BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis
In this article we will analyse the following games:
Mitteldeutscher vs Brose Bamberg at 20 March 2021
Ulm vs Riesen Ludwigsburg at 20 March 2021
Skyliners Frankfurt vs Alba Berlin at 21 March 2021
Bayreuth vs Niners Chemnitz at 21 March 2021
Crailsheim Merlins vs Bayern Munich at 21 March 2021
Before continue, please read the disclaimer.
Mitteldeutscher vs Brose Bamberg at 20 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Mitteldeutscher and Brose Bamberg for German BBL, which will take place on 20 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Mitteldeutscher 
3.35 
2.38 
Brose Bamberg 
1.33 
1.73 
Mitteldeutscher HC 
+6.5 
3.00 
Brose Bamberg HC 
6.5 
3.00 
Point Line 
173.5 
170.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Mitteldeutscher are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Mar 16 
H 
ALBA Berlin 
L 
82 
96 
7 
16 

92 
94 
Mar 13 
A 
Hamburg Towers 
L 
78 
105 
7 
15 

83 
104 
Mar 9 
H 
s.Oliver Baskets 
W 
85 
73 
7 
14 

83 
77 
Mar 6 
H 
Basketball Lowen Braunschweig 
L 
91 
93 
6 
14 

85 
91 
Mar 3 
H 
Giessen 46ers 
W 
102 
81 
6 
12 

89 
81 
Feb 27 
A 
Ratiopharm Ulm 
L 
73 
102 
5 
12 

78 
98 
Feb 14 
A 
Telekom Baskets Bonn 
L 
66 
83 
5 
11 

66 
85 
Feb 6 
H 
Telekom Baskets Bonn 
L 
97 
103 
5 
11 

97 
106 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Brose Bamberg are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Mar 13 
A 
Telekom Baskets Bonn 
W 
86 
82 
11 
11 

86 
84 
Feb 28 
H 
Fraport Skyliners 
W 
78 
62 
10 
11 

80 
67 
Feb 14 
H 
ALBA Berlin 
W 
76 
67 
9 
11 

85 
66 
Feb 12 
A 
BV Chemnitz 99 
L 
82 
85 
8 
11 

77 
89 
Feb 9 
A 
Fraport Skyliners 
W 
86 
76 
8 
10 

89 
82 
Feb 7 
H 
Bayern Munich 
L 
92 
93 
7 
10 

99 
88 
Feb 3 
H 
Mitteldeutscher BC 
W 
95 
80 
7 
9 

88 
80 
Jan 30 
A 
BG Goettingen 
L 
80 
87 
6 
9 

73 
90 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Mitteldeutscher and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Brose Bamberg.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Brose Bamberg and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Mitteldeutscher.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Mitteldeutscher (in the first graph) and by Brose Bamberg in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Mitteldeutscher will expected to score 83 points and the Brose Bamberg 87 points. The total points line estimated to be at 170.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Mitteldeutscher 
Brose Bamberg 
FG% 
0.53 
0.56 
ASS 
17.70 
19.70 
DRB 
21.30 
22.30 
ASTTO 
1.16 
1.37 
TRB 
31.40 
32.00 
FTM 
15.50 
13.60 
BL 
3.00 
2.90 
FTA 
19.40 
17.00 
PFFewer 
22.50 
19.20 
ST 
6.70 
6.50 
TOFewer 
15.30 
14.40 
Ftper 
0.80 
0.80 
ORBper 
0.47 
0.43 
ORB 
10.10 
9.70 
Go to Top
Ulm vs Riesen Ludwigsburg at 20 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Ulm and Riesen Ludwigsburg for German BBL, which will take place on 20 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Ulm 
2.2 
2.17 
Riesen Ludwigsburg 
1.67 
1.85 
Ulm HC 
+2.5 
2.00 
Riesen Ludwigsburg HC 
2.5 
2.00 
Point Line 
163.5 
163.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ulm are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Mar 13 
A 
SC Rasta Vechta 
L 
77 
92 
14 
9 

74 
97 
Mar 7 
H 
ALBA Berlin 
L 
76 
84 
14 
8 

85 
82 
Mar 3 
H 
Hamburg Towers 
W 
89 
76 
14 
7 

94 
76 
Feb 27 
H 
Mitteldeutscher BC 
W 
102 
73 
13 
7 

95 
73 
Feb 14 
A 
Fraport Skyliners 
W 
87 
68 
12 
7 

90 
73 
Feb 12 
H 
BG Goettingen 
W 
93 
64 
11 
7 

85 
66 
Feb 9 
H 
Bayern Munich 
L 
77 
81 
10 
7 

83 
77 
Feb 7 
A 
Basketball Lowen Braunschweig 
L 
92 
94 
10 
6 

86 
92 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Riesen Ludwigsburg are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Mar 14 
A 
HARKO Merlins Crailsheim 
L 
58 
68 
20 
2 

