2021 03 06 France’s LNB Pro A



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Monaco vs Pau-Lacq-Orthez at 06 March 2021
Chalons-Reims vs Limoges at 06 March 2021
Boulazac Dordogne Pro vs Roanne at 06 March 2021
Metropolitans 92 vs Le Portel at 06 March 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Monaco vs Pau-Lacq-Orthez at 06 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Monaco and Pau-Lacq-Orthez for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 06 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Monaco

1.09

1.29

Pau-Lacq-Orthez

7.5

4.46

Monaco HC

-14.5

-7.50

Pau-Lacq-Orthez HC

+14.5

7.50

Point Line

159.5

152.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Monaco are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 12

A

Orleans Loiret

W

86

85

8

1

W 8

85

75

Jan 30

H

Le Portel

W

82

60

7

1

W 7

80

65

Dec 26

A

Boulazac

W

77

71

6

1

W 6

68

76

Dec 6

A

Elan Bearnais

W

90

86

5

1

W 5

86

86

Nov 21

H

Limoges

W

86

59

4

1

W 4

88

62

Nov 14

H

Dijon

W

70

62

3

1

W 3

76

61

Oct 17

H

Elan Chalon

W

90

60

2

1

W 2

88

69

Oct 3

H

Roanne

W

86

61

1

1

W 1

83

65

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Pau-Lacq-Orthez are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 6

A

Limoges

L

87

96

3

8

L 7

89

100

Jan 30

H

Chalons-Reims

L

86

97

3

7

L 6

79

95

Jan 16

H

JL Bourg

L

76

83

3

6

L 5

74

76

Dec 19

A

Strasbourg

L

71

94

3

5

L 4

74

92

Dec 12

A

Orleans Loiret

L

75

85

3

4

L 3

74

75

Dec 6

H

Monaco

L

86

90

3

3

L 2

100

86

Nov 7

A

Paris Levallois

L

77

84

3

2

L 1

82

84

Oct 28

H

Le Mans

W

90

81

3

1

W 2

88

76

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Monaco and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Pau-Lacq-Orthez.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Pau-Lacq-Orthez and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Monaco.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Monaco (in the first graph) and by Pau-Lacq-Orthez in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Monaco will expected to score 82 points and the Pau-Lacq-Orthez 76 points. The total points line estimated to be at 158.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Monaco

Pau-Lacq-Orthez

FG%

0.52

0.56

ASS

16.30

16.00

DRB

22.10

21.10

AST-TO

1.38

1.05

TRB

34.10

27.60

FTM

16.40

13.00

BL

2.00

1.50

FTA

23.00

16.90

PF-Fewer

21.00

20.70

ST

11.60

7.40

TO-Fewer

11.80

15.30

Ftper

0.71

0.77

ORBper

0.54

0.31

ORB

12.00

6.50


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Chalons-Reims vs Limoges at 06 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Chalons-Reims and Limoges for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 06 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Chalons-Reims

2.45

2.10

Limoges

1.55

1.91

Chalons-Reims HC

+3.5

1.50

Limoges HC

-3.5

-1.50

Point Line

163.5

162.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Chalons-Reims are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 6

H

JL Bourg

W

108

103

3

8

W 2

105

95

Jan 30

A

Elan Bearnais

W

97

86

2

8

W 1

93

86

Jan 23

H

Paris Levallois

L

73

87

1

8

L 4

78

87

Dec 19

A

BCM Gravelines

L

80

84

1

7

L 3

79

88

Dec 12

H

Elan Chalon

L

78

87

1

6

L 2

76

100

Oct 27

A

Dijon

L

72

87

1

5

L 1

78

86

Oct 24

A

Le Mans

W

87

84

1

4

W 1

85

78

Oct 21

A

Le Portel

L

76

78

0

4

L 3

74

84

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Limoges are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 12

A

ASVEL

L

75

84

5

5

L 1

76

76

Feb 6

H

Elan Bearnais

W

96

87

5

4

W 1

92

87

Jan 15

A

Le Mans

L

68

91

4

4

L 1

67

85

Dec 19

H

JL Bourg

W

74

72

4

3

W 1

72

66

Nov 21

A

Monaco

L

59

86

3

3

L 2

69

83

Oct 26

A

Paris Levallois

L

76

82

3

2

L 1

81

82

Oct 12

A

Strasbourg

W

74

66

3

1

W 3

77

64

Oct 3

H

Le Portel

W

91

68

2

1

W 2

89

73

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Chalons-Reims and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Limoges.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Limoges and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Chalons-Reims.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Chalons-Reims (in the first graph) and by Limoges in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Chalons-Reims will expected to score 80 points and the Limoges 83 points. The total points line estimated to be at 163.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Chalons-Reims

Limoges

FG%

0.52

0.54

ASS

18.70

19.10

DRB

21.30

18.70

AST-TO

1.39

1.53

TRB

29.30

25.00

FTM

14.10

18.10

BL

2.50

1.40

FTA

19.40

23.10

PF-Fewer

17.00

19.00

ST

8.20

5.10

TO-Fewer

13.50

12.50

Ftper

0.73

0.78

ORBper

0.38

0.34

ORB

8.00

6.30


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Boulazac Dordogne Pro vs Roanne at 06 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Boulazac Dordogne Pro and Roanne for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 06 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Boulazac Dordogne Pro

