2021 03 02 BCL



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Turk Telekom vs Strasbourg at 02 March 2021
Nymburk vs Brose Bamberg at 02 March 2021
San Pablo Burgos vs VEF Riga at 02 March 2021
Sassari vs Zaragoza at 02 March 2021
Brindisi vs Hapoel Holon at 03 March 2021
Igokea vs Tenerife at 03 March 2021
Karsiyaka vs Tofas at 03 March 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Turk Telekom vs Strasbourg at 02 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Turk Telekom and Strasbourg for BCL, which will take place on 02 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Turk Telekom

1.32

2.08

Strasbourg

3.4

1.93

Turk Telekom HC

-7.5

1.50

Strasbourg HC

+7.5

-1.50

Point Line

160.5

157.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Turk Telekom are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 26

H

BC Igokea

W

94

86

5

1

97

91

Jan 13

A

Hapoel Bank Yahav Jerusalem

W

78

77

4

1

78

76

Dec 23

A

CSP Limoges

W

75

70

3

1

78

74

Dec 9

H

CSP Limoges

W

76

73

2

1

79

77

Nov 11

A

BC Igokea

L

66

77

1

1

68

81

Oct 27

H

Hapoel Bank Yahav Jerusalem

W

98

94

1

0

98

92

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Strasbourg are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 26

A

Lietuvos Rytas

L

77

81

4

2

72

84

Jan 13

H

BC VEF Riga

W

101

94

4

1

107

94

Dec 22

A

Peristeri BC

W

79

76

3

1

83

80

Dec 8

H

Peristeri BC

W

77

57

2

1

80

60

Nov 10

H

Lietuvos Rytas

L

81

83

1

1

76

86

Oct 28

A

BC VEF Riga

W

77

75

1

0

81

75

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Turk Telekom and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Strasbourg.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Strasbourg and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Turk Telekom.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Turk Telekom (in the first graph) and by Strasbourg in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Turk Telekom will expected to score 81 points and the Strasbourg 82 points. The total points line estimated to be at 163.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Turk Telekom

Strasbourg

FG%

0.52

0.55

ASS

19.50

15.30

DRB

21.30

22.00

AST-TO

1.73

0.85

TRB

31.20

29.80

FTM

10.80

19.00

BL

2.00

3.20

FTA

13.70

26.30

PF-Fewer

20.80

18.20

ST

5.00

6.00

TO-Fewer

11.30

18.00

Ftper

0.79

0.72

ORBper

0.46

0.35

ORB

9.80

7.80


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Nymburk vs Brose Bamberg at 02 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Nymburk and Brose Bamberg for BCL, which will take place on 02 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Nymburk

1.55

1.29

Brose Bamberg

2.45

4.44

Nymburk HC

-4.5

-7.50

Brose Bamberg HC

+4.5

7.50

Point Line

166.5

162.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Nymburk are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 19

H

Tofas SC

L

97

103

4

2

98

93

Jan 6

H

JDA Dijon Basket

W

94

54

4

1

101

57

Dec 15

A

Keravnos Strovolou

W

102

69

3

1

92

81

Nov 18

H

Keravnos Strovolou

W

96

69

2

1

87

81

Nov 10

A

Tofas SC

W

96

93

1

1

96

84

Nov 3

A

JDA Dijon Basket

L

61

85

0

1

66

90

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Brose Bamberg are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 27

H

Fortituto Kontatto Bologna

W

83

68

6

0

82

82

Jan 12

H

RETAbet Bilbao Basket

W

90

75

5

0

96

81

Dec 23

A

Pinar Karsiyaka

W

76

70

4

0

83

71

Dec 8

H

Pinar Karsiyaka

W

83

82

3

0

90

83

Nov 10

A

RETAbet Bilbao Basket

W

77

71

2

0

82

77

Oct 27

A

Fortituto Kontatto Bologna

W

100

63

1

0

98

76

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Nymburk and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Brose Bamberg.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Brose Bamberg and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Nymburk.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Nymburk (in the first graph) and by Brose Bamberg in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Nymburk will expected to score 84 points and the Brose Bamberg 85 points. The total points line estimated to be at 169.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Nymburk

Brose Bamberg

FG%

0.55

0.62

ASS

22.70

20.70

DRB

28.80

24.00

AST-TO

1.68

1.36

TRB

40.30

30.20

FTM

17.70

12.70

BL

3.30

4.30

FTA

24.30

16.80

PF-Fewer

16.30

17.50

ST

7.20

6.70

TO-Fewer

13.50

15.20

Ftper

0.73

0.75

ORBper

0.40

0.26

ORB

11.50

6.20


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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San Pablo Burgos vs VEF Riga at 02 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between San Pablo Burgos and VEF Riga for BCL, which will take place on 02 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

San Pablo Burgos

1.11

1.24

VEF Riga

6.75

5.10

San Pablo Burgos HC

-12.5

-8.50

VEF Riga HC

+12.5

8.50

Point Line

164.5

161.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of San Pablo Burgos are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 27

A

Enel Brindisi

W

90

86

5

1

86

80

Jan 12

H

Telenet BC Oostende

W

88

73

4

1

82

73

Dec 22

A

Darussafaka Basketbol Istanbul

W

74

71

3

1

71

76

Dec 9

H

Darussafaka Basketbol Istanbul

W

100

70

2

1

96

75

Nov 18

H

Enel Brindisi

W

93

71

1

1

88

66

Nov 10

A

Telenet BC Oostende

L

98

99

0

1

91

99

The latest results and the adjusted scores of VEF Riga are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 26

