BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis
In this article we will analyse the following games:
Before continue, please read the disclaimer.
Fortitudo Bologna vs Sassari at 06 February 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Fortitudo Bologna and Sassari for Serie A, which will take place on 06 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Fortitudo Bologna are:
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Sassari are:
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Fortitudo Bologna and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Sassari.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Sassari and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Fortitudo Bologna.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Fortitudo Bologna (in the first graph) and by Sassari in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Fortitudo Bologna will expected to score 82 points and the Sassari 86 points. The total points line estimated to be at 168.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.