2021 03 20 Turkey Super League



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Galatasaray vs Bahcesehir Koleji at 20 March 2021
Fethiye Belediye vs Tofas at 20 March 2021
Besiktas vs Darussafaka at 20 March 2021
Ormanspor vs Turk Telekom at 20 March 2021
Gaziantep vs Petkim Spor at 21 March 2021
Fenerbahce vs Buyukcekmece at 21 March 2021
Karsiyaka vs Anadolu Efes at 21 March 2021
Bursaspor vs Afyon Belediye at 21 March 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Galatasaray vs Bahcesehir Koleji at 20 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Galatasaray and Bahcesehir Koleji for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 20 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Galatasaray

1.61

2.66

Bahcesehir Koleji

2.25

1.60

Galatasaray HC

-3.5

4.00

Bahcesehir Koleji HC

+3.5

-4.00

Point Line

165.5

162.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Galatasaray are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 14

A

Turk Telekom

L

77

81

7

17

L 5

76

87

Mar 6

H

Darussafaka

L

87

98

7

16

L 4

90

97

Feb 27

A

Tofas

L

89

98

7

15

L 3

88

92

Feb 10

H

Socar Spor

L

65

89

7

14

L 2

65

89

Feb 6

A

Gaziantep

L

61

68

7

13

L 1

66

73

Jan 30

H

Fethiye

W

71

68

7

12

W 1

66

72

Jan 23

A

Besiktas

L

64

82

6

12

L 1

64

79

Jan 16

H

Ormanspor

W

89

87

6

11

W 1

82

94

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bahcesehir Koleji are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 14

H

Fenerbahce

L

61

78

8

16

L 3

65

72

Mar 7

A

Bursaspor

L

64

67

8

15

L 2

62

70

Feb 27

H

Pinar Karsiyaka

L

83

96

8

14

L 1

91

92

Feb 9

A

Afyon

W

89

77

8

13

W 2

85

76

Feb 6

H

Buyukcekmece

W

83

74

7

13

W 1

78

75

Jan 31

H

Anadolu Efes

L

76

100

6

13

L 4

83

90

Jan 23

A

Turk Telekom

L

88

101

6

12

L 3

87

108

Jan 17

H

Darussafaka

L

76

85

6

11

L 2

79

84

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Galatasaray and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bahcesehir Koleji.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bahcesehir Koleji and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Galatasaray.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Galatasaray (in the first graph) and by Bahcesehir Koleji in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Galatasaray will expected to score 81 points and the Bahcesehir Koleji 83 points. The total points line estimated to be at 164.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Galatasaray

Bahcesehir Koleji

FG%

0.54

0.52

ASS

18.90

17.60

DRB

21.70

22.80

AST-TO

1.45

1.47

TRB

29.50

32.30

FTM

13.80

14.10

BL

2.50

2.30

FTA

18.50

19.00

PF-Fewer

18.30

20.80

ST

5.70

6.00

TO-Fewer

13.00

12.00

Ftper

0.74

0.74

ORBper

0.36

0.42

ORB

7.80

9.50


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Fethiye Belediye vs Tofas at 20 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Fethiye Belediye and Tofas for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 20 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Fethiye Belediye

4.35

2.95

Tofas

1.2

1.51

Fethiye Belediye HC

+9.5

5.00

Tofas HC

-9.5

-5.00

Point Line

168.5

163.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Fethiye Belediye are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 13

A

Socar Spor

W

79

69

6

18

W 1

79

69

Mar 7

H

Gaziantep

L

60

90

5

18

L 3

65

96

Feb 28

A

Anadolu Efes

L

85

101

5

17

L 2

92

91

Feb 10

A

Besiktas

L

65

76

5

16

L 1

66

73

Feb 7

H

Ormanspor

W

98

89

5

15

W 1

90

96

Jan 30

A

Galatasaray

L

68

71

4

15

L 4

64

72

Jan 24

H

Fenerbahce

L

86

93

4

14

L 3

92

86

Jan 15

A

Bursaspor

L

84

89

4

13

L 2

82

92

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Tofas are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 13

H

Besiktas

W

89

86

14

10

W 1

90

83

Mar 6

A

Ormanspor

L

76

77

13

10

L 1

70

83

Feb 27

H

Galatasaray

W

98

89

13

9

W 3

93

90

Feb 10

A

Fenerbahce

W

84

81

12

9

W 2

90

75

Feb 7

H

Bursaspor

W

84

77

11

9

W 1

82

80

Jan 31

A

Pinar Karsiyaka

L

71

90

10

9

L 1

78

86

Jan 27

H

Socar Spor

W

88

80

10

8

W 1

88

80

Jan 24

H

Afyon

L

83

85

9

8

L 1

79

83

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Fethiye Belediye and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Tofas.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Tofas and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Fethiye Belediye.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Fethiye Belediye (in the first graph) and by Tofas in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Fethiye Belediye will expected to score 79 points and the Tofas 85 points. The total points line estimated to be at 164.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Fethiye Belediye

Tofas

FG%

0.50

0.56

ASS

19.70

21.20

DRB

22.40

21.80

AST-TO

1.53

1.78

TRB

31.30

30.50

FTM

12.00

13.00

BL

2.40

2.90

FTA

16.50

16.80

PF-Fewer

19.20

21.10

ST

5.90

8.10

TO-Fewer

12.90

11.90

Ftper

0.73

0.77

ORBper

0.40

0.40

ORB

9.00

8.70


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Besiktas vs Darussafaka at 20 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Besiktas and Darussafaka for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 20 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Besiktas

1.66

2.15

Darussafaka

2.15

1.87

Besiktas HC

-2.5

2.00

Darussafaka HC

+2.5

-2.00

Point Line

161.5

160.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Besiktas are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 13

A

Tofas

L

86

89

13

11

L 1

85

84

Mar 6

H

Socar Spor

W

96

94

13

10

W 3

96

94

Feb 28

A

Gaziantep

W

84

77

12

10

W 2

91

82

Feb 10

H

Fethiye

W

76

65

11

10

W 1

71

69

Feb 7

A

Anadolu Efes

L

80

84

10

10

L 1

87

76

Feb 1

A

Ormanspor

W

92

68

10

9

W 3

85

73

Jan 23

H

Galatasaray

W

82

64

9

9

W 2

78

65

Jan 17

A

Fenerbahce

W

92

83

8

9

W 1

98

77

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Darussafaka are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 13

H

Ormanspor

W

90

68

13

11

W 2

83

73

Mar 6

A

Galatasaray

W

98

87

12

11

W 1

93

88

Feb 28

H

Fenerbahce

L

64

66

11

11

L 1

68

61

Feb 10

A

Bursaspor

W

70

68

11

10

W 2

68

71

Feb 6

H

Pinar Karsiyaka

W

86

77

10

10

W 1

94

74

Feb 3

A

Socar Spor

L

70

78

9

10

L 2

70

78

Jan 30

A

Afyon

L

79

80

9

9

L 1

75

78

Jan 23

H

Buyukcekmece

W

85

82

9

8

W 3

80

83

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Besiktas and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Darussafaka.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Darussafaka and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Besiktas.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Besiktas (in the first graph) and by Darussafaka in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Besiktas will expected to score 81 points and the Darussafaka 81 points. The total points line estimated to be at 162.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Besiktas

Darussafaka

FG%

0.53

0.50

ASS

19.40

18.20

DRB

22.60

21.60

AST-TO

1.49

1.56

TRB

33.30

33.00

FTM

15.20

16.50

BL

3.10

2.90

FTA

19.50

21.00

PF-Fewer

21.10

23.30

ST

6.70

8.20

TO-Fewer

13.00

11.70

Ftper

0.78

0.79

ORBper

0.47

0.52

ORB

10.70

11.30


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Ormanspor vs Turk Telekom at 20 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Ormanspor and Turk Telekom for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 20 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Ormanspor

4.35

1.82

Turk Telekom

1.2

2.22

Ormanspor HC

+9.5

-2.00

Turk Telekom HC

-9.5

2.00

Point Line

162.5

158.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ormanspor are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 13

A

Darussafaka

L

68

90

6

18

L 1

71

89

Mar 6

H

Tofas

W

77

76

6

17

W 1

76

72

Feb 27

A

Socar Spor

L

76

83

5

17

L 7

76

83

Feb 11

H

Gaziantep

L

81

82

5

16

L 6

87

88

Feb 7

A

Fethiye

L

89

98

5

15

L 5

83

104

Feb 1

H

Besiktas

L

68

92

5

14

L 4

68

89

Jan 23

A

Anadolu Efes

L

75

95

5

13

L 3

82

86

Jan 16

A

Galatasaray

L

87

89

5

12

L 2

82

90

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Turk Telekom are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 14

H

Galatasaray

W

81

77

14

10

W 1

77

78

Mar 7

A

Fenerbahce

L

77

99

13

10

L 1

82

92

Feb 27

H

Bursaspor

W

83

82

13

9

W 1

81

85

Feb 9

A

Pinar Karsiyaka

L

69

80

12

9

L 1

75

76

Feb 6

H

Afyon

W

89

86

12

8

W 3

85

84

Jan 31

A

Buyukcekmece

W

86

75

11

8

W 2

81

76

Jan 23

H

Bahcesehir

W

101

88

10

8

W 1

100

89

Jan 17

H

Anadolu Efes

L

84

86

9

8

L 3

91

78

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Ormanspor and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Turk Telekom.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Turk Telekom and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Ormanspor.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Ormanspor (in the first graph) and by Turk Telekom in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Ormanspor will expected to score 79 points and the Turk Telekom 85 points. The total points line estimated to be at 164.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Ormanspor

Turk Telekom

FG%

0.52

0.54

ASS

17.80

17.40

DRB

20.30

21.00

AST-TO

1.58

1.74

TRB

27.90

27.80

FTM

14.20

13.20

BL

2.50

1.30

FTA

19.30

17.40

PF-Fewer

16.50

17.30

ST

4.60

5.10

TO-Fewer

11.30

10.00

Ftper

0.74

0.76

ORBper

0.37

0.32

ORB

7.50

6.80


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Gaziantep vs Petkim Spor at 21 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Gaziantep and Petkim Spor for Turkey BSL, which will take place on 21 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Gaziantep

1.35

1.60

Petkim Spor

3.15

2.68

Gaziantep HC

-6.5

-4.00

Petkim Spor HC

+6.5

4.00

Point Line

154.5

153.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Gaziantep are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 14

A

Anadolu Efes

L

63

102

12

12

L 1

68

92

Mar 7

A

Fethiye

W

90

60

12

11

W 1

84

64

Feb 28

H

Besiktas

L

77

84

11

11

L 1

78

81

Feb 11

A

Ormanspor

W

82

81

11