BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis
In this article we will analyse the following games:
Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana vs Virtus Bologna at 02 March 2021
Joventut Badalona vs Unicaja Malaga at 02 March 2021
Monaco vs Nanterre at 02 March 2021
Unics vs Andorra at 03 March 2021
Aquila Basket Trento vs Partizan at 03 March 2021
Before continue, please read the disclaimer.
Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana vs Virtus Bologna at 02 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana and Virtus Bologna for EuroCup, which will take place on 02 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana |
2.9 |
2.47 |
Virtus Bologna |
1.41 |
1.68 |
Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana HC |
+5.5 |
3.50 |
Virtus Bologna HC |
-5.5 |
-3.50 |
Point Line |
169.5 |
159.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Feb 3 |
A |
JL Bourg |
W |
77 |
64 |
10 |
4 |
W 3 |
77 |
64 |
Jan 27 |
H |
JL Bourg |
W |
94 |
91 |
9 |
4 |
W 2 |
94 |
91 |
Jan 19 |
H |
Buducnost VOLI |
W |
74 |
71 |
8 |
4 |
W 1 |
74 |
71 |
Jan 13 |
A |
Virtus Bologna |
L |
76 |
90 |
7 |
4 |
L 1 |
81 |
81 |
Dec 16 |
A |
Promitheas |
W |
105 |
69 |
7 |
3 |
W 3 |
96 |
73 |
Dec 10 |
H |
Promitheas |
W |
77 |
73 |
6 |
3 |
W 2 |
70 |
77 |
Dec 8 |
H |
Dolomiti Energia Trento |
W |
87 |
65 |
5 |
3 |
W 1 |
94 |
69 |
Nov 18 |
A |
Herbalife Gran Canaria |
L |
82 |
90 |
4 |
3 |
L 1 |
82 |
90 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Virtus Bologna are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Feb 3 |
A |
Buducnost VOLI |
W |
99 |
89 |
14 |
0 |
W 13 |
99 |
89 |
Jan 26 |
H |
Buducnost VOLI |
W |
87 |
65 |
13 |
0 |
W 12 |
87 |
65 |
Jan 20 |
A |
JL Bourg |
W |
99 |
87 |
12 |
0 |
W 11 |
99 |
87 |
Jan 13 |
H |
Cedevita Olimpija |
W |
90 |
76 |
11 |
0 |
W 10 |
97 |
73 |
Dec 22 |
H |
MoraBanc Andorra |
W |
92 |
81 |
10 |
0 |
W 9 |
98 |
88 |
Dec 16 |
H |
Antwerp Giants |
W |
92 |
73 |
9 |
0 |
W 8 |
85 |
79 |
Dec 9 |
A |
Monaco |
W |
74 |
68 |
8 |
0 |
W 7 |
82 |
67 |
Nov 20 |
H |
Lietkabelis |
W |
82 |
73 |
7 |
0 |
W 6 |
80 |
80 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Virtus Bologna.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Virtus Bologna and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana (in the first graph) and by Virtus Bologna in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana will expected to score 79 points and the Virtus Bologna 82 points. The total points line estimated to be at 161.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var |
Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana |
Virtus Bologna |
FG% |
0.54 |
0.61 |
ASS |
15.20 |
24.20 |
DRB |
24.30 |
23.80 |
AST-TO |
1.49 |
1.56 |
TRB |
34.40 |
30.90 |
FTM |
11.40 |
14.70 |
BL |
1.70 |
3.40 |
FTA |
16.30 |
19.40 |
PF-Fewer |
17.50 |
22.90 |
ST |
6.90 |
8.90 |
TO-Fewer |
10.20 |
15.50 |
Ftper |
0.70 |
0.76 |
ORBper |
0.42 |
0.30 |
ORB |
10.10 |
7.10 |
Go to Top
Joventut Badalona vs Unicaja Malaga at 02 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Joventut Badalona and Unicaja Malaga for EuroCup, which will take place on 02 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
Joventut Badalona |
1.34 |
1.36 |
Unicaja Malaga |
3.3 |
3.74 |
Joventut Badalona HC |
-6.5 |
-6.50 |
Unicaja Malaga HC |
+6.5 |
6.50 |
Point Line |
170.5 |
166.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Joventut Badalona are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Feb 2 |
A |
Monaco |
L |
82 |
97 |
11 |
3 |
L 1 |
90 |
95 |
Jan 26 |
H |
Monaco |
W |
79 |
72 |
11 |
2 |
W 6 |
87 |
71 |
Jan 20 |
H |
Nanterre 92 |
W |
95 |
90 |
10 |
2 |
W 5 |
91 |
87 |
Jan 13 |
A |
Unicaja |
W |
95 |
86 |
9 |
2 |
W 4 |
92 |
81 |
Dec 30 |
H |
JL Bourg |
W |
90 |
75 |
8 |
2 |
W 3 |
90 |
75 |
