2021 04 09 German BBL



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Crailsheim Merlins vs Mitteldeutscher at 09 April 2021
Alba Berlin vs Hamburg Towers at 10 April 2021
Rasta Vechta vs Niners Chemnitz at 10 April 2021
Medi Bayreuth vs Brose Bamberg at 10 April 2021
Ratiopharm Ulm vs Giessen 46ers at 10 April 2021
Oldenburg vs Bonn at 10 April 2021
Göttingen vs TG s.Oliver Wurzburg at 11 April 2021
Ludwigsburg vs Fraport Skyliners at 11 April 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Crailsheim Merlins vs Mitteldeutscher at 09 April 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Crailsheim Merlins and Mitteldeutscher for German BBL, which will take place on 09 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Crailsheim Merlins

1.2

1.64

Mitteldeutscher

4.9

2.56

Crailsheim Merlins HC

-9.5

-3.50

Mitteldeutscher HC

+9.5

3.50

Point Line

178.5

169.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Crailsheim Merlins are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 7

H

Telekom Baskets Bonn

W

91

88

19

8

90

89

Apr 5

A

Fraport Skyliners

L

84

92

18

8

86

99

Mar 27

H

Giessen 46ers

W

102

77

18

7

90

76

Mar 21

H

Bayern Munich

L

74

79

17

7

79

75

Mar 14

H

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

W

68

58

17

5

74

55

Mar 5

A

Medi Bayreuth

L

78

97

16

6

77

98

Mar 3

H

s.Oliver Baskets

L

84

94

16

5

81

101

Feb 28

A

ALBA Berlin

L

62

100

16

4

69

98

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Mitteldeutscher are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 1

A

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

74

93

7

20

80

89

Mar 28

A

ALBA Berlin

L

82

93

7

19

91

91

Mar 23

A

Bayern Munich

L

66

85

7

18

71

81

Mar 20

H

Brose Baskets Bamberg

L

89

100

7

17

93

101

Mar 16

H

ALBA Berlin

L

82

96

7

16

91

94

Mar 13

A

Hamburg Towers

L

78

105

7

15

83

104

Mar 9

H

s.Oliver Baskets

W

85

73

7

14

82

78

Mar 6

H

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

L

91

93

6

14

86

93

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Crailsheim Merlins and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Mitteldeutscher.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Mitteldeutscher and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Crailsheim Merlins.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Crailsheim Merlins (in the first graph) and by Mitteldeutscher in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Crailsheim Merlins will expected to score 88 points and the Mitteldeutscher 84 points. The total points line estimated to be at 172.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Crailsheim Merlins

Mitteldeutscher

FG%

0.56

0.52

ASS

18.60

17.40

DRB

22.20

21.70

AST-TO

1.31

1.14

TRB

30.70

31.70

FTM

17.50

15.90

BL

2.10

3.00

FTA

22.50

20.10

PF-Fewer

22.50

22.10

ST

7.60

6.50

TO-Fewer

14.20

15.30

Ftper

0.78

0.79

ORBper

0.39

0.46

ORB

8.60

10.00


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Alba Berlin vs Hamburg Towers at 10 April 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Alba Berlin and Hamburg Towers for German BBL, which will take place on 10 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Alba Berlin

1.22

1.51

Hamburg Towers

4.5

2.96

Alba Berlin HC

-8.5

-5.00

Hamburg Towers HC

+8.5

5.00

Point Line

161.5

159.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Alba Berlin are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 4

A

Telekom Baskets Bonn

W

80

75

22

4

79

76

Mar 28

H

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

93

82

21

4

86

82

Mar 23

A

Hamburg Towers

L

75

90

20

4

80

89

Mar 21

A

Fraport Skyliners

W

94

60

20

3

96

65

Mar 16

A

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

96

82

19

3

88

82

Mar 14

H

BG Goettingen

W

89

58

18

3

83

59

Mar 9

H

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

L

81

89

17

3

81

78

Mar 7

A

Ratiopharm Ulm

W

84

76

17

2

90

74

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Hamburg Towers are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 19

A

BV Chemnitz 99

L

0

0

10

10

0

0

Apr 7

A

SC Rasta Vechta

W

88

82

16

9

84

87

Apr 3

A

Brose Baskets Bamberg

W

76

64

15

9

79

65

Mar 28

H

Bayern Munich

W

91

86

14

9

98

82

Mar 23

H

ALBA Berlin

W

90

75

13

9

100

73

Mar 20

H

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

W

74

63

12

9

70

63

Mar 13

H

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

105

78

11

9

97

78

Mar 3

A

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

76

89

10

9

81

86

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Alba Berlin and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Hamburg Towers.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Hamburg Towers and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Alba Berlin.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Alba Berlin (in the first graph) and by Hamburg Towers in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Alba Berlin will expected to score 80 points and the Hamburg Towers 78 points. The total points line estimated to be at 158.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Alba Berlin

Hamburg Towers

FG%

0.55

0.55

ASS

22.20

18.60

DRB

24.70

21.30

AST-TO

1.71

1.55

TRB

34.30

30.50

FTM

13.00

14.50

BL

3.00

1.60

FTA

16.10

19.80

PF-Fewer

17.40

20.80

ST

7.50

9.00

TO-Fewer

13.00

12.00

Ftper

0.81

0.74

ORBper

0.39

0.43

ORB

9.70

9.20


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Rasta Vechta vs Niners Chemnitz at 10 April 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Rasta Vechta and Niners Chemnitz for German BBL, which will take place on 10 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Rasta Vechta

