BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis
In this article we will analyse the following games:
Before continue, please read the disclaimer.
Barcelona vs Manresa at 17 April 2021
In this section we will analyze the game between Barcelona and Manresa for Liga ACB, which will take place on 17 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :
We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Barcelona are:
The latest results and the adjusted scores of Manresa are:
The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Barcelona and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Manresa.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Manresa and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Barcelona.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Barcelona (in the first graph) and by Manresa in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.
By applying the findings from the graphs above, Barcelona will expected to score 84 points and the Manresa 79 points. The total points line estimated to be at 163.5 points.
Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.