# BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

** In this article we will analyse the following games: **

** Aris vs PAOK at 20 March 2021**** AEK Athens vs Iraklis at 20 March 2021**** Mesologgi BC vs GS Lavrio at 20 March 2021**** Ionikos Nikaias vs Larissa BC at 21 March 2021**** Peristeri vs Panathinaikos at 22 March 2021**

####
Before continue, please read the disclaimer.

###
Aris vs PAOK at 20 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between **Aris** and **PAOK** for **Greek Basket League**, which will take place on **20 March 2021.**

The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome |
Books |
Ours |

Aris |
2.16 |
1.75 |

PAOK |
1.85 |
2.33 |

Aris HC |
+1.5 |
-2.50 |

PAOK HC |
-1.5 |
2.50 |

Point Line |
153.5 |
153.00 |

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of **Aris **are:

gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |

Mar 10 |
A |
Iraklis B.C. |
W |
76 |
54 |
6 |
10 |
W 2 |
77 |
58 |

Mar 6 |
H |
Larisa |
W |
70 |
52 |
5 |
10 |
W 1 |
67 |
54 |

Feb 28 |
A |
Panathinaikos |
L |
72 |
94 |
4 |
10 |
L 2 |
77 |
81 |

Feb 6 |
H |
Lavrio B.C. |
L |
89 |
94 |
4 |
9 |
L 1 |
91 |
89 |

Jan 23 |
H |
Messolonghi |
W |
77 |
48 |
4 |
8 |
W 1 |
72 |
51 |

Jan 17 |
H |
Panathinaikos |
L |
75 |
93 |
3 |
8 |
L 5 |
80 |
80 |

Jan 9 |
H |
Peristeri |
L |
71 |
84 |
3 |
7 |
L 4 |
72 |
89 |

Jan 3 |
A |
Ionikos Nikaias |
L |
64 |
68 |
3 |
6 |
L 3 |
60 |
68 |

The latest results and the adjusted scores of **PAOK** are:

gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |

Mar 13 |
H |
AEK Athens |
L |
85 |
87 |
8 |
8 |
L 1 |
92 |
82 |

Mar 6 |
H |
Promitheas Patras |
W |
81 |
78 |
8 |
7 |
W 2 |
81 |
82 |

Feb 28 |
A |
Larisa |
W |
91 |
88 |
7 |
7 |
W 1 |
88 |
91 |

Jan 30 |
A |
Lavrio B.C. |
L |
77 |
84 |
6 |
7 |
L 2 |
79 |
79 |

Jan 27 |
A |
AEK Athens |
L |
56 |
76 |
6 |
6 |
L 1 |
61 |
72 |

Jan 23 |
H |
Iraklis B.C. |
W |
79 |
72 |
6 |
5 |
W 2 |
80 |
77 |

Jan 9 |
H |
Messolonghi |
W |
96 |
87 |
5 |
5 |
W 1 |
90 |
92 |

Jan 3 |
A |
Peristeri |
L |
67 |
76 |
4 |
5 |
L 1 |
68 |
80 |

The first graph shows **the moving average** of the adjusted points scored by Aris and the **the moving average** of the adjusted **points conceded** by **PAOK.**

The second graph shows **the moving average** of the adjusted points scored by PAOK and **the moving average** of the adjusted **points conceded** by **Aris.**

The **black line** on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by **Aris** (in the first graph) and by **PAOK ** in the second graph.

This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Aris will expected to score 78 points and the PAOK 78 points. The total points line estimated to be at **156.5 **points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.

The following table presents these variables.

Var |
Aris |
PAOK |

FG% |
0.52 |
0.54 |

ASS |
13.80 |
14.90 |

DRB |
21.90 |
22.30 |

AST-TO |
1.02 |
1.07 |

TRB |
31.30 |
30.00 |

FTM |
16.50 |
14.70 |

BL |
1.80 |
1.80 |

FTA |
22.40 |
19.40 |

PF-Fewer |
21.80 |
23.10 |

ST |
7.90 |
7.30 |

TO-Fewer |
13.50 |
13.90 |

Ftper |
0.74 |
0.76 |

ORBper |
0.43 |
0.35 |

ORB |
9.40 |
7.70 |

####
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###
AEK Athens vs Iraklis at 20 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between **AEK Athens** and **Iraklis** for **Greek Basket League**, which will take place on **20 March 2021.**