Dec 15 |
H |
UNICS |
W |
84 |
77 |
7 |
2 |
W 2 |
89 |
75 |
Dec 8 |
A |
Umana Reyer Venezia |
W |
89 |
75 |
6 |
2 |
W 1 |
81 |
79 |
Nov 19 |
A |
Partizan NIS |
L |
75 |
78 |
5 |
2 |
L 2 |
81 |
81 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Unicaja Malaga are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Feb 3 |
A |
Nanterre 92 |
L |
74 |
80 |
7 |
7 |
L 5 |
71 |
77 |
Jan 27 |
H |
Nanterre 92 |
L |
83 |
92 |
7 |
6 |
L 4 |
79 |
89 |
Jan 19 |
A |
Monaco |
L |
71 |
90 |
7 |
5 |
L 3 |
78 |
89 |
Jan 13 |
H |
Joventut |
L |
86 |
95 |
7 |
4 |
L 2 |
86 |
87 |
Dec 16 |
H |
ratiopharm Ulm |
L |
90 |
94 |
7 |
3 |
L 1 |
93 |
95 |
Dec 9 |
A |
Germani Brescia |
W |
83 |
79 |
7 |
2 |
W 3 |
80 |
83 |
Nov 18 |
A |
Buducnost VOLI |
W |
90 |
66 |
6 |
2 |
W 2 |
90 |
66 |
Nov 11 |
H |
Mornar |
W |
98 |
72 |
5 |
2 |
W 1 |
96 |
73 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Joventut Badalona and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Unicaja Malaga.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Unicaja Malaga and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Joventut Badalona.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Joventut Badalona (in the first graph) and by Unicaja Malaga in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Joventut Badalona will expected to score 85 points and the Unicaja Malaga 83 points. The total points line estimated to be at 168.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var |
Joventut Badalona |
Unicaja Malaga |
FG% |
0.58 |
0.57 |
ASS |
20.60 |
18.10 |
DRB |
22.70 |
20.40 |
AST-TO |
1.57 |
1.47 |
TRB |
31.70 |
29.00 |
FTM |
16.10 |
12.90 |
BL |
1.90 |
2.00 |
FTA |
20.40 |
16.40 |
PF-Fewer |
20.60 |
21.50 |
ST |
4.80 |
5.60 |
TO-Fewer |
13.10 |
12.30 |
Ftper |
0.79 |
0.79 |
ORBper |
0.40 |
0.42 |
ORB |
9.00 |
8.60 |
Go to Top
Monaco vs Nanterre at 02 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Monaco and Nanterre for EuroCup, which will take place on 02 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
Monaco |
1.22 |
1.48 |
Nanterre |
4.35 |
3.09 |
Monaco HC |
-8.5 |
-5.50 |
Nanterre HC |
+8.5 |
5.50 |
Point Line |
156.5 |
156.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Monaco are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Feb 2 |
H |
Joventut |
W |
97 |
82 |
9 |
5 |
W 1 |
97 |
75 |
Jan 26 |
A |
Joventut |
L |
72 |
79 |
8 |
5 |
L 1 |
72 |
73 |
Jan 19 |
H |
Unicaja |
W |
90 |
71 |
8 |
4 |
W 4 |
88 |
67 |
Jan 13 |
A |
Nanterre 92 |
W |
93 |
65 |
7 |
4 |
W 3 |
89 |
63 |
Dec 29 |
H |
MoraBanc Andorra |
W |
66 |
64 |
6 |
4 |
W 2 |
70 |
69 |
Dec 18 |
A |
Lietkabelis |
W |
88 |
64 |
5 |
4 |
W 1 |
86 |
70 |
Dec 16 |
A |
Lokomotiv Kuban |
L |
72 |
76 |
4 |
4 |
L 2 |
72 |
70 |
Dec 9 |
H |
Virtus Bologna |
L |
68 |
74 |
4 |
3 |
L 1 |
72 |
66 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Nanterre are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Feb 3 |
H |
Unicaja |
W |
80 |
74 |
6 |
8 |
W 2 |
78 |
70 |
Jan 27 |
A |
Unicaja |
W |
92 |
83 |
5 |
8 |
W 1 |
89 |
78 |
Jan 20 |
A |
Joventut |
L |
90 |
95 |
4 |
8 |
L 4 |
90 |
87 |
Jan 13 |
H |
Monaco |
L |
65 |
93 |
4 |
7 |
L 3 |
72 |
92 |
Dec 23 |
A |
Bursaspor |
L |
92 |
102 |
4 |
6 |
L 2 |
80 |
94 |
Dec 22 |
H |
Bursaspor |
L |
90 |
91 |
4 |
5 |
L 1 |
78 |
84 |
Dec 8 |
H |
Promitheas |
W |
91 |
70 |
4 |
4 |
W 3 |
83 |
74 |
Nov 18 |
A |
Dolomiti Energia Trento |
W |
104 |
102 |
3 |
4 |
W 2 |
112 |
108 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Monaco and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Nanterre.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Nanterre and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Monaco.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Monaco (in the first graph) and by Nanterre in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Monaco will expected to score 82 points and the Nanterre 77 points. The total points line estimated to be at 159.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var |
