2021 03 13 German BBL



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Skyliners Frankfurt vs Giessen 46ers at 13 March 2021
Rasta Vechta vs Ulm at 13 March 2021
Bonn vs Brose Bamberg at 13 March 2021
Hamburg Towers vs Mitteldeutscher at 13 March 2021
Bayern Munich vs Oldenburg at 14 March 2021
Crailsheim Merlins vs Riesen Ludwigsburg at 14 March 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Skyliners Frankfurt vs Giessen 46ers at 13 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Skyliners Frankfurt and Giessen 46ers for German BBL, which will take place on 13 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Skyliners Frankfurt

1.28

2.79

Giessen 46ers

3.7

1.56

Skyliners Frankfurt HC

-7.5

4.50

Giessen 46ers HC

+7.5

-4.50

Point Line

173.5

164.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Skyliners Frankfurt are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 7

A

BG Goettingen

W

93

89

9

13

85

91

Mar 4

H

SC Rasta Vechta

W

84

75

8

13

81

80

Feb 28

A

Brose Baskets Bamberg

L

62

78

7

13

65

80

Feb 14

H

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

68

87

7

12

73

84

Feb 12

A

Bayern Munich

L

58

84

7

11

63

80

Feb 9

H

Brose Baskets Bamberg

L

76

86

7

10

79

88

Feb 6

A

SC Rasta Vechta

W

96

72

7

9

92

77

Feb 2

A

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

76

80

6

9

81

77

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Giessen 46ers are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 6

H

Telekom Baskets Bonn

L

75

92

4

18

75

94

Mar 3

A

Mitteldeutscher BC

L

81

102

4

16

76

101

Feb 27

H

Medi Bayreuth

W

97

92

4

15

95

94

Feb 24

A

s.Oliver Baskets

L

82

101

3

16

80

106

Feb 14

H

Hamburg Towers

L

78

95

3

15

82

96

Feb 12

A

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

W

97

93

3

14

97

84

Feb 6

H

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

L

82

101

2

14

83

96

Jan 30

A

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

85

99

2

13

92

93

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Skyliners Frankfurt and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Giessen 46ers.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Giessen 46ers and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Skyliners Frankfurt.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Skyliners Frankfurt (in the first graph) and by Giessen 46ers in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Skyliners Frankfurt will expected to score 86 points and the Giessen 46ers 83 points. The total points line estimated to be at 169.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Skyliners Frankfurt

Giessen 46ers

FG%

0.53

0.54

ASS

16.30

17.70

DRB

22.00

20.60

AST-TO

1.12

1.23

TRB

29.40

30.00

FTM

16.10

11.70

BL

1.40

2.90

FTA

20.80

14.40

PF-Fewer

20.00

21.10

ST

6.90

5.70

TO-Fewer

14.50

14.40

Ftper

0.78

0.81

ORBper

0.33

0.46

ORB

7.30

9.50


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Rasta Vechta vs Ulm at 13 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Rasta Vechta and Ulm for German BBL, which will take place on 13 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Rasta Vechta

6.25

5.30

Ulm

1.13

1.23

Rasta Vechta HC

+11.5

8.50

Ulm HC

-11.5

-8.50

Point Line

163.5

165.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Rasta Vechta are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 7

H

Bayern Munich

L

78

93

3

19

84

89

Mar 4

A

Fraport Skyliners

L

75

84

3

18

77

91

Feb 27

A

Telekom Baskets Bonn

L

89

94

3

17

89

96

Feb 14

H

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

L

71

80

3

16

66

79

Feb 12

H

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

66

84

3

15

72

79

Feb 10

A

BV Chemnitz 99

L

77

89

3

14

73

93

Feb 6

H

Fraport Skyliners

L

72

96

3

13

74

104

Jan 31

A

ALBA Berlin

L

70

86

3

12

78

85

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ulm are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 7

H

ALBA Berlin

L

76

84

14

8

84

83

Mar 3

H

Hamburg Towers

W

89

76

14

7

94

76

Feb 27

H

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

102

73

13

7

96

72

Feb 14

A

Fraport Skyliners

W

87

68

12

7

90

73

Feb 12

H

BG Goettingen

W

93

64

11

7

85

66

Feb 9

H

Bayern Munich

L

77

81

10

7

83

77

Feb 7

A

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

L

92

94

10

6

85

93

Feb 2

H

Fraport Skyliners

W

80

76

10

5

82

82

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Rasta Vechta and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Ulm.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Ulm and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Rasta Vechta.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Rasta Vechta (in the first graph) and by Ulm in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Rasta Vechta will expected to score 79 points and the Ulm 87 points. The total points line estimated to be at 166.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Rasta Vechta

Ulm

FG%

0.52

0.58

ASS

18.00

18.10

DRB

21.40

22.00

AST-TO

1.15

1.38

TRB

30.20

28.60

FTM

15.80

21.50

BL

2.00

2.30

FTA

20.30

25.00

PF-Fewer

22.10

20.00

ST

5.10

6.80

TO-Fewer

15.60

13.10

Ftper

0.78

0.86

ORBper

0.42

0.30

ORB

8.90

6.60


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Bonn vs Brose Bamberg at 13 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Bonn and Brose Bamberg for German BBL, which will take place on 13 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Bonn

