BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis
In this article we will analyse the following games:
Bonn vs Rasta Vechta at 27 February 2021
Ulm vs Mitteldeutscher at 27 February 2021
Giessen 46ers vs Bayreuth at 27 February 2021
Hamburg Towers vs Riesen Ludwigsburg at 28 February 2021
Alba Berlin vs Crailsheim Merlins at 28 February 2021
Brose Bamberg vs Skyliners Frankfurt at 28 February 2021
Before continue, please read the disclaimer.
Bonn vs Rasta Vechta at 27 February 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Bonn and Rasta Vechta for German BBL, which will take place on 27 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Bonn 
1.36 
1.90 
Rasta Vechta 
3.2 
2.12 
Bonn HC 
6.5 
1.50 
Rasta Vechta HC 
+6.5 
1.50 
Point Line 
166.5 
161.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bonn are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Feb 14 
H 
Mitteldeutscher BC 
W 
83 
66 
5 
11 

78 
66 
Feb 12 
A 
Hamburg Towers 
W 
78 
71 
4 
11 

82 
70 
Jan 31 
A 
Fraport Skyliners 
L 
79 
84 
3 
11 

81 
91 
Jan 24 
H 
HARKO Merlins Crailsheim 
L 
84 
93 
3 
10 

86 
86 
Jan 15 
A 
BV Chemnitz 99 
L 
92 
93 
3 
9 

87 
96 
Jan 9 
H 
s.Oliver Baskets 
L 
77 
89 
3 
8 

75 
94 
Jan 2 
A 
Ratiopharm Ulm 
L 
72 
73 
3 
7 

77 
70 
Dec 27 
H 
BG Goettingen 
W 
102 
87 
3 
6 

93 
90 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Rasta Vechta are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Feb 14 
H 
Basketball Lowen Braunschweig 
L 
71 
80 
3 
16 

67 
79 
Feb 12 
H 
MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg 
L 
66 
84 
3 
15 

71 
79 
Feb 10 
A 
BV Chemnitz 99 
L 
77 
89 
3 
14 

73 
92 
Feb 6 
H 
Fraport Skyliners 
L 
72 
96 
3 
13 

74 
104 
Jan 31 
A 
ALBA Berlin 
L 
70 
86 
3 
12 

78 
85 
Jan 22 
A 
BG Goettingen 
W 
102 
90 
2 
11 

93 
93 
Jan 16 
H 
Giessen 46ers 
W 
97 
84 
1 
11 

84 
83 
Jan 8 
H 
Brose Baskets Bamberg 
W 
90 
82 
1 
11 

93 
83 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bonn and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Rasta Vechta.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Rasta Vechta and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bonn.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Bonn (in the first graph) and by Rasta Vechta in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Bonn will expected to score 83 points and the Rasta Vechta 81 points. The total points line estimated to be at 164.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Bonn 
Rasta Vechta 
FG% 
0.53 
0.52 
ASS 
16.50 
17.80 
DRB 
22.60 
21.30 
ASTTO 
1.20 
1.14 
TRB 
30.50 
30.20 
FTM 
13.10 
16.30 
BL 
1.70 
1.90 
FTA 
17.30 
20.90 
PFFewer 
21.10 
21.70 
ST 
6.80 
5.40 
TOFewer 
13.80 
15.60 
Ftper 
0.76 
0.78 
ORBper 
0.35 
0.42 
ORB 
7.90 
8.90 
Go to Top
Ulm vs Mitteldeutscher at 27 February 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Ulm and Mitteldeutscher for German BBL, which will take place on 27 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Ulm 
1.1 
1.48 
Mitteldeutscher 
7 
3.07 
Ulm HC 
12.5 
5.50 
Mitteldeutscher HC 
+12.5 
5.50 
Point Line 
174.5 
164.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ulm are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Feb 14 
A 
Fraport Skyliners 
W 
87 
68 
12 
7 

89 
73 
Feb 12 
H 
BG Goettingen 
W 
93 
64 
11 
7 

85 
66 
Feb 9 
H 
Bayern Munich 
L 
77 
81 
10 
7 

83 
78 
Feb 7 
A 
Basketball Lowen Braunschweig 
L 
92 
94 
10 
6 

87 
93 
Feb 2 
H 
Fraport Skyliners 
W 
80 
76 
10 
5 

82 
82 
Jan 29 
A 
Mitteldeutscher BC 
W 
104 
92 
9 
5 

98 
92 
Jan 24 
H 
BV Chemnitz 99 
W 
102 
63 
8 
5 

97 
65 
Jan 17 
A 
BG Goettingen 
W 
98 
74 
7 
5 

89 
77 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Mitteldeutscher are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Feb 14 
A 
Telekom Baskets Bonn 
L 
66 
83 
5 
11 

