2021 03 06 German BBL



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Riesen Ludwigsburg vs Oldenburg at 06 March 2021
Giessen 46ers vs Bonn at 06 March 2021
Niners Chemnitz vs Hamburg Towers at 07 March 2021
Rasta Vechta vs Bayern Munich at 07 March 2021
Ulm vs Alba Berlin at 07 March 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Riesen Ludwigsburg vs Oldenburg at 06 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Riesen Ludwigsburg and Oldenburg for German BBL, which will take place on 06 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Riesen Ludwigsburg

1.4

1.89

Oldenburg

2.95

2.13

Riesen Ludwigsburg HC

-5.5

-1.50

Oldenburg HC

+5.5

1.50

Point Line

169.5

167.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Riesen Ludwigsburg are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 28

A

Hamburg Towers

W

73

67

18

1

77

67

Feb 12

A

SC Rasta Vechta

W

84

66

17

1

81

70

Feb 10

H

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

W

81

74

16

1

75

73

Feb 7

A

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

W

89

75

15

1

89

67

Jan 30

H

Giessen 46ers

W

99

85

14

1

86

84

Jan 23

A

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

93

80

13

1

87

80

Jan 16

H

Brose Baskets Bamberg

W

83

75

12

1

86

76

Jan 9

H

Ratiopharm Ulm

W

89

87

11

1

95

83

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Oldenburg are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 28

H

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

W

101

89

16

4

93

88

Feb 14

A

Medi Bayreuth

W

91

82

15

4

89

84

Feb 12

H

Giessen 46ers

L

93

97

14

4

80

96

Feb 10

H

Hamburg Towers

W

89

88

14

3

94

88

Feb 7

H

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

75

89

13

3

81

85

Jan 30

H

s.Oliver Baskets

W

124

84

13

2

121

89

Jan 23

A

Giessen 46ers

W

97

82

12

2

84

81

Jan 17

H

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

87

79

11

2

82

79

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Riesen Ludwigsburg and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Oldenburg.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Oldenburg and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Riesen Ludwigsburg.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Riesen Ludwigsburg (in the first graph) and by Oldenburg in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Riesen Ludwigsburg will expected to score 86 points and the Oldenburg 84 points. The total points line estimated to be at 170.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Riesen Ludwigsburg

Oldenburg

FG%

0.55

0.60

ASS

16.20

21.80

DRB

21.20

22.40

AST-TO

1.56

2.02

TRB

30.60

29.80

FTM

15.20

16.10

BL

2.00

1.90

FTA

20.70

18.90

PF-Fewer

19.80

20.80

ST

8.10

7.30

TO-Fewer

10.40

10.80

Ftper

0.74

0.85

ORBper

0.44

0.33

ORB

9.40

7.30


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top


Giessen 46ers vs Bonn at 06 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Giessen 46ers and Bonn for German BBL, which will take place on 06 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Giessen 46ers

2.7

1.75

Bonn

1.47

2.34

Giessen 46ers HC

+5.5

-3.00

Bonn HC

-5.5

3.00

Point Line

183.5

173.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Giessen 46ers are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 3

A

Mitteldeutscher BC

L

81

102

4

16

76

102

Feb 27

H

Medi Bayreuth

W

97

92

4

15

94

94

Feb 14

H

Hamburg Towers

L

78

95

3

15

82

95

Feb 12

A

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

W

97

93

3

14

97

83

Feb 6

H

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

L

82

101

2

14

83

96

Jan 30

A

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

85

99

2

13

92

94

Jan 23

H

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

L

82

97

2

12

82

87

Jan 16

A

SC Rasta Vechta

L

84

97

2

11

81

103

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bonn are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 2

H

Medi Bayreuth

L

76

91

6

12

74

93

Feb 27

H

SC Rasta Vechta

W

94

89

6

11

91

94

Feb 14

H

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

83

66

5

11

78

66

Feb 12

A

Hamburg Towers

W

78

71

4

11

82

71

Jan 31

A

Fraport Skyliners

L

79

84

3

11

81

92

Jan 24

H

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

L

84

93

3

10

85

88

Jan 15

A

BV Chemnitz 99

L

92

93

3

9

87

96

Jan 9

H

s.Oliver Baskets

L

77

89

3

8

75

94

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Giessen 46ers and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bonn.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bonn and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Giessen 46ers.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Giessen 46ers (in the first graph) and by Bonn in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Giessen 46ers will expected to score 84 points and the Bonn 87 points. The total points line estimated to be at 171.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Giessen 46ers

Bonn

FG%

0.54

0.53

ASS

17.60

15.90

DRB

20.60

22.30

AST-TO

1.24

1.15

TRB

29.90

30.70

FTM

11.90

13.90

BL

2.80

1.70

FTA

14.80

18.30

PF-Fewer

21.10

21.40

ST

5.70

6.70

TO-Fewer

14.20

13.80

Ftper

0.80

0.76

ORBper

0.45

0.37

ORB

9.30

8.30


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top


Niners Chemnitz vs Hamburg Towers at 07 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Niners Chemnitz and Hamburg Towers for German BBL, which will take place on 07 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Niners Chemnitz

