2021 03 27 France’s LNB Pro A



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Pau-Lacq-Orthez vs Nanterre at 27 March 2021
Roanne vs JL Bourg-en-Bresse at 27 March 2021
Boulazac Dordogne Pro vs Limoges at 27 March 2021
Le Portel vs Elan Chalon at 27 March 2021
Cholet vs Orleans at 27 March 2021
Strasbourg vs Dijon at 27 March 2021
ASVEL vs Chalons-Reims at 28 March 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Pau-Lacq-Orthez vs Nanterre at 27 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Pau-Lacq-Orthez and Nanterre for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 27 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Pau-Lacq-Orthez

2.67

2.58

Nanterre

1.5

1.63

Pau-Lacq-Orthez HC

+4.5

3.50

Nanterre HC

-4.5

-3.50

Point Line

163.5

164.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Pau-Lacq-Orthez are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 20

H

Roanne

L

60

81

3

12

L 11

58

85

Mar 16

A

JL Bourg

L

58

88

3

11

L 10

59

82

Mar 13

H

Orleans Loiret

L

72

101

3

10

L 9

71

89

Mar 6

A

Monaco

L

95

102

3

9

L 8

106

99

Feb 6

A

Limoges

L

87

96

3

8

L 7

89

102

Jan 30

H

Chalons-Reims

L

86

97

3

7

L 6

80

97

Jan 16

H

JL Bourg

L

76

83

3

6

L 5

77

77

Dec 19

A

Strasbourg

L

71

94

3

5

L 4

72

91

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Nanterre are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 23

A

ASVEL

L

92

96

5

8

L 2

92

88

Mar 16

H

Roanne

L

74

79

5

7

L 1

72

83

Mar 13

H

Chalons-Reims

W

96

71

5

6

W 1

89

71

Mar 7

A

JL Bourg

L

72

97

4

6

L 2

73

90

Feb 13

H

Dijon

L

77

86

4

5

L 1

84

87

Feb 6

A

Boulazac

W

96

74

4

4

W 1

89

80

Jan 16

A

Le Portel

L

75

78

3

4

L 3

73

85

Dec 19

H

Cholet

L

76

80

3

3

L 2

74

82

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Pau-Lacq-Orthez and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Nanterre.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Nanterre and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Pau-Lacq-Orthez.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Pau-Lacq-Orthez (in the first graph) and by Nanterre in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Pau-Lacq-Orthez will expected to score 81 points and the Nanterre 83 points. The total points line estimated to be at 164.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Pau-Lacq-Orthez

Nanterre

FG%

0.54

0.53

ASS

16.00

14.10

DRB

21.90

21.20

AST-TO

0.98

1.31

TRB

28.90

30.80

FTM

12.90

13.50

BL

1.60

2.70

FTA

16.70

17.80

PF-Fewer

21.40

20.00

ST

7.90

7.00

TO-Fewer

16.30

10.80

Ftper

0.78

0.76

ORBper

0.32

0.45

ORB

7.10

9.60


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Roanne vs JL Bourg-en-Bresse at 27 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Roanne and JL Bourg-en-Bresse for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 27 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Roanne

3.1

2.93

JL Bourg-en-Bresse

1.4

1.52

Roanne HC

+5.5

5.00

JL Bourg-en-Bresse HC

-5.5

-5.00

Point Line

164.5

162.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Roanne are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 20

A

Elan Bearnais

W

81

60

5

9

W 2

75

62

Mar 16

A

Nanterre

W

79

74

4

9

W 1

78

73

Mar 13

H

BCM Gravelines

L

76

89

3

9

L 4

77

92

Mar 9

A

Orleans Loiret

L

100

108

3

8

L 3

99

95

Mar 6

A

Boulazac

L

72

82

3

7

L 2

67

88

Feb 5

A

Le Mans

L

84

97

3

6

L 1

81

89

Jan 30

H

Paris Levallois

W

80

67

3

5

W 1

88

68

Jan 16

H

Strasbourg

L

78

82

2

5

L 2

79

80

The latest results and the adjusted scores of JL Bourg-en-Bresse are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 24

H

BCM Gravelines

L

67

84

10

4

L 1

68

87

Mar 16

H

Elan Bearnais

W

88

58

10

3

W 3

81

60

Mar 12

A

Le Mans

W

86

85

9

3

W 2

83

78

Mar 7

H

Nanterre

W

97

72

8

3

W 1

96

71

Feb 6

A

Chalons-Reims

L

103

108

7

3

L 1

96

108

Jan 30

H

Orleans Loiret

W

88

82

7

2

W 2

87

72

Jan 16

A

Elan Bearnais

W

83

76

6

2

W 1

77

78

Dec 26

A

Dijon

L

71

80

5

2

L 1

78

81

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Roanne and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by JL Bourg-en-Bresse.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by JL Bourg-en-Bresse and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Roanne.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Roanne (in the first graph) and by JL Bourg-en-Bresse in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Roanne will expected to score 78 points and the JL Bourg-en-Bresse 84 points. The total points line estimated to be at 162.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Roanne

JL Bourg-en-Bresse

FG%

0.53

0.58

ASS

15.90

19.40

DRB

20.20

24.10

AST-TO

1.01

1.44

TRB

29.20

33.60

FTM

14.80

11.10

BL

2.60

2.30

FTA

22.30

14.10

PF-Fewer

21.00

18.30

ST

8.60

7.80

TO-Fewer

15.80

13.50

Ftper

0.66

0.79

ORBper

0.45

0.40

ORB

9.00

9.60


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Boulazac Dordogne Pro vs Limoges at 27 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Boulazac Dordogne Pro and Limoges for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 27 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Boulazac Dordogne Pro

