BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis
In this article we will analyse the following games:
Riesen Ludwigsburg vs Oldenburg at 06 March 2021
Giessen 46ers vs Bonn at 06 March 2021
Niners Chemnitz vs Hamburg Towers at 07 March 2021
Rasta Vechta vs Bayern Munich at 07 March 2021
Ulm vs Alba Berlin at 07 March 2021
Before continue, please read the disclaimer.
Riesen Ludwigsburg vs Oldenburg at 06 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Riesen Ludwigsburg and Oldenburg for German BBL, which will take place on 06 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Riesen Ludwigsburg 
1.4 
1.89 
Oldenburg 
2.95 
2.13 
Riesen Ludwigsburg HC 
5.5 
1.50 
Oldenburg HC 
+5.5 
1.50 
Point Line 
169.5 
167.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Riesen Ludwigsburg are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Feb 28 
A 
Hamburg Towers 
W 
73 
67 
18 
1 

77 
67 
Feb 12 
A 
SC Rasta Vechta 
W 
84 
66 
17 
1 

81 
70 
Feb 10 
H 
Basketball Lowen Braunschweig 
W 
81 
74 
16 
1 

75 
73 
Feb 7 
A 
EWE Baskets Oldenburg 
W 
89 
75 
15 
1 

89 
67 
Jan 30 
H 
Giessen 46ers 
W 
99 
85 
14 
1 

86 
84 
Jan 23 
A 
Mitteldeutscher BC 
W 
93 
80 
13 
1 

87 
80 
Jan 16 
H 
Brose Baskets Bamberg 
W 
83 
75 
12 
1 

86 
76 
Jan 9 
H 
Ratiopharm Ulm 
W 
89 
87 
11 
1 

95 
83 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Oldenburg are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Feb 28 
H 
Basketball Lowen Braunschweig 
W 
101 
89 
16 
4 

93 
88 
Feb 14 
A 
Medi Bayreuth 
W 
91 
82 
15 
4 

89 
84 
Feb 12 
H 
Giessen 46ers 
L 
93 
97 
14 
4 

80 
96 
Feb 10 
H 
Hamburg Towers 
W 
89 
88 
14 
3 

94 
88 
Feb 7 
H 
MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg 
L 
75 
89 
13 
3 

81 
85 
Jan 30 
H 
s.Oliver Baskets 
W 
124 
84 
13 
2 

121 
89 
Jan 23 
A 
Giessen 46ers 
W 
97 
82 
12 
2 

84 
81 
Jan 17 
H 
Mitteldeutscher BC 
W 
87 
79 
11 
2 

82 
79 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Riesen Ludwigsburg and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Oldenburg.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Oldenburg and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Riesen Ludwigsburg.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Riesen Ludwigsburg (in the first graph) and by Oldenburg in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Riesen Ludwigsburg will expected to score 86 points and the Oldenburg 84 points. The total points line estimated to be at 170.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Riesen Ludwigsburg 
Oldenburg 
FG% 
0.55 
0.60 
ASS 
16.20 
21.80 
DRB 
21.20 
22.40 
ASTTO 
1.56 
2.02 
TRB 
30.60 
29.80 
FTM 
15.20 
16.10 
BL 
2.00 
1.90 
FTA 
20.70 
18.90 
PFFewer 
19.80 
20.80 
ST 
8.10 
7.30 
TOFewer 
10.40 
10.80 
Ftper 
0.74 
0.85 
ORBper 
0.44 
0.33 
ORB 
9.40 
7.30 
Go to Top
Giessen 46ers vs Bonn at 06 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Giessen 46ers and Bonn for German BBL, which will take place on 06 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Giessen 46ers 
2.7 
1.75 
Bonn 
1.47 
2.34 
Giessen 46ers HC 
+5.5 
3.00 
Bonn HC 
5.5 
3.00 
Point Line 
183.5 
173.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Giessen 46ers are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Mar 3 
A 
Mitteldeutscher BC 
L 
81 
102 
4 
16 

76 
102 
Feb 27 
H 
Medi Bayreuth 
W 
97 
92 
4 
15 

94 
94 
Feb 14 
H 
Hamburg Towers 
L 
78 
95 
3 
15 

82 
95 
Feb 12 
A 
EWE Baskets Oldenburg 
W 
97 
93 
3 
14 

97 
83 
Feb 6 
H 
HARKO Merlins Crailsheim 
L 
82 
101 
2 
14 

83 
96 
Jan 30 
A 
MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg 
L 
85 
99 
2 
13 

