BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis
In this article we will analyse the following games:
Hamburg Towers vs Bayern Munchen at 27 March 2021
Crailsheim Merlins vs Giessen 46ers at 27 March 2021
Brose Bamberg vs Ratiopharm Ulm at 27 March 2021
Rasta Vechta vs GΓ¶ttingen at 27 March 2021
Alba Berlin vs Mitteldeutscher at 28 March 2021
TG s.Oliver Wurzburg vs Bonn at 28 March 2021
Before continue, please read the disclaimer.
Hamburg Towers vs Bayern Munchen at 27 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Hamburg Towers and Bayern Munchen for German BBL, which will take place on 27 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Hamburg Towers 
2.75 
4.58 
Bayern Munchen 
1.47 
1.28 
Hamburg Towers HC 
+4.5 
8.00 
Bayern Munchen HC 
4.5 
8.00 
Point Line 
157.5 
162.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Hamburg Towers are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Apr 19 
A 
BV Chemnitz 99 
L 
0 
0 
10 
10 

0 
0 
Mar 23 
H 
ALBA Berlin 
W 
90 
75 
13 
9 

100 
73 
Mar 20 
H 
Basketball Lowen Braunschweig 
W 
74 
63 
12 
9 

70 
62 
Mar 13 
H 
Mitteldeutscher BC 
W 
105 
78 
11 
9 

97 
78 
Mar 3 
A 
Ratiopharm Ulm 
L 
76 
89 
10 
9 

80 
86 
Feb 28 
H 
MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg 
L 
67 
73 
10 
8 

73 
70 
Feb 14 
A 
Giessen 46ers 
W 
95 
78 
10 
7 

84 
78 
Feb 12 
H 
Telekom Baskets Bonn 
L 
71 
78 
9 
7 

70 
79 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bayern Munchen are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Mar 23 
H 
Mitteldeutscher BC 
W 
85 
66 
21 
4 

78 
66 
Mar 21 
A 
HARKO Merlins Crailsheim 
W 
79 
74 
20 
4 

80 
72 
Mar 16 
H 
Telekom Baskets Bonn 
W 
78 
69 
19 
4 

78 
70 
Mar 14 
H 
EWE Baskets Oldenburg 
W 
108 
102 
18 
4 

107 
91 
Mar 9 
A 
Basketball Lowen Braunschweig 
W 
94 
79 
17 
4 

88 
78 
Mar 7 
A 
SC Rasta Vechta 
W 
93 
78 
16 
4 

89 
83 
Feb 28 
H 
s.Oliver Baskets 
W 
97 
76 
15 
4 

95 
80 
Feb 14 
A 
BV Chemnitz 99 
L 
83 
85 
14 
4 

78 
89 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Hamburg Towers and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bayern Munchen.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bayern Munchen and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Hamburg Towers.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Hamburg Towers (in the first graph) and by Bayern Munchen in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Hamburg Towers will expected to score 79 points and the Bayern Munchen 81 points. The total points line estimated to be at 160.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Hamburg Towers 
Bayern Munchen 
FG% 
0.55 
0.56 
ASS 
18.60 
18.60 
DRB 
21.00 
22.30 
ASTTO 
1.55 
1.58 
TRB 
29.90 
31.60 
FTM 
14.20 
16.80 
BL 
1.70 
3.80 
FTA 
19.30 
21.10 
PFFewer 
21.00 
21.10 
ST 
9.10 
7.30 
TOFewer 
12.00 
11.80 
Ftper 
0.74 
0.80 
ORBper 
0.43 
0.42 
ORB 
9.00 
9.30 
Go to Top
Crailsheim Merlins vs Giessen 46ers at 27 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Crailsheim Merlins and Giessen 46ers for German BBL, which will take place on 27 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Crailsheim Merlins 
1.13 
1.47 
Giessen 46ers 
6.5 
3.14 
Crailsheim Merlins HC 
13.5 
5.50 
Giessen 46ers HC 
+13.5 
5.50 
Point Line 
175.5 
169.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Crailsheim Merlins are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Mar 21 
H 
Bayern Munich 
L 
74 
79 
17 
7 

80 
75 
Mar 14 
H 
MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg 
W 
68 
58 
17 
5 

74 
56 
Mar 5 
A 
Medi Bayreuth 
L 
78 
97 
16 
6 

77 
98 
Mar 3 
H 
s.Oliver Baskets 
L 
84 
94 
16 
5 

83 
99 
Feb 28 
A 
ALBA Berlin 
L 
62 
100 
16 
4 

69 
98 
Feb 14 
A 
BG Goettingen 
W 
109 
81 
16 
3 

99 
83 
Feb 12 
H 
Basketball Lowen Braunschweig 
W 
75 
69 
15 
3 

70 
68 
Feb 9 
H 
ALBA Berlin 
L 
77 
101 
14 
3 

86 
99 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Giessen 46ers are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Mar 20 
H 
s.Oliver Baskets 
L 
73 
74 
4 
20 

