2021 04 24 Israeli Super League



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Eilat at 24 April 2021
Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv at 24 April 2021
Hapoel Holon vs Bnei Herzliya at 25 April 2021
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa at 25 April 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Eilat at 24 April 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Hapoel Beer Sheva and Hapoel Eilat for Israeli Super League, which will take place on 24 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Hapoel Beer Sheva

2.27

3.07

Hapoel Eilat

1.62

1.48

Hapoel Beer Sheva HC

+3.5

5.50

Hapoel Eilat HC

-3.5

-5.50

Point Line

171.5

168.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Hapoel Beer Sheva are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 11

H

Hapoel Haifa

L

78

82

11

11

L 1

74

80

Apr 5

A

Bnei Herzliya

W

77

75

11

10

W 1

75

75

Mar 28

A

Hapoel Holon

L

75

82

10

10

L 2

79

82

Mar 25

A

Hapoel Tel Aviv

L

86

95

10

9

L 1

86

97

Mar 18

H

Ironi Nes Ziona

W

93

89

10

8

W 2

96

91

Mar 13

A

Ironi Nahariya

W

105

92

9

8

W 1

91

99

Mar 10

A

Ironi Nes Ziona

L

78

85

8

8

L 1

80

87

Mar 7

H

Maccabi Haifa

W

94

86

8

7

W 2

87

91

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Hapoel Eilat are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 20

H

Ironi Nahariya

W

123

60

17

6

W 1

107

65

Apr 12

A

Hapoel Holon

L

73

80

16

6

L 1

76

80

Apr 5

H

Hapoel Tel Aviv

W

108

93

16

5

W 7

108

95

Mar 25

A

Hapoel Jerusalem

W

104

95

15

5

W 6

102

92

Mar 15

H

Hapoel Gilboa Galil

W

89

75

14

5

W 5

95

77

Mar 10

H

Maccabi Haifa

W

98

88

13

5

W 4

91

93

Mar 3

A

Maccabi Rishon LeZion

W

95

90

12

5

W 3

95

89

Feb 27

H

Maccabi Tel Aviv

W

91

85

11

5

W 2

102

80

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Hapoel Beer Sheva and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Hapoel Eilat.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Hapoel Eilat and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Hapoel Beer Sheva.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Hapoel Beer Sheva (in the first graph) and by Hapoel Eilat in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Hapoel Beer Sheva will expected to score 84 points and the Hapoel Eilat 87 points. The total points line estimated to be at 171.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Hapoel Eilat

FG%

0.49

0.56

ASS

18.90

19.50

DRB

22.10

25.00

AST-TO

1.39

1.59

TRB

36.70

35.00

FTM

13.60

17.50

BL

3.70

2.70

FTA

19.90

24.80

PF-Fewer

23.50

20.80

ST

10.00

7.80

TO-Fewer

13.60

12.30

Ftper

0.69

0.71

ORBper

0.66

0.40

ORB

14.60

10.10


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv at 24 April 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Maccabi Haifa and Maccabi Tel Aviv for Israeli Super League, which will take place on 24 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Maccabi Haifa

7.7

4.98

Maccabi Tel Aviv

1.07

1.25

Maccabi Haifa HC

+14.5

8.50

Maccabi Tel Aviv HC

-14.5

-8.50

Point Line

167.5

170.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Maccabi Haifa are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 8

H

Ironi Nes Ziona

W

113

94

5

17

W 1

116

96

Apr 5

A

Hapoel Haifa

L

84

87

4

17

L 1

80

84

Mar 29

H

Bnei Herzliya

W

89

79

4

16

W 1

86

79

Mar 24

A

Maccabi Rishon LeZion

L

72

102

3

16

L 2

72

101

Mar 20

H

Hapoel Holon

L

70

79

3

15

L 1

73

79

Mar 15

H

Hapoel Tel Aviv

W

80

73

3

14

W 1

80

75

Mar 10

A

Hapoel Eilat

L

88

98

2

14

L 5

89

91

Mar 7

A

Hapoel Be’er Sheva

L

86

94

2

13

L 4

88

95

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Maccabi Tel Aviv are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 19

A

Hapoel Gilboa Galil

L

78

85

18

4

L 1

83

88

Apr 12

A

Hapoel Jerusalem

W

100

76

18

3

W 5

99

74

Mar 21

A

Hapoel Haifa

W

104

67

17

3

W 4

99

65

Mar 18

A

Maccabi Rishon LeZion

W

89

72

16

3

W 3

89

71

Mar 13

H

Ironi Nes Ziona

W

96

74

15

3

W 2

99

75

Mar 7

H

Hapoel Tel Aviv

W

80

77

14

3

W 1

80

79

Feb 27

A

Hapoel Eilat

L

85

91

13

3

L 1

86

84

Feb 22

H

Ironi Nahariya

W

107

63

13

2

W 7

93

68

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Maccabi Haifa and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Maccabi Tel Aviv.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Maccabi Tel Aviv and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Maccabi Haifa.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Maccabi Haifa (in the first graph) and by Maccabi Tel Aviv in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Maccabi Haifa will expected to score 78 points and the Maccabi Tel Aviv 91 points. The total points line estimated to be at 169.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Maccabi Haifa

Maccabi Tel Aviv

FG%

0.50

0.58

ASS

19.40

20.90

DRB

24.40

27.00

AST-TO

1.34

1.71

TRB

32.90

36.00

FTM

15.80

16.10

BL

2.10

3.40

FTA

21.40

20.40

PF-Fewer

17.60

19.80

ST

6.80

7.30

TO-Fewer

14.50

12.20

Ftper

0.74

0.79

ORBper

0.35

0.33

ORB

8.50

9.00


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Hapoel Holon vs Bnei Herzliya at 25 April 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Hapoel Holon and Bnei Herzliya for Israeli Super League, which will take place on 25 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Hapoel Holon