67 
87 
Feb 3 
A 
Brose Baskets Bamberg 
L 
80 
95 
5 
10 

82 
96 
Jan 29 
H 
Ratiopharm Ulm 
L 
92 
104 
5 
9 

98 
100 
Jan 23 
H 
MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg 
L 
80 
93 
5 
8 

86 
87 
Jan 17 
A 
EWE Baskets Oldenburg 
L 
79 
87 
5 
7 

80 
78 
Jan 14 
A 
Basketball Lowen Braunschweig 
W 
104 
91 
5 
6 

98 
90 
Jan 2 
H 
Fraport Skyliners 
L 
89 
94 
4 
6 

91 
101 
Dec 30 
A 
BV Chemnitz 99 
L 
79 
96 
4 
5 

75 
99 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Ulm and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Mitteldeutscher.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Mitteldeutscher and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Ulm.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Ulm (in the first graph) and by Mitteldeutscher in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Ulm will expected to score 87 points and the Mitteldeutscher 81 points. The total points line estimated to be at 168.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Ulm 
Mitteldeutscher 
FG% 
0.58 
0.52 
ASS 
17.80 
17.30 
DRB 
21.80 
21.20 
ASTTO 
1.32 
1.15 
TRB 
28.50 
31.70 
FTM 
20.80 
14.90 
BL 
2.30 
3.00 
FTA 
24.40 
18.60 
PFFewer 
19.90 
22.00 
ST 
6.90 
7.10 
TOFewer 
13.50 
15.00 
Ftper 
0.86 
0.80 
ORBper 
0.30 
0.49 
ORB 
6.60 
10.40 
Go to Top
Giessen 46ers vs Bayreuth at 27 February 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Giessen 46ers and Bayreuth for German BBL, which will take place on 27 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Giessen 46ers 
2.3 
3.10 
Bayreuth 
1.63 
1.48 
Giessen 46ers HC 
+2.5 
5.50 
Bayreuth HC 
2.5 
5.50 
Point Line 
178.5 
174.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Giessen 46ers are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Feb 14 
H 
Hamburg Towers 
L 
78 
95 
3 
15 

82 
94 
Feb 12 
A 
EWE Baskets Oldenburg 
W 
97 
93 
3 
14 

98 
83 
Feb 6 
H 
HARKO Merlins Crailsheim 
L 
82 
101 
2 
14 

84 
94 
Jan 30 
A 
MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg 
L 
85 
99 
2 
13 

91 
93 
Jan 23 
H 
EWE Baskets Oldenburg 
L 
82 
97 
2 
12 

82 
87 
Jan 16 
A 
SC Rasta Vechta 
L 
84 
97 
2 
11 

81 
103 
Jan 10 
A 
ALBA Berlin 
L 
82 
92 
2 
10 

91 
91 
Jan 2 
H 
BG Goettingen 
L 
90 
92 
2 
9 

82 
95 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bayreuth are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Feb 14 
H 
EWE Baskets Oldenburg 
L 
82 
91 
6 
13 