The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome |
Books |
Ours |

AEK Athens |
1.22 |
1.18 |

Iraklis |
4.35 |
6.66 |

AEK Athens HC |
-8.5 |
-9.50 |

Iraklis HC |
+8.5 |
9.50 |

Point Line |
152.5 |
147.00 |

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of **AEK Athens **are:

gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |

Mar 13 |
A |
P.A.O.K. |
W |
87 |
85 |
12 |
4 |
W 3 |
83 |
83 |

Mar 6 |
H |
Messolonghi |
W |
98 |
76 |
11 |
4 |
W 2 |
92 |
80 |

Feb 6 |
H |
Peristeri |
W |
91 |
59 |
10 |
4 |
W 1 |
92 |
62 |

Jan 30 |
A |
Larisa |
L |
75 |
76 |
9 |
4 |
L 1 |
72 |
78 |

Jan 27 |
H |
P.A.O.K. |
W |
76 |
56 |
9 |
3 |
W 2 |
72 |
55 |

Jan 23 |
H |
Ionikos Nikaias |
W |
81 |
74 |
8 |
3 |
W 1 |
76 |
74 |

Jan 16 |
H |
Promitheas Patras |
L |
75 |
82 |
7 |
3 |
L 2 |
75 |
87 |

Jan 10 |
A |
Panathinaikos |
L |
75 |
80 |
7 |
2 |
L 1 |
80 |
69 |

The latest results and the adjusted scores of **Iraklis** are:

gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |

Mar 14 |
H |
Messolonghi |
W |
100 |
78 |
7 |
10 |
W 1 |
94 |
82 |

Mar 10 |
H |
Aris |
L |
54 |
76 |
6 |
10 |
L 1 |
54 |
78 |

Mar 6 |
A |
Peristeri |
W |
79 |
70 |
6 |
9 |
W 1 |
80 |
74 |

Feb 28 |
H |
Ionikos Nikaias |
L |
75 |
78 |
5 |
9 |
L 4 |
70 |
78 |

Feb 6 |
A |
Kolossos Rodou |
L |
61 |
84 |
5 |
8 |
L 3 |
61 |
83 |

Jan 23 |
A |
P.A.O.K. |
L |
72 |
79 |
5 |
7 |
L 2 |
69 |
77 |

Jan 10 |
A |
Promitheas Patras |
L |
61 |
85 |
5 |
6 |
L 1 |
61 |
90 |

Jan 2 |
H |
Larisa |
W |
73 |
69 |
5 |
5 |
W 1 |
70 |
71 |

The first graph shows **the moving average** of the adjusted points scored by AEK Athens and the **the moving average** of the adjusted **points conceded** by **Iraklis.**

The second graph shows **the moving average** of the adjusted points scored by Iraklis and **the moving average** of the adjusted **points conceded** by **AEK Athens.**

The **black line** on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by **AEK Athens** (in the first graph) and by **Iraklis ** in the second graph.

This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, AEK Athens will expected to score 78 points and the Iraklis 71 points. The total points line estimated to be at **149.5 **points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.

The following table presents these variables.

Var |
AEK Athens |
Iraklis |

FG% |
0.53 |
0.51 |

ASS |
17.50 |
15.20 |

DRB |
22.20 |
24.60 |

AST-TO |
1.40 |
1.09 |

TRB |
32.60 |
32.10 |

FTM |
16.20 |
13.50 |

BL |
3.10 |
2.20 |

FTA |
21.40 |
19.40 |

PF-Fewer |
22.50 |
21.40 |

ST |
6.70 |
5.40 |

TO-Fewer |
12.50 |
14.00 |

Ftper |
0.76 |
0.70 |

ORBper |
0.47 |
0.30 |

ORB |
10.40 |
7.50 |

####
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###
Mesologgi BC vs GS Lavrio at 20 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between **Mesologgi BC** and **GS Lavrio** for **Greek Basket League**, which will take place on **20 March 2021.**

