2021 02 06 Turkey Super League



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Turk Telekom vs Afyon Belediye at 06 February 2021
Darussafaka vs Karsiyaka at 06 February 2021
Bahcesehir Koleji vs Buyukcekmece at 06 February 2021
Gaziantep vs Galatasaray at 06 February 2021
Anadolu Efes vs Besiktas at 07 February 2021
Fethiye Belediye vs Ormanspor at 07 February 2021
Petkim Spor vs Fenerbahce at 07 February 2021
Tofas vs Bursaspor at 07 February 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Turk Telekom vs Afyon Belediye at 06 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Turk Telekom and Afyon Belediye for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 06 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Turk Telekom

1.36

1.98

Afyon Belediye

3.05

2.02

Turk Telekom HC

-6.5

-1.00

Afyon Belediye HC

+6.5

1.00

Point Line

165.5

162.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Turk Telekom are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 31

A

Buyukcekmece

W

86

75

11

8

W 2

82

76

Jan 23

H

Bahcesehir

W

101

88

10

8

W 1

99

89

Jan 17

H

Anadolu Efes

L

84

86

9

8

L 3

94

80

Jan 10

A

Darussafaka

L

72

84

9

7

L 2

74

84

Jan 2

A

Tofas

L

64

78

9

6

L 1

63

74

Dec 27

H

Socar Spor

W

89

71

9

5

W 1

89

71

Dec 19

A

Gaziantep

L

66

70

8

5

L 1

71

75

Dec 13

H

Fethiye

W

87

75

8

4

W 1

80

80

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Afyon Belediye are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 30

H

Darussafaka

W

80

79

11

8

W 4

82

79

Jan 24

A

Tofas

W

85

83

10

8

W 3

84

79

Jan 16

H

Socar Spor

W

94

76

9

8

W 2

94

76

Jan 10

A

Gaziantep

W

88

84

8

8

W 1

95

90

Jan 3

A

Fethiye

L

89

100

7

8

L 2

82

107

Dec 27

H

Besiktas

L

73

96

7

7

L 1

74

94

Dec 20

A

Ormanspor

W

101

85

7

6

W 2

93

92

Dec 12

H

Galatasaray

W

97

80

6

6

W 1

92

80

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Turk Telekom and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Afyon Belediye.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Afyon Belediye and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Turk Telekom.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Turk Telekom (in the first graph) and by Afyon Belediye in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Turk Telekom will expected to score 84 points and the Afyon Belediye 82 points. The total points line estimated to be at 166.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Turk Telekom

Afyon Belediye

FG%

0.54

0.54

ASS

18.60

19.70

DRB

24.60

22.20

AST-TO

1.63

1.37

TRB

33.80

32.40

FTM

15.30

12.10

BL

2.10

2.70

FTA

20.40

16.40

PF-Fewer

19.80

18.90

ST

4.70

7.10

TO-Fewer

11.40

14.40

Ftper

0.75

0.74

ORBper

0.37

0.46

ORB

9.20

10.20


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Darussafaka vs Karsiyaka at 06 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Darussafaka and Karsiyaka for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 06 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Darussafaka

2.6

2.60

Karsiyaka

1.47

1.62

Darussafaka HC

+4.5

4.00

Karsiyaka HC

-4.5

-4.00

Point Line

158.5

158.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Darussafaka are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 3

A

Socar Spor

L

70

78

9

10

L 2

70

78

Jan 30

A

Afyon

L

79

80

9

9

L 1

76

79

Jan 23

H

Buyukcekmece

W

85

82

9

8

W 3

81

83

Jan 17

A

Bahcesehir

W

85

76

8

8

W 2

83

76

Jan 10

H

Turk Telekom

W

84

72

7

8

W 1

84

70

Jan 2

H

Anadolu Efes

L

70

81

6

8

L 2

78

75

Dec 27

H

Tofas

L

72

85

6

7

L 1

71

81

Dec 13

H

Gaziantep

W

82

75

6

6

W 2

89

81

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Karsiyaka are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 31

H

Tofas

W

90

71

16

3

W 11

89

68

Jan 24

A

Socar Spor

W

85

75

15

3

W 10

85

75

Jan 17

H

Gaziantep

W

72

65

14

3

W 9

78

70

Jan 9

A

Fethiye

W

86

78

13

3

W 8

80

84

Jan 2

A

Besiktas

W

84

72

12

3

W 7

85

70

Dec 27

H

Ormanspor

W

86

57

11

3

W 6

79

61

Dec 19

A

Galatasaray

W

86

74

10

3

W 5

82

74

Dec 16

A

Buyukcekmece

W

90

77

9

3

W 4

85

78

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Darussafaka and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Karsiyaka.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Karsiyaka and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Darussafaka.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Darussafaka (in the first graph) and by Karsiyaka in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Darussafaka will expected to score 77 points and the Karsiyaka 81 points. The total points line estimated to be at 158.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Darussafaka

Karsiyaka

FG%

0.50

0.54

ASS

18.10

19.40

DRB

21.50

24.50

AST-TO

1.60

1.64

TRB

32.70

34.30

FTM

15.90

18.10

BL

3.00

2.00

FTA

20.40

24.60

PF-Fewer

22.50

18.90

ST

7.70

6.50

TO-Fewer

11.30

11.80

Ftper

0.78

0.74

ORBper

0.52

0.40

ORB

11.20

9.80


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Bahcesehir Koleji vs Buyukcekmece at 06 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Bahcesehir Koleji and Buyukcekmece for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 06 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Bahcesehir Koleji

