2021 02 06 German BBL



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Rasta Vechta vs Skyliners Frankfurt at 06 February 2021
Giessen 46ers vs Crailsheim Merlins at 06 February 2021
Mitteldeutscher vs Bonn at 06 February 2021
Brose Bamberg vs Bayern Munich at 07 February 2021
Oldenburg vs Riesen Ludwigsburg at 07 February 2021
Alba Berlin vs Niners Chemnitz at 07 February 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Rasta Vechta vs Skyliners Frankfurt at 06 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Rasta Vechta and Skyliners Frankfurt for German BBL, which will take place on 06 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Rasta Vechta

1.9

1.73

Skyliners Frankfurt

1.9

2.37

Rasta Vechta HC

-1.5

-3.00

Skyliners Frankfurt HC

+1.5

3.00

Point Line

161.5

164.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Rasta Vechta are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 31

A

ALBA Berlin

L

70

86

3

12

77

85

Jan 22

A

BG Goettingen

W

102

90

2

11

93

93

Jan 16

H

Giessen 46ers

W

97

84

1

11

84

84

Jan 8

H

Brose Baskets Bamberg

W

90

82

1

11

93

85

Jan 2

A

Hamburg Towers

L

74

92

0

11

80

92

Dec 30

H

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

L

80

82

0

10

82

73

Dec 27

H

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

L

81

98

0

9

83

92

Dec 23

A

Mitteldeutscher BC

L

72

82

0

8

68

81

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Skyliners Frankfurt are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 2

A

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

76

80

6

9

81

77

Jan 31

H

Telekom Baskets Bonn

W

84

79

6

8

83

83

Jan 23

A

Hamburg Towers

L

70

98

5

8

76

98

Jan 17

H

s.Oliver Baskets

L

72

80

5

7

71

86

Jan 10

H

BG Goettingen

W

81

63

5

6

74

65

Jan 2

A

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

94

89

4

6

88

88

Dec 30

A

Giessen 46ers

L

74

75

3

6

64

75

Dec 26

H

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

W

103

98

3

5

93

95

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Rasta Vechta and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Skyliners Frankfurt.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Skyliners Frankfurt and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Rasta Vechta.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Rasta Vechta (in the first graph) and by Skyliners Frankfurt in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Rasta Vechta will expected to score 81 points and the Skyliners Frankfurt 82 points. The total points line estimated to be at 163.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Rasta Vechta

Skyliners Frankfurt

FG%

0.53

0.53

ASS

18.00

16.30

DRB

21.70

23.20

AST-TO

1.18

1.12

TRB

30.40

30.90

FTM

16.60

16.30

BL

2.00

1.40

FTA

21.50

21.00

PF-Fewer

22.10

20.50

ST

5.10

5.60

TO-Fewer

15.30

14.50

Ftper

0.77

0.78

ORBper

0.40

0.33

ORB

8.70

7.70


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top


Giessen 46ers vs Crailsheim Merlins at 06 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Giessen 46ers and Crailsheim Merlins for German BBL, which will take place on 06 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Giessen 46ers

3.15

3.14

Crailsheim Merlins

1.37

1.47

Giessen 46ers HC

+6.5

5.50

Crailsheim Merlins HC

-6.5

-5.50

Point Line

182.5

177.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Giessen 46ers are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 30

A

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

85

99

2

13

90

92

Jan 23

H

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

L

82

97

2

12

84

86

Jan 16

A

SC Rasta Vechta

L

84

97

2

11

82

102

Jan 10

A

ALBA Berlin

L

82

92

2

10

90

91

Jan 2

H

BG Goettingen

L

90

92

2

9

82

95

Dec 30

H

Fraport Skyliners

W

75

74

2

8

77

80

Dec 26

A

Medi Bayreuth

W

110

99

1

7

107

102

Dec 23

A

Telekom Baskets Bonn

L

68

81

0

8

68

85

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Crailsheim Merlins are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 31

A

Bayern Munich

W

105

103

13

2

114

99

Jan 24

A

Telekom Baskets Bonn

W

93

84

12

2

92

88

Jan 16

H

Medi Bayreuth

W

82

77

11

2

80

80

Jan 10

A

Hamburg Towers

L

72

89

10

2

78

89

Jan 3

A

s.Oliver Baskets

W

86

80

10

1

85

86

Dec 29

H

Ratiopharm Ulm

W

86

84

9

1

92

81

Dec 27

A

SC Rasta Vechta

W

98

81

8

1

95

85

Dec 22

H

Fraport Skyliners

W

76

64

7

1

78

69

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Giessen 46ers and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Crailsheim Merlins.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Crailsheim Merlins and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Giessen 46ers.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Giessen 46ers (in the first graph) and by Crailsheim Merlins in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Giessen 46ers will expected to score 84 points and the Crailsheim Merlins 93 points. The total points line estimated to be at 177.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Giessen 46ers

Crailsheim Merlins

FG%

0.53

0.57

ASS

16.60

17.10

DRB

20.70

22.90

AST-TO

1.18

1.23

TRB

29.90

31.40

FTM

12.10

19.70

BL

2.30

2.20

FTA

14.70

25.30

PF-Fewer

22.10

23.00

ST

5.70

7.00

TO-Fewer

14.10

13.90

Ftper

0.83

0.78

ORBper

0.44

0.37

ORB

9.20

8.50


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top


Mitteldeutscher vs Bonn at 06 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Mitteldeutscher and Bonn for German BBL, which will take place on 06 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Mitteldeutscher

