# BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

** In this article we will analyse the following games: **

** Promitheas vs Aris at 13 March 2021**** Panathinaikos vs Ionikos Nikaias at 13 March 2021**** PAOK vs AEK Athens at 13 March 2021**** GS Lavrio vs Peristeri at 14 March 2021**** Iraklis vs Mesologgi BC at 14 March 2021**** Larissa BC vs Kolossos Rhodes at 14 March 2021**

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Before continue, please read the disclaimer.

###
Promitheas vs Aris at 13 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between **Promitheas** and **Aris** for **Greek Basket League**, which will take place on **13 March 2021.**

The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome |
Books |
Ours |

Promitheas |
1.12 |
1.86 |

Aris |
6.5 |
2.17 |

Promitheas HC |
-11.5 |
-2.00 |

Aris HC |
+11.5 |
2.00 |

Point Line |
151.5 |
149.00 |

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of **Promitheas **are:

gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |

Mar 6 |
A |
P.A.O.K. |
L |
78 |
81 |
9 |
5 |
L 1 |
74 |
79 |

Feb 6 |
H |
Larisa |
W |
81 |
63 |
9 |
4 |
W 3 |
77 |
65 |

Jan 31 |
A |
Panathinaikos |
W |
80 |
78 |
8 |
4 |
W 2 |
86 |
68 |

Jan 23 |
H |
Lavrio B.C. |
W |
90 |
88 |
7 |
4 |
W 1 |
91 |
83 |

Jan 20 |
A |
Lavrio B.C. |
L |
72 |
75 |
6 |
4 |
L 1 |
73 |
71 |

Jan 16 |
A |
AEK Athens |
W |
82 |
75 |
6 |
3 |
W 2 |
90 |
71 |

Jan 10 |
H |
Iraklis B.C. |
W |
85 |
61 |
5 |
3 |
W 1 |
86 |
66 |

Jan 6 |
A |
Larisa |
L |
81 |
85 |
4 |
3 |
L 1 |
77 |
88 |

The latest results and the adjusted scores of **Aris** are:

gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |

Mar 10 |
A |
Iraklis B.C. |
W |
76 |
54 |
6 |
10 |
W 2 |
77 |
59 |

Mar 6 |
H |
Larisa |
W |
70 |
52 |
5 |
10 |
W 1 |
67 |
54 |

Feb 28 |
A |
Panathinaikos |
L |
72 |
94 |
4 |
10 |
L 2 |
77 |
82 |

Feb 6 |
H |
Lavrio B.C. |
L |
89 |
94 |
4 |
9 |
L 1 |
90 |
89 |

Jan 23 |
H |
Messolonghi |
W |
77 |
48 |
4 |
8 |
W 1 |
73 |
51 |

Jan 17 |
H |
Panathinaikos |
L |
75 |
93 |
3 |
8 |
L 5 |
80 |
81 |

Jan 9 |
H |
Peristeri |
L |
71 |
84 |
3 |
7 |
L 4 |
73 |
88 |

Jan 3 |
A |
Ionikos Nikaias |
L |
64 |
68 |
3 |
6 |
L 3 |
60 |
67 |

The first graph shows **the moving average** of the adjusted points scored by Promitheas and the **the moving average** of the adjusted **points conceded** by **Aris.**

The second graph shows **the moving average** of the adjusted points scored by Aris and **the moving average** of the adjusted **points conceded** by **Promitheas.**

The **black line** on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by **Promitheas** (in the first graph) and by **Aris ** in the second graph.

This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Promitheas will expected to score 78 points and the Aris 76 points. The total points line estimated to be at **154.5 **points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.

The following table presents these variables.

Var |
Promitheas |
Aris |

FG% |
0.53 |
0.52 |

ASS |
16.60 |
13.80 |

DRB |
22.10 |
21.90 |

AST-TO |
1.29 |
1.02 |

TRB |
28.00 |
31.30 |

FTM |
14.10 |
16.50 |

BL |
3.10 |
1.80 |

FTA |
20.00 |
22.40 |

PF-Fewer |
18.60 |
21.80 |

ST |
7.10 |
7.90 |

TO-Fewer |
12.90 |
13.50 |

Ftper |
0.71 |
0.74 |

ORBper |
0.27 |
0.43 |

ORB |
5.90 |
9.40 |

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###
Panathinaikos vs Ionikos Nikaias at 13 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between **Panathinaikos** and **Ionikos Nikaias** for **Greek Basket League**, which will take place on **13 March 2021.**