1.55

2.50

Buyukcekmece

2.4

1.67

Bahcesehir Koleji HC

-3.5

3.50

Buyukcekmece HC

+3.5

-3.50

Point Line

169.5

160.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bahcesehir Koleji are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 31

H

Anadolu Efes

L

76

100

6

13

L 4

85

92

Jan 23

A

Turk Telekom

L

88

101

6

12

L 3

88

98

Jan 17

H

Darussafaka

L

76

85

6

11

L 2

78

85

Jan 9

A

Tofas

L

80

87

6

10

L 1

79

83

Jan 3

A

Socar Spor

W

77

72

6

9

W 1

77

72

Dec 26

H

Gaziantep

L

76

83

5

9

L 1

82

89

Dec 20

A

Fethiye

W

105

76

5

8

W 1

97

81

Dec 12

H

Besiktas

L

76

86

4

8

L 5

77

84

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Buyukcekmece are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 31

H

Turk Telekom

L

75

86

7

12

L 5

75

83

Jan 23

A

Darussafaka

L

82

85

7

11

L 4

84

85

Jan 16

H

Tofas

L

75

88

7

10

L 3

74

84

Jan 10

A

Socar Spor

L

77

98

7

9

L 2

77

98

Jan 7

A

Bursaspor

L

81

89

7

8

L 1

76

92

Jan 2

A

Gaziantep

W

66

65

7

7

W 2

71

70

Dec 26

H

Fethiye

W

66

59

6

7

W 1

61

63

Dec 20

A

Besiktas

L

77

84

5

7

L 2

78

82

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bahcesehir Koleji and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Buyukcekmece.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Buyukcekmece and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bahcesehir Koleji.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Bahcesehir Koleji (in the first graph) and by Buyukcekmece in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Bahcesehir Koleji will expected to score 83 points and the Buyukcekmece 81 points. The total points line estimated to be at 164.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Bahcesehir Koleji

Buyukcekmece

FG%

0.53

0.49

ASS

17.30

17.60

DRB

22.80

22.80

AST-TO

1.37

1.49

TRB

31.70

32.60

FTM

15.00

14.30

BL

2.00

2.10

FTA

20.10

18.20

PF-Fewer

20.70

21.40

ST

6.40

5.80

TO-Fewer

12.60

11.80

Ftper

0.75

0.78

ORBper

0.39

0.43

ORB

8.90

9.80


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Gaziantep vs Galatasaray at 06 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Gaziantep and Galatasaray for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 06 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Gaziantep

1.47

1.57

Galatasaray

2.6

2.75

Gaziantep HC

-5.5

-4.50

Galatasaray HC

+5.5

4.50

Point Line

153.5

153.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Gaziantep are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 31

A

Fenerbahce

W

102

97

9

10

W 2

107

89

Jan 24

H

Bursaspor

W

77

70

8

10

W 1

73

72

Jan 17

A

Pinar Karsiyaka

L

65

72

7

10

L 4

71

70

Jan 10

H

Afyon

L

84

88

7

9

L 3

81

87

Jan 5

H

Anadolu Efes

L

60

68

7

8

L 2

67

63

Jan 2

H

Buyukcekmece

L

65

66

7

7

L 1

62

67

Dec 26

A

Bahcesehir

W

83

76

7

6

W 3

81

76

Dec 19

H

Turk Telekom

W

70

66

6

6

W 2

70

64

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Galatasaray are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 30

H

Fethiye

W

71

68

7

12

W 1

66

73

Jan 23

A

Besiktas

L

64

82

6

12

L 1

65

80

Jan 16

H

Ormanspor

W

89

87

6

11

W 1

82

94

Jan 10

A

Anadolu Efes

L

80

90

5

11

L 2

90

83

Jan 2

H

Fenerbahce

L

73

87

5

10

L 1

77

80

Dec 27

A

Bursaspor

W

92

73

5

9

W 1

87

75

Dec 19

H

Pinar Karsiyaka

L

74

86

4

9

L 3

81

84

Dec 12

A

Afyon

L

80

97

4

8

L 2

77

96

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Gaziantep and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Galatasaray.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Galatasaray and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Gaziantep.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Gaziantep (in the first graph) and by Galatasaray in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Gaziantep will expected to score 80 points and the Galatasaray 77 points. The total points line estimated to be at 157.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Gaziantep

Galatasaray

FG%

0.51

0.55

ASS

20.20

19.10

DRB

23.40

21.90

AST-TO

1.85

1.53

TRB

32.90

29.30

FTM

12.00

13.40

BL

2.70

2.60

FTA

17.30

17.80

PF-Fewer

21.20

18.50

ST

6.70

6.10

TO-Fewer

10.90

12.50

Ftper

0.69

0.75

ORBper

0.41

0.34

ORB

9.50

7.40


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Anadolu Efes vs Besiktas at 07 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Anadolu Efes and Besiktas for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 07 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Anadolu Efes

1.06

1.53

Besiktas

8.5

2.89

Anadolu Efes HC

-15.5

-5.00

Besiktas HC

+15.5

5.00

Point Line

170.5

156.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Anadolu Efes are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 31

A

Bahcesehir

W

100

76

19

0

W 18

98

76

Jan 23

H

Ormanspor

W

95

75

18

0

W 17

88

81

Jan 19

H

Bursaspor

W

91

58

17

0

W 16

86

60

Jan 17