72 
78 
Mar 13 
A 
Fraport Skyliners 
L 
79 
82 
4 
19 

81 
89 
Mar 6 
H 
Telekom Baskets Bonn 
L 
75 
92 
4 
18 

74 
94 
Mar 3 
A 
Mitteldeutscher BC 
L 
81 
102 
4 
16 

75 
102 
Feb 27 
H 
Medi Bayreuth 
W 
97 
92 
4 
15 

96 
93 
Feb 24 
A 
s.Oliver Baskets 
L 
82 
101 
3 
16 

81 
107 
Feb 14 
H 
Hamburg Towers 
L 
78 
95 
3 
15 

83 
94 
Feb 12 
A 
EWE Baskets Oldenburg 
W 
97 
93 
3 
14 

96 
83 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Crailsheim Merlins and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Giessen 46ers.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Giessen 46ers and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Crailsheim Merlins.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Crailsheim Merlins (in the first graph) and by Giessen 46ers in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Crailsheim Merlins will expected to score 90 points and the Giessen 46ers 83 points. The total points line estimated to be at 173.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Crailsheim Merlins 
Giessen 46ers 
FG% 
0.56 
0.54 
ASS 
18.50 
17.90 
DRB 
22.50 
20.60 
ASTTO 
1.28 
1.23 
TRB 
30.80 
29.90 
FTM 
17.80 
11.80 
BL 
2.40 
2.90 
FTA 
23.10 
14.40 
PFFewer 
22.60 
20.60 
ST 
7.20 
5.90 
TOFewer 
14.50 
14.60 
Ftper 
0.77 
0.82 
ORBper 
0.37 
0.45 
ORB 
8.30 
9.30 
Go to Top
Brose Bamberg vs Ratiopharm Ulm at 27 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Brose Bamberg and Ratiopharm Ulm for German BBL, which will take place on 27 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Brose Bamberg 
1.83 
1.75 
Ratiopharm Ulm 
2.02 
2.33 
Brose Bamberg HC 
1.5 
2.50 
Ratiopharm Ulm HC 
+1.5 
2.50 
Point Line 
164.5 
163.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Brose Bamberg are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Mar 20 
A 
Mitteldeutscher BC 
W 
100 
89 
12 
11 

92 
89 
Mar 13 
A 
Telekom Baskets Bonn 
W 
86 
82 
11 
11 

85 
84 
Feb 28 
H 
Fraport Skyliners 
W 
78 
62 
10 
11 

80 
67 
Feb 14 
H 
ALBA Berlin 
W 
76 
67 
9 
11 

85 
66 
Feb 12 
A 
BV Chemnitz 99 
L 
82 
85 
8 
11 

78 
89 
Feb 9 
A 
Fraport Skyliners 
W 
86 
76 
8 
10 

88 
82 
Feb 7 
H 
Bayern Munich 
L 
92 
93 
7 
10 

99 
88 
Feb 3 
H 
Mitteldeutscher BC 
W 
95 
80 
7 
9 

88 
80 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ratiopharm Ulm are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Mar 20 
H 
MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg 
L 
77 
83 
14 
10 