2.37

1.80

Niners Chemnitz

1.62

2.26

Rasta Vechta HC

+3.5

-2.50

Niners Chemnitz HC

-3.5

2.50

Point Line

166.5

166.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Rasta Vechta are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 7

H

Hamburg Towers

L

82

88

4

23

88

87

Apr 4

A

Medi Bayreuth

L

79

95

4

22

78

96

Mar 27

H

BG Goettingen

L

79

103

4

21

73

105

Mar 19

A

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

L

71

101

4

20

71

88

Mar 13

H

Ratiopharm Ulm

W

92

77

4

19

98

75

Mar 7

H

Bayern Munich

L

78

93

3

19

84

88

Mar 4

A

Fraport Skyliners

L

75

84

3

18

76

91

Feb 27

A

Telekom Baskets Bonn

L

89

94

3

17

88

95

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Niners Chemnitz are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 19

H

Hamburg Towers

L

0

0

7

12

0

0

Apr 1

A

Fraport Skyliners

W

89

76

9

16

91

82

Mar 30

A

BG Goettingen

L

55

68

8

16

51

69

Mar 26

H

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

L

92

98

8

15

92

86

Mar 24

H

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

W

87

83

8

14

82

83

Mar 21

A

Medi Bayreuth

L

72

85

7

14

71

86

Mar 14

A

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

L

77

93

7

13

73

93

Mar 9

A

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

60

96

7

12

65

92

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Rasta Vechta and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Niners Chemnitz.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Niners Chemnitz and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Rasta Vechta.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Rasta Vechta (in the first graph) and by Niners Chemnitz in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Rasta Vechta will expected to score 81 points and the Niners Chemnitz 82 points. The total points line estimated to be at 163.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Rasta Vechta

Niners Chemnitz

FG%

0.52

0.56

ASS

17.90

17.60

DRB

21.40

21.60

AST-TO

1.15

1.06

TRB

30.10

29.60

FTM

15.90

14.00

BL

1.90

2.40

FTA

20.60

17.80

PF-Fewer

22.50

22.20

ST

5.20

6.50

TO-Fewer

15.50

16.60

Ftper

0.77

0.79

ORBper

0.41

0.37

ORB

8.70

8.10


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Medi Bayreuth vs Brose Bamberg at 10 April 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Medi Bayreuth and Brose Bamberg for German BBL, which will take place on 10 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Medi Bayreuth

2.42

2.72

Brose Bamberg

1.6

1.58

Medi Bayreuth HC

+3.5

4.00

Brose Bamberg HC

-3.5

-4.00

Point Line

165.5

165.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Medi Bayreuth are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 6

A

Bayern Munich

L

62

83

11

16

66

79

Apr 4

H

SC Rasta Vechta

W

95

79

11

15

90

84

Mar 27

A

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

92

97

10

15

100

92

Mar 21

H

BV Chemnitz 99

W

85

72

10

14

81

76

Mar 15

A

s.Oliver Baskets

W

90

75

8

14

87

80

Mar 5

H

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

W

97

78

8

14

98

75

Mar 2

A

Telekom Baskets Bonn

W

91

76

7

14

90

77

Feb 27

A

Giessen 46ers

L

92

97

6

14

81

96

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Brose Bamberg are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 3

H

Hamburg Towers

L

64

76

13

12

68

76

Mar 27

H

Ratiopharm Ulm

W

88

74

13

11

94

72

Mar 20

A

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

100

89

12

11

92

89

Mar 13

A

Telekom Baskets Bonn

W

86

82

11

11

85

83

Feb 28

H

Fraport Skyliners

W

78

62

10

11

80

67

Feb 14

H

ALBA Berlin

W

76

67

9

11

84

65

Feb 12

A

BV Chemnitz 99

L

82

85

8

11

78

89

Feb 9

A

Fraport Skyliners

W

86

76

8

10

88

82

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Medi Bayreuth and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Brose Bamberg.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Brose Bamberg and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Medi Bayreuth.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Medi Bayreuth (in the first graph) and by Brose Bamberg in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Medi Bayreuth will expected to score 82 points and the Brose Bamberg 84 points. The total points line estimated to be at 166.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Medi Bayreuth

Brose Bamberg

FG%

0.58

0.56

ASS

19.30

20.00

DRB

21.70

22.40

AST-TO

1.37

1.43

TRB

28.20

31.90

FTM

15.80

13.30

BL

2.40

3.00

FTA

20.10

16.60

PF-Fewer

18.30

18.90

ST

6.90

6.20

TO-Fewer

14.10

14.00

Ftper

0.78

0.80

ORBper

0.30

0.43

ORB

6.50

9.60


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Ratiopharm Ulm vs Giessen 46ers at 10 April 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Ratiopharm Ulm and Giessen 46ers for German BBL, which will take place on 10 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Ratiopharm Ulm

1.1

1.52

Giessen 46ers

7.6

2.93

Ratiopharm Ulm HC

-13.5

-5.00

Giessen 46ers HC

+13.5

5.00

Point Line

173.5

166.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ratiopharm Ulm are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 5

H

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

W

91

57

16

11

86

57

Apr 1

H

s.Oliver Baskets

W

88

64

15

11

85

68

Mar 27

A

Brose Baskets Bamberg

L

74

88

14

11

77

89

Mar 20

H

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

77

83

14

10

83

79

Mar 13

A

SC Rasta Vechta