1.9

1.63

Roanne

1.9

2.58

Boulazac Dordogne Pro HC

+1.5

-3.50

Roanne HC

-1.5

3.50

Point Line

163.5

160.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Boulazac Dordogne Pro are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 6

H

Nanterre

L

74

96

0

8

L 7

76

95

Jan 29

A

BCM Gravelines

L

84

100

0

7

L 6

83

105

Jan 16

H

Dijon

L

76

86

0

6

L 5

82

85

Dec 26

H

Monaco

L

71

77

0

5

L 4

83

74

Dec 19

A

Paris Levallois

L

79

98

0

4

L 3

84

98

Oct 24

A

Elan Bearnais

L

60

89

0

3

L 2

57

89

Oct 19

A

Strasbourg

L

84

100

0

2

L 1

87

98

Oct 17

H

Le Portel

L

70

71

0

1

L 0

68

77

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Roanne are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 5

A

Le Mans

L

84

97

3

6

L 1

82

91

Jan 30

H

Paris Levallois

W

80

67

3

5

W 1

86

67

Jan 16

H

Strasbourg

L

78

82

2

5

L 2

81

80

Dec 20

H

Dijon

L

81

91

2

4

L 1

88

90

Dec 15

A

Elan Chalon

W

85

80

2

3

W 2

83

92

Oct 16

H

Cholet

W

96

88

1

3

W 1

93

89

Oct 9

A

BCM Gravelines

L

43

77

0

3

L 2

42

80

Oct 3

A

Monaco

L

61

86

0

2

L 1

71

83

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Boulazac Dordogne Pro and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Roanne.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Roanne and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Boulazac Dordogne Pro.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Boulazac Dordogne Pro (in the first graph) and by Roanne in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Boulazac Dordogne Pro will expected to score 81 points and the Roanne 84 points. The total points line estimated to be at 165.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Boulazac Dordogne Pro

Roanne

FG%

0.53

0.52

ASS

15.80

14.80

DRB

19.60

18.80

AST-TO

0.95

0.92

TRB

28.10

28.00

FTM

15.80

14.10

BL

1.90

2.90

FTA

21.80

20.70

PF-Fewer

21.60

19.60

ST

5.60

8.20

TO-Fewer

16.60

16.00

Ftper

0.72

0.68

ORBper

0.43

0.49

ORB

8.50

9.20


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Metropolitans 92 vs Le Portel at 06 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Metropolitans 92 and Le Portel for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 06 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Metropolitans 92

1.13

1.41

Le Portel

6.25

3.46

Metropolitans 92 HC

-11.5

-6.00

Le Portel HC

+11.5

6.00

Point Line

155.5

152.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Metropolitans 92 are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 12

A

Le Portel

W

86

73

9

4

W 1

84

79

Feb 6

H

Strasbourg

L

63

71

8

4

L 2

65

69

Jan 30

A

Roanne

L

67

80

8

3

L 1

65

86

Jan 23

A

Chalons-Reims

W

87

73

8

2

W 1

80

72

Dec 26

A

Le Mans

L

88

95

7

2

L 1

86

89

Dec 19

H

Boulazac

W

98

79

7

1

W 2

87

84

Nov 22

H

Nanterre

W

73

67

6

1

W 1

75

66

Nov 14

H

JL Bourg

L

76

79

5

1

L 1

74

73

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Le Portel are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 12

H

Paris Levallois

L

73

86

5

5

L 2

78

86

Jan 30

A

Monaco

L

60

82

5

4

L 1

70

79

Jan 16

H

Nanterre

W

78

75

5

3

W 2

80

74

Dec 19

H

Orleans Loiret

W

85

84

4

3

W 1

84

74

Dec 14

A

ASVEL

L

66

101

3

3

L 1

67

91

Oct 24

A

Strasbourg

W

94

83

3

2

W 3

97

81

Oct 21

H

Chalons-Reims

W

78

76

2

2

W 2

71

75

Oct 17

A

Boulazac

W

71

70

1

2

W 1

63

75

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Metropolitans 92 and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Le Portel.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Le Portel and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Metropolitans 92.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Metropolitans 92 (in the first graph) and by Le Portel in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Metropolitans 92 will expected to score 79 points and the Le Portel 76 points. The total points line estimated to be at 155.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Metropolitans 92

Le Portel

FG%

0.57

0.54

ASS

19.80

18.30

DRB

21.10

21.40

AST-TO

1.60

1.24

TRB

29.30

28.70

FTM

12.30

12.50

BL

3.10

1.90

FTA

16.40

18.00

PF-Fewer

20.30

20.50

ST

6.90

8.00

TO-Fewer

12.40

14.80

Ftper

0.75

0.69

ORBper

0.39

0.34

ORB

8.20

7.30


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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