2021 05 08 Israeli Super League



BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

BASKETBALL DIVISION Analysis

In this article we will analyse the following games:

Ironi Nahariya vs Maccabi Rishon Le-Zion at 08 May 2021

Before continue, please read the disclaimer.



Ironi Nahariya vs Maccabi Rishon Le-Zion at 08 May 2021

In this section we will analyze the game between Ironi Nahariya and Maccabi Rishon Le-Zion for Israeli Super League, which will take place on 08 May 2021.
The average bookmakers odds for this game and our odds based our calculations are :

Outcome

Books

Ours

Ironi Nahariya

4.3

2.92

Maccabi Rishon Le-Zion

1.21

1.52

Ironi Nahariya HC

+10.5

5.00

Maccabi Rishon Le-Zion HC

-10.5

-5.00

Point Line

176.5

177.00

We have adjusted the points scored and points received for the two teams based on their opponents dynamics. The latest results and the adjusted scores of Ironi Nahariya are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 6

A

Ironi Nes Ziona

L

91

105

3

22

L 8

93

106

Apr 29

H

Ironi Nes Ziona

L

90

94

3

21

L 7

92

95

Apr 20

A

Hapoel Eilat

L

60

123

3

20

L 6

60

115

Apr 11

A

Hapoel Tel Aviv

L

77

112

3

19

L 5

77

115

Apr 4

H

Hapoel Holon

L

67

84

3

18

L 4

69

83

Apr 1

A

Hapoel Haifa

L

87

97

3

17

L 3

84

96

Mar 13

H

Hapoel Be’er Sheva

L

92

105

3

16

L 2

95

105

Mar 8

H

Bnei Herzliya

L

80

104

3

15

L 1

78

104

The latest results and the adjusted scores of Maccabi Rishon Le-Zion are:

gDate

At

Opponent

WL

Tm

Opp

W

L

Str

aOff

aDef

May 5

H

Maccabi Haifa

W

113

83

12

13

W 1

104

87

Apr 28

A

Maccabi Haifa

L

99

106

11

13

L 3

92

111

Apr 22

A

Hapoel Holon

L

94

99

11

12

L 2

97

98

Apr 11

A

Ironi Nes Ziona

L

73

93

11

11

L 1

75

94

Apr 8

H

Hapoel Jerusalem

W

98

67

11

10

W 4

97

66

Apr 1

A

Hapoel Gilboa Galil

W

85

75

10

10

W 3

91

77

Mar 29

H

Hapoel Haifa

W

104

98

9

10

W 2

101

97

Mar 24

H

Maccabi Haifa

W

102

72

8

10

W 1

94

76

The first graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Ironi Nahariya and the the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Maccabi Rishon Le-Zion.
The second graph shows the moving average of the adjusted points scored by Maccabi Rishon Le-Zion and the moving average of the adjusted points conceded by Ironi Nahariya.
The black line on each graph shows an estimation of the points scored by Ironi Nahariya (in the first graph) and by Maccabi Rishon Le-Zion in the second graph.
This method may produce better long term results regarding point lines.

By applying the findings from the graphs above, Ironi Nahariya will expected to score 84 points and the Maccabi Rishon Le-Zion 92 points. The total points line estimated to be at 176.5 points.

Furthermore, to calculate our handicaps we measure the teams’ performance in fourteen critical aspects of the game, each one with specific weight to the final score.
The following table presents these variables.

Var

Ironi Nahariya

Maccabi Rishon Le-Zion

FG%

0.53

0.56

ASS

15.60

20.90

DRB

21.40

23.80

AST-TO

1.26

1.77

TRB

27.00

32.00

FTM

15.20

13.10

BL

2.10

1.40

FTA

20.00

18.10

PF-Fewer

17.50

19.50

ST

4.90

7.10

TO-Fewer

12.40

11.80

Ftper

0.76

0.72

ORBper

0.26

0.34

ORB

5.60

8.20


Check my book in Amazon bookstore! It is about football but you can see the logic behind my analysis.


Go to Top



Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *