2021 03 06 Turkey Super League

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Karsiyaka vs Buyukcekmece at 06 March 2021
Galatasaray vs Darussafaka at 06 March 2021
Ormanspor vs Tofas at 06 March 2021
Besiktas vs Petkim Spor at 06 March 2021
Fenerbahce vs Turk Telekom at 07 March 2021
Afyon Belediye vs Anadolu Efes at 07 March 2021
Fethiye Belediye vs Gaziantep at 07 March 2021
Bursaspor vs Bahcesehir Koleji at 07 March 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.

Karsiyaka vs Buyukcekmece at 06 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Karsiyaka and Buyukcekmece for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 06 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome	Books	Ours
Karsiyaka	1.1	1.26
Buyukcekmece	6.5	4.79
Karsiyaka HC	-13.5	-8.00
Buyukcekmece HC	+13.5	8.00
Point Line	161.5	156.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Karsiyaka are:

gDate	At	Opponent	WL	Tm	Opp	W	L	Str	aOff	aDef
Feb 27	A	Bahcesehir	W	96	83	18	4	W 2	94	82
Feb 9	H	Turk Telekom	W	80	69	17	4	W 1	79	74
Feb 6	A	Darussafaka	L	77	86	16	4	L 1	80	87
Jan 31	H	Tofas	W	90	71	16	3	W 11	88	66
Jan 24	A	Socar Spor	W	85	75	15	3	W 10	86	75
Jan 17	H	Gaziantep	W	72	65	14	3	W 9	78	70
Jan 9	A	Fethiye	W	86	78	13	3	W 8	79	82
Jan 2	A	Besiktas	W	84	72	12	3	W 7	86	70

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Buyukcekmece are:

gDate	At	Opponent	WL	Tm	Opp	W	L	Str	aOff	aDef
Feb 28	H	Afyon	W	95	83	8	14	W 1	90	82
Feb 9	H	Anadolu Efes	L	83	94	7	14	L 7	91	85
Feb 6	A	Bahcesehir	L	74	83	7	13	L 6	73	82
Jan 31	H	Turk Telekom	L	75	86	7	12	L 5	74	92
Jan 23	A	Darussafaka	L	82	85	7	11	L 4	85	86
Jan 16	H	Tofas	L	75	88	7	10	L 3	74	82
Jan 10	A	Socar Spor	L	77	98	7	9	L 2	78	98
Jan 7	A	Bursaspor	L	81	89	7	8	L 1	77	92

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Karsiyaka and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Buyukcekmece.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Buyukcekmece and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Karsiyaka.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Karsiyaka (in the first graph) and by Buyukcekmece in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Karsiyaka will expected to score 84 points and the Buyukcekmece 78 points. The total points line estimated to be at 162.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var	Karsiyaka	Buyukcekmece
FG%	0.55	0.50
ASS	19.30	18.20
DRB	24.50	23.10
AST-TO	1.62	1.50
TRB	34.10	32.90
FTM	17.30	14.50
BL	1.90	2.10
FTA	23.80	18.50
PF-Fewer	19.00	20.90
ST	6.40	5.90
TO-Fewer	11.90	12.10
Ftper	0.73	0.79
ORBper	0.40	0.42
ORB	9.70	9.70

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Galatasaray vs Darussafaka at 06 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Galatasaray and Darussafaka for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 06 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome	Books	Ours
Galatasaray	2.2	3.79
Darussafaka	1.65	1.36
Galatasaray HC	+2.5	7.00
Darussafaka HC	-2.5	-7.00
Point Line	159.5	160.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Galatasaray are:

gDate	At	Opponent	WL	Tm	Opp	W	L	Str	aOff	aDef
Feb 27	A	Tofas	L	89	98	7	15	L 3	87	92
Feb 10	H	Socar Spor	L	65	89	7	14	L 2	66	89
Feb 6	A	Gaziantep	L	61	68	7	13	L 1	66	73
Jan 30	H	Fethiye	W	71	68	7	12	W 1	65	72
Jan 23	A	Besiktas	L	64	82	6	12	L 1	65	80
Jan 16	H	Ormanspor	W	89	87	6	11	W 1	81	93
Jan 10	A	Anadolu Efes	L	80	90	5	11	L 2	88	82
Jan 2	H	Fenerbahce	L	73	87	5	10	L 1	77	81