H

Peristeri BC

W

60

57

4

2

63

60

Jan 13

A

Strasbourg IG

L

94

101

3

2

98

99

Dec 23

H

Lietuvos Rytas

W

84

60

3

1

79

62

Dec 8

A

Lietuvos Rytas

W

85

81

2

1

80

84

Nov 10

A

Peristeri BC

W

84

81

1

1

88

86

Oct 28

H

Strasbourg IG

L

75

77

0

1

78

76

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by San Pablo Burgos and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by VEF Riga.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by VEF Riga and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by San Pablo Burgos.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by San Pablo Burgos (in the first graph) and by VEF Riga in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, San Pablo Burgos will expected to score 82 points and the VEF Riga 80 points. The total points line estimated to be at 162.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

San Pablo Burgos

VEF Riga

FG%

0.59

0.47

ASS

24.00

17.80

DRB

22.20

20.00

AST-TO

2.14

1.75

TRB

31.30

30.00

FTM

12.80

10.00

BL

2.20

2.20

FTA

17.20

14.00

PF-Fewer

19.50

19.80

ST

10.00

8.50

TO-Fewer

11.20

10.20

Ftper

0.75

0.71

ORBper

0.41

0.50

ORB

9.20

10.00


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Sassari vs Zaragoza at 02 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Sassari and Zaragoza for BCL, which will take place on 02 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Sassari

1.44

2.87

Zaragoza

2.8

1.53

Sassari HC

-5.5

4.50

Zaragoza HC

+5.5

-4.50

Point Line

176.5

172.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Sassari are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 20

A

Galatasaray

W

92

81

4

2

79

79

Jan 6

A

Iberostar Tenerife

L

85

115

3

2

81

99

Dec 16

H

Bakken Bears

L

71

93

3

1

68

86

Nov 18

A

Bakken Bears

W

91

84

3

0

87

77

Nov 4

H

Iberostar Tenerife

W

92

72

2

0

88

62

Oct 21

H

Galatasaray

W

93

84

1

0

80

82

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Zaragoza are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 19

H

Wikana Start S.A. Lublin

W

94

82

5

1

89

91

Jan 5

A

Nizhny Novgorod

W

98

92

4

1

102

90

Dec 22

A

Falco-Vulcano Energia KC Szombathely

L

86

94

3

1

88

92

Dec 16

H

Falco-Vulcano Energia KC Szombathely

W

85

76

3

0

87

75

Nov 11

H

Nizhny Novgorod

W

78

75

2

0

81

73

Oct 21

A

Wikana Start S.A. Lublin

W

86

85

1

0

81

94

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Sassari and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Zaragoza.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Zaragoza and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Sassari.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Sassari (in the first graph) and by Zaragoza in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Sassari will expected to score 83 points and the Zaragoza 84 points. The total points line estimated to be at 167.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Sassari

Zaragoza

FG%

0.53

0.56

ASS

19.50

22.00

DRB

22.50

22.70

AST-TO

1.48

1.72

TRB

33.70

29.30

FTM

16.00

13.50

BL

2.00

3.80

FTA

20.30

20.30

PF-Fewer

20.30

17.70

ST

5.70

7.30

TO-Fewer

13.20

12.80

Ftper

0.79

0.66

ORBper

0.50

0.30

ORB

11.20

6.70


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Brindisi vs Hapoel Holon at 03 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Brindisi and Hapoel Holon for BCL, which will take place on 03 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Brindisi

1.8

1.48

Hapoel Holon

2.02

3.10

Brindisi HC

-1.5

-5.50

Hapoel Holon HC

+1.5

5.50

Point Line

167.5

162.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Brindisi are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 27

H

Hereda San Pablo Burgos

L

86

90

4

2

89

79

Jan 13

A

Darussafaka Basketbol Istanbul

W

87

83

4

1

83

89

Dec 22

H

Telenet BC Oostende

W

93

81

3

1

87

81

Dec 9

A

Telenet BC Oostende

W

92

80

2

1

86

80

Nov 18

A

Hereda San Pablo Burgos

L

71

93

1

1

73

82

Nov 11

H

Darussafaka Basketbol Istanbul

W

92

81

1

0

88

86

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Hapoel Holon are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Jan 20

H

Cholet Basket

W

89

71

4

2

92

75

Jan 5

H

AEK Athens

W

77

71

3

2

76

67

Dec 15

A

Tsmoki-Minsk

W

75

71

2

2

73

74

Nov 17

H

Tsmoki-Minsk

L

69

79

1

2

67

83

Nov 10

A

Cholet Basket

W

73

63

1

1

75

66

Nov 4

A

AEK Athens

L

96

100

0

1

94

94

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Brindisi and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Hapoel Holon.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Hapoel Holon and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Brindisi.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Brindisi (in the first graph) and by Hapoel Holon in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Brindisi will expected to score 80 points and the Hapoel Holon 81 points. The total points line estimated to be at 161.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Brindisi

Hapoel Holon

FG%

0.53

0.54

ASS

15.80

18.70

DRB

21.70

18.70

AST-TO

1.19

1.34

TRB

31.50

25.30

FTM

19.70

15.00

BL

1.00

2.50

FTA

23.30

18.50

PF-Fewer

19.20

21.70

ST

6.80

6.30

TO-Fewer

13.30

14.00

Ftper

0.84

0.81

ORBper

0.45

0.36

ORB

9.80

6.70


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Igokea vs Tenerife at 03 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Igokea and Tenerife for BCL, which will take place on 03 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Igokea