2.1

2.81

Brose Bamberg

1.75

1.55

Bonn HC

+1.5

4.50

Brose Bamberg HC

-1.5

-4.50

Point Line

163.5

164.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bonn are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 6

A

Giessen 46ers

W

92

75

8

12

80

75

Mar 2

H

Medi Bayreuth

L

76

91

6

12

74

93

Feb 27

H

SC Rasta Vechta

W

94

89

6

11

91

95

Feb 14

H

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

83

66

5

11

78

65

Feb 12

A

Hamburg Towers

W

78

71

4

11

82

71

Feb 6

A

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

103

97

4

11

97

96

Jan 31

A

Fraport Skyliners

L

79

84

3

11

81

91

Jan 24

H

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

L

84

93

3

10

85

88

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Brose Bamberg are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Feb 28

H

Fraport Skyliners

W

78

62

10

11

80

67

Feb 14

H

ALBA Berlin

W

76

67

9

11

84

66

Feb 12

A

BV Chemnitz 99

L

82

85

8

11

78

89

Feb 9

A

Fraport Skyliners

W

86

76

8

10

89

82

Feb 7

H

Bayern Munich

L

92

93

7

10

100

89

Feb 3

H

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

95

80

7

9

89

79

Jan 30

A

BG Goettingen

L

80

87

6

9

73

89

Jan 24

H

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

W

98

84

6

7

91

83

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bonn and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Brose Bamberg.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Brose Bamberg and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bonn.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Bonn (in the first graph) and by Brose Bamberg in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Bonn will expected to score 81 points and the Brose Bamberg 84 points. The total points line estimated to be at 165.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Bonn

Brose Bamberg

FG%

0.53

0.56

ASS

15.80

19.30

DRB

22.90

22.20

AST-TO

1.14

1.35

TRB

31.10

31.90

FTM

15.20

13.60

BL

1.90

3.00

FTA

19.90

17.00

PF-Fewer

21.10

18.90

ST

7.00

6.50

TO-Fewer

13.80

14.30

Ftper

0.77

0.80

ORBper

0.36

0.43

ORB

8.30

9.60


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Hamburg Towers vs Mitteldeutscher at 13 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Hamburg Towers and Mitteldeutscher for German BBL, which will take place on 13 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Hamburg Towers

1.2

1.91

Mitteldeutscher

4.6

2.10

Hamburg Towers HC

-9.5

-1.50

Mitteldeutscher HC

+9.5

1.50

Point Line

173.5

164.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Hamburg Towers are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 7

A

BV Chemnitz 99

L

0

0

10

10

0

0

Mar 3

A

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

76

89

10

9

81

85

Feb 28

H

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

67

73

10

8

73

69

Feb 14

A

Giessen 46ers

W

95

78

10

7

82

78

Feb 12

H

Telekom Baskets Bonn

L

71

78

9

7

71

80

Feb 10

A

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

L

88

89

9

6

88

80

Feb 5

H

Medi Bayreuth

L

92

95

9

5

90

97

Jan 23

H

Fraport Skyliners

W

98

70

9

4

101

76

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Mitteldeutscher are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 9

H

s.Oliver Baskets

W

85

73

7

14

83

76

Mar 6

H

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

L

91

93

6

14

84

92

Mar 3

H

Giessen 46ers

W

102

81

6

12

88

81

Feb 27

A

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

73

102

5

12

78

98

Feb 14

A

Telekom Baskets Bonn

L

66

83

5

11

66

85

Feb 6

H

Telekom Baskets Bonn

L

97

103

5

11

97

105

Feb 3

A

Brose Baskets Bamberg

L

80

95

5

10

83

97

Jan 29

H

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

92

104

5

9

98

100

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Hamburg Towers and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Mitteldeutscher.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Mitteldeutscher and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Hamburg Towers.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Hamburg Towers (in the first graph) and by Mitteldeutscher in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Hamburg Towers will expected to score 84 points and the Mitteldeutscher 80 points. The total points line estimated to be at 164.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Hamburg Towers

Mitteldeutscher

FG%

0.54

0.53

ASS

18.40

17.70

DRB

20.80

21.60

AST-TO

1.50

1.19

TRB

29.60

32.00

FTM

14.40

15.80

BL

1.80

2.90

FTA

19.80

19.70

PF-Fewer

21.20

22.40

ST

9.10

6.70

TO-Fewer

12.30

14.90

Ftper

0.73

0.80

ORBper

0.42

0.48

ORB

8.80

10.40


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Bayern Munich vs Oldenburg at 14 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Bayern Munich and Oldenburg for German BBL, which will take place on 14 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Bayern Munich

1.2

2.34

Oldenburg

4.6

1.75

Bayern Munich HC

-9.5

3.00

Oldenburg HC

+9.5

-3.00

Point Line

170.5

167.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bayern Munich are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 9

A

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

W

94

79

17

4

87

78

Mar 7

A

SC Rasta Vechta

W

93

78

16

4

90

83

Feb 28

H

s.Oliver Baskets

W

97

76

15

4

95

80

Feb 14

A

BV Chemnitz 99

L

83

85

14

4

79

89

Feb 12

H

Fraport Skyliners

W