The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome |
Books |
Ours |

Panathinaikos |
0.02 |
1.17 |

Ionikos Nikaias |
14 |
6.95 |

Panathinaikos HC |
-20.5 |
-9.50 |

Ionikos Nikaias HC |
+20.5 |
9.50 |

Point Line |
166.5 |
154.00 |

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of **Panathinaikos **are:

gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |

Mar 7 |
A |
Kolossos Rodou |
W |
95 |
82 |
12 |
2 |
W 2 |
95 |
80 |

Feb 28 |
H |
Aris |
W |
94 |
72 |
11 |
2 |
W 1 |
93 |
73 |

Jan 31 |
H |
Promitheas Patras |
L |
78 |
80 |
10 |
2 |
L 1 |
78 |
84 |

Jan 24 |
A |
Larisa |
W |
98 |
89 |
10 |
1 |
W 3 |
93 |
92 |

Jan 17 |
A |
Aris |
W |
93 |
75 |
9 |
1 |
W 2 |
92 |
76 |

Jan 10 |
H |
AEK Athens |
W |
80 |
75 |
8 |
1 |
W 1 |
87 |
71 |

Jan 3 |
A |
Lavrio B.C. |
L |
82 |
92 |
7 |
1 |
L 1 |
83 |
87 |

Dec 27 |
H |
Iraklis B.C. |
W |
106 |
74 |
7 |
0 |
W 6 |
108 |
80 |

The latest results and the adjusted scores of **Ionikos Nikaias** are:

gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |

Mar 7 |
H |
Lavrio B.C. |
L |
88 |
89 |
6 |
10 |
L 1 |
89 |
84 |

Feb 28 |
A |
Iraklis B.C. |
W |
78 |
75 |
6 |
9 |
W 2 |
79 |
82 |

Feb 6 |
H |
Messolonghi |
W |
100 |
85 |
5 |
9 |
W 1 |
95 |
90 |

Jan 30 |
A |
Peristeri |
L |
70 |
86 |
4 |
9 |
L 3 |
72 |
90 |

Jan 23 |
A |
AEK Athens |
L |
74 |
81 |
4 |
8 |
L 2 |
81 |
76 |

Jan 9 |
A |
Kolossos Rodou |
L |
74 |
94 |
4 |
7 |
L 1 |
74 |
92 |

Jan 3 |
H |
Aris |
W |
68 |
64 |
4 |
6 |
W 1 |
67 |
65 |

Dec 27 |
A |
P.A.O.K. |
L |
84 |
86 |
3 |
6 |
L 1 |
80 |
84 |

The first graph shows **the moving average** of the adjusted points scored by Panathinaikos and the **the moving average** of the adjusted **points conceded** by **Ionikos Nikaias.**

The second graph shows **the moving average** of the adjusted points scored by Ionikos Nikaias and **the moving average** of the adjusted **points conceded** by **Panathinaikos.**

The **black line** on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by **Panathinaikos** (in the first graph) and by **Ionikos Nikaias ** in the second graph.

This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Panathinaikos will expected to score 83 points and the Ionikos Nikaias 76 points. The total points line estimated to be at **159.5 **points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.

The following table presents these variables.

Var |
Panathinaikos |
Ionikos Nikaias |

FG% |
0.60 |
0.51 |

ASS |
20.10 |
14.90 |

DRB |
25.10 |
22.10 |

AST-TO |
1.33 |
1.13 |

TRB |
35.10 |
30.60 |

FTM |
15.20 |
12.60 |

BL |
3.00 |
1.60 |

FTA |
19.60 |
16.40 |

PF-Fewer |
20.50 |
20.50 |

ST |
7.00 |
7.20 |

TO-Fewer |
15.10 |
13.20 |

Ftper |
0.78 |
0.76 |

ORBper |
0.40 |
0.38 |

ORB |
10.10 |
8.50 |

####
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###
PAOK vs AEK Athens at 13 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between **PAOK** and **AEK Athens** for **Greek Basket League**, which will take place on **13 March 2021.**

