2021 03 13 France’s LNB Pro A



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Limoges vs Villeurbanne at 13 March 2021
Dijon vs Metropolitans 92 at 13 March 2021
Cholet vs Boulazac Dordogne Pro at 13 March 2021
Roanne vs Gravelines at 13 March 2021
Nanterre vs Chalons-Reims at 13 March 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Limoges vs Villeurbanne at 13 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Limoges and Villeurbanne for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 13 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Limoges

2.85

2.29

Villeurbanne

1.42

1.77

Limoges HC

+5.5

2.50

Villeurbanne HC

-5.5

-2.50

Point Line

157.5

158.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Limoges are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 6

A

Chalons-Reims

L

72

74

5

6

L 2

68

74

Feb 12

A

ASVEL

L

75

84

5

5

L 1

76

77

Feb 6

H

Elan Bearnais

W

96

87

5

4

W 1

90

85

Jan 15

A

Le Mans

L

68

91

4

4

L 1

67

85

Dec 19

H

JL Bourg

W

74

72

4

3

W 1

73

65

Nov 21

A

Monaco

L

59

86

3

3

L 2

67

83

Oct 26

A

Paris Levallois

L

76

82

3

2

L 1

84

82

Oct 12

A

Strasbourg

W

74

66

3

1

W 3

77

64

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Villeurbanne are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 9

H

Dijon

L

76

84

6

4

L 1

82

83

Feb 12

H

Limoges

W

84

75

6

3

W 1

86

79

Jan 17

A

Elan Chalon

L

75

85

5

3

L 1

74

96

Dec 26

H

BCM Gravelines

W

96

68

5

2

W 4

95

71

Dec 14

H

Le Portel

W

101

66

4

2

W 3

99

72

Nov 8

H

Orleans Loiret

W

93

83

3

2

W 2

91

72

Oct 11

A

Cholet

W

82

73

2

2

W 1

80

74

Oct 4

H

JL Bourg

L

102

104

1

2

L 1

101

94

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Limoges and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Villeurbanne.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Villeurbanne and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Limoges.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Limoges (in the first graph) and by Villeurbanne in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Limoges will expected to score 78 points and the Villeurbanne 81 points. The total points line estimated to be at 159.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Limoges

Villeurbanne

FG%

0.54

0.56

ASS

19.50

17.30

DRB

18.80

21.60

AST-TO

1.56

1.30

TRB

25.10

31.50

FTM

17.40

15.50

BL

1.60

4.00

FTA

22.10

19.40

PF-Fewer

19.10

22.70

ST

5.00

7.00

TO-Fewer

12.50

13.30

Ftper

0.79

0.80

ORBper

0.34

0.46

ORB

6.30

9.90


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top


Dijon vs Metropolitans 92 at 13 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Dijon and Metropolitans 92 for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 13 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Dijon

1.47

3.22

Metropolitans 92

2.7

1.45

Dijon HC

-5.5

5.50

Metropolitans 92 HC

+5.5

-5.50

Point Line

151.5

152.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Dijon are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 9

A

ASVEL

W

84

76

11

2

W 6

86

70

Feb 13

A

Nanterre

W

86

77

10

2

W 5

85

77

Feb 5

H

Elan Chalon

W

85

75

9

2

W 4

84

85

Jan 16

A

Boulazac

W

86

76

8

2

W 3

78

81

Dec 26

H

JL Bourg

W

80

71

7

2

W 2

79

64

Dec 20

A

Roanne

W

91

81

6

2

W 1

86

85

Dec 12

A

Cholet

L

73

83

5

2

L 2

71

84

Nov 14

A

Monaco

L

62

70

5

1

L 1

70

68

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Metropolitans 92 are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 6

H

Le Portel

W

85

60

10

4

W 2

83

66

Feb 12

A

Le Portel

W

86

73

9

4

W 1

84

80

Feb 6

H

Strasbourg

L

63

71

8

4

L 2

66

69

Jan 30

A

Roanne

L

67

80

8

3

L 1

63

84

Jan 23

A

Chalons-Reims

W

87

73

8

2

W 1

82

72

Dec 26

A

Le Mans

L

88

95

7

2

L 1

86

89

Dec 19

H

Boulazac

W

98

79

7

1

W 2

90

84

Nov 22

H

Nanterre

W

73

67

6

1

W 1

72

67

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Dijon and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Metropolitans 92.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Metropolitans 92 and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Dijon.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Dijon (in the first graph) and by Metropolitans 92 in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Dijon will expected to score 77 points and the Metropolitans 92 76 points. The total points line estimated to be at 153.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Dijon

Metropolitans 92

FG%

0.60

0.56

ASS

19.50

19.40

DRB

20.30

21.30

AST-TO

1.48

1.56

TRB

26.50

29.10

FTM

10.80

13.30

BL

2.10

3.20

FTA

14.90

17.20

PF-Fewer

20.00

20.60

ST

8.30

6.90

TO-Fewer

13.20

12.40

Ftper

0.73

0.77

ORBper

0.31

0.37

ORB

6.20

7.90


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top


Cholet vs Boulazac Dordogne Pro at 13 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Cholet and Boulazac Dordogne Pro for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 13 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Cholet