92 
94 
Jan 23 
H 
EWE Baskets Oldenburg 
L 
82 
97 
2 
12 

82 
87 
Jan 16 
A 
SC Rasta Vechta 
L 
84 
97 
2 
11 

81 
103 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bonn are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Mar 2 
H 
Medi Bayreuth 
L 
76 
91 
6 
12 

74 
93 
Feb 27 
H 
SC Rasta Vechta 
W 
94 
89 
6 
11 

91 
94 
Feb 14 
H 
Mitteldeutscher BC 
W 
83 
66 
5 
11 

78 
66 
Feb 12 
A 
Hamburg Towers 
W 
78 
71 
4 
11 

82 
71 
Jan 31 
A 
Fraport Skyliners 
L 
79 
84 
3 
11 

81 
92 
Jan 24 
H 
HARKO Merlins Crailsheim 
L 
84 
93 
3 
10 

85 
88 
Jan 15 
A 
BV Chemnitz 99 
L 
92 
93 
3 
9 

87 
96 
Jan 9 
H 
s.Oliver Baskets 
L 
77 
89 
3 
8 

75 
94 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Giessen 46ers and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bonn.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bonn and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Giessen 46ers.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Giessen 46ers (in the first graph) and by Bonn in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Giessen 46ers will expected to score 84 points and the Bonn 87 points. The total points line estimated to be at 171.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Giessen 46ers 
Bonn 
FG% 
0.54 
0.53 
ASS 
17.60 
15.90 
DRB 
20.60 
22.30 
ASTTO 
1.24 
1.15 
TRB 
29.90 
30.70 
FTM 
11.90 
13.90 
BL 
2.80 
1.70 
FTA 
14.80 
18.30 
PFFewer 
21.10 
21.40 
ST 
5.70 
6.70 
TOFewer 
14.20 
13.80 
Ftper 
0.80 
0.76 
ORBper 
0.45 
0.37 
ORB 
9.30 
8.30 
Go to Top
Niners Chemnitz vs Hamburg Towers at 07 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Niners Chemnitz and Hamburg Towers for German BBL, which will take place on 07 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Niners Chemnitz 
2.55 
2.65 
Hamburg Towers 
1.53 
1.61 
Niners Chemnitz HC 
+4.5 
4.00 
Hamburg Towers HC 
4.5 
4.00 
Point Line 
162.5 
166.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Niners Chemnitz are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Feb 14 
H 
Bayern Munich 
W 
85 
83 
7 
11 

92 
80 
Feb 12 
H 
Brose Baskets Bamberg 
W 
85 
82 
6 
11 

88 
84 
Feb 10 
H 
SC Rasta Vechta 
W 
89 
77 
5 
11 

86 
82 
Feb 7 
A 
ALBA Berlin 
L 
65 
83 
4 
11 

73 
81 
Jan 30 
H 
Medi Bayreuth 
L 
61 
83 
4 
10 

59 
85 
Jan 24 
A 
Ratiopharm Ulm 
L 
63 
102 
4 
9 

68 
97 
Jan 15 
H 
Telekom Baskets Bonn 
W 
93 
92 
4 
8 

93 
96 
Jan 10 
A 
Bayern Munich 
L 
76 
77 
3 
8 

82 
74 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Hamburg Towers are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Mar 3 
A 
Ratiopharm Ulm 
L 
76 
89 
10 
9 

82 
85 
Feb 28 
H 
MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg 
L 
67 
73 
10 
8 

