2021 02 06 France’s LNB Pro A



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Boulazac Dordogne Pro vs Nanterre at 06 February 2021
Limoges vs Pau-Lacq-Orthez at 06 February 2021
Chalons-Reims vs Bourg at 06 February 2021
Orleans vs Gravelines at 06 February 2021
Metropolitans 92 vs Strasbourg at 06 February 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Boulazac Dordogne Pro vs Nanterre at 06 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Boulazac Dordogne Pro and Nanterre for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 06 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Boulazac Dordogne Pro

3.25

2.24

Nanterre

1.35

1.81

Boulazac Dordogne Pro HC

+6.5

2.50

Nanterre HC

-6.5

-2.50

Point Line

163.5

160.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Boulazac Dordogne Pro are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 29

A

BCM Gravelines

L

84

100

0

7

L 6

83

104

Jan 16

H

Dijon

L

76

86

0

6

L 5

81

84

Dec 26

H

Monaco

L

71

77

0

5

L 4

84

73

Dec 19

A

Paris Levallois

L

79

98

0

4

L 3

82

94

Oct 24

A

Elan Bearnais

L

60

89

0

3

L 2

57

88

Oct 19

A

Strasbourg

L

84

100

0

2

L 1

84

94

Oct 17

H

Le Portel

L

70

71

0

1

L 0

67

75

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Nanterre are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 16

A

Le Portel

L

75

78

3

4

L 3

72

83

Dec 19

H

Cholet

L

76

80

3

3

L 2

72

79

Nov 22

A

Paris Levallois

L

67

73

3

2

L 1

70

70

Oct 17

H

Strasbourg

W

89

80

3

1

W 3

89

75

Oct 10

A

Chalons-Reims

W

83

74

2

1

W 2

76

74

Sep 26

A

Limoges

W

85

76

1

1

W 1

87

80

Sep 23

H

JL Bourg

L

82

95

0

1

L 0

81

88

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Boulazac Dordogne Pro and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Nanterre.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Nanterre and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Boulazac Dordogne Pro.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Boulazac Dordogne Pro (in the first graph) and by Nanterre in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Boulazac Dordogne Pro will expected to score 78 points and the Nanterre 83 points. The total points line estimated to be at 161.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Boulazac Dordogne Pro

Nanterre

FG%

0.53

0.52

ASS

15.90

12.50

DRB

19.70

23.50

AST-TO

0.97

1.14

TRB

27.40

33.30

FTM

15.90

13.70

BL

1.90

2.80

FTA

21.30

18.80

PF-Fewer

21.90

20.00

ST

6.00

5.00

TO-Fewer

16.40

11.00

Ftper

0.74

0.73

ORBper

0.39

0.42

ORB

7.70

9.80


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Limoges vs Pau-Lacq-Orthez at 06 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Limoges and Pau-Lacq-Orthez for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 06 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Limoges

1.29

1.77

Pau-Lacq-Orthez

3.65

2.30

Limoges HC

-7.5

-2.50

Pau-Lacq-Orthez HC

+7.5

2.50

Point Line

157.5

154.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Limoges are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 15

A

Le Mans

L

68

91

4

4

L 1

74

94

Dec 19

H

JL Bourg

W

74

72

4

3

W 1

74

67

Nov 21

A

Monaco

L

59

86

3

3

L 2

70

81

Oct 26

A

Paris Levallois

L

76

82

3

2

L 1

79

79

Oct 12

A

Strasbourg

W

74

66

3

1

W 3

74

62

Oct 3

H

Le Portel

W

91

68

2

1

W 2

87

72

Sep 29

A

BCM Gravelines

W

77

65

1

1

W 1

76

67

Sep 26

H

Nanterre

L

76

85

0

1

L 0

78

84

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Pau-Lacq-Orthez are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 30

H

Chalons-Reims

L

86

97

3

7

L 6

78

97

Jan 16

H

JL Bourg

L

76

83

3

6

L 5

76

77

Dec 19

A

Strasbourg

L

71

94

3

5

L 4

71

88

Dec 12

A

Orleans Loiret

L

75

85

3

4

L 3

72

75

Dec 6

H

Monaco

L

86

90

3

3

L 2

102

85

Nov 7

A

Paris Levallois

L

77

84

3

2

L 1

80

81

Oct 28

H

Le Mans

W

90

81

3

1

W 2

98

84

Oct 24

H

Boulazac

W

89

60

2

1

W 1

77

63

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Limoges and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Pau-Lacq-Orthez.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Pau-Lacq-Orthez and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Limoges.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Limoges (in the first graph) and by Pau-Lacq-Orthez in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Limoges will expected to score 79 points and the Pau-Lacq-Orthez 79 points. The total points line estimated to be at 158.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Limoges

Pau-Lacq-Orthez

FG%

0.54

0.56

ASS

18.30

15.90

DRB

19.10

21.80

AST-TO

1.35

0.99

TRB

25.50

28.30

FTM

17.50

12.90

BL

1.40

1.50

FTA

22.40

16.90

PF-Fewer

18.90

20.50

ST

4.60

7.70

TO-Fewer

13.60

16.10

Ftper

0.78

0.76

ORBper

0.34

0.30

ORB

6.40

6.50


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Chalons-Reims vs Bourg at 06 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Chalons-Reims and Bourg for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 06 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Chalons-Reims