59 
65 
Mar 9 
H 
BV Chemnitz 99 
W 
96 
60 
20 
1 

90 
63 
Mar 6 
H 
EWE Baskets Oldenburg 
W 
98 
87 
19 
1 

97 
78 
Feb 28 
A 
Hamburg Towers 
W 
73 
67 
18 
1 

77 
66 
Feb 12 
A 
SC Rasta Vechta 
W 
84 
66 
17 
1 

81 
70 
Feb 10 
H 
Basketball Lowen Braunschweig 
W 
81 
74 
16 
1 

76 
73 
Feb 7 
A 
EWE Baskets Oldenburg 
W 
89 
75 
15 
1 

88 
67 
Jan 30 
H 
Giessen 46ers 
W 
99 
85 
14 
1 

86 
85 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Ulm and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Riesen Ludwigsburg.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Riesen Ludwigsburg and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Ulm.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Ulm (in the first graph) and by Riesen Ludwigsburg in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Ulm will expected to score 81 points and the Riesen Ludwigsburg 83 points. The total points line estimated to be at 164.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Ulm 
Riesen Ludwigsburg 
FG% 
0.58 
0.54 
ASS 
17.90 
16.20 
DRB 
21.70 
21.10 
ASTTO 
1.38 
1.51 
TRB 
28.30 
31.00 
FTM 
21.50 
15.60 
BL 
2.30 
2.50 
FTA 
25.10 
21.00 
PFFewer 
20.20 
19.70 
ST 
6.90 
8.10 
TOFewer 
13.00 
10.70 
Ftper 
0.86 
0.74 
ORBper 
0.30 
0.47 
ORB 
6.60 
9.90 
Go to Top
Skyliners Frankfurt vs Alba Berlin at 21 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Skyliners Frankfurt and Alba Berlin for German BBL, which will take place on 21 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Skyliners Frankfurt 
6.75 
7.15 
Alba Berlin 
1.11 
1.16 
Skyliners Frankfurt HC 
+12.5 
10.00 
Alba Berlin HC 
12.5 
10.00 
Point Line 
164.5 
159.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Skyliners Frankfurt are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Mar 13 
H 
Giessen 46ers 
W 
82 
79 
10 
13 

71 
79 
Mar 7 
A 
BG Goettingen 
W 
93 
89 
9 
13 

85 
92 
Mar 4 
H 
SC Rasta Vechta 
W 
84 
75 
8 
13 

81 
79 
Feb 28 
A 
Brose Baskets Bamberg 
L 
62 
78 
7 
13 

65 
79 
Feb 14 
H 
Ratiopharm Ulm 
L 
68 
87 
7 
12 

72 
84 
Feb 12 
A 
Bayern Munich 
L 
58 
84 
7 
11 

62 
80 
Feb 9 
H 
Brose Baskets Bamberg 
L 
76 
86 
7 
10 

79 
88 
Feb 6 
A 
SC Rasta Vechta 
W 
96 
72 
7 
9 

93 
76 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Alba Berlin are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Mar 16 
A 
Mitteldeutscher BC 
W 
96 
82 
19 
3 

