2021 04 02 German BBL



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Medi Bayreuth vs Rasta Vechta at 03 April 2021
Giessen 46ers vs Bayern Munchen at 03 April 2021
Bonn vs Alba Berlin at 04 April 2021
TG s.Oliver Wurzburg vs Oldenburg at 04 April 2021
Brose Bamberg vs Hamburg Towers at 04 April 2021
Fraport Skyliners vs Crailsheim Merlins at 04 April 2021
Göttingen vs Ludwigsburg at 05 April 2021
Mitteldeutscher vs Niners Chemnitz at 05 April 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Medi Bayreuth vs Rasta Vechta at 03 April 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Medi Bayreuth and Rasta Vechta for German BBL, which will take place on 03 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Medi Bayreuth

1.29

1.75

Rasta Vechta

3.8

2.34

Medi Bayreuth HC

-8.5

-3.00

Rasta Vechta HC

+8.5

3.00

Point Line

169.5

166.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Medi Bayreuth are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 27

A

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

92

97

10

15

100

93

Mar 21

H

BV Chemnitz 99

W

85

72

10

14

81

76

Mar 15

A

s.Oliver Baskets

W

90

75

8

14

89

79

Mar 5

H

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

W

97

78

8

14

99

75

Mar 2

A

Telekom Baskets Bonn

W

91

76

7

14

90

77

Feb 27

A

Giessen 46ers

L

92

97

6

14

81

98

Feb 14

H

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

L

82

91

6

13

81

81

Feb 12

A

ALBA Berlin

L

68

80

6

12

76

78

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Rasta Vechta are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 27

H

BG Goettingen

L

79

103

4

21

74

105

Mar 19

A

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

L

71

101

4

20

70

90

Mar 13

H

Ratiopharm Ulm

W

92

77

4

19

97

75

Mar 7

H

Bayern Munich

L

78

93

3

19

84

89

Mar 4

A

Fraport Skyliners

L

75

84

3

18

77

91

Feb 27

A

Telekom Baskets Bonn

L

89

94

3

17

89

95

Feb 14

H

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

L

71

80

3

16

67

79

Feb 12

H

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

66

84

3

15

72

80

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Medi Bayreuth and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Rasta Vechta.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Rasta Vechta and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Medi Bayreuth.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Medi Bayreuth (in the first graph) and by Rasta Vechta in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Medi Bayreuth will expected to score 86 points and the Rasta Vechta 82 points. The total points line estimated to be at 168.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Medi Bayreuth

Rasta Vechta

FG%

0.58

0.52

ASS

19.40

18.00

DRB

21.60

21.60

AST-TO

1.42

1.15

TRB

28.00

30.40

FTM

15.60

16.30

BL

2.40

1.90

FTA

19.90

20.80

PF-Fewer

18.00

22.20

ST

6.80

5.00

TO-Fewer

13.70

15.60

Ftper

0.78

0.78

ORBper

0.30

0.41

ORB

6.40

8.80


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top


Giessen 46ers vs Bayern Munchen at 03 April 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Giessen 46ers and Bayern Munchen for German BBL, which will take place on 03 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Giessen 46ers

8.5

4.82

Bayern Munchen

1.08

1.26

Giessen 46ers HC

+15.5

8.00

Bayern Munchen HC

-15.5

-8.00

Point Line

171.5

173.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Giessen 46ers are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 27

A

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

L

77

102

4

21

78

98

Mar 20

H

s.Oliver Baskets

L

73

74

4

20

72

78

Mar 13

A

Fraport Skyliners

L

79

82

4

19

81

89

Mar 6

H

Telekom Baskets Bonn

L

75

92

4

18

75

93

Mar 3

A

Mitteldeutscher BC

L

81

102

4

16

75

102

Feb 27

H

Medi Bayreuth

W

97

92

4

15

95

92

Feb 24

A

s.Oliver Baskets

L

82

101

3

16

81

107

Feb 14

H

Hamburg Towers

L

78

95

3

15

83

94

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bayern Munchen are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 28

A

Hamburg Towers

L

86

91

21

5

92

90

Mar 23

H

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

85

66

21

4

78

66

Mar 21

A

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

W

79

74

20

4

80

71

Mar 16

H

Telekom Baskets Bonn

W

78

69

19

4

78

70

Mar 14

H

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

W

108

102

18

4

107

91

Mar 9

A

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

W

94

79

17

4

89

78

Mar 7

A

SC Rasta Vechta

W

93

78

16

4

88

83

Feb 28

H

s.Oliver Baskets

W

97

76

15

4

95

80

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Giessen 46ers and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bayern Munchen.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bayern Munchen and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Giessen 46ers.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Giessen 46ers (in the first graph) and by Bayern Munchen in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Giessen 46ers will expected to score 81 points and the Bayern Munchen 91 points. The total points line estimated to be at 172.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Giessen 46ers

Bayern Munchen

FG%

0.54

0.56

ASS

17.90

18.60

DRB

20.60

22.40

AST-TO

1.22

1.55

TRB

29.90

31.60

FTM

11.90

16.50

BL

2.90

3.70

FTA

14.40

20.70

PF-Fewer

20.60

21.20

ST

5.90

7.30

TO-Fewer

14.70

12.00

Ftper

0.82

0.80

ORBper

0.45

0.41

ORB

9.20

9.20


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top


Bonn vs Alba Berlin at 04 April 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Bonn and Alba Berlin for German BBL, which will take place on 04 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Bonn

