BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis
In this article we will analyse the following games:
Dinamo Sassari vs Nymburk at 06 April 2021
Hapoel Holon vs Tofas at 06 April 2021
Karsiyaka vs Brindisi at 06 April 2021
Tenerife vs San Pablo Burgos at 06 April 2021
Igokea vs VEF Riga at 06 April 2021
Strasbourg vs Turk Telekom at 07 April 2021
AEK Athens vs Nizhny Novgorod at 07 April 2021
Before continue, please read the disclaimer.
Dinamo Sassari vs Nymburk at 06 April 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Dinamo Sassari and Nymburk for BCL, which will take place on 06 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
Dinamo Sassari |
1.4 |
4.55 |
Nymburk |
3.05 |
1.28 |
Dinamo Sassari HC |
-5.5 |
8.00 |
Nymburk HC |
+5.5 |
-8.00 |
Point Line |
178.5 |
174.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Dinamo Sassari are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Apr 1 |
A |
Brose Baskets Bamberg |
L |
86 |
92 |
4 |
6 |
|
90 |
84 |
Mar 30 |
A |
Casademont Zaragoza |
L |
88 |
105 |
4 |
5 |
|
84 |
94 |
Mar 9 |
A |
CEZ Nymburk |
L |
89 |
90 |
4 |
4 |
|
88 |
80 |
Mar 2 |
H |
Casademont Zaragoza |
L |
83 |
95 |
4 |
3 |
|
79 |
85 |
Jan 20 |
A |
Galatasaray |
W |
92 |
81 |
4 |
2 |
|
80 |
78 |
Jan 6 |
A |
Iberostar Tenerife |
L |
85 |
115 |
3 |
2 |
|
86 |
106 |
Dec 16 |
H |
Bakken Bears |
L |
71 |
93 |
3 |
1 |
|
68 |
84 |
Nov 18 |
A |
Bakken Bears |
W |
91 |
84 |
3 |
0 |
|
87 |
76 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Nymburk are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Apr 1 |
A |
Casademont Zaragoza |
L |
71 |
90 |
7 |
3 |
|
68 |
80 |
Mar 30 |
H |
Brose Baskets Bamberg |
W |
91 |
80 |
7 |
2 |
|
95 |
73 |
Mar 9 |
H |
Banco di Sardegna Sassari |
W |
90 |
89 |
6 |
2 |
|
79 |
81 |
Mar 2 |
A |
Brose Baskets Bamberg |
W |
91 |
87 |
5 |
2 |
|
95 |
80 |
Jan 19 |
H |
Tofas SC |
L |
97 |
103 |
4 |
2 |
|
96 |
98 |
Jan 6 |
H |
JDA Dijon Basket |
W |
94 |
54 |
4 |
1 |
|
101 |
56 |
Dec 15 |
A |
Keravnos Strovolou |
W |
102 |
69 |
3 |
1 |
|
92 |
80 |
Nov 18 |
H |
Keravnos Strovolou |
W |
96 |
69 |
2 |
1 |
|
87 |
80 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Dinamo Sassari and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Nymburk.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Nymburk and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Dinamo Sassari.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Dinamo Sassari (in the first graph) and by Nymburk in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Dinamo Sassari will expected to score 82 points and the Nymburk 85 points. The total points line estimated to be at 167.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var |
Dinamo Sassari |
Nymburk |
FG% |
0.54 |
0.53 |
ASS |
18.80 |
19.30 |
DRB |
23.30 |
27.90 |
AST-TO |
1.32 |
1.42 |
TRB |
33.70 |
40.20 |
FTM |
15.20 |
15.70 |
BL |
1.80 |
2.60 |
FTA |
20.40 |
22.30 |
PF-Fewer |
20.30 |
17.70 |
ST |
6.00 |
6.90 |
TO-Fewer |
14.20 |
13.60 |
Ftper |
0.74 |
0.70 |
ORBper |
0.45 |
0.44 |
ORB |
10.40 |
12.30 |
Go to Top
Hapoel Holon vs Tofas at 06 April 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Hapoel Holon and Tofas for BCL, which will take place on 06 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
Hapoel Holon |
1.45 |
4.33 |
Tofas |
2.87 |
1.30 |
Hapoel Holon HC |
-4.5 |
7.50 |
Tofas HC |
+4.5 |
-7.50 |
Point Line |
167.5 |
157.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Hapoel Holon are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Mar 31 |
A |
Enel Brindisi |
W |
81 |
79 |
8 |
3 |
|
80 |
74 |
Mar 23 |
A |
Pinar Karsiyaka |
W |
77 |
76 |
7 |
3 |
|
83 |
77 |
Mar 17 |
H |
Pinar Karsiyaka |
L |
63 |
72 |
6 |
3 |
|
68 |
73 |
Mar 9 |
A |
Tofas SC |
W |
93 |
81 |
6 |
2 |
|
92 |
77 |
Mar 2 |
H |
Enel Brindisi |
W |
87 |
85 |
5 |
2 |
|
86 |
79 |