3.25

2.89

Bourg

1.35

1.53

Chalons-Reims HC

+6.5

5.00

Bourg HC

-6.5

-5.00

Point Line

165.5

163.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Chalons-Reims are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 30

A

Elan Bearnais

W

97

86

2

8

W 1

92

84

Jan 23

H

Paris Levallois

L

73

87

1

8

L 4

76

84

Dec 19

A

BCM Gravelines

L

80

84

1

7

L 3

79

87

Dec 12

H

Elan Chalon

L

78

87

1

6

L 2

74

98

Oct 27

A

Dijon

L

72

87

1

5

L 1

77

85

Oct 24

A

Le Mans

W

87

84

1

4

W 1

95

87

Oct 21

A

Le Portel

L

76

78

0

4

L 3

73

83

Oct 17

A

Orleans Loiret

L

79

99

0

3

L 2

75

87

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bourg are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 30

H

Orleans Loiret

W

88

82

7

2

W 2

84

72

Jan 16

A

Elan Bearnais

W

83

76

6

2

W 1

79

75

Dec 26

A

Dijon

L

71

80

5

2

L 1

76

78

Dec 22

H

Le Mans

W

98

78

5

1

W 1

107

81

Dec 19

A

Limoges

L

72

74

4

1

L 1

73

78

Nov 14

A

Paris Levallois

W

79

76

4

0

W 3

82

73

Oct 4

A

ASVEL

W

104

102

3

0

W 2

103

89

Sep 27

H

Roanne

W

80

63

2

0

W 1

86

74

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Chalons-Reims and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bourg.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bourg and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Chalons-Reims.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Chalons-Reims (in the first graph) and by Bourg in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Chalons-Reims will expected to score 79 points and the Bourg 87 points. The total points line estimated to be at 166.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Chalons-Reims

Bourg

FG%

0.51

0.57

ASS

17.70

18.90

DRB

21.10

24.30

AST-TO

1.31

1.50

TRB

29.20

33.90

FTM

13.70

11.00

BL

2.40

2.30

FTA

18.70

14.80

PF-Fewer

16.80

17.90

ST

8.40

7.30

TO-Fewer

13.50

12.60

Ftper

0.73

0.75

ORBper

0.38

0.40

ORB

8.10

9.60


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Orleans vs Gravelines at 06 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Orleans and Gravelines for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 06 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Orleans

1.44

1.15

Gravelines

2.8

7.51

Orleans HC

-5.5

-10.00

Gravelines HC

+5.5

10.00

Point Line

164.5

160.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Orleans are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 30

A

JL Bourg

L

82

88

3

5

L 2

81

82

Dec 19

A

Le Portel

L

84

85

3

4

L 1

80

90

Dec 12

H

Elan Bearnais

W

85

75

3

3

W 1

80

74

Nov 8

A

ASVEL

L

83

93

2

3

L 1

82

81

Oct 17

H

Chalons-Reims

W

99

79

2

2

W 1

90

79

Oct 10

A

Elan Chalon

L

80

83

1

2

L 2

76

94

Oct 7

A

Strasbourg

L

91

97

1

1

L 1

91

91

Sep 26

H

Cholet

W

101

63

1

0

W 0

96

62

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Gravelines are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 29

H

Boulazac

W

100

84

4

5

W 2

87

88

Jan 16

H

Cholet

W

100

96

3

5

W 1

95

95

Dec 26

A

ASVEL

L

68

96

2

5

L 1

67

84

Dec 19

H

Chalons-Reims

W

84

80

2

4

W 1

77

80

Oct 24

H

Dijon

L

67

81

1

4

L 1

71

79

Oct 9

H

Roanne

W

77

43

1

3

W 1

83

50

Oct 3

A

Le Mans

L

64

69

0

3

L 2

70

72

Sep 29

H

Limoges

L

65

77

0

2

L 1

66

81

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Orleans and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Gravelines.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Gravelines and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Orleans.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Orleans (in the first graph) and by Gravelines in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Orleans will expected to score 82 points and the Gravelines 79 points. The total points line estimated to be at 161.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Orleans

Gravelines

FG%

0.58

0.53

ASS

18.60

17.10

DRB

22.90

21.30

AST-TO

1.32

1.02

TRB

31.30

29.20

FTM

17.00

14.10

BL

1.90

2.60

FTA

21.80

18.90

PF-Fewer

19.30

19.70

ST

8.40

8.20

TO-Fewer

14.10

16.70

Ftper

0.78

0.75

ORBper

0.37

0.37

ORB

8.40

7.90


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Metropolitans 92 vs Strasbourg at 06 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Metropolitans 92 and Strasbourg for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 06 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Metropolitans 92

1.35

1.86

Strasbourg

3.25

2.17

Metropolitans 92 HC

-6.5

-2.00

Strasbourg HC

+6.5

2.00

Point Line

159.5

156.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Metropolitans 92 are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 30

A

Roanne

L

67

80

8

3

L 1

72

94

Jan 23

A

Chalons-Reims

W

87

73

8

2

W 1

79

73

Dec 26

A

Le Mans

L

88

95

7

2

L 1

96

99

Dec 19

H

Boulazac

W

98

79

7

1

W 2

85

83

Nov 22

H

Nanterre

W

73

67

6

1

W 1

74

66

Nov 14

H

JL Bourg

L

76

79

5

1

L 1

76

73