2.82

1.83

Limoges

1.45

2.21

Boulazac Dordogne Pro HC

+5.5

-2.00

Limoges HC

-5.5

2.00

Point Line

155.5

158.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Boulazac Dordogne Pro are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 16

A

Elan Chalon

L

68

80

1

9

L 1

67

83

Mar 6

H

Roanne

W

82

72

1

8

W 1

80

75

Feb 6

H

Nanterre

L

74

96

0

8

L 7

73

95

Jan 29

A

BCM Gravelines

L

84

100

0

7

L 6

85

103

Jan 16

H

Dijon

L

76

86

0

6

L 5

83

87

Dec 26

H

Monaco

L

71

77

0

5

L 4

79

75

Dec 19

A

Paris Levallois

L

79

98

0

4

L 3

87

100

Oct 24

A

Elan Bearnais

L

60

89

0

3

L 2

55

92

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Limoges are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 16

H

Paris Levallois

W

85

79

6

7

W 1

93

81

Mar 13

H

ASVEL

L

60

83

5

7

L 3

60

76

Mar 6

A

Chalons-Reims

L

72

74

5

6

L 2

67

74

Feb 12

A

ASVEL

L

75

84

5

5

L 1

75

76

Feb 6

H

Elan Bearnais

W

96

87

5

4

W 1

89

90

Jan 15

A

Le Mans

L

68

91

4

4

L 1

66

84

Dec 19

H

JL Bourg

W

74

72

4

3

W 1

75

67

Nov 21

A

Monaco

L

59

86

3

3

L 2

66

83

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Boulazac Dordogne Pro and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Limoges.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Limoges and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Boulazac Dordogne Pro.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Boulazac Dordogne Pro (in the first graph) and by Limoges in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Boulazac Dordogne Pro will expected to score 77 points and the Limoges 82 points. The total points line estimated to be at 159.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Boulazac Dordogne Pro

Limoges

FG%

0.52

0.55

ASS

15.50

19.30

DRB

20.50

18.90

AST-TO

0.97

1.51

TRB

28.80

25.30

FTM

16.70

16.20

BL

2.00

1.60

FTA

22.60

20.40

PF-Fewer

22.30

18.50

ST

6.40

5.20

TO-Fewer

16.00

12.80

Ftper

0.74

0.79

ORBper

0.40

0.34

ORB

8.30

6.40


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Le Portel vs Elan Chalon at 27 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Le Portel and Elan Chalon for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 27 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Le Portel

2.07

2.49

Elan Chalon

1.78

1.67

Le Portel HC

+1.5

3.50

Elan Chalon HC

-1.5

-3.50

Point Line

157.5

156.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Le Portel are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 21

A

Elan Chalon

L

75

89

5

9

L 6

74

92

Mar 18

A

Chalons-Reims

L

82

88

5

8

L 5

76

88

Mar 12

H

Monaco

L

71

81

5

7

L 4

79

78

Mar 6

A

Paris Levallois

L

60

85

5

6

L 3

66

87

Feb 12

H

Paris Levallois

L

73

86

5

5

L 2

80

88

Jan 30

A

Monaco

L

60

82

5

4

L 1

67

80

Jan 16

H

Nanterre

W

78

75

5

3

W 2

77

74

Dec 19

H

Orleans Loiret

W

85

84

4

3

W 1

84

74

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Elan Chalon are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 21

H

Le Portel

W

89

75

6

8

W 2

86

82

Mar 16

H

Boulazac

W

80

68

5

8

W 1

74

73

Mar 13

A

Strasbourg

L

92

96

4

8

L 1

93

93

Mar 6

H

Cholet

W

84

79

4

7

W 1

81

81

Feb 5

A

Dijon

L

75

85

3

7

L 2

82

86

Jan 29

H

Le Mans

L

69

85

3

6

L 1

67

78

Jan 17

H

ASVEL

W

85

75

3

5

W 1

85

68

Dec 15

H

Roanne

L

80

85

2

5

L 1

78

89

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Le Portel and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Elan Chalon.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Elan Chalon and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Le Portel.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Le Portel (in the first graph) and by Elan Chalon in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Le Portel will expected to score 78 points and the Elan Chalon 80 points. The total points line estimated to be at 158.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Le Portel

Elan Chalon

FG%

0.52

0.52

ASS

18.10

18.10

DRB

20.10

24.10

AST-TO

1.17

0.99

TRB

28.50

33.40

FTM

13.20

14.60

BL

1.80

2.30

FTA

18.70

19.60

PF-Fewer

21.10

20.40

ST

8.00

6.60

TO-Fewer

15.50

18.30

Ftper

0.71

0.74

ORBper

0.42

0.39

ORB

8.40

9.40


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Cholet vs Orleans at 27 March 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Cholet and Orleans for France’s LNB Pro A, which will take place on 27 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Cholet

2.22

5.30

Orleans

1.7

1.23

Cholet HC

+2.5

8.50

Orleans HC

-2.5

-8.50

Point Line

164.5

165.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Cholet are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 20

H

Monaco

L

76

87

3

8

L 4

85

84

Mar 6

A

Elan Chalon

L

79

84

3

7

L 3

78

87

Feb 1

A

Strasbourg

L

72

75

3

6

L 2

73

73

Jan 16

A

BCM Gravelines

L

96

100

3

5

L 1

97

103

Dec 19

A