Jan 20 |
H |
Cholet Basket |
W |
89 |
71 |
4 |
2 |
|
92 |
74 |
Jan 5 |
H |
AEK Athens |
W |
77 |
71 |
3 |
2 |
|
78 |
72 |
Dec 15 |
A |
Tsmoki-Minsk |
W |
75 |
71 |
2 |
2 |
|
73 |
73 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Tofas are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Mar 30 |
H |
Pinar Karsiyaka |
W |
90 |
79 |
5 |
6 |
|
97 |
80 |
Mar 24 |
H |
Enel Brindisi |
L |
72 |
91 |
4 |
6 |
|
71 |
85 |
Mar 16 |
A |
Enel Brindisi |
L |
75 |
77 |
4 |
5 |
|
74 |
72 |
Mar 9 |
H |
Hapoel Unet Holon |
L |
81 |
93 |
4 |
4 |
|
85 |
92 |
Mar 3 |
A |
Pinar Karsiyaka |
L |
70 |
78 |
4 |
3 |
|
75 |
79 |
Jan 19 |
A |
CEZ Nymburk |
W |
103 |
97 |
4 |
2 |
|
102 |
86 |
Jan 12 |
A |
JDA Dijon Basket |
W |
90 |
61 |
3 |
2 |
|
97 |
64 |
Jan 6 |
H |
Keravnos Strovolou |
W |
78 |
67 |
2 |
2 |
|
71 |
78 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Hapoel Holon and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Tofas.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Tofas and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Hapoel Holon.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Hapoel Holon (in the first graph) and by Tofas in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Hapoel Holon will expected to score 81 points and the Tofas 81 points. The total points line estimated to be at 162.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var |
Hapoel Holon |
Tofas |
FG% |
0.53 |
0.52 |
ASS |
18.50 |
20.50 |
DRB |
22.60 |
23.50 |
AST-TO |
1.33 |
1.64 |
TRB |
30.00 |
33.50 |
FTM |
15.70 |
13.60 |
BL |
2.20 |
2.60 |
FTA |
21.00 |
18.20 |
PF-Fewer |
22.50 |
20.00 |
ST |
5.60 |
8.10 |
TO-Fewer |
13.90 |
12.50 |
Ftper |
0.75 |
0.75 |
ORBper |
0.33 |
0.43 |
ORB |
7.40 |
10.00 |
Go to Top
Karsiyaka vs Brindisi at 06 April 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Karsiyaka and Brindisi for BCL, which will take place on 06 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
Karsiyaka |
1.45 |
2.73 |
Brindisi |
2.85 |
1.58 |
Karsiyaka HC |
-5.5 |
4.50 |
Brindisi HC |
+5.5 |
-4.50 |
Point Line |
159.5 |
157.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Karsiyaka are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Mar 30 |
A |
Tofas SC |
L |
79 |
90 |
6 |
5 |
|
78 |
86 |
Mar 23 |
H |
Hapoel Unet Holon |
L |
76 |
77 |
6 |
4 |
|
80 |
77 |
Mar 17 |
A |
Hapoel Unet Holon |
W |
72 |
63 |
6 |
3 |
|
75 |
63 |
Mar 9 |
A |
Enel Brindisi |
L |
79 |
83 |
5 |
3 |
|
78 |
77 |
Mar 3 |
H |
Tofas SC |
W |
78 |
70 |
5 |
2 |
|
77 |
67 |
Jan 27 |
H |
RETAbet Bilbao Basket |
W |
85 |
76 |
4 |
2 |
|
91 |
81 |
Jan 12 |
A |
Fortituto Kontatto Bologna |
W |
78 |
65 |
3 |
2 |
|
77 |
78 |
Jan 5 |
H |
Fortituto Kontatto Bologna |
W |
80 |
69 |
2 |
2 |
|
79 |
83 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Brindisi are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Mar 31 |
H |
Hapoel Unet Holon |
L |
79 |
81 |
7 |
4 |
|
83 |
81 |
Mar 24 |
A |
Tofas SC |
W |
91 |
72 |
7 |
3 |
|
90 |
68 |
Mar 16 |
H |
Tofas SC |
W |
77 |
75 |
6 |
3 |
|
76 |
71 |
Mar 9 |
H |
Pinar Karsiyaka |
W |
83 |
79 |
5 |
3 |
|
89 |
80 |
Mar 2 |
A |
Hapoel Unet Holon |
L |
85 |
87 |
4 |
3 |
|
89 |
87 |
Jan 27 |
H |
Hereda San Pablo Burgos |
L |
86 |
90 |
4 |
2 |
|
93 |
83 |
Jan 13 |
A |
Darussafaka Basketbol Istanbul |
W |
87 |
83 |
4 |
1 |
|
84 |
88 |
Dec 22 |
H |
Telenet BC Oostende |
W |
93 |
81 |
3 |
1 |
|
87 |
80 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Karsiyaka and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Brindisi.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Brindisi and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Karsiyaka.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Karsiyaka (in the first graph) and by Brindisi in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Karsiyaka will expected to score 80 points and the Brindisi 81 points. The total points line estimated to be at 161.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var |