1.22

1.38

Boulazac Dordogne Pro

4.35

3.65

Cholet HC

-9.5

-6.50

Boulazac Dordogne Pro HC

+9.5

6.50

Point Line

160.5

159.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Cholet are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 6

A

Elan Chalon

L

79

84

3

7

L 3

78

95

Feb 1

A

Strasbourg

L

72

75

3

6

L 2

75

73

Jan 16

A

BCM Gravelines

L

96

100

3

5

L 1

95

105

Dec 19

A

Nanterre

W

80

76

3

4

W 2

79

76

Dec 12

H

Dijon

W

83

73

2

4

W 1

90

72

Oct 16

A

Roanne

L

88

96

1

4

L 3

83

100

Oct 11

H

ASVEL

L

73

82

1

3

L 2

74

75

Oct 2

A

Paris Levallois

L

68

72

1

2

L 1

75

72

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Boulazac Dordogne Pro are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 6

H

Roanne

W

82

72

1

8

W 1

77

75

Feb 6

H

Nanterre

L

74

96

0

8

L 7

73

96

Jan 29

A

BCM Gravelines

L

84

100

0

7

L 6

83

105

Jan 16

H

Dijon

L

76

86

0

6

L 5

82

85

Dec 26

H

Monaco

L

71

77

0

5

L 4

80

75

Dec 19

A

Paris Levallois

L

79

98

0

4

L 3

87

98

Oct 24

A

Elan Bearnais

L

60

89

0

3

L 2

56

87

Oct 19

A

Strasbourg

L

84

100

0

2

L 1

87

98

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Cholet and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Boulazac Dordogne Pro.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Boulazac Dordogne Pro and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Cholet.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Cholet (in the first graph) and by Boulazac Dordogne Pro in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Cholet will expected to score 85 points and the Boulazac Dordogne Pro 80 points. The total points line estimated to be at 165.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Cholet

Boulazac Dordogne Pro

FG%

0.53

0.53

ASS

17.70

15.60

DRB

22.00

20.10

AST-TO

1.17

0.99

TRB

31.50

28.40

FTM

12.70

15.60

BL

1.80

2.00

FTA

19.00

21.70

PF-Fewer

20.10

21.80

ST

8.50

6.70

TO-Fewer

15.10

15.70

Ftper

0.67

0.72

ORBper

0.43

0.41

ORB

9.50

8.30


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top


Roanne vs Gravelines at 13 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Roanne and Gravelines for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 13 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Roanne

1.83

2.24

Gravelines

2

1.80

Roanne HC

-1.5

2.50

Gravelines HC

+1.5

-2.50

Point Line

161.5

159.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Roanne are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 9

A

Orleans Loiret

L

100

108

3

8

L 3

97

94

Mar 6

A

Boulazac

L

72

82

3

7

L 2

66

87

Feb 5

A

Le Mans

L

84

97

3

6

L 1

82

91

Jan 30

H

Paris Levallois

W

80

67

3

5

W 1

88

67

Jan 16

H

Strasbourg

L

78

82

2

5

L 2

81

80

Dec 20

H

Dijon

L

81

91

2

4

L 1

88

90

Dec 15

A

Elan Chalon

W

85

80

2

3

W 2

84

90

Oct 16

H

Cholet

W

96

88

1

3

W 1

94

89

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Gravelines are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 5

H

Le Mans

W

91

77

5

6

W 1

89

72

Feb 6

A

Orleans Loiret

L

69

104

4

6

L 1

67

90

Jan 29

H

Boulazac

W

100

84

4

5

W 2

91

89

Jan 16

H

Cholet

W

100

96

3

5

W 1

98

97

Dec 26

A

ASVEL

L

68

96

2

5

L 1

69

88

Dec 19

H

Chalons-Reims

W

84

80

2

4

W 1

79

79

Oct 24

H

Dijon

L

67

81

1

4

L 1

73

80

Oct 9

H

Roanne

W

77

43

1

3

W 1

72

45

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Roanne and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Gravelines.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Gravelines and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Roanne.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Roanne (in the first graph) and by Gravelines in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Roanne will expected to score 79 points and the Gravelines 80 points. The total points line estimated to be at 159.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Roanne

Gravelines

FG%

0.54

0.53

ASS

15.50

17.10

DRB

19.70

21.30

AST-TO

0.91

1.01

TRB

28.70

28.70

FTM

13.50

14.20

BL

2.80

2.20

FTA

20.60

18.50

PF-Fewer

21.00

20.00

ST

8.50

8.20

TO-Fewer

17.00

16.90

Ftper

0.65

0.76

ORBper

0.46

0.35

ORB

9.00

7.50


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top


Nanterre vs Chalons-Reims at 13 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Nanterre and Chalons-Reims for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 13 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Nanterre

1.29

2.15

Chalons-Reims

3.65

1.87

Nanterre HC

-7.5

2.00

Chalons-Reims HC

+7.5

-2.00

Point Line

166.5

160.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Nanterre are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 7

A

JL Bourg

L

72

97

4

6

L 2

71

88

Feb 13

H

Dijon

L

77

86

4

5

L 1

84

85

Feb 6

A

Boulazac

W

96

74

4

4

W 1

88

79

Jan 16

A

Le Portel

L

75

78

3

4

L 3

73

86

Dec 19