2021 05 08 German BBL



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Brose Bamberg vs Crailsheim Merlins at 09 May 2021
Fraport Skyliners vs Hamburg Towers at 09 May 2021
Göttingen vs Medi Bayreuth at 09 May 2021
TG s.Oliver Wurzburg vs Rasta Vechta at 09 May 2021
Niners Chemnitz vs Alba Berlin at 09 May 2021
Mitteldeutscher vs Oldenburg at 09 May 2021
Bonn vs Ratiopharm Ulm at 09 May 2021
Ludwigsburg vs Bayern Munchen at 09 May 2021
Giessen 46ers vs Braunschweig at 09 May 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Brose Bamberg vs Crailsheim Merlins at 09 May 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Brose Bamberg and Crailsheim Merlins for German BBL, which will take place on 09 May 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Brose Bamberg

1.47

1.26

Crailsheim Merlins

2.75

4.81

Brose Bamberg HC

-5.5

-8.00

Crailsheim Merlins HC

+5.5

8.00

Point Line

171.5

166.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Brose Bamberg are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 7

H

BG Goettingen

L

84

106

17

16

78

106

May 4

H

Giessen 46ers

W

99

90

17

15

88

89

May 2

A

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

L

75

85

16

15

72

86

Apr 30

H

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

W

94

93

16

14

102

88

Apr 21

A

s.Oliver Baskets

L

78

82

15

14

75

88

Apr 19

A

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

L

99

100

15

13

99

90

Apr 14

H

SC Rasta Vechta

W

104

76

15

12

99

80

Apr 10

A

Medi Bayreuth

W

97

88

14

12

97

88

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Crailsheim Merlins are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 5

A

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

W

90

73

23

10

90

66

May 2

H

Hamburg Towers

W

85

79

22

10

90

78

Apr 29

A

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

78

93

21

10

84

88

Apr 24

H

SC Rasta Vechta

W

98

81

21

9

93

86

Apr 14

A

BV Chemnitz 99

W

85

73

20

9

82

77

Apr 9

H

Mitteldeutscher BC

L

77

82

19

9

72

83

Apr 7

H

Telekom Baskets Bonn

W

91

88

19

8

91

90

Apr 5

A

Fraport Skyliners

L

84

92

18

8

86

101

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Brose Bamberg and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Crailsheim Merlins.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Crailsheim Merlins and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Brose Bamberg.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Brose Bamberg (in the first graph) and by Crailsheim Merlins in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Brose Bamberg will expected to score 84 points and the Crailsheim Merlins 85 points. The total points line estimated to be at 169.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Brose Bamberg

Crailsheim Merlins

FG%

0.57

0.56

ASS

20.60

18.90

DRB

22.60

22.00

AST-TO

1.50

1.31

TRB

31.50

30.50

FTM

13.60

17.10

BL

2.80

2.20

FTA

17.00

22.30

PF-Fewer

19.30

22.40

ST

5.90

7.60

TO-Fewer

13.70

14.40

Ftper

0.80

0.77

ORBper

0.40

0.39

ORB

9.00

8.50


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Fraport Skyliners vs Hamburg Towers at 09 May 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Fraport Skyliners and Hamburg Towers for German BBL, which will take place on 09 May 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Fraport Skyliners

4.1

4.66

Hamburg Towers

1.25

1.27

Fraport Skyliners HC

+9.5

8.00

Hamburg Towers HC

-9.5

-8.00

Point Line

155.5

161.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Fraport Skyliners are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 7

A

s.Oliver Baskets

W

95

66

12

21

91

71

May 4

A

Medi Bayreuth

L

58

80

11

21

58

80

May 2

H

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

L

59

82

11

20

59

74

Apr 30

A

Telekom Baskets Bonn

L

73

85

11

19

73

87

Apr 27

A

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

69

106

11

18

75

100

Apr 25

H

Mitteldeutscher BC

L

76

81

11

17

71

82

Apr 5

H

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

W

92

84

11

16

94

81

Apr 1

H

BV Chemnitz 99

L

76

89

10

16

73

94

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Hamburg Towers are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 4

H

BG Goettingen

W

93

91

20

13

87

91

May 2

A

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

L

79

85

19

13

80

82

Apr 29

A

Medi Bayreuth

L

83

90

19

12

83

90

Apr 23

H

s.Oliver Baskets

W

95

83

19

11

91

89

Apr 19

A

BV Chemnitz 99

L

97

98

18

11

93

104

Apr 14

H

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

W

80

74

18

10

80

67

Apr 10

A

ALBA Berlin

W

75

68

17

10

82

66

Apr 7

A

SC Rasta Vechta

W

88

82

16

9

84

87

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Fraport Skyliners and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Hamburg Towers.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Hamburg Towers and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Fraport Skyliners.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Fraport Skyliners (in the first graph) and by Hamburg Towers in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Fraport Skyliners will expected to score 78 points and the Hamburg Towers 83 points. The total points line estimated to be at 161.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Fraport Skyliners

Hamburg Towers

FG%

0.52

0.54

ASS

16.80

18.60

DRB

21.30

21.10

AST-TO

1.15

1.63

TRB

29.00

30.00

FTM

14.50

14.60

BL

1.30

1.70

FTA

19.00

19.70

PF-Fewer

19.40

20.70

ST

6.80

9.00

TO-Fewer

14.60

11.40

Ftper

0.76

0.74

ORBper

0.36

0.42

ORB

7.70

8.90


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Göttingen vs Medi Bayreuth at 09 May 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Göttingen and Medi Bayreuth for German BBL, which will take place on 09 May 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Göttingen