The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome |
Books |
Ours |

Mesologgi BC |
4.35 |
4.66 |

GS Lavrio |
1.22 |
1.27 |

Mesologgi BC HC |
+8.5 |
8.00 |

GS Lavrio HC |
-8.5 |
-8.00 |

Point Line |
157.5 |
155.00 |

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of **Mesologgi BC **are:

gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |

Mar 14 |
A |
Iraklis B.C. |
L |
78 |
100 |
4 |
13 |
L 4 |
80 |
107 |

Mar 6 |
A |
AEK Athens |
L |
76 |
98 |
4 |
12 |
L 3 |
82 |
92 |

Feb 27 |
H |
Peristeri |
L |
63 |
70 |
4 |
11 |
L 2 |
64 |
74 |

Feb 6 |
A |
Ionikos Nikaias |
L |
85 |
100 |
4 |
10 |
L 1 |
80 |
100 |

Jan 30 |
H |
Kolossos Rodou |
W |
87 |
77 |
4 |
9 |
W 1 |
87 |
76 |

Jan 23 |
A |
Aris |
L |
48 |
77 |
3 |
9 |
L 9 |
48 |
79 |

Jan 9 |
A |
P.A.O.K. |
L |
87 |
96 |
3 |
8 |
L 8 |
83 |
94 |

Jan 3 |
H |
Promitheas Patras |
L |
82 |
88 |
3 |
7 |
L 7 |
82 |
93 |

The latest results and the adjusted scores of **GS Lavrio** are:

gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |

Mar 14 |
H |
Peristeri |
W |
88 |
71 |
13 |
4 |
W 5 |
90 |
75 |

Mar 10 |
H |
Kolossos Rodou |
W |
83 |
77 |
12 |
4 |
W 4 |
83 |
76 |

Mar 7 |
A |
Ionikos Nikaias |
W |
89 |
88 |
11 |
4 |
W 3 |
83 |
88 |

Feb 6 |
A |
Aris |
W |
94 |
89 |
10 |
4 |
W 2 |
93 |
91 |

Jan 30 |
H |
P.A.O.K. |
W |
84 |
77 |
9 |
4 |
W 1 |
80 |
75 |

Jan 23 |
A |
Promitheas Patras |
L |
88 |
90 |
8 |
4 |
L 1 |
88 |
95 |

Jan 20 |
H |
Promitheas Patras |
W |
75 |
72 |
8 |
3 |
W 8 |
75 |
76 |

Jan 11 |
A |
Larisa |
W |
66 |
58 |
7 |
3 |
W 7 |
64 |
60 |

The first graph shows **the moving average** of the adjusted points scored by Mesologgi BC and the **the moving average** of the adjusted **points conceded** by **GS Lavrio.**

The second graph shows **the moving average** of the adjusted points scored by GS Lavrio and **the moving average** of the adjusted **points conceded** by **Mesologgi BC.**

The **black line** on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by **Mesologgi BC** (in the first graph) and by **GS Lavrio ** in the second graph.

This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Mesologgi BC will expected to score 75 points and the GS Lavrio 81 points. The total points line estimated to be at **156.5 **points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teamsâ€™ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.

The following table presents these variables.

Var |
Mesologgi BC |
GS Lavrio |

FG% |
0.52 |
0.55 |

ASS |
16.50 |
18.00 |

DRB |
22.90 |
22.20 |

AST-TO |
1.14 |
1.42 |

TRB |
29.10 |
29.80 |

FTM |
13.70 |
15.10 |

BL |
1.60 |
2.40 |

FTA |
19.40 |
21.40 |

PF-Fewer |
20.10 |
22.20 |

ST |
5.60 |
7.60 |

TO-Fewer |
14.50 |
12.70 |

Ftper |
0.71 |
0.70 |

ORBper |
0.27 |
0.34 |

ORB |
6.20 |
7.60 |

####
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###
Ionikos Nikaias vs Larissa BC at 21 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between **Ionikos Nikaias** and **Larissa BC** for **Greek Basket League**, which will take place on **21 March 2021.**

