2021 02 27 Turkey Super League



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Bahcesehir Koleji vs Karsiyaka at 27 February 2021
Turk Telekom vs Bursaspor at 27 February 2021
Petkim Spor vs Ormanspor at 27 February 2021
Tofas vs Galatasaray at 27 February 2021
Anadolu Efes vs Fethiye Belediye at 28 February 2021
Buyukcekmece vs Afyon Belediye at 28 February 2021
Gaziantep vs Besiktas at 28 February 2021
Darussafaka vs Fenerbahce at 28 February 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Bahcesehir Koleji vs Karsiyaka at 27 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Bahcesehir Koleji and Karsiyaka for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 27 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Bahcesehir Koleji

2.9

5.06

Karsiyaka

1.4

1.25

Bahcesehir Koleji HC

+5.5

8.50

Karsiyaka HC

-5.5

-8.50

Point Line

161.5

159.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bahcesehir Koleji are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 9

A

Afyon

W

89

77

8

13

W 2

85

76

Feb 6

H

Buyukcekmece

W

83

74

7

13

W 1

79

75

Jan 31

H

Anadolu Efes

L

76

100

6

13

L 4

84

91

Jan 23

A

Turk Telekom

L

88

101

6

12

L 3

87

109

Jan 17

H

Darussafaka

L

76

85

6

11

L 2

78

85

Jan 9

A

Tofas

L

80

87

6

10

L 1

79

82

Jan 3

A

Socar Spor

W

77

72

6

9

W 1

77

72

Dec 26

H

Gaziantep

L

76

83

5

9

L 1

83

89

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Karsiyaka are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 9

H

Turk Telekom

W

80

69

17

4

W 1

79

74

Feb 6

A

Darussafaka

L

77

86

16

4

L 1

79

86

Jan 31

H

Tofas

W

90

71

16

3

W 11

89

67

Jan 24

A

Socar Spor

W

85

75

15

3

W 10

85

75

Jan 17

H

Gaziantep

W

72

65

14

3

W 9

78

69

Jan 9

A

Fethiye

W

86

78

13

3

W 8

80

82

Jan 2

A

Besiktas

W

84

72

12

3

W 7

85

70

Dec 27

H

Ormanspor

W

86

57

11

3

W 6

78

60

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bahcesehir Koleji and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Karsiyaka.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Karsiyaka and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bahcesehir Koleji.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Bahcesehir Koleji (in the first graph) and by Karsiyaka in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Bahcesehir Koleji will expected to score 78 points and the Karsiyaka 82 points. The total points line estimated to be at 160.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Bahcesehir Koleji

Karsiyaka

FG%

0.53

0.54

ASS

17.60

19.40

DRB

23.00

24.50

AST-TO

1.44

1.60

TRB

32.70

34.30

FTM

14.50

17.60

BL

2.10

1.90

FTA

19.60

24.10

PF-Fewer

20.80

19.00

ST

6.20

6.60

TO-Fewer

12.20

12.10

Ftper

0.74

0.73

ORBper

0.42

0.40

ORB

9.60

9.80


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Turk Telekom vs Bursaspor at 27 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Turk Telekom and Bursaspor for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 27 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Turk Telekom

1.22

1.85

Bursaspor

4.15

2.17

Turk Telekom HC

-8.5

-2.00

Bursaspor HC

+8.5

2.00

Point Line

164.5

155.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Turk Telekom are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 9

A

Pinar Karsiyaka

L

69

80

12

9

L 1

76

78

Feb 6

H

Afyon

W

89

86

12

8

W 3

85

85

Jan 31

A

Buyukcekmece

W

86

75

11

8

W 2

82

76

Jan 23

H

Bahcesehir

W

101

88

10

8

W 1

100

87

Jan 17

H

Anadolu Efes

L

84

86

9

8

L 3

93

78

Jan 10

A

Darussafaka

L

72

84

9

7

L 2

74

84

Jan 2

A

Tofas

L

64

78

9

6

L 1

63

74

Dec 27

H

Socar Spor

W

89

71

9

5

W 1

89

71

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bursaspor are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 10

H

Darussafaka

L

68

70

7

14

L 2

70

70

Feb 7

A

Tofas

L

77

84

7

13

L 1

76

79

Jan 30

H

Socar Spor

W

95

89

7

12

W 1

95

89

Jan 24

A

Gaziantep

L

70

77

6

12

L 2

76

82

Jan 19

A

Anadolu Efes

L

58

91

6

11

L 1

64

83

Jan 15

H

Fethiye

W

89

84

6

10

W 3

82

89

Jan 9

A

Besiktas

W

84

69

5

10

W 2

85

67

Jan 7

H

Buyukcekmece

W

89

81

4

10

W 1

85

82

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Turk Telekom and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bursaspor.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bursaspor and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Turk Telekom.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Turk Telekom (in the first graph) and by Bursaspor in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Turk Telekom will expected to score 84 points and the Bursaspor 80 points. The total points line estimated to be at 164.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Turk Telekom

Bursaspor

FG%

0.53

0.54

ASS

17.40

19.00

DRB

20.90

20.10

AST-TO

1.76

1.64

TRB

27.70

27.70

FTM

13.20

12.00

BL

1.00

2.70

FTA

17.10

16.40

PF-Fewer

16.80

21.30

ST

4.80

6.00

TO-Fewer

9.90

11.60

Ftper

0.77

0.73

ORBper

0.33

0.38

ORB

6.80

7.60


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Petkim Spor vs Ormanspor at 27 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Petkim Spor and Ormanspor for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 27 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Petkim Spor