The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome |
Books |
Ours |

PAOK |
2.32 |
3.28 |

AEK Athens |
1.75 |
1.44 |

PAOK HC |
+2.5 |
6.00 |

AEK Athens HC |
-2.5 |
-6.00 |

Point Line |
156.5 |
155.00 |

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of **PAOK **are:

gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |

Mar 6 |
H |
Promitheas Patras |
W |
81 |
78 |
8 |
7 |
W 2 |
81 |
82 |

Feb 28 |
A |
Larisa |
W |
91 |
88 |
7 |
7 |
W 1 |
87 |
91 |

Jan 30 |
A |
Lavrio B.C. |
L |
77 |
84 |
6 |
7 |
L 2 |
78 |
79 |

Jan 27 |
A |
AEK Athens |
L |
56 |
76 |
6 |
6 |
L 1 |
61 |
72 |

Jan 23 |
H |
Iraklis B.C. |
W |
79 |
72 |
6 |
5 |
W 2 |
80 |
78 |

Jan 9 |
H |
Messolonghi |
W |
96 |
87 |
5 |
5 |
W 1 |
91 |
92 |

Jan 3 |
A |
Peristeri |
L |
67 |
76 |
4 |
5 |
L 1 |
68 |
80 |

Dec 27 |
H |
Ionikos Nikaias |
W |
86 |
84 |
4 |
4 |
W 3 |
81 |
83 |

The latest results and the adjusted scores of **AEK Athens** are:

gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |

Mar 6 |
H |
Messolonghi |
W |
98 |
76 |
11 |
4 |
W 2 |
93 |
80 |

Feb 6 |
H |
Peristeri |
W |
91 |
59 |
10 |
4 |
W 1 |
93 |
62 |

Jan 30 |
A |
Larisa |
L |
75 |
76 |
9 |
4 |
L 1 |
72 |
78 |

Jan 27 |
H |
P.A.O.K. |
W |
76 |
56 |
9 |
3 |
W 2 |
72 |
55 |

Jan 23 |
H |
Ionikos Nikaias |
W |
81 |
74 |
8 |
3 |
W 1 |
76 |
73 |

Jan 16 |
H |
Promitheas Patras |
L |
75 |
82 |
7 |
3 |
L 2 |
75 |
86 |

Jan 10 |
A |
Panathinaikos |
L |
75 |
80 |
7 |
2 |
L 1 |
80 |
70 |

Jan 2 |
H |
Kolossos Rodou |
W |
89 |
72 |
7 |
1 |
W 1 |
89 |
71 |

The first graph shows **the moving average** of the adjusted points scored by PAOK and the **the moving average** of the adjusted **points conceded** by **AEK Athens.**

The second graph shows **the moving average** of the adjusted points scored by AEK Athens and **the moving average** of the adjusted **points conceded** by **PAOK.**

The **black line** on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by **PAOK** (in the first graph) and by **AEK Athens ** in the second graph.

This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, PAOK will expected to score 74 points and the AEK Athens 80 points. The total points line estimated to be at **154.5 **points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.

The following table presents these variables.

Var |
PAOK |
AEK Athens |

FG% |
0.54 |
0.53 |

ASS |
14.80 |
17.70 |

DRB |
22.70 |
22.00 |

AST-TO |
1.05 |
1.47 |

TRB |
30.10 |
32.70 |

FTM |
14.50 |
15.60 |

BL |
1.70 |
3.20 |

FTA |
19.00 |
20.80 |

PF-Fewer |
23.20 |
22.20 |

ST |
7.30 |
6.70 |

TO-Fewer |
14.10 |
12.00 |

Ftper |
0.76 |
0.75 |

ORBper |
0.33 |
0.49 |

ORB |
7.50 |
10.70 |

####
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###
GS Lavrio vs Peristeri at 14 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between **GS Lavrio** and **Peristeri** for **Greek Basket League**, which will take place on **14 March 2021.**