Karsiyaka |
Brindisi |
FG% |
0.52 |
0.53 |
ASS |
17.40 |
16.90 |
DRB |
22.00 |
24.00 |
AST-TO |
1.69 |
1.20 |
TRB |
30.10 |
33.10 |
FTM |
14.50 |
18.20 |
BL |
2.10 |
1.70 |
FTA |
19.30 |
22.60 |
PF-Fewer |
19.50 |
21.10 |
ST |
5.30 |
6.50 |
TO-Fewer |
10.30 |
14.10 |
Ftper |
0.76 |
0.80 |
ORBper |
0.37 |
0.38 |
ORB |
8.10 |
9.10 |
Go to Top
Tenerife vs San Pablo Burgos at 06 April 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Tenerife and San Pablo Burgos for BCL, which will take place on 06 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
Tenerife |
1.3 |
3.39 |
San Pablo Burgos |
3.75 |
1.42 |
Tenerife HC |
-7.5 |
6.00 |
San Pablo Burgos HC |
+7.5 |
-6.00 |
Point Line |
165.5 |
162.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Tenerife are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Mar 31 |
A |
BC VEF Riga |
W |
77 |
64 |
8 |
3 |
|
81 |
69 |
Mar 23 |
H |
BC Igokea |
W |
80 |
75 |
7 |
3 |
|
82 |
79 |
Mar 17 |
H |
BC VEF Riga |
W |
77 |
64 |
6 |
3 |
|
81 |
69 |
Mar 9 |
A |
Hereda San Pablo Burgos |
L |
79 |
101 |
5 |
3 |
|
85 |
93 |
Mar 3 |
A |
BC Igokea |
W |
82 |
62 |
5 |
2 |
|
84 |
65 |
Jan 20 |
A |
Bakken Bears |
L |
78 |
96 |
4 |
2 |
|
74 |
87 |
Jan 6 |
H |
Banco di Sardegna Sassari |
W |
115 |
85 |
4 |
1 |
|
100 |
77 |
Dec 15 |
A |
Galatasaray |
W |
104 |
89 |
3 |
1 |
|
90 |
86 |
The latest results and the adjusted scores of San Pablo Burgos are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Apr 1 |
H |
BC Igokea |
W |
83 |
71 |
9 |
2 |
|
85 |
74 |
Mar 30 |
A |
BC Igokea |
L |
75 |
77 |
8 |
2 |
|
77 |
81 |
Mar 24 |
A |
BC VEF Riga |
W |
67 |
45 |
8 |
1 |
|
70 |
49 |
Mar 9 |
H |
Iberostar Tenerife |
W |
101 |
79 |
7 |
1 |
|
103 |
72 |
Mar 2 |
H |
BC VEF Riga |
W |
76 |
75 |
6 |
1 |
|
80 |
81 |
Jan 27 |
A |
Enel Brindisi |
W |
90 |
86 |
5 |
1 |
|
89 |
80 |
Jan 12 |
H |
Telenet BC Oostende |
W |
88 |
73 |
4 |
1 |
|
82 |
72 |
Dec 22 |
A |
Darussafaka Basketbol Istanbul |
W |
74 |
71 |
3 |
1 |
|
71 |
75 |
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Tenerife and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by San Pablo Burgos.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by San Pablo Burgos and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Tenerife.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Tenerife (in the first graph) and by San Pablo Burgos in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Tenerife will expected to score 79 points and the San Pablo Burgos 81 points. The total points line estimated to be at 160.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.
Var |
Tenerife |
San Pablo Burgos |
FG% |
0.60 |
0.58 |
ASS |
21.00 |
22.60 |
DRB |
21.40 |
23.90 |
AST-TO |
1.60 |
1.78 |
TRB |
29.00 |
32.70 |
FTM |
14.10 |
12.40 |
BL |
0.80 |
2.80 |
FTA |
16.30 |
17.30 |
PF-Fewer |
19.00 |
20.60 |
ST |
6.60 |
9.50 |
TO-Fewer |
13.10 |
12.70 |
Ftper |
0.87 |
0.72 |
ORBper |
0.36 |
0.37 |
ORB |
7.60 |
8.80 |
Go to Top
Igokea vs VEF Riga at 06 April 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Igokea and VEF Riga for BCL, which will take place on 06 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
Outcome |
Books |
Ours |
Igokea |
1.29 |
3.38 |
VEF Riga |
3.8 |
1.42 |
Igokea HC |
-8.5 |
6.00 |
VEF Riga HC |
+8.5 |
-6.00 |
Point Line |
153.5 |
151.00 |
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Igokea are:
gDate |
At |
Opponent |
WL |
Tm |
Opp |
W |
L |
Str |
aOff |
aDef |
Apr 1 |
A |
Hereda San Pablo Burgos |
L |
71 |
83 |
5 |
6 |
|
77 |
76 |
Mar 30 |
H |
Hereda San Pablo Burgos |
W |
77 |
75 |
5 |
5 |
|
83 |
69 |
Mar 23 |
A |
Iberostar Tenerife |
L |
75 |
80 |
4 |
5 |
|
76 |
73 |
Mar 9 |
A |
BC VEF Riga |
W |
91 |