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Darussafaka are:

gDate	At	Opponent	WL	Tm	Opp	W	L	Str	aOff	aDef
Feb 28	H	Fenerbahce	L	64	66	11	11	L 1	68	62
Feb 10	A	Bursaspor	W	70	68	11	10	W 2	67	70
Feb 6	H	Pinar Karsiyaka	W	86	77	10	10	W 1	94	74
Feb 3	A	Socar Spor	L	70	78	9	10	L 2	70	78
Jan 30	A	Afyon	L	79	80	9	9	L 1	75	79
Jan 23	H	Buyukcekmece	W	85	82	9	8	W 3	81	82
Jan 17	A	Bahcesehir	W	85	76	8	8	W 2	84	75
Jan 10	H	Turk Telekom	W	84	72	7	8	W 1	83	78

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Galatasaray and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Darussafaka.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Darussafaka and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Galatasaray.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Galatasaray (in the first graph) and by Darussafaka in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Galatasaray will expected to score 79 points and the Darussafaka 83 points. The total points line estimated to be at 162.5 points.

Var	Galatasaray	Darussafaka
FG%	0.54	0.50
ASS	18.80	18.00
DRB	21.50	21.50
AST-TO	1.48	1.54
TRB	29.20	32.50
FTM	13.40	16.10
BL	2.60	2.90
FTA	17.90	20.50
PF-Fewer	18.10	23.00
ST	6.00	8.10
TO-Fewer	12.70	11.70
Ftper	0.75	0.79
ORBper	0.36	0.51
ORB	7.70	11.00

Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.

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Ormanspor vs Tofas at 06 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Ormanspor and Tofas for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 06 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome	Books	Ours
Ormanspor	3.85	3.64
Tofas	1.25	1.38
Ormanspor HC	+7.5	6.50
Tofas HC	-7.5	-6.50
Point Line	168.5	164.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ormanspor are:

gDate	At	Opponent	WL	Tm	Opp	W	L	Str	aOff	aDef
Feb 27	A	Socar Spor	L	76	83	5	17	L 7	76	83
Feb 11	H	Gaziantep	L	81	82	5	16	L 6	88	88
Feb 7	A	Fethiye	L	89	98	5	15	L 5	82	103
Feb 1	H	Besiktas	L	68	92	5	14	L 4	69	89
Jan 23	A	Anadolu Efes	L	75	95	5	13	L 3	82	86
Jan 16	A	Galatasaray	L	87	89	5	12	L 2	83	90
Jan 9	H	Fenerbahce	L	63	72	5	11	L 1	67	67
Jan 3	H	Bursaspor	W	84	80	5	10	W 1	80	82

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Tofas are:

gDate	At	Opponent	WL	Tm	Opp	W	L	Str	aOff	aDef
Feb 27	H	Galatasaray	W	98	89	13	9	W 3	93	90
Feb 10	A	Fenerbahce	W	84	81	12	9	W 2	89	76
Feb 7	H	Bursaspor	W	84	77	11	9	W 1	80	79
Jan 31	A	Pinar Karsiyaka	L	71	90	10	9	L 1	78	87
Jan 27	H	Socar Spor	W	88	80	10	8	W 1	89	80
Jan 24	H	Afyon	L	83	85	9	8	L 1	78	84
Jan 16	A	Buyukcekmece	W	88	75	9	7	W 4	84	75
Jan 9	H	Bahcesehir	W	87	80	8	7	W 3	86	79

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Ormanspor and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Tofas.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Tofas and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Ormanspor.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Ormanspor (in the first graph) and by Tofas in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Ormanspor will expected to score 80 points and the Tofas 86 points. The total points line estimated to be at 166.5 points.

