

W 5

89

75

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Buducnost and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Virtus Bologna.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Virtus Bologna and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Buducnost.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Buducnost (in the first graph) and by Virtus Bologna in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Buducnost will expected to score 78 points and the Virtus Bologna 84 points. The total points line estimated to be at 162.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Buducnost

Virtus Bologna

FG%

0.52

0.60

ASS

13.60

24.20

DRB

23.50

23.80

AST-TO

1.10

1.55

TRB

30.80

31.10

FTM

18.30

14.90

BL

2.50

3.50

FTA

22.70

19.80

PF-Fewer

19.10

22.80

ST

6.80

8.80

TO-Fewer

12.40

15.60

Ftper

0.81

0.76

ORBper

0.31

0.30

ORB

7.40

7.20


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Partizan vs Lokomotiv Kuban at 03 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Partizan and Lokomotiv Kuban for EuroCup, which will take place on 03 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Partizan

3.85

5.10

Lokomotiv Kuban

1.26

1.24

Partizan HC

+8.5

8.50

Lokomotiv Kuban HC

-8.5

-8.50

Point Line

162.5

157.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Partizan are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 27

A

Lokomotiv Kuban

L

67

74

7

6

L 2

67

66

Jan 19

A

Metropolitans 92

L

62

79

7

5

L 1

62

79

Jan 13

H

Dolomiti Energia Trento

W

71

43

7

4

W 2

75

45

Dec 29

A

Umana Reyer Venezia

W

79

59

6

4