1.2

1.69

Ormanspor

4.35

2.45

Petkim Spor HC

-9.5

-3.50

Ormanspor HC

+9.5

3.50

Point Line

167.5

159.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Petkim Spor are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 10

A

Galatasaray

W

89

65

8

13

W 1

85

66

Feb 7

H

Fenerbahce

L

67

80

7

13

L 1

70

73

Feb 3

H

Darussafaka

W

78

70

7

12

W 1

80

70

Jan 30

A

Bursaspor

L

89

95

6

12

L 4

85

98

Jan 27

A

Tofas

L

80

88

6

11

L 3

79

83

Jan 24

H

Pinar Karsiyaka

L

75

85

6

10

L 2

82

83

Jan 16

A

Afyon

L

76

94

6

9

L 1

72

92

Jan 10

H

Buyukcekmece

W

98

77

6

8

W 1

94

78

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ormanspor are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 11

H

Gaziantep

L

81

82

5

16

L 6

88

88

Feb 7

A

Fethiye

L

89

98

5

15

L 5

82

103

Feb 1

H

Besiktas

L

68

92

5

14

L 4

69

89

Jan 23

A

Anadolu Efes

L

75

95

5

13

L 3

83

87

Jan 16

A

Galatasaray

L

87

89

5

12

L 2

83

90

Jan 9

H

Fenerbahce

L

63

72

5

11

L 1

66

66

Jan 3

H

Bursaspor

W

84

80

5

10

W 1

80

82

Dec 27

A

Pinar Karsiyaka

L

57

86

4

10

L 3

63

84

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Petkim Spor and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Ormanspor.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Ormanspor and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Petkim Spor.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Petkim Spor (in the first graph) and by Ormanspor in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Petkim Spor will expected to score 84 points and the Ormanspor 80 points. The total points line estimated to be at 164.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Petkim Spor

Ormanspor

FG%

0.56

0.52

ASS

20.90

18.10

DRB

21.60

20.40

AST-TO

1.73

1.59

TRB

31.10

28.10

FTM

11.60

14.00

BL

2.10

2.50

FTA

16.50

19.00

PF-Fewer

21.20

16.30

ST

5.90

4.40

TO-Fewer

12.10

11.40

Ftper

0.70

0.74

ORBper

0.44

0.38

ORB

9.50

7.70


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Tofas vs Galatasaray at 27 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Tofas and Galatasaray for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 27 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Tofas

1.26

1.17

Galatasaray

3.7

6.77

Tofas HC

-7.5

-9.50

Galatasaray HC

+7.5

9.50

Point Line

169.5

162.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Tofas are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 10

A

Fenerbahce

W

84

81

12

9

W 2

88

74

Feb 7

H

Bursaspor

W

84

77

11

9

W 1

80

79

Jan 31

A

Pinar Karsiyaka

L

71

90

10

9

L 1

78

88

Jan 27

H

Socar Spor

W

88

80

10

8

W 1

88

80

Jan 24

H

Afyon

L

83

85

9

8

L 1

79

84

Jan 16

A

Buyukcekmece

W

88

75

9

7

W 4

84

76

Jan 9

H

Bahcesehir

W

87

80

8

7

W 3

86

79

Jan 2

H

Turk Telekom

W

78

64

7

7

W 2

77

69

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Galatasaray are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 10

H

Socar Spor

L

65

89

7

14

L 2

65

89

Feb 6

A

Gaziantep

L

61

68

7

13

L 1

66

73

Jan 30

H

Fethiye

W

71

68

7

12

W 1

66

72

Jan 23

A

Besiktas

L

64

82

6

12

L 1

65

80

Jan 16

H

Ormanspor

W

89

87

6

11

W 1

81

92

Jan 10

A

Anadolu Efes

L

80

90

5

11

L 2

88

82

Jan 2

H

Fenerbahce

L

73

87

5

10

L 1

77

80

Dec 27

A

Bursaspor

W

92

73

5

9

W 1

88

75

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Tofas and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Galatasaray.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Galatasaray and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Tofas.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Tofas (in the first graph) and by Galatasaray in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Tofas will expected to score 85 points and the Galatasaray 80 points. The total points line estimated to be at 165.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Tofas

Galatasaray

FG%

0.56

0.54

ASS

20.90

18.90

DRB

22.00

21.60

AST-TO

1.77

1.49

TRB

30.50

29.20

FTM

13.00

13.00

BL

3.10

2.60

FTA

17.00

17.70

PF-Fewer

21.00

18.10

ST

8.00

6.20

TO-Fewer

11.80

12.70

Ftper

0.76

0.74

ORBper

0.39

0.35

ORB

8.50

7.60


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Anadolu Efes vs Fethiye Belediye at 28 February 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Anadolu Efes and Fethiye Belediye for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 28 February 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Anadolu Efes

0.03

1.16

Fethiye Belediye

11

7.15

Anadolu Efes HC

-19.5

-10.00

Fethiye Belediye HC

+19.5

10.00

Point Line

170.5

156.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Anadolu Efes are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 9

A

Buyukcekmece

W

94

83

21

0

W 20

90

84

Feb 7

H

Besiktas

W

84

80

20

0

W 19

85

78

Jan 31

A

Bahcesehir

W

100

76

19

0

W 18

99

75

Jan 23

H