2021 04 24 German BBL



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Medi Bayreuth vs Braunschweig at 24 April 2021
Oldenburg vs Ratiopharm Ulm at 24 April 2021
Giessen 46ers vs Ludwigsburg at 24 April 2021
Crailsheim Merlins vs Rasta Vechta at 24 April 2021
Bayern Munchen vs Alba Berlin at 25 April 2021
Bonn vs Niners Chemnitz at 25 April 2021
Brose Bamberg vs Göttingen at 25 April 2021
Fraport Skyliners vs Mitteldeutscher at 25 April 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Medi Bayreuth vs Braunschweig at 24 April 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Medi Bayreuth and Braunschweig for German BBL, which will take place on 24 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Medi Bayreuth

1.39

1.70

Braunschweig

3.15

2.44

Medi Bayreuth HC

-6.5

-3.00

Braunschweig HC

+6.5

3.00

Point Line

173.5

168.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Medi Bayreuth are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 13

H

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

93

99

11

18

99

95

Apr 10

H

Brose Baskets Bamberg

L

88

97

11

17

91

97

Apr 6

A

Bayern Munich

L

62

83

11

16

66

79

Apr 4

H

SC Rasta Vechta

W

95

79

11

15

90

84

Mar 27

A

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

92

97

10

15

100

92

Mar 21

H

BV Chemnitz 99

W

85

72

10

14

82

76

Mar 15

A

s.Oliver Baskets

W

90

75

8

14

88

80

Mar 5

H

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

W

97

78

8

14

99

76

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Braunschweig are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 22

A

ALBA Berlin

W

87

82

12

17

96

80

Apr 13

H

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

71

107

11

17

77

101

Apr 11

A

Bayern Munich

W

85

83

11

16

91

79

Apr 5

A

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

57

91

9

16

61

87

Mar 31

H

Telekom Baskets Bonn

L

93

94

9

15

92

96

Mar 28

H

Fraport Skyliners

W

80

68

9

14

82

74

Mar 24

A

BV Chemnitz 99

L

83

87

8

14

80

91

Mar 20

A

Hamburg Towers

L

63

74

8

13

67

74

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Medi Bayreuth and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Braunschweig.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Braunschweig and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Medi Bayreuth.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Medi Bayreuth (in the first graph) and by Braunschweig in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Medi Bayreuth will expected to score 86 points and the Braunschweig 85 points. The total points line estimated to be at 171.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Medi Bayreuth

Braunschweig

FG%

0.58

0.55

ASS

19.20

18.70

DRB

21.40

21.50

AST-TO

1.38

1.28

TRB

27.70

30.80

FTM

16.10

16.80

BL

2.30

2.00

FTA

20.30

23.70

PF-Fewer

18.70

22.00

ST

6.80

6.10

TO-Fewer

13.90

14.60

Ftper

0.79

0.71

ORBper

0.29

0.43

ORB

6.30

9.30


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top


Oldenburg vs Ratiopharm Ulm at 24 April 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Oldenburg and Ratiopharm Ulm for German BBL, which will take place on 24 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Oldenburg

1.52

1.52

Ratiopharm Ulm

2.62

2.92

Oldenburg HC

-4.5

-5.00

Ratiopharm Ulm HC

+4.5

5.00

Point Line

173.5

172.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Oldenburg are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 19

H

Brose Baskets Bamberg

W

100

99

22

7

103

99

Apr 14

A

Hamburg Towers

L

74

80

21

7

79

80

Apr 10

H

Telekom Baskets Bonn

W

106

87

21

6

104

89

Apr 4

A

s.Oliver Baskets

W

116

66

20

6

113

71

Mar 26

A

BV Chemnitz 99

W

98

92

19

6

94

96

Mar 19

H

SC Rasta Vechta

W

101

71

18

6

96

75

Mar 14

A

Bayern Munich

L

102

108

17

6

109

103

Mar 9

A

ALBA Berlin

W

89

81

17

5

98

80

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ratiopharm Ulm are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 13

A

Medi Bayreuth

W

99

93

18

11

97

93

Apr 10

H

Giessen 46ers

W

109

79

17

11

96

78

Apr 5

H

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

W

91

57

16

11

86

58

Apr 1

H

s.Oliver Baskets

W

88

64

15

11

86

69

Mar 27

A

Brose Baskets Bamberg

L

74

88

14

11

76

88

Mar 20

H

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

77

83

14

10

84

79

Mar 13

A

SC Rasta Vechta

L

77

92

14

9

73

98

Mar 7

H

ALBA Berlin

L

76

84

14

8

83

82

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Oldenburg and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Ratiopharm Ulm.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Ratiopharm Ulm and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Oldenburg.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Oldenburg (in the first graph) and by Ratiopharm Ulm in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Oldenburg will expected to score 87 points and the Ratiopharm Ulm 86 points. The total points line estimated to be at 173.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Oldenburg

Ratiopharm Ulm

FG%

0.61

0.58

ASS

22.40

18.20

DRB

22.40

21.80

AST-TO

2.06

1.44

TRB

29.70

28.60

FTM

15.40

20.80

BL

1.90

2.10

FTA

18.80

24.40

PF-Fewer

21.20

19.90

ST

7.70

7.10

TO-Fewer

10.90

12.60

Ftper

0.82

0.85

ORBper

0.32

0.31

ORB

7.20

6.80


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top


Giessen 46ers vs Ludwigsburg at 24 April 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Giessen 46ers and Ludwigsburg for German BBL, which will take place on 24 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Giessen 46ers