Monaco |
Nanterre |
FG% |
0.52 |
0.54 |
ASS |
15.40 |
15.50 |
DRB |
20.90 |
22.50 |
AST-TO |
1.48 |
1.30 |
TRB |
32.30 |
31.40 |
FTM |
14.40 |
13.20 |
BL |
2.50 |
2.30 |
FTA |
20.50 |
19.10 |
PF-Fewer |
20.90 |
19.10 |
ST |
7.60 |
6.80 |
TO-Fewer |
10.40 |
11.90 |
Ftper |
0.70 |
0.69 |
ORBper |
0.55 |
0.40 |
ORB |
11.40 |
8.90 |
Go to Top
Unics vs Andorra at 03 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Unics and Andorra for EuroCup, which will take place on 03 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
Unics |
1.36 |
1.99 |
Andorra |
3.2 |
2.01 |
Unics HC |
-6.5 |
-1.00 |
Andorra HC |
+6.5 |
1.00 |
Point Line |
154.5 |
152.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Unics are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Feb 3 |
H |
Mornar |
W |
86 |
61 |
10 |
4 |
W 4 |
84 |
62 |
Jan 27 |
A |
Mornar |
W |
87 |
70 |
9 |
4 |
W 3 |
85 |
71 |
Jan 20 |
H |
Herbalife Gran Canaria |
W |
73 |
62 |
8 |
4 |
W 2 |
73 |
62 |
Jan 13 |
A |
MoraBanc Andorra |
W |
73 |
66 |
7 |
4 |
W 1 |
78 |
72 |
Dec 15 |
A |
Joventut |
L |
77 |
84 |
6 |
4 |
L 1 |
77 |
77 |
Dec 9 |
H |
JL Bourg |
W |
76 |
71 |
6 |
3 |
W 2 |
76 |
71 |
Nov 19 |
A |
JL Bourg |
W |
86 |
74 |
5 |
3 |
W 1 |
86 |
74 |
Nov 17 |
A |
Partizan NIS |
L |
86 |
89 |
4 |
3 |
L 1 |
93 |
92 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Andorra are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Feb 3 |
H |
Herbalife Gran Canaria |
L |
74 |
79 |
5 |
9 |
L 1 |
74 |
79 |
Jan 27 |
A |
Herbalife Gran Canaria |
W |
66 |
63 |
5 |
8 |
W 2 |
66 |
63 |
Jan 20 |
A |
Mornar |
W |
74 |
71 |
4 |
8 |
W 1 |
72 |
72 |
Jan 13 |
H |
UNICS |
L |
66 |
73 |
3 |
8 |
L 5 |
70 |
71 |
Dec 29 |
A |
Monaco |
L |
64 |
66 |
3 |
7 |
L 4 |
70 |
65 |
Dec 22 |
A |
Virtus Bologna |
L |
81 |
92 |
3 |
6 |
L 3 |
86 |
82 |
Dec 16 |
A |
Lietkabelis |
L |
69 |
77 |
3 |
5 |
L 2 |
67 |
85 |
Dec 9 |
H |
Lokomotiv Kuban |
L |
100 |
106 |
3 |
4 |
L 1 |
101 |
97 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Unics and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Andorra.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Andorra and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Unics.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Unics (in the first graph) and by Andorra in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Unics will expected to score 79 points and the Andorra 75 points. The total points line estimated to be at 154.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var |
Unics |
Andorra |
FG% |
0.55 |
0.47 |
ASS |
17.80 |
14.90 |
DRB |
22.50 |
21.80 |
AST-TO |
1.58 |
1.12 |
TRB |
32.40 |
32.40 |
FTM |
11.50 |
13.80 |
BL |
1.50 |
2.90 |
FTA |
14.40 |
17.90 |
PF-Fewer |
21.20 |
20.10 |
ST |
7.10 |
7.40 |
TO-Fewer |
11.30 |
13.30 |
Ftper |
0.80 |
0.77 |
ORBper |
0.44 |
0.49 |
ORB |
9.90 |
10.60 |
Go to Top
Aquila Basket Trento vs Partizan at 03 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Aquila Basket Trento and Partizan for EuroCup, which will take place on 03 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
Aquila Basket Trento |
1.63 |
1.29 |
Partizan |
2.3 |
4.46 |
Aquila Basket Trento HC |
-3.5 |
-7.50 |
Partizan HC |
+3.5 |
7.50 |
Point Line |
154.5 |
150.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Aquila Basket Trento are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Feb 2 |
H |
Metropolitans 92 |
W |
67 |
57 |
8 |
6 |
W 1 |
67 |
57 |
Jan 26 |
A |
Metropolitans 92 |
L |
86 |
92 |
7 |
6 |
L 1 |
86 |
92 |
Jan 20 |
H |
Lokomotiv Kuban |
W |
96 |
84 |
7 |
5 |
W 1 |
97 |
77 |
Jan 13 |
A |
Partizan NIS |
L |
43 |
71 |
6 |
5 |
L 5 |