82 
82 
Feb 12 
A 
ALBA Berlin 
L 
68 
80 
6 
12 

76 
79 
Feb 10 
H 
BG Goettingen 
L 
80 
82 
6 
11 

73 
85 
Feb 5 
A 
Hamburg Towers 
W 
95 
92 
6 
10 

100 
91 
Jan 30 
A 
BV Chemnitz 99 
W 
83 
61 
5 
10 

79 
63 
Jan 23 
H 
Bayern Munich 
L 
78 
98 
4 
10 

84 
94 
Jan 16 
A 
HARKO Merlins Crailsheim 
L 
77 
82 
4 
9 

79 
76 
Jan 9 
A 
EWE Baskets Oldenburg 
L 
73 
80 
4 
8 

73 
72 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Giessen 46ers and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bayreuth.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bayreuth and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Giessen 46ers.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Giessen 46ers (in the first graph) and by Bayreuth in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Giessen 46ers will expected to score 85 points and the Bayreuth 88 points. The total points line estimated to be at 173.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Giessen 46ers 
Bayreuth 
FG% 
0.54 
0.56 
ASS 
17.30 
18.90 
DRB 
20.70 
21.70 
ASTTO 
1.19 
1.32 
TRB 
30.00 
28.60 
FTM 
11.60 
14.60 
BL 
2.70 
2.10 
FTA 
14.20 
18.70 
PFFewer 
21.30 
17.60 
ST 
5.70 
6.70 
TOFewer 
14.50 
14.30 
Ftper 
0.81 
0.78 
ORBper 
0.45 
0.32 
ORB 
9.30 
6.90 
Go to Top
Hamburg Towers vs Riesen Ludwigsburg at 28 February 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Hamburg Towers and Riesen Ludwigsburg for German BBL, which will take place on 28 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Hamburg Towers 
2.55 
4.27 
Riesen Ludwigsburg 
1.53 
1.31 
Hamburg Towers HC 
+4.5 
7.50 
Riesen Ludwigsburg HC 
4.5 
7.50 
Point Line 
164.5 
163.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Hamburg Towers are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Feb 14 
A 
Giessen 46ers 
W 
95 
78 
10 
7 

82 
77 
Feb 12 
H 
Telekom Baskets Bonn 
L 
71 
78 
9 
7 

72 
82 
Feb 10 
A 
EWE Baskets Oldenburg 
L 
88 
89 
9 
6 

88 
80 
Feb 5 
H 
Medi Bayreuth 
L 
92 
95 
9 
5 

89 
98 
Jan 23 
H 
Fraport Skyliners 
W 
98 
70 
9 
4 

100 
76 
Jan 17 
A 
Bayern Munich 
L 
71 
85 
8 
4 

77 
82 
Jan 10 
H 
HARKO Merlins Crailsheim 
W 
89 
72 
8 
3 

91 
67 
Jan 2 
H 
SC Rasta Vechta 
W 
92 
74 
7 
3 

89 
79 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Riesen Ludwigsburg are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Feb 12 
A 
SC Rasta Vechta 
W 
84 
66 
17 
1 

81 
70 
Feb 10 
H 
Basketball Lowen Braunschweig 
W 
81 
74 
16 
1 

76 
73 
Feb 7 
A 
EWE Baskets Oldenburg 
W 
89 
75 
15 
1 

90 
67 
Jan 30 
H 
Giessen 46ers 
W 
99 
85 
14 
1 

86 
84 
Jan 23 
A 
Mitteldeutscher BC 
W 
93 
80 
13 
1 

87 
80 
Jan 16 
H 
Brose Baskets Bamberg 
W 
83 
75 
12 
1 

85 
76 
Jan 9 
H 
Ratiopharm Ulm 
W 
89 
87 
11 
1 

95 
83 
Jan 2 
A 
Medi Bayreuth 
W 
89 
70 
10 
1 

86 
72 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Hamburg Towers and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Riesen Ludwigsburg.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Riesen Ludwigsburg and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Hamburg Towers.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Hamburg Towers (in the first graph) and by Riesen Ludwigsburg in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Hamburg Towers will expected to score 81 points and the Riesen Ludwigsburg 84 points. The total points line estimated to be at 165.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Hamburg Towers 
Riesen Ludwigsburg 
FG% 
0.55 
0.55 
ASS 
18.80 
16.30 
DRB 
20.90 
20.90 
ASTTO 
1.50 
1.65 
TRB 
29.70 
29.90 
FTM 
14.90 
15.30 
BL 
1.60 
2.10 
FTA 
20.30 
21.10 
PFFewer 
21.10 
19.90 
ST 
9.50 
8.20 
TOFewer 
12.50 
9.90 
Ftper 
0.74 
0.73 
ORBper 
0.42 
0.43 
ORB 
8.80 
9.00 
Go to Top
Alba Berlin vs Crailsheim Merlins at 28 February 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Alba Berlin and Crailsheim Merlins for German BBL, which will take place on 28 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Alba Berlin 
1.24 
1.30 
Crailsheim Merlins 
4.15 
4.33 
Alba Berlin HC 
8.5 
7.50 
Crailsheim Merlins HC 
+8.5 
7.50 
Point Line 
170.5 
162.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Alba Berlin are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Feb 14 
A 
Brose Baskets Bamberg 
L 
67 
76 
15 
2 

69 
77 
Feb 12 
H 
Medi Bayreuth 
W 
80 
68 
15 
1 

78 
70 
Feb 9 
A 
HARKO Merlins Crailsheim 
W 
101 
77 
14 
1 

103 
71 