89 
82 
Mar 14 
H 
BG Goettingen 
W 
89 
58 
18 
3 

81 
60 
Mar 9 
H 
EWE Baskets Oldenburg 
L 
81 
89 
17 
3 

80 
80 
Mar 7 
A 
Ratiopharm Ulm 
W 
84 
76 
17 
2 

89 
73 
Feb 28 
H 
HARKO Merlins Crailsheim 
W 
100 
62 
16 
2 

102 
60 
Feb 14 
A 
Brose Baskets Bamberg 
L 
67 
76 
15 
2 

70 
77 
Feb 12 
H 
Medi Bayreuth 
W 
80 
68 
15 
1 

78 
69 
Feb 9 
A 
HARKO Merlins Crailsheim 
W 
101 
77 
14 
1 

103 
74 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Skyliners Frankfurt and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Alba Berlin.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Alba Berlin and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Skyliners Frankfurt.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Skyliners Frankfurt (in the first graph) and by Alba Berlin in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Skyliners Frankfurt will expected to score 76 points and the Alba Berlin 83 points. The total points line estimated to be at 159.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Skyliners Frankfurt 
Alba Berlin 
FG% 
0.53 
0.56 
ASS 
16.50 
22.00 
DRB 
21.80 
24.50 
ASTTO 
1.14 
1.73 
TRB 
29.30 
34.20 
FTM 
15.90 
12.40 
BL 
1.30 
3.00 
FTA 
20.50 
15.60 
PFFewer 
19.80 
16.80 
ST 
6.90 
7.80 
TOFewer 
14.50 
12.70 
Ftper 
0.78 
0.80 
ORBper 
0.34 
0.40 
ORB 
7.50 
9.70 
Go to Top
Bayreuth vs Niners Chemnitz at 21 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Bayreuth and Niners Chemnitz for German BBL, which will take place on 21 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Bayreuth 
1.24 
1.33 
Niners Chemnitz 
4.15 
4.00 
Bayreuth HC 
8.5 
7.00 
Niners Chemnitz HC 
+8.5 
7.00 
Point Line 
172.5 
166.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bayreuth are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Mar 15 
A 
s.Oliver Baskets 
W 
90 
75 
8 
14 

88 
79 
Mar 2 
A 
Telekom Baskets Bonn 
W 
91 
76 
7 
14 

91 
78 
Feb 27 
A 
Giessen 46ers 
L 
92 
97 
6 
14 

80 
97 
Feb 14 
H 
EWE Baskets Oldenburg 
L 
82 
91 
6 
13 

81 
81 
Feb 12 
A 
ALBA Berlin 
L 
68 
80 
6 
12 

76 
78 
Feb 10 
H 
BG Goettingen 
L 
80 
82 
6 
11 

73 
85 
Feb 5 
A 
Hamburg Towers 
W 
95 
92 
6 
10 

101 
91 
Jan 30 
A 
BV Chemnitz 99 
W 
83 
61 
5 
10 

78 
64 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Niners Chemnitz are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Apr 19 
H 
Hamburg Towers 
L 
0 
0 
7 
12 

0 
0 
Mar 14 
A 
Basketball Lowen Braunschweig 
L 
77 
93 
7 
13 

72 
91 
Mar 9 
A 
MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg 
L 
60 
96 
7 
12 

66 
92 
Feb 14 
H 
Bayern Munich 
W 
85 
83 
7 
11 

91 
79 
Feb 12 
H 
Brose Baskets Bamberg 
W 
85 
82 
6 
11 

89 
83 
Feb 10 
H 
SC Rasta Vechta 
W 
89 
77 
5 
11 

86 
82 
Feb 7 
A 
ALBA Berlin 
L 
65 
83 
4 
11 

72 
81 
Jan 30 
H 
Medi Bayreuth 
L 
61 
83 
4 
10 

60 
84 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bayreuth and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Niners Chemnitz.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Niners Chemnitz and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bayreuth.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Bayreuth (in the first graph) and by Niners Chemnitz in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Bayreuth will expected to score 83 points and the Niners Chemnitz 81 points. The total points line estimated to be at 164.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Bayreuth 
Niners Chemnitz 
FG% 
0.57 
0.56 
ASS 
19.10 
17.20 
DRB 
21.90 
20.80 
ASTTO 
1.36 
1.00 
TRB 
28.50 
28.40 
FTM 
15.20 
14.50 
BL 
2.20 
2.60 
FTA 
19.50 
18.10 
PFFewer 
17.90 
22.80 
ST 
6.60 
6.20 
TOFewer 
14.00 
17.20 
Ftper 
0.78 
0.80 
ORBper 
0.30 
0.37 
ORB 
6.60 
7.60 
Go to Top
Crailsheim Merlins vs Bayern Munich at 21 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Crailsheim Merlins and Bayern Munich for German BBL, which will take place on 21 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Crailsheim Merlins 
4.15 
3.21 
Bayern Munich 
1.24 
1.45 
Crailsheim Merlins HC 
+8.5 
5.50 
Bayern Munich HC 
8.5 
5.50 
Point Line 
162.5 
166.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Crailsheim Merlins are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Mar 14 
H 
MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg 
W 
68 
58 
17 
5 

74 
56 
Mar 3 
H 
s.Oliver Baskets 
L 
84 
94 
16 
5 

82 
99 
Feb 28 
A 
ALBA Berlin 
L 
62 
100 
16 
4 

69 
98 
Feb 14 
A 
BG Goettingen 
W 
109 