8

3.25

Ludwigsburg

1.09

1.44

Giessen 46ers HC

+13.5

5.50

Ludwigsburg HC

-13.5

-5.50

Point Line

177.5

175.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Giessen 46ers are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 13

H

ALBA Berlin

L

96

102

6

23

105

100

Apr 10

A

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

79

109

6

22

84

104

Apr 7

A

BG Goettingen

W

98

79

6

21

92

80

Apr 4

H

Bayern Munich

W

95

94

5

21

102

90

Mar 27

A

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

L

77

102

4

21

78

99

Mar 20

H

s.Oliver Baskets

L

73

74

4

20

71

79

Mar 13

A

Fraport Skyliners

L

79

82

4

19

81

89

Mar 6

H

Telekom Baskets Bonn

L

75

92

4

18

74

94

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ludwigsburg are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 13

A

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

W

107

71

26

2

101

72

Apr 5

A

BG Goettingen

W

90

81

25

2

85

82

Apr 1

H

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

93

74

24

2

86

74

Mar 27

H

Medi Bayreuth

W

97

92

23

2

95

92

Mar 23

A

s.Oliver Baskets

W

82

72

22

2

80

77

Mar 20

A

Ratiopharm Ulm

W

83

77

21

2

89

74

Mar 14

A

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

L

58

68

20

2

59

66

Mar 9

H

BV Chemnitz 99

W

96

60

20

1

92

63

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Giessen 46ers and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Ludwigsburg.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Ludwigsburg and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Giessen 46ers.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Giessen 46ers (in the first graph) and by Ludwigsburg in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Giessen 46ers will expected to score 81 points and the Ludwigsburg 91 points. The total points line estimated to be at 172.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Giessen 46ers

Ludwigsburg

FG%

0.56

0.55

ASS

18.20

17.00

DRB

20.90

21.40

AST-TO

1.23

1.59

TRB

29.90

31.10

FTM

12.10

15.20

BL

2.90

2.40

FTA

14.80

20.00

PF-Fewer

20.70

19.90

ST

5.80

8.00

TO-Fewer

14.80

10.70

Ftper

0.82

0.76

ORBper

0.43

0.45

ORB

8.90

9.70


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top


Crailsheim Merlins vs Rasta Vechta at 24 April 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Crailsheim Merlins and Rasta Vechta for German BBL, which will take place on 24 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Crailsheim Merlins

1.15

1.15

Rasta Vechta

6

7.56

Crailsheim Merlins HC

-10.5

-10.00

Rasta Vechta HC

+10.5

10.00

Point Line

170.5

164.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Crailsheim Merlins are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 14

A

BV Chemnitz 99

W

85

73

20

9

82

77

Apr 9

H

Mitteldeutscher BC

L

77

82

19

9

71

82

Apr 7

H

Telekom Baskets Bonn

W

91

88

19

8

90

90

Apr 5

A

Fraport Skyliners

L

84

92

18

8

86

100

Mar 27

H

Giessen 46ers

W

102

77

18

7

89

76

Mar 21

H

Bayern Munich

L

74

79

17

7

79

76

Mar 14

H

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

W

68

58

17

5

74

55

Mar 5

A

Medi Bayreuth

L

78

97

16

6

76

97

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Rasta Vechta are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 14

A

Brose Baskets Bamberg

L

76

104

5

24

79

104

Apr 10

H

BV Chemnitz 99

W

82

69

5

23

79

72

Apr 7

H

Hamburg Towers

L

82

88

4

23

87

88

Apr 4

A

Medi Bayreuth

L

79

95

4

22

77

95

Mar 27

H

BG Goettingen

L

79

103

4

21

74

104

Mar 19

A

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

L

71

101

4

20

71

89

Mar 13

H

Ratiopharm Ulm

W

92

77

4

19

98

74

Mar 7

H

Bayern Munich

L

78

93

3

19

84

89

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Crailsheim Merlins and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Rasta Vechta.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Rasta Vechta and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Crailsheim Merlins.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Crailsheim Merlins (in the first graph) and by Rasta Vechta in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Crailsheim Merlins will expected to score 87 points and the Rasta Vechta 81 points. The total points line estimated to be at 168.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Crailsheim Merlins

Rasta Vechta

FG%

0.56

0.53

ASS

18.40

18.10

DRB

21.80

21.20

AST-TO

1.28

1.19

TRB

30.60

29.90

FTM

17.70

15.50

BL

2.10

1.90

FTA

22.90

20.10

PF-Fewer

22.50

22.30

ST

7.80

5.40

TO-Fewer

14.40

15.20

Ftper

0.78

0.77

ORBper

0.40

0.41

ORB

8.80

8.70


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top


Bayern Munchen vs Alba Berlin at 25 April 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Bayern Munchen and Alba Berlin for German BBL, which will take place on 25 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Bayern Munchen

2.3

2.73

Alba Berlin

1.65

1.58

Bayern Munchen HC

+2.5

4.50

Alba Berlin HC

-2.5

-4.50

Point Line

160.5

163.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bayern Munchen are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 13

A

Telekom Baskets Bonn

W

89

71

23

7

88

72

Apr 11

H

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

L

83

85

22

7

79

86

Apr 6

H

Medi Bayreuth

W

83

62

22

6

81

62

Apr 4

A

Giessen 46ers

L

94

95