The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome |
Books |
Ours |

Ionikos Nikaias |
1.27 |
1.81 |

Larissa BC |
3.75 |
2.24 |

Ionikos Nikaias HC |
-8.5 |
-2.50 |

Larissa BC HC |
+8.5 |
2.50 |

Point Line |
158.5 |
156.00 |

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of **Ionikos Nikaias **are:

gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |

Mar 13 |
A |
Panathinaikos |
L |
74 |
98 |
6 |
11 |
L 2 |
79 |
85 |

Mar 7 |
H |
Lavrio B.C. |
L |
88 |
89 |
6 |
10 |
L 1 |
90 |
84 |

Feb 28 |
A |
Iraklis B.C. |
W |
78 |
75 |
6 |
9 |
W 2 |
80 |
80 |

Feb 6 |
H |
Messolonghi |
W |
100 |
85 |
5 |
9 |
W 1 |
94 |
90 |

Jan 30 |
A |
Peristeri |
L |
70 |
86 |
4 |
9 |
L 3 |
71 |
91 |

Jan 23 |
A |
AEK Athens |
L |
74 |
81 |
4 |
8 |
L 2 |
80 |
76 |

Jan 9 |
A |
Kolossos Rodou |
L |
74 |
94 |
4 |
7 |
L 1 |
74 |
93 |

Jan 3 |
H |
Aris |
W |
68 |
64 |
4 |
6 |
W 1 |
68 |
65 |

The latest results and the adjusted scores of **Larissa BC** are:

gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |

Mar 14 |
H |
Kolossos Rodou |
W |
82 |
73 |
5 |
12 |
W 1 |
82 |
72 |

Mar 6 |
A |
Aris |
L |
52 |
70 |
4 |
12 |
L 3 |
52 |
72 |

Feb 28 |
H |
P.A.O.K. |
L |
88 |
91 |
4 |
11 |
L 2 |
84 |
89 |

Feb 6 |
A |
Promitheas Patras |
L |
63 |
81 |
4 |
10 |
L 1 |
63 |
86 |

Jan 30 |
H |
AEK Athens |
W |
76 |
75 |
4 |
9 |
W 1 |
82 |
71 |

Jan 24 |
H |
Panathinaikos |
L |
89 |
98 |
3 |
9 |
L 2 |
96 |
85 |

Jan 11 |
H |
Lavrio B.C. |
L |
58 |
66 |
3 |
8 |
L 1 |
60 |
62 |

Jan 6 |
H |
Promitheas Patras |
W |
85 |
81 |
3 |
7 |
W 1 |
85 |
86 |

The first graph shows **the moving average** of the adjusted points scored by Ionikos Nikaias and the **the moving average** of the adjusted **points conceded** by **Larissa BC.**

The second graph shows **the moving average** of the adjusted points scored by Larissa BC and **the moving average** of the adjusted **points conceded** by **Ionikos Nikaias.**

The **black line** on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by **Ionikos Nikaias** (in the first graph) and by **Larissa BC ** in the second graph.

This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Ionikos Nikaias will expected to score 79 points and the Larissa BC 78 points. The total points line estimated to be at **157.5 **points.

The following table presents these variables.

Var |
Ionikos Nikaias |
Larissa BC |

FG% |
0.51 |
0.54 |

ASS |
14.90 |
13.50 |

DRB |
22.10 |
22.50 |

AST-TO |
1.13 |
0.87 |

TRB |
30.90 |
30.80 |

FTM |
12.60 |
14.00 |

BL |
1.60 |
1.70 |

FTA |
16.70 |
18.40 |

PF-Fewer |
20.60 |
22.10 |

ST |
7.20 |
6.70 |

TO-Fewer |
13.20 |
15.60 |

Ftper |
0.75 |
0.76 |

ORBper |
0.40 |
0.37 |

ORB |
8.80 |
8.40 |

####
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###
Peristeri vs Panathinaikos at 22 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between **Peristeri** and **Panathinaikos** for **Greek Basket League**, which will take place on **22 March 2021.**

The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome |
Books |
Ours |

Peristeri |
4.85 |
3.44 |

Panathinaikos |
1.18 |
1.41 |

Peristeri HC |
+10.5 |
6.00 |

Panathinaikos HC |
-10.5 |
-6.00 |

Point Line |
157.5 |
152.00 |

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of **Peristeri **are:

gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |

Mar 14 |
A |
Lavrio B.C. |
L |
71 |
88 |
9 |
8 |
L 2 |
73 |
83 |

Mar 6 |
H |
Iraklis B.C. |
L |
70 |
79 |
9 |
7 |
L 1 |
71 |
84 |

Feb 27 |
A |
Messolonghi |
W |
70 |
63 |
9 |
6 |
W 1 |
66 |
66 |

Feb 6 |
A |
AEK Athens |
L |
59 |
91 |
8 |
6 |