1.23

1.66

Bnei Herzliya

4.05

2.52

Hapoel Holon HC

-8.5

-3.50

Bnei Herzliya HC

+8.5

3.50

Point Line

170.5

168.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Hapoel Holon are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 19

H

Hapoel Jerusalem

W

103

94

14

7

W 1

102

92

Apr 16

A

Ironi Nes Ziona

L

76

84

13

7

L 1

78

86

Apr 12

H

Hapoel Eilat

W

80

73

13

6

W 5

81

68

Apr 4

A

Ironi Nahariya

W

84

67

12

6

W 4

73

72

Mar 28

H

Hapoel Be’er Sheva

W

82

75

11

6

W 3

84

75

Mar 20

A

Maccabi Haifa

W

79

70

10

6

W 2

74

74

Mar 6

A

Hapoel Gilboa Galil

W

82

80

9

6

W 1

87

82

Feb 14

A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

L

81

100

8

6

L 1

91

94

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Bnei Herzliya are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 18

H

Hapoel Tel Aviv

L

89

99

7

16

L 6

89

101

Apr 12

A

Hapoel Gilboa Galil

L

77

92

7

15

L 5

82

95

Apr 5

H

Hapoel Be’er Sheva

L

75

77

7

14

L 4

77

78

Mar 29

A

Maccabi Haifa

L

79

89

7

13

L 3

74

94

Mar 21

H

Hapoel Jerusalem

L

80

88

7

12

L 2

79

86

Mar 15

H

Maccabi Rishon LeZion

L

84

87

7

11

L 1

84

86

Mar 8

A

Ironi Nahariya

W

104

80

7

10

W 2

90

86

Feb 28

H

Ironi Nes Ziona

W

82

79

6

10

W 1

84

80

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Hapoel Holon and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Bnei Herzliya.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Bnei Herzliya and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Hapoel Holon.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Hapoel Holon (in the first graph) and by Bnei Herzliya in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Hapoel Holon will expected to score 87 points and the Bnei Herzliya 84 points. The total points line estimated to be at 171.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Hapoel Holon

Bnei Herzliya

FG%

0.57

0.57

ASS

18.00

20.60

DRB

20.70

22.10

AST-TO

1.42

1.37

TRB

28.50

29.00

FTM

16.80

15.90

BL

2.10

1.60

FTA

21.30

21.60

PF-Fewer

22.40

22.50

ST

8.20

7.70

TO-Fewer

12.70

15.00

Ftper

0.79

0.74

ORBper

0.38

0.31

ORB

7.80

6.90


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa at 25 April 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Hapoel Tel Aviv and Hapoel Haifa for Israeli Super League, which will take place on 25 April 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Hapoel Tel Aviv

1.7

1.29

Hapoel Haifa

2.12

4.41

Hapoel Tel Aviv HC

-2.5

-7.50

Hapoel Haifa HC

+2.5

7.50

Point Line

174.5

170.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Hapoel Tel Aviv are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 18

A

Bnei Herzliya

W

99

89

7

15

W 1

96

89

Apr 15

H

Hapoel Gilboa Galil

L

91

107

6

15

L 1

97

110

Apr 11

H

Ironi Nahariya

W

112

77

6

14

W 1

97

83

Apr 5

A

Hapoel Eilat

L

93

108

5

14

L 1

94

100

Mar 29

A

Hapoel Jerusalem

W

95

89

5

13

W 2

94

87

Mar 25

H

Hapoel Be’er Sheva

W

95

86

4

13

W 1

97

86

Mar 15

A

Maccabi Haifa

L

73

80

3

13

L 7

68

84

Mar 11

A

Maccabi Rishon LeZion

L

84

86

3

12

L 6

84

85

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Hapoel Haifa are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

Apr 19

A

Ironi Nes Ziona

L

70

100

13

9

L 1

72

102

Apr 11

A

Hapoel Be’er Sheva

W

82

78

13

8

W 3

84

78

Apr 5

H

Maccabi Haifa

W

87

84

12

8

W 2

81

89

Apr 1

H

Ironi Nahariya

W

97

87

11

8

W 1

84

94

Mar 29

A

Maccabi Rishon LeZion

L

98

104

10

8

L 3

98

102

Mar 21

H

Maccabi Tel Aviv

L

67

104

10

7

L 2

75

98

Mar 18

A

Hapoel Gilboa Galil

L

79

96

10

6

L 1

84

99

Mar 14

A

Hapoel Jerusalem

W

100

87

10

5

W 1

99

85

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Hapoel Tel Aviv and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Hapoel Haifa.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Hapoel Haifa and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Hapoel Tel Aviv.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Hapoel Tel Aviv (in the first graph) and by Hapoel Haifa in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Hapoel Tel Aviv will expected to score 86 points and the Hapoel Haifa 87 points. The total points line estimated to be at 173.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Hapoel Haifa

FG%

0.53

0.56

ASS

19.20

17.70

DRB

23.20

23.00

AST-TO

1.50

1.28

TRB

31.50

31.30

FTM

14.40

15.90

BL

2.60

1.80

FTA

20.20

19.60

PF-Fewer

21.60

22.40

ST

7.00

6.90

TO-Fewer

12.80

13.80

Ftper

0.71

0.81

ORBper

0.36

0.36

ORB

8.30

8.20


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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