BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis
In this article we will analyse the following games:
Darussafaka vs Ormanspor at 13 March 2021
Tofas vs Besiktas at 13 March 2021
Petkim Spor vs Fethiye Belediye at 13 March 2021
Afyon Belediye vs Karsiyaka at 13 March 2021
Bahcesehir Koleji vs Fenerbahce at 14 March 2021
Buyukcekmece vs Bursaspor at 14 March 2021
Anadolu Efes vs Gaziantep at 14 March 2021
Turk Telekom vs Galatasaray at 14 March 2021
Before continue, please read the disclaimer.
Darussafaka vs Ormanspor at 13 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Darussafaka and Ormanspor for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 13 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
Darussafaka |
1.18 |
1.29 |
Ormanspor |
4.6 |
4.43 |
Darussafaka HC |
-10.5 |
-7.50 |
Ormanspor HC |
+10.5 |
7.50 |
Point Line |
160.5 |
156.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Darussafaka are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Mar 6 |
A |
Galatasaray |
W |
98 |
87 |
12 |
11 |
W 1 |
93 |
88 |
Feb 28 |
H |
Fenerbahce |
L |
64 |
66 |
11 |
11 |
L 1 |
68 |
61 |
Feb 10 |
A |
Bursaspor |
W |
70 |
68 |
11 |
10 |
W 2 |
68 |
70 |
Feb 6 |
H |
Pinar Karsiyaka |
W |
86 |
77 |
10 |
10 |
W 1 |
94 |
73 |
Feb 3 |
A |
Socar Spor |
L |
70 |
78 |
9 |
10 |
L 2 |
70 |
77 |
Jan 30 |
A |
Afyon |
L |
79 |
80 |
9 |
9 |
L 1 |
75 |
78 |
Jan 23 |
H |
Buyukcekmece |
W |
85 |
82 |
9 |
8 |
W 3 |
80 |
82 |
Jan 17 |
A |
Bahcesehir |
W |
85 |
76 |
8 |
8 |
W 2 |
84 |
76 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ormanspor are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Mar 6 |
H |
Tofas |
W |
77 |
76 |
6 |
17 |
W 1 |
76 |
72 |
Feb 27 |
A |
Socar Spor |
L |
76 |
83 |
5 |
17 |
L 7 |
76 |
82 |
Feb 11 |
H |
Gaziantep |
L |
81 |
82 |
5 |
16 |
L 6 |
89 |
87 |
Feb 7 |
A |
Fethiye |
L |
89 |
98 |
5 |
15 |
L 5 |
82 |
104 |
Feb 1 |
H |
Besiktas |
L |
68 |
92 |
5 |
14 |
L 4 |
69 |
89 |
Jan 23 |
A |
Anadolu Efes |
L |
75 |
95 |
5 |
13 |
L 3 |
81 |
86 |
Jan 16 |
A |
Galatasaray |
L |
87 |
89 |
5 |
12 |
L 2 |
82 |
90 |
Jan 9 |
H |
Fenerbahce |
L |
63 |
72 |
5 |
11 |
L 1 |
67 |
67 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Darussafaka and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Ormanspor.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Ormanspor and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Darussafaka.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Darussafaka (in the first graph) and by Ormanspor in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Darussafaka will expected to score 83 points and the Ormanspor 78 points. The total points line estimated to be at 161.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var |
Darussafaka |
Ormanspor |
FG% |
0.50 |
0.52 |
ASS |
18.20 |
18.00 |
DRB |
21.40 |
20.60 |
AST-TO |
1.58 |
1.58 |
TRB |
32.80 |
28.00 |
FTM |
16.30 |
14.20 |
BL |
2.90 |
2.50 |
FTA |
20.70 |
19.20 |
PF-Fewer |
23.30 |
16.50 |
ST |
8.20 |
4.50 |
TO-Fewer |
11.50 |
11.40 |
Ftper |
0.79 |
0.74 |
ORBper |
0.53 |
0.36 |
ORB |
11.40 |
7.50 |
Go to Top
Tofas vs Besiktas at 13 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Tofas and Besiktas for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 13 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
Tofas |
1.5 |
2.19 |
Besiktas |
2.55 |
1.84 |
Tofas HC |
-4.5 |
2.00 |
Besiktas HC |
+4.5 |
-2.00 |
Point Line |
167.5 |
163.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Tofas are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Mar 6 |
A |
Ormanspor |
L |
76 |
77 |
13 |
10 |
L 1 |
70 |
82 |
Feb 27 |
H |
Galatasaray |
W |
98 |
89 |
13 |
9 |
W 3 |
93 |
90 |
Feb 10 |
A |
Fenerbahce |
W |
84 |
81 |
12 |
9 |
W 2 |
90 |
75 |
Feb 7 |
H |
Bursaspor |
W |
84 |
77 |
11 |
9 |
W 1 |
81 |
80 |
Jan 31 |
A |
Pinar Karsiyaka |
L |
71 |
90 |
10 |
9 |
L 1 |
77 |
86 |
Jan 27 |
H |
Socar Spor |
W |
88 |
80 |
10 |
8 |
W 1 |
88 |
79 |
Jan 24 |
H |
Afyon |
L |
83 |
85 |
9 |
8 |
L 1 |
79 |
83 |
Jan 16 |
A |
Buyukcekmece |
W |
88 |
75 |
9 |
7 |
W 4 |
83 |
75 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Besiktas are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Mar 6 |
H |
Socar Spor |
W |
96 |
94 |
13 |
10 |
W 3 |
96 |
93 |
Feb 28 |
A |
Gaziantep |
W |
84 |
77 |
12 |
10 |
W 2 |
92 |
82 |
Feb 10 |
H |
Fethiye |
W |
76 |
65 |
11 |
10 |
W 1 |
70 |
69 |
Feb 7 |
A |
Anadolu Efes |
L |
80 |
84 |
10 |
10 |
L 1 |
87 |
76 |
Feb 1 |
A |
Ormanspor |
W |
92 |
68 |
10 |
9 |
W 3 |
85 |
73 |
Jan 23 |
H |
Galatasaray |
W |
82 |
64 |
9 |
9 |
W 2 |
78 |
65 |
Jan 17 |
A |
Fenerbahce |
W |
92 |
83 |
8 |
9 |
W 1 |
98 |
77 |
Jan 9 |
H |
Bursaspor |
L |
69 |
84 |
7 |
9 |
L 2 |
67 |
87 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Tofas and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Besiktas.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Besiktas and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Tofas.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Tofas (in the first graph) and by Besiktas in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Tofas will expected to score 82 points and the Besiktas 82 points. The total points line estimated to be at 164.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var |
Tofas |
Besiktas |
FG% |
0.56 |
0.53 |
ASS |
21.00 |
19.30 |
DRB |
22.00 |
22.70 |
AST-TO |
1.78 |
1.50 |
TRB |
30.70 |
33.30 |
FTM |
12.80 |
15.10 |
BL |
2.90 |
3.00 |
FTA |
16.70 |
19.40 |
PF-Fewer |
21.00 |
21.20 |
ST |
8.00 |
6.50 |
TO-Fewer |
11.80 |
12.90 |
Ftper |
0.77 |
0.78 |
ORBper |
0.39 |
0.47 |
ORB |
8.60 |
10.60 |
Go to Top
Petkim Spor vs Fethiye Belediye at 13 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Petkim Spor and Fethiye Belediye for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 13 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
Petkim Spor |
1.2 |
1.54 |
Fethiye Belediye |
4.35 |
2.84 |
Petkim Spor HC |
-9.5 |
-4.50 |
Fethiye Belediye HC |
+9.5 |
4.50 |
Point Line |
163.5 |
159.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Petkim Spor are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Mar 6 |
A |
Besiktas |
L |
94 |
96 |
9 |
14 |
L 1 |
95 |
93 |
Feb 27 |
H |
Ormanspor |
W |
83 |
76 |
9 |
13 |
W 2 |
77 |
82 |
Feb 10 |
A |
Galatasaray |
W |
89 |
65 |
8 |
13 |
W 1 |
84 |
66 |
Feb 7 |
H |
Fenerbahce |
L |
67 |
80 |
7 |
13 |
L 1 |
72 |
74 |
Feb 3 |
H |
Darussafaka |
W |
78 |
70 |
7 |
12 |
W 1 |
81 |
70 |
Jan 30 |
A |
Bursaspor |
L |
89 |
95 |
6 |
12 |
L 4 |
86 |
98 |
Jan 27 |
A |
Tofas |
L |
80 |
88 |
6 |
11 |
L 3 |
79 |
83 |
Jan 24 |
H |
Pinar Karsiyaka |
L |
75 |
85 |
6 |
10 |
L 2 |
82 |
81 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Fethiye Belediye are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Mar 7 |
H |
Gaziantep |
L |
60 |
90 |
5 |
18 |
L 3 |
66 |
96 |
Feb 28 |
A |
Anadolu Efes |
L |
85 |
101 |
5 |
17 |
L 2 |
92 |
92 |
Feb 10 |
A |
Besiktas |
L |
65 |
76 |
5 |
16 |
L 1 |
66 |
74 |
Feb 7 |
H |
Ormanspor |
W |
98 |
89 |
5 |
15 |
W 1 |
90 |
95 |
Jan 30 |
A |
Galatasaray |
L |
68 |
71 |
4 |
15 |
L 4 |
64 |
72 |
Jan 24 |
H |
Fenerbahce |
L |
86 |
93 |
4 |
14 |
L 3 |
92 |
86 |
Jan 15 |
A |
Bursaspor |
L |
84 |
89 |
4 |
13 |
L 2 |
81 |
92 |
Jan 9 |
H |
Pinar Karsiyaka |
L |
78 |
86 |
4 |
12 |
L 1 |
85 |
82 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Petkim Spor and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Fethiye Belediye.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Fethiye Belediye and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Petkim Spor.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Petkim Spor (in the first graph) and by Fethiye Belediye in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Petkim Spor will expected to score 84 points and the Fethiye Belediye 79 points. The total points line estimated to be at 163.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var |