The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome |
Books |
Ours |

GS Lavrio |
1.67 |
2.04 |

Peristeri |
2.2 |
1.96 |

GS Lavrio HC |
-2.5 |
1.50 |

Peristeri HC |
+2.5 |
-1.50 |

Point Line |
150.5 |
149.00 |

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of **GS Lavrio **are:

gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |

Mar 10 |
H |
Kolossos Rodou |
W |
83 |
77 |
12 |
4 |
W 4 |
83 |
76 |

Mar 7 |
A |
Ionikos Nikaias |
W |
89 |
88 |
11 |
4 |
W 3 |
84 |
87 |

Feb 6 |
A |
Aris |
W |
94 |
89 |
10 |
4 |
W 2 |
93 |
90 |

Jan 30 |
H |
P.A.O.K. |
W |
84 |
77 |
9 |
4 |
W 1 |
80 |
75 |

Jan 23 |
A |
Promitheas Patras |
L |
88 |
90 |
8 |
4 |
L 1 |
88 |
95 |

Jan 20 |
H |
Promitheas Patras |
W |
75 |
72 |
8 |
3 |
W 8 |
75 |
76 |

Jan 11 |
A |
Larisa |
W |
66 |
58 |
7 |
3 |
W 7 |
63 |
60 |

Jan 3 |
H |
Panathinaikos |
W |
92 |
82 |
6 |
3 |
W 6 |
98 |
71 |

The latest results and the adjusted scores of **Peristeri** are:

gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |

Mar 6 |
H |
Iraklis B.C. |
L |
70 |
79 |
9 |
7 |
L 1 |
71 |
86 |

Feb 27 |
A |
Messolonghi |
W |
70 |
63 |
9 |
6 |
W 1 |
67 |
66 |

Feb 6 |
A |
AEK Athens |
L |
59 |
91 |
8 |
6 |
L 1 |
64 |
86 |

Jan 30 |
H |
Ionikos Nikaias |
W |
86 |
70 |
8 |
5 |
W 1 |
81 |
69 |

Jan 23 |
A |
Kolossos Rodou |
L |
65 |
80 |
7 |
5 |
L 1 |
65 |
79 |

Jan 9 |
A |
Aris |
W |
84 |
71 |
7 |
4 |
W 2 |
83 |
72 |

Jan 3 |
H |
P.A.O.K. |
W |
76 |
67 |
6 |
4 |
W 1 |
72 |
66 |

Dec 26 |
A |
Promitheas Patras |
L |
58 |
75 |
5 |
4 |
L 1 |
58 |
79 |

The first graph shows **the moving average** of the adjusted points scored by GS Lavrio and the **the moving average** of the adjusted **points conceded** by **Peristeri.**

The second graph shows **the moving average** of the adjusted points scored by Peristeri and **the moving average** of the adjusted **points conceded** by **GS Lavrio.**

The **black line** on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by **GS Lavrio** (in the first graph) and by **Peristeri ** in the second graph.

This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, GS Lavrio will expected to score 77 points and the Peristeri 74 points. The total points line estimated to be at **151.5 **points.

The following table presents these variables.

Var |
GS Lavrio |
Peristeri |

FG% |
0.54 |
0.48 |

ASS |
17.50 |
16.30 |

DRB |
22.30 |
24.20 |

AST-TO |
1.36 |
1.23 |

TRB |
30.10 |
32.80 |

FTM |
15.30 |
15.60 |

BL |
2.40 |
2.40 |

FTA |
21.90 |
20.00 |

PF-Fewer |
22.40 |
20.60 |

ST |
7.80 |
5.80 |

TO-Fewer |
12.90 |
13.20 |

Ftper |
0.70 |
0.78 |

ORBper |
0.35 |
0.36 |

ORB |
7.80 |
8.60 |

####
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###
Iraklis vs Mesologgi BC at 14 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between **Iraklis** and **Mesologgi BC** for **Greek Basket League**, which will take place on **14 March 2021.**

The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome |
Books |
Ours |

Iraklis |
1.23 |
2.46 |

Mesologgi BC |
4.3 |
1.68 |

Iraklis HC |
-9.5 |
3.50 |

Mesologgi BC HC |
+9.5 |
-3.50 |

Point Line |
152.5 |
146.00 |

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of **Iraklis **are:

gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |

Mar 10 |
H |
Aris |
L |
54 |
76 |
6 |
10 |
L 1 |
53 |
77 |

Mar 6 |
A |
Peristeri |
W |
79 |
70 |
6 |
9 |
W 1 |
81 |
74 |

Feb 28 |
H |
Ionikos Nikaias |
L |
75 |
78 |
5 |
9 |
L 4 |
71 |
77 |

Feb 6 |
A |
Kolossos Rodou |
L |
61 |
84 |
5 |
8 |
L 3 |
61 |
82 |