2021 03 20 Israeli Super League



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Holon at 20 March 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Holon at 20 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Maccabi Haifa and Hapoel Holon for Israeli Super League, which will take place on 20 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Maccabi Haifa

3.85

2.02

Hapoel Holon

1.25

1.98

Maccabi Haifa HC

+8.5

1.00

Hapoel Holon HC

-8.5

-1.00

Point Line

169.5

171.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Maccabi Haifa are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 15

H

Hapoel Tel Aviv

W

80

73

3

14

W 1

82

79

Mar 10

A

Hapoel Eilat

L

88

98

2

14

L 5

88

92

Mar 7

A

Hapoel Be’er Sheva

L

86

94

2

13

L 4

88

92

Mar 4

H

Ironi Nahariya

L

77

85

2

12

L 3

68

90

Feb 3

A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

L

60

95

2

11

L 2

67

89

Jan 29

H

Hapoel Jerusalem

L

75

94

2

10

L 1

76

90

Jan 26

A

Hapoel Gilboa Galil

W

78

77

2

9

W 1

84

81

Dec 31

A

Ironi Nes Ziona

L

76

80

1

9

L 6

78

83

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Hapoel Holon are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 6

A

Hapoel Gilboa Galil

W

82

80

9

6

W 1

88

84

Feb 14

A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

L

81

100

8

6

L 1

91

94

Feb 6

A

Hapoel Eilat

W

83

77

8

5

W 1

83

73

Feb 3

H

Ironi Nes Ziona

L

90

92

7

5

L 1

93

95

Jan 30

A

Bnei Herzliya

W

85

71

7

4

W 2

82

69

Jan 27

H

Ironi Nahariya

W

98

76

6

4

W 1

86

80

Jan 24

A

Hapoel Haifa

L

85

96

5

4

L 1

82

90

Dec 29

H

Hapoel Tel Aviv

W

77

63

5

3

W 5

78

68

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Maccabi Haifa and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Hapoel Holon.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Hapoel Holon and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Maccabi Haifa.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Maccabi Haifa (in the first graph) and by Hapoel Holon in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Maccabi Haifa will expected to score 81 points and the Hapoel Holon 90 points. The total points line estimated to be at 171.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Maccabi Haifa

Hapoel Holon

FG%

0.49

0.57

ASS

19.00

18.10

DRB

24.10

19.70

AST-TO

1.28

1.37

TRB

32.70

27.70

FTM

16.80

17.70

BL

2.20

2.10

FTA

22.90

22.50

PF-Fewer

17.70

22.60

ST

7.40

8.70

TO-Fewer

14.80

13.20

Ftper

0.74

0.79

ORBper

0.36

0.41

ORB

8.60

8.00


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