1.85

1.63

Bonn

1.97

2.58

Mitteldeutscher HC

-1.5

-4.00

Bonn HC

+1.5

4.00

Point Line

176.5

169.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Mitteldeutscher are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 3

A

Brose Baskets Bamberg

L

80

95

5

10

82

98

Jan 29

H

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

92

104

5

9

98

100

Jan 23

H

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

80

93

5

8

85

87

Jan 17

A

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

L

79

87

5

7

81

77

Jan 14

A

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

W

104

91

5

6

94

88

Jan 2

H

Fraport Skyliners

L

89

94

4

6

92

101

Dec 30

A

BV Chemnitz 99

L

79

96

4

5

73

99

Dec 23

H

SC Rasta Vechta

W

82

72

4

4

80

75

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bonn are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 31

A

Fraport Skyliners

L

79

84

3

11

81

90

Jan 24

H

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

L

84

93

3

10

86

87

Jan 15

A

BV Chemnitz 99

L

92

93

3

9

85

96

Jan 9

H

s.Oliver Baskets

L

77

89

3

8

76

95

Jan 2

A

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

72

73

3

7

77

70

Dec 27

H

BG Goettingen

W

102

87

3

6

93

90

Dec 23

H

Giessen 46ers

W

81

68

2

6

71

68

Dec 19

A

Brose Baskets Bamberg

L

66

80

1

6

68

83

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Mitteldeutscher and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bonn.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bonn and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Mitteldeutscher.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Mitteldeutscher (in the first graph) and by Bonn in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Mitteldeutscher will expected to score 85 points and the Bonn 85 points. The total points line estimated to be at 170.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Mitteldeutscher

Bonn

FG%

0.53

0.53

ASS

17.50

16.60

DRB

21.20

21.40

AST-TO

1.17

1.29

TRB

32.10

29.40

FTM

15.90

13.60

BL

3.20

1.80

FTA

19.50

18.20

PF-Fewer

22.60

21.70

ST

7.30

6.70

TO-Fewer

15.00

12.90

Ftper

0.82

0.74

ORBper

0.51

0.37

ORB

10.90

8.00


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top


Brose Bamberg vs Bayern Munich at 07 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Brose Bamberg and Bayern Munich for German BBL, which will take place on 07 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Brose Bamberg

4.6

3.01

Bayern Munich

1.2

1.50

Brose Bamberg HC

+9.5

5.00

Bayern Munich HC

-9.5

-5.00

Point Line

160.5

164.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Brose Bamberg are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 3

H

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

95

80

7

9

89

79

Jan 30

A

BG Goettingen

L

80

87

6

9

73

90

Jan 24

H

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

W

98

84

6

7

89

82

Jan 16

A

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

75

83

5

7

80

78

Jan 8

A

SC Rasta Vechta

L

82

90

5

7

80

94

Jan 6

A

Ratiopharm Ulm

W

74

67

5

6

79

65

Jan 3

H

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

L

78

85

4

6

80

75

Dec 30

H

Medi Bayreuth

L

67

73

4

5

65

75

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bayern Munich are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 3

A

s.Oliver Baskets

W

74

70

11

3

73

75

Jan 31

H

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

L

103

105

10

3

106

98

Jan 23

A

Medi Bayreuth

W

98

78

10

2

96

81

Jan 17

H

Hamburg Towers

W

85

71

9

2

92

71

Jan 10

H

BV Chemnitz 99

W

77

76

8

2

72

79

Jan 3

A

ALBA Berlin

L

72

85

7

2

79

84

Dec 27

H

Brose Baskets Bamberg

W

84

70

7

1

86

72

Dec 20

A

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

L

95

100

6

1

98

88

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Brose Bamberg and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bayern Munich.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bayern Munich and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Brose Bamberg.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Brose Bamberg (in the first graph) and by Bayern Munich in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Brose Bamberg will expected to score 79 points and the Bayern Munich 84 points. The total points line estimated to be at 163.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Brose Bamberg

Bayern Munich

FG%

0.56

0.57

ASS

19.70

19.50

DRB

21.60

23.10

AST-TO

1.37

1.55

TRB

30.80

32.10

FTM

12.80

17.30

BL

3.10

4.60

FTA

16.30

22.00

PF-Fewer

19.00

21.10

ST

6.70

6.80

TO-Fewer

14.40

12.60

Ftper

0.79

0.79

ORBper

0.43

0.39

ORB

9.20

9.10


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top


Oldenburg vs Riesen Ludwigsburg at 07 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Oldenburg and Riesen Ludwigsburg for German BBL, which will take place on 07 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Oldenburg

1.53

1.59

Riesen Ludwigsburg

2.55

2.69

Oldenburg HC

-4.5

-4.00

Riesen Ludwigsburg HC

+4.5

4.00

Point Line

167.5

171.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Oldenburg are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 30

H

s.Oliver Baskets

W

124

84

13

2

122

90

Jan 23

A

Giessen 46ers

W

97

82

12

2

84

82

Jan 17

H

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

87

79

11

2

82

78

Jan 9

H

Medi Bayreuth

W

80

73

10

2

78

75