4.1

7.15

Alba Berlin

1.26

1.16

Bonn HC

+8.5

10.00

Alba Berlin HC

-8.5

-10.00

Point Line

169.5

164.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bonn are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 31

A

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

W

94

93

10

15

89

92

Mar 28

A

s.Oliver Baskets

W

83

73

9

15

82

77

Mar 21

A

BG Goettingen

L

99

102

8

15

92

104

Mar 16

A

Bayern Munich

L

69

78

8

14

74

74

Mar 13

H

Brose Baskets Bamberg

L

82

86

8

13

85

86

Mar 6

A

Giessen 46ers

W

92

75

8

12

81

76

Mar 2

H

Medi Bayreuth

L

76

91

6

12

75

91

Feb 27

H

SC Rasta Vechta

W

94

89

6

11

90

94

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Alba Berlin are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 28

H

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

93

82

21

4

86

82

Mar 23

A

Hamburg Towers

L

75

90

20

4

80

89

Mar 21

A

Fraport Skyliners

W

94

60

20

3

96

65

Mar 16

A

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

96

82

19

3

88

82

Mar 14

H

BG Goettingen

W

89

58

18

3

83

59

Mar 9

H

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

L

81

89

17

3

80

79

Mar 7

A

Ratiopharm Ulm

W

84

76

17

2

88

74

Feb 28

H

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

W

100

62

16

2

102

60

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bonn and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Alba Berlin.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Alba Berlin and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bonn.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Bonn (in the first graph) and by Alba Berlin in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Bonn will expected to score 78 points and the Alba Berlin 85 points. The total points line estimated to be at 163.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Bonn

Alba Berlin

FG%

0.54

0.56

ASS

15.20

22.00

DRB

23.10

24.60

AST-TO

1.07

1.71

TRB

31.20

34.20

FTM

15.80

12.90

BL

2.00

3.00

FTA

20.90

16.00

PF-Fewer

21.20

17.20

ST

7.20

7.60

TO-Fewer

14.20

12.90

Ftper

0.76

0.80

ORBper

0.35

0.39

ORB

8.00

9.60


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top


TG s.Oliver Wurzburg vs Oldenburg at 04 April 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between TG s.Oliver Wurzburg and Oldenburg for German BBL, which will take place on 04 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

TG s.Oliver Wurzburg

4.6

3.10

Oldenburg

1.21

1.48

TG s.Oliver Wurzburg HC

+9.5

5.50

Oldenburg HC

-9.5

-5.50

Point Line

171.5

169.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of TG s.Oliver Wurzburg are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 1

A

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

64

88

8

17

68

86

Mar 28

H

Telekom Baskets Bonn

L

73

83

8

16

73

84

Mar 23

H

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

72

82

8

15

78

79

Mar 20

A

Giessen 46ers

W

74

73

8

14

65

74

Mar 15

H

Medi Bayreuth

L

75

90

7

14

74

90

Mar 9

A

Mitteldeutscher BC

L

73

85

7

13

67

85

Mar 3

A

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

W

94

84

6

12

96

81

Feb 28

A

Bayern Munich

L

76

97

5

12

82

92

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Oldenburg are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 26

A

BV Chemnitz 99

W

98

92

19

6

93

97

Mar 19

H

SC Rasta Vechta

W

101

71

18

6

96

75

Mar 14

A

Bayern Munich

L

102

108

17

6

109

103

Mar 9

A

ALBA Berlin

W

89

81

17

5

99

79

Mar 6

A

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

87

98

16

5

94

94

Feb 28

H

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

W

101

89

16

4

96

88

Feb 14

A

Medi Bayreuth

W

91

82

15

4

90

82

Feb 12

H

Giessen 46ers

L

93

97

14

4

82

98

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by TG s.Oliver Wurzburg and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Oldenburg.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Oldenburg and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by TG s.Oliver Wurzburg.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by TG s.Oliver Wurzburg (in the first graph) and by Oldenburg in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, TG s.Oliver Wurzburg will expected to score 82 points and the Oldenburg 89 points. The total points line estimated to be at 171.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

TG s.Oliver Wurzburg

Oldenburg

FG%

0.53

0.60

ASS

17.90

21.80

DRB

20.80

22.50

AST-TO

1.19

2.02

TRB

29.50

29.70

FTM

15.50

16.20

BL

2.00

1.90

FTA

20.00

19.50

PF-Fewer

20.70

21.60

ST

6.90

7.30

TO-Fewer

15.00

10.80

Ftper

0.78

0.83

ORBper

0.42

0.32

ORB

8.80

7.20


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top


Brose Bamberg vs Hamburg Towers at 04 April 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Brose Bamberg and Hamburg Towers for German BBL, which will take place on 04 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Brose Bamberg

1.85

1.72

Hamburg Towers

2.02

2.40

Brose Bamberg HC

-1.5

-3.00

Hamburg Towers HC

+1.5

3.00

Point Line

157.5

162.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Brose Bamberg are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Mar 27

H

Ratiopharm Ulm

W

88

74

13

11

93

72

Mar 20

A

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

100

89

12

11

92

89

Mar 13

A

Telekom Baskets Bonn

W

86

82

11

11

86

83

Feb 28

H

Fraport Skyliners

W

78

62

10

11

80

67