2.55

2.65

Hamburg Towers

1.53

1.61

Niners Chemnitz HC

+4.5

4.00

Hamburg Towers HC

-4.5

-4.00

Point Line

162.5

166.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Niners Chemnitz are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 14

H

Bayern Munich

W

85

83

7

11

92

80

Feb 12

H

Brose Baskets Bamberg

W

85

82

6

11

88

84

Feb 10

H

SC Rasta Vechta

W

89

77

5

11

86

82

Feb 7

A

ALBA Berlin

L

65

83

4

11

73

81

Jan 30

H

Medi Bayreuth

L

61

83

4

10

59

85

Jan 24

A

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

63

102

4

9

68

97

Jan 15

H

Telekom Baskets Bonn

W

93

92

4

8

93

96

Jan 10

A

Bayern Munich

L

76

77

3

8

82

74

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Hamburg Towers are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 3

A

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

76

89

10

9

82

85

Feb 28

H

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

67

73

10

8

73

69

Feb 14

A

Giessen 46ers

W

95

78

10

7

82

77

Feb 12

H

Telekom Baskets Bonn

L

71

78

9

7

71

81

Feb 10

A

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

L

88

89

9

6

88

80

Feb 5

H

Medi Bayreuth

L

92

95

9

5

90

97

Jan 23

H

Fraport Skyliners

W

98

70

9

4

101

76

Jan 17

A

Bayern Munich

L

71

85

8

4

77

82

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Niners Chemnitz and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Hamburg Towers.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Hamburg Towers and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Niners Chemnitz.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Niners Chemnitz (in the first graph) and by Hamburg Towers in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Niners Chemnitz will expected to score 81 points and the Hamburg Towers 86 points. The total points line estimated to be at 167.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Niners Chemnitz

Hamburg Towers

FG%

0.57

0.54

ASS

17.90

18.40

DRB

21.20

20.80

AST-TO

1.07

1.50

TRB

28.50

29.60

FTM

14.50

14.40

BL

2.80

1.80

FTA

17.90

19.80

PF-Fewer

22.80

21.20

ST

6.00

9.10

TO-Fewer

16.70

12.30

Ftper

0.81

0.73

ORBper

0.34

0.42

ORB

7.30

8.80


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top


Rasta Vechta vs Bayern Munich at 07 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Rasta Vechta and Bayern Munich for German BBL, which will take place on 07 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Rasta Vechta

8.5

8.60

Bayern Munich

1.07

1.13

Rasta Vechta HC

+15.5

10.50

Bayern Munich HC

-15.5

-10.50

Point Line

163.5

166.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Rasta Vechta are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 27

A

Telekom Baskets Bonn

L

89

94

3

17

89

98

Feb 14

H

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

L

71

80

3

16

66

79

Feb 12

H

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

66

84

3

15

72

80

Feb 10

A

BV Chemnitz 99

L

77

89

3

14

73

92

Feb 6

H

Fraport Skyliners

L

72

96

3

13

74

104

Jan 31

A

ALBA Berlin

L

70

86

3

12

78

84

Jan 22

A

BG Goettingen

W

102

90

2

11

93

92

Jan 16

H

Giessen 46ers

W

97

84

1

11

84

83

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bayern Munich are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 28

H

s.Oliver Baskets

W

97

76

15

4

94

80

Feb 14

A

BV Chemnitz 99

L

83

85

14

4

79

88

Feb 12

H

Fraport Skyliners

W

84

58

14

3

86

63

Feb 9

A

Ratiopharm Ulm

W

81

77

13

3

87

73

Feb 7

A

Brose Baskets Bamberg

W

93

92

12

3

97

94

Feb 3

A

s.Oliver Baskets

W

74

70

11

3

72

74

Jan 31

H

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

L

103

105

10

3

104

100

Jan 23

A

Medi Bayreuth

W

98

78

10

2

96

80

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Rasta Vechta and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bayern Munich.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bayern Munich and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Rasta Vechta.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Rasta Vechta (in the first graph) and by Bayern Munich in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Rasta Vechta will expected to score 78 points and the Bayern Munich 87 points. The total points line estimated to be at 165.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Rasta Vechta

Bayern Munich

FG%

0.52

0.56

ASS

17.90

18.80

DRB

21.40

22.50

AST-TO

1.15

1.55

TRB

30.40

31.10

FTM

15.90

17.70

BL

1.90

4.00

FTA

20.60

22.20

PF-Fewer

22.10

21.00

ST

5.20

7.50

TO-Fewer

15.60

12.10

Ftper

0.77

0.80

ORBper

0.43

0.38

ORB

9.10

8.60


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top


Ulm vs Alba Berlin at 07 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Ulm and Alba Berlin for German BBL, which will take place on 07 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Ulm

2.55

3.38

Alba Berlin

1.53

1.42

Ulm HC

+4.5

6.00

Alba Berlin HC

-4.5

-6.00

Point Line

167.5

161.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ulm are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 3

H

Hamburg Towers

W

89

76

14

7

94

76

Feb 27

H

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

102

73

13

7

96

73

Feb 14

A

Fraport Skyliners

W

87

68

12

7

89

74

Feb 12

H

BG Goettingen

W

93

64

11