73 
69 
Feb 14 
A 
Giessen 46ers 
W 
95 
78 
10 
7 

82 
77 
Feb 12 
H 
Telekom Baskets Bonn 
L 
71 
78 
9 
7 

71 
81 
Feb 10 
A 
EWE Baskets Oldenburg 
L 
88 
89 
9 
6 

88 
80 
Feb 5 
H 
Medi Bayreuth 
L 
92 
95 
9 
5 

90 
97 
Jan 23 
H 
Fraport Skyliners 
W 
98 
70 
9 
4 

101 
76 
Jan 17 
A 
Bayern Munich 
L 
71 
85 
8 
4 

77 
82 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Niners Chemnitz and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Hamburg Towers.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Hamburg Towers and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Niners Chemnitz.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Niners Chemnitz (in the first graph) and by Hamburg Towers in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Niners Chemnitz will expected to score 81 points and the Hamburg Towers 86 points. The total points line estimated to be at 167.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Niners Chemnitz 
Hamburg Towers 
FG% 
0.57 
0.54 
ASS 
17.90 
18.40 
DRB 
21.20 
20.80 
ASTTO 
1.07 
1.50 
TRB 
28.50 
29.60 
FTM 
14.50 
14.40 
BL 
2.80 
1.80 
FTA 
17.90 
19.80 
PFFewer 
22.80 
21.20 
ST 
6.00 
9.10 
TOFewer 
16.70 
12.30 
Ftper 
0.81 
0.73 
ORBper 
0.34 
0.42 
ORB 
7.30 
8.80 
Go to Top
Rasta Vechta vs Bayern Munich at 07 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Rasta Vechta and Bayern Munich for German BBL, which will take place on 07 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Rasta Vechta 
8.5 
8.60 
Bayern Munich 
1.07 
1.13 
Rasta Vechta HC 
+15.5 
10.50 
Bayern Munich HC 
15.5 
10.50 
Point Line 
163.5 
166.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Rasta Vechta are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Feb 27 
A 
Telekom Baskets Bonn 
L 
89 
94 
3 
17 

89 
98 
Feb 14 
H 
Basketball Lowen Braunschweig 
L 
71 
80 
3 
16 

66 
79 
Feb 12 
H 
MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg 
L 
66 
84 
3 
15 

72 
80 
Feb 10 
A 
BV Chemnitz 99 
L 
77 
89 
3 
14 

73 
92 
Feb 6 
H 
Fraport Skyliners 
L 
72 
96 
3 
13 

74 
104 
Jan 31 
A 
ALBA Berlin 
L 
70 
86 
3 
12 

78 
84 
Jan 22 
A 
BG Goettingen 
W 
102 
90 
2 
11 

93 
92 
Jan 16 
H 
Giessen 46ers 
W 
97 
84 
1 
11 

84 
83 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bayern Munich are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Feb 28 
H 
s.Oliver Baskets 
W 
97 
76 
15 
4 

94 
80 
Feb 14 
A 
BV Chemnitz 99 
L 
83 
85 
14 
4 

79 
88 
Feb 12 
H 
Fraport Skyliners 
W 
84 
58 
14 
3 

86 
63 
Feb 9 
A 
Ratiopharm Ulm 
W 
81 
77 
13 
3 

87 
73 
Feb 7 
A 
Brose Baskets Bamberg 
W 
93 
92 
12 
3 

97 
94 
Feb 3 
A 
s.Oliver Baskets 
W 
74 
70 
11 
3 

72 
74 
Jan 31 
H 
HARKO Merlins Crailsheim 
L 
103 
105 
10 
3 

104 
100 
Jan 23 
A 
Medi Bayreuth 
W 
98 
78 
10 
2 

96 
80 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Rasta Vechta and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bayern Munich.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bayern Munich and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Rasta Vechta.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Rasta Vechta (in the first graph) and by Bayern Munich in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Rasta Vechta will expected to score 78 points and the Bayern Munich 87 points. The total points line estimated to be at 165.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Rasta Vechta 
Bayern Munich 
FG% 
0.52 
0.56 
ASS 
17.90 
18.80 
DRB 
21.40 
22.50 
ASTTO 
1.15 
1.55 
TRB 
30.40 
31.10 
FTM 
15.90 
17.70 
BL 
1.90 
4.00 
FTA 
20.60 
22.20 
PFFewer 
22.10 
21.00 
ST 
5.20 
7.50 
TOFewer 
15.60 
12.10 
Ftper 
0.77 
0.80 
ORBper 
0.43 
0.38 
ORB 
9.10 
8.60 
Go to Top
Ulm vs Alba Berlin at 07 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Ulm and Alba Berlin for German BBL, which will take place on 07 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Ulm 
2.55 
3.38 
Alba Berlin 
1.53 
1.42 
Ulm HC 
+4.5 
6.00 
Alba Berlin HC 
4.5 
6.00 
Point Line 
167.5 
161.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ulm are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Mar 3 
H 
Hamburg Towers 
W 
89 
76 
14 
7 

94 
76 
Feb 27 
H 
Mitteldeutscher BC 
W 
102 
73 
13 
7 

96 
73 
Feb 14 
A 
Fraport Skyliners 
W 
87 
68 
12 
7 

89 
74 
Feb 12 
H 
BG Goettingen 
W 
93 
64 
11 