84 
80 
Mar 13 
A 
SC Rasta Vechta 
L 
77 
92 
14 
9 

74 
97 
Mar 7 
H 
ALBA Berlin 
L 
76 
84 
14 
8 

85 
82 
Mar 3 
H 
Hamburg Towers 
W 
89 
76 
14 
7 

95 
76 
Feb 27 
H 
Mitteldeutscher BC 
W 
102 
73 
13 
7 

94 
73 
Feb 14 
A 
Fraport Skyliners 
W 
87 
68 
12 
7 

89 
74 
Feb 12 
H 
BG Goettingen 
W 
93 
64 
11 
7 

84 
65 
Feb 9 
H 
Bayern Munich 
L 
77 
81 
10 
7 

83 
77 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Brose Bamberg and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Ratiopharm Ulm.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Ratiopharm Ulm and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Brose Bamberg.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Brose Bamberg (in the first graph) and by Ratiopharm Ulm in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Brose Bamberg will expected to score 81 points and the Ratiopharm Ulm 84 points. The total points line estimated to be at 165.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Brose Bamberg 
Ratiopharm Ulm 
FG% 
0.56 
0.57 
ASS 
19.90 
17.80 
DRB 
22.20 
21.50 
ASTTO 
1.42 
1.37 
TRB 
31.80 
28.30 
FTM 
13.90 
21.80 
BL 
3.00 
2.30 
FTA 
17.20 
25.60 
PFFewer 
19.10 
20.00 
ST 
6.50 
6.90 
TOFewer 
14.00 
13.00 
Ftper 
0.81 
0.85 
ORBper 
0.43 
0.32 
ORB 
9.60 
6.80 
Go to Top
Rasta Vechta vs GΓ¶ttingen at 27 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Rasta Vechta and GΓ¶ttingen for German BBL, which will take place on 27 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Rasta Vechta 
2.1 
1.96 
GΓ¶ttingen 
1.78 
2.04 
Rasta Vechta HC 
+1.5 
1.50 
GΓ¶ttingen HC 
1.5 
1.50 
Point Line 
170.5 
166.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Rasta Vechta are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Mar 19 
A 
EWE Baskets Oldenburg 
L 
71 
101 
4 
20 

70 
90 
Mar 13 
H 
Ratiopharm Ulm 
W 
92 
77 
4 
19 

97 
74 
Mar 7 
H 
Bayern Munich 
L 
78 
93 
3 
19 

84 
88 
Mar 4 
A 
Fraport Skyliners 
L 
75 
84 
3 
18 

77 
91 
Feb 27 
A 
Telekom Baskets Bonn 
L 
89 
94 
3 
17 

88 
96 
Feb 14 
H 
Basketball Lowen Braunschweig 
L 
71 
80 
3 
16 

67 
79 
Feb 12 
H 
MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg 
L 
66 
84 
3 
15 

72 
81 
Feb 10 
A 
BV Chemnitz 99 
L 
77 
89 
3 
14 

73 
93 
The latest results and the adjusted scores of GΓ¶ttingen are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Mar 21 
H 
Telekom Baskets Bonn 
W 
102 
99 
8 
15 

101 
101 
Mar 14 
A 
ALBA Berlin 
L 
58 
89 
7 
15 

65 
87 
Mar 7 
H 
Fraport Skyliners 
L 
89 
93 
7 
14 

91 
101 
Mar 3 
A 
Basketball Lowen Braunschweig 
W 
102 
91 
7 
13 

96 
90 
Feb 14 
H 
HARKO Merlins Crailsheim 
L 
81 
109 
6 
13 

82 
106 
Feb 12 
A 
Ratiopharm Ulm 
L 
64 
93 
6 
12 

68 
90 
Feb 10 
A 
Medi Bayreuth 
W 
82 
80 
6 
11 

81 
80 
Feb 6 
A 
s.Oliver Baskets 
W 
87 
82 
5 
11 

86 
87 
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Rasta Vechta and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by GΓ¶ttingen.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by GΓ¶ttingen and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Rasta Vechta.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Rasta Vechta (in the first graph) and by GΓ¶ttingen in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Rasta Vechta will expected to score 85 points and the GΓ¶ttingen 85 points. The total points line estimated to be at 170.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var 
Rasta Vechta 
GΓ¶ttingen 
FG% 
0.52 
0.53 
ASS 
18.10 
18.20 
DRB 
21.60 
21.50 
ASTTO 
1.16 
1.26 
TRB 
30.20 
29.90 
FTM 
16.10 
15.90 
BL 
1.90 
2.70 
FTA 
20.60 
20.60 
PFFewer 
22.10 
22.20 
ST 
5.00 
6.50 
TOFewer 
15.60 
14.50 
Ftper 
0.78 
0.77 
ORBper 
0.40 
0.39 
ORB 
8.60 
8.30 
Go to Top
Alba Berlin vs Mitteldeutscher at 28 March 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Alba Berlin and Mitteldeutscher for German BBL, which will take place on 28 March 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome 
Books 
Ours 
Alba Berlin 
0.05 
1.38 
Mitteldeutscher 
11 
3.63 
Alba Berlin HC 
17.5 
6.50 
Mitteldeutscher HC 
+17.5 
6.50 
Point Line 
173.5 
162.00 
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Alba Berlin are:
gDate 
At 
Opponent 
WL 
Tm 
Opp 
W 
L 
Str 
aOff 
aDef 
Mar 23 
A 
Hamburg Towers 
L 
75 
90 
20 
4 

80 
89 
Mar 21 
A 
Fraport Skyliners 
W 
94 
60 
20 
3 

96 
65 
Mar 16 
A 
Mitteldeutscher BC 
W 
96 
82 
19 
3 

89 
82 
Mar 14 
H 
BG Goettingen 
W 
89 
58 
18 
3 