Petkim Spor |
Fethiye Belediye |
FG% |
0.56 |
0.51 |
ASS |
20.70 |
20.10 |
DRB |
21.80 |
21.90 |
AST-TO |
1.68 |
1.55 |
TRB |
31.10 |
30.60 |
FTM |
12.50 |
11.90 |
BL |
2.00 |
2.30 |
FTA |
17.50 |
16.30 |
PF-Fewer |
21.40 |
19.30 |
ST |
5.70 |
6.00 |
TO-Fewer |
12.30 |
13.00 |
Ftper |
0.72 |
0.73 |
ORBper |
0.43 |
0.40 |
ORB |
9.30 |
8.70 |
Go to Top
Afyon Belediye vs Karsiyaka at 13 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Afyon Belediye and Karsiyaka for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 13 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
Afyon Belediye |
3 |
2.50 |
Karsiyaka |
1.38 |
1.67 |
Afyon Belediye HC |
+5.5 |
3.50 |
Karsiyaka HC |
-5.5 |
-3.50 |
Point Line |
162.5 |
164.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Afyon Belediye are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Mar 7 |
H |
Anadolu Efes |
W |
103 |
85 |
12 |
11 |
W 1 |
112 |
77 |
Feb 28 |
A |
Buyukcekmece |
L |
83 |
95 |
11 |
11 |
L 3 |
78 |
95 |
Feb 9 |
H |
Bahcesehir |
L |
77 |
89 |
11 |
10 |
L 2 |
76 |
89 |
Feb 6 |
A |
Turk Telekom |
L |
86 |
89 |
11 |
9 |
L 1 |
85 |
96 |
Jan 30 |
H |
Darussafaka |
W |
80 |
79 |
11 |
8 |
W 4 |
83 |
79 |
Jan 24 |
A |
Tofas |
W |
85 |
83 |
10 |
8 |
W 3 |
84 |
78 |
Jan 16 |
H |
Socar Spor |
W |
94 |
76 |
9 |
8 |
W 2 |
94 |
75 |
Jan 10 |
A |
Gaziantep |
W |
88 |
84 |
8 |
8 |
W 1 |
96 |
89 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Karsiyaka are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Mar 6 |
H |
Buyukcekmece |
W |
117 |
82 |
19 |
4 |
W 3 |
110 |
82 |
Feb 27 |
A |
Bahcesehir |
W |
96 |
83 |
18 |
4 |
W 2 |
95 |
83 |
Feb 9 |
H |
Turk Telekom |
W |
80 |
69 |
17 |
4 |
W 1 |
79 |
75 |
Feb 6 |
A |
Darussafaka |
L |
77 |
86 |
16 |
4 |
L 1 |
80 |
86 |
Jan 31 |
H |
Tofas |
W |
90 |
71 |
16 |
3 |
W 11 |
89 |
67 |
Jan 24 |
A |
Socar Spor |
W |
85 |
75 |
15 |
3 |
W 10 |
85 |
74 |
Jan 17 |
H |
Gaziantep |
W |
72 |
65 |
14 |
3 |
W 9 |
79 |
69 |
Jan 9 |
A |
Fethiye |
W |
86 |
78 |
13 |
3 |
W 8 |
79 |
83 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Afyon Belediye and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Karsiyaka.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Karsiyaka and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Afyon Belediye.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Afyon Belediye (in the first graph) and by Karsiyaka in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Afyon Belediye will expected to score 79 points and the Karsiyaka 84 points. The total points line estimated to be at 163.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var |
Afyon Belediye |
Karsiyaka |
FG% |
0.55 |
0.56 |
ASS |
20.40 |
19.90 |
DRB |
22.10 |
24.30 |
AST-TO |
1.45 |
1.69 |
TRB |
32.00 |
33.80 |
FTM |
11.70 |
17.60 |
BL |
2.70 |
2.00 |
FTA |
15.70 |
24.10 |
PF-Fewer |
19.10 |
19.00 |
ST |
7.10 |
6.40 |
TO-Fewer |
14.10 |
11.80 |
Ftper |
0.74 |
0.73 |
ORBper |
0.45 |
0.39 |
ORB |
9.90 |
9.50 |
Go to Top
Bahcesehir Koleji vs Fenerbahce at 14 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Bahcesehir Koleji and Fenerbahce for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 14 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
Bahcesehir Koleji |
6.2 |
1.98 |
Fenerbahce |
1.11 |
2.02 |
Bahcesehir Koleji HC |
+12.5 |
-1.00 |
Fenerbahce HC |
-12.5 |
1.00 |
Point Line |
162.5 |
161.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bahcesehir Koleji are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Mar 7 |
A |
Bursaspor |
L |
64 |
67 |
8 |
15 |
L 2 |
62 |
70 |
Feb 27 |
H |
Pinar Karsiyaka |
L |
83 |
96 |
8 |
14 |
L 1 |
90 |
91 |
Feb 9 |
A |
Afyon |
W |
89 |
77 |
8 |
13 |
W 2 |
84 |
75 |
Feb 6 |
H |
Buyukcekmece |
W |
83 |
74 |
7 |
13 |
W 1 |
78 |
74 |
|