Var	Ormanspor	Tofas
FG%	0.52	0.56
ASS	18.10	21.30
DRB	20.50	22.00
AST-TO	1.62	1.84
TRB	28.00	30.60
FTM	14.30	13.00
BL	2.50	3.00
FTA	19.20	16.90
PF-Fewer	16.50	21.10
ST	4.40	7.90
TO-Fewer	11.20	11.60
Ftper	0.74	0.77
ORBper	0.37	0.39
ORB	7.50	8.60

Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.

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Besiktas vs Petkim Spor at 06 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Besiktas and Petkim Spor for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 06 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome	Books	Ours
Besiktas	1.36	1.47
Petkim Spor	3.1	3.13
Besiktas HC	-6.5	-5.50
Petkim Spor HC	+6.5	5.50
Point Line	160.5	160.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Besiktas are:

gDate	At	Opponent	WL	Tm	Opp	W	L	Str	aOff	aDef
Feb 28	A	Gaziantep	W	84	77	12	10	W 2	91	82
Feb 10	H	Fethiye	W	76	65	11	10	W 1	70	68
Feb 7	A	Anadolu Efes	L	80	84	10	10	L 1	88	76
Feb 1	A	Ormanspor	W	92	68	10	9	W 3	84	73
Jan 23	H	Galatasaray	W	82	64	9	9	W 2	78	65
Jan 17	A	Fenerbahce	W	92	83	8	9	W 1	97	77
Jan 9	H	Bursaspor	L	69	84	7	9	L 2	66	86
Jan 2	H	Pinar Karsiyaka	L	72	84	7	8	L 1	79	81

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Petkim Spor are:

gDate	At	Opponent	WL	Tm	Opp	W	L	Str	aOff	aDef
Feb 27	H	Ormanspor	W	83	76	9	13	W 2	76	81
Feb 10	A	Galatasaray	W	89	65	8	13	W 1	85	66
Feb 7	H	Fenerbahce	L	67	80	7	13	L 1	71	75
Feb 3	H	Darussafaka	W	78	70	7	12	W 1	81	70
Jan 30	A	Bursaspor	L	89	95	6	12	L 4	85	98
Jan 27	A	Tofas	L	80	88	6	11	L 3	79	82
Jan 24	H	Pinar Karsiyaka	L	75	85	6	10	L 2	82	82
Jan 16	A	Afyon	L	76	94	6	9	L 1	72	93

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Besiktas and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Petkim Spor.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Petkim Spor and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Besiktas.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Besiktas (in the first graph) and by Petkim Spor in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Besiktas will expected to score 82 points and the Petkim Spor 80 points. The total points line estimated to be at 162.5 points.

Var	Besiktas	Petkim Spor
FG%	0.53	0.56
ASS	19.20	20.80
DRB	23.20	21.90
AST-TO	1.47	1.72
TRB	33.80	31.20
FTM	14.90	11.90
BL	3.10	2.00
FTA	19.20	16.70
PF-Fewer	21.00	21.30
ST	6.50	5.70
TO-Fewer	13.10	12.10
Ftper	0.78	0.71
ORBper	0.46	0.42
ORB	10.60	9.30

Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.

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Fenerbahce vs Turk Telekom at 07 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Fenerbahce and Turk Telekom for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 07 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome	Books	Ours
Fenerbahce	1.11	1.30
Turk Telekom	6.2	4.35
Fenerbahce HC	-12.5	-7.50
Turk Telekom HC	+12.5	7.50
Point Line	164.5	155.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Fenerbahce are:

gDate	At	Opponent	WL	Tm	Opp	W	L	Str	aOff	aDef
Feb 28	A	Darussafaka	W	66	64	16	6	W 1	68	64
Feb 10	H	Tofas	L	81	84	15	6	L 1	80	79
Feb 7	A	Socar Spor	W	80	67	15	5	W 1	81	67
Jan 31	H	Gaziantep	L	97	102