2.02

2.86

Medi Bayreuth

1.82

1.54

Göttingen HC

+1.5

4.50

Medi Bayreuth HC

-1.5

-4.50

Point Line

177.5

170.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Göttingen are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 7

A

Brose Baskets Bamberg

W

106

84

13

19

108

83

May 4

A

Hamburg Towers

L

91

93

12

19

96

92

May 2

H

Bayern Munich

L

90

102

12

18

95

99

Apr 13

A

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

99

85

12

17

92

86

Apr 11

H

s.Oliver Baskets

W

96

73

11

17

92

78

Apr 7

H

Giessen 46ers

L

79

98

10

17

70

96

Apr 5

H

MHP RIESEN Ludwigsburg

L

81

90

10

16

88

85

Mar 30

H

BV Chemnitz 99

W

68

55

10

15

65

58

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Medi Bayreuth are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 4

H

Fraport Skyliners

W

80

58

14

19

82

64

May 2

A

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

99

70

13

19

92

71

Apr 29

H

Hamburg Towers

W

90

83

12

19

95

82

Apr 24

H

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

L

64

77

11

19

62

78

Apr 13

H

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

93

99

11

18

100

94

Apr 10

H

Brose Baskets Bamberg

L

88

97

11

17

89

96

Apr 6

A

Bayern Munich

L

62

83

11

16

65

80

Apr 4

H

SC Rasta Vechta

W

95

79

11

15

90

83

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Göttingen and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Medi Bayreuth.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Medi Bayreuth and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Göttingen.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Göttingen (in the first graph) and by Medi Bayreuth in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Göttingen will expected to score 84 points and the Medi Bayreuth 87 points. The total points line estimated to be at 171.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Göttingen

Medi Bayreuth

FG%

0.55

0.58

ASS

18.40

19.40

DRB

21.90

22.30

AST-TO

1.31

1.39

TRB

30.50

28.60

FTM

15.90

16.20

BL

2.60

2.20

FTA

20.80

20.20

PF-Fewer

21.60

18.80

ST

6.60

6.80

TO-Fewer

14.00

14.00

Ftper

0.76

0.80

ORBper

0.39

0.29

ORB

8.50

6.40


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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TG s.Oliver Wurzburg vs Rasta Vechta at 09 May 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between TG s.Oliver Wurzburg and Rasta Vechta for German BBL, which will take place on 09 May 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

TG s.Oliver Wurzburg

1.57

4.42

Rasta Vechta

2.47

1.29

TG s.Oliver Wurzburg HC

-3.5

7.50

Rasta Vechta HC

+3.5

-7.50

Point Line

169.5

165.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of TG s.Oliver Wurzburg are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 7

H

Fraport Skyliners

L

66

95

9

24

67

104

May 5

H

BV Chemnitz 99

L

83

84

9

23

80

89

May 2

H

ALBA Berlin

L

79

99

9

22

87

96

Apr 29

A

Basketball Lowen Braunschweig

L

80

90

9

21

77

91

Apr 23

A

Hamburg Towers

L

83

95

9

20

88

94

Apr 21

H

Brose Baskets Bamberg

W

82

78

9

19

83

77

Apr 11

A

BG Goettingen

L

73

96

8

19

68

96

Apr 4

H

EWE Baskets Oldenburg

L

66

116

8

18

66

104

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Rasta Vechta are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 5

H

Mitteldeutscher BC

W

84

80

6

27

78

81

May 2

A

Giessen 46ers

L

82

100

5

27

73

98

Apr 30

H

ALBA Berlin

L

81

82

5

26

89

80

Apr 24

A

HARKO Merlins Crailsheim

L

81

98

5

25

82

95

Apr 14

A

Brose Baskets Bamberg

L

76

104

5

24

77

103

Apr 10

H

BV Chemnitz 99

W

82

69

5

23

79

73

Apr 7

H

Hamburg Towers

L

82

88

4

23

86

87

Apr 4

A

Medi Bayreuth

L

79

95

4

22

79

95

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by TG s.Oliver Wurzburg and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Rasta Vechta.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Rasta Vechta and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by TG s.Oliver Wurzburg.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by TG s.Oliver Wurzburg (in the first graph) and by Rasta Vechta in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, TG s.Oliver Wurzburg will expected to score 83 points and the Rasta Vechta 83 points. The total points line estimated to be at 166.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

TG s.Oliver Wurzburg

Rasta Vechta

FG%

0.53

0.53

ASS

18.00

18.20

DRB

20.90

21.10

AST-TO

1.17

1.22

TRB

29.00

29.90

FTM

14.50

15.40

BL

2.00

1.80

FTA

19.10

20.20

PF-Fewer

20.40

22.40

ST

6.80

5.20

TO-Fewer

15.40

14.90

Ftper

0.76

0.76

ORBper

0.39

0.42

ORB

8.10

8.80


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


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Niners Chemnitz vs Alba Berlin at 09 May 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Niners Chemnitz and Alba Berlin for German BBL, which will take place on 09 May 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Niners Chemnitz

9.75

7.15

Alba Berlin

1.07

1.16

Niners Chemnitz HC

+14.5

10.00

Alba Berlin HC

-14.5

-10.00

Point Line

166.5

165.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Niners Chemnitz are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 5

A

s.Oliver Baskets

W

84

83

12

21

81

89

May 2

H

Ratiopharm Ulm

L

70

85

11

21

75

81

Apr 30

H

Giessen 46ers

L

71

95

11

20

63

94

Apr 